Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H (HK:1456)
:1456
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Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
(1456)
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Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
HK$4.50
â–¼(-13.29% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/29/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak recent cash flow and higher leverage, alongside a technically weak price trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD). A reasonable P/E and modest dividend yield provide some valuation support, but not enough to offset the financial and technical risks.
Positive Factors
Profitability & margins
Sustained high operating and net margins (TTM net margin ~22%) indicate the firm captures meaningful spread and fee income. For a capital markets franchise this margin profile supports earnings resilience across cycles, enabling reinvestment and buffer against revenue dips.
Negative Factors
Weak recent cash generation
Operating cash flow near breakeven and negative free cash flow raise sustained liquidity and execution risks. If this weak conversion persists, the firm may need external funding, cut investments, or reduce strategic flexibility, pressuring operations over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability & margins
Sustained high operating and net margins (TTM net margin ~22%) indicate the firm captures meaningful spread and fee income. For a capital markets franchise this margin profile supports earnings resilience across cycles, enabling reinvestment and buffer against revenue dips.
Read all positive factors
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H (1456) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$57.76B
Dividend Yield1.18%
Average Volume (3M)4.87M
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.8
Beta (1Y)2.52
Revenue Growth51.17%
EPS Growth27.91%
CountryHK
Employees3,265
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryFinancial - Capital Markets
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.35
Shares Outstanding442,640,000
10 Day Avg. Volume2,796,150
30 Day Avg. Volume4,870,098
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.09
Price to Book (P/B)0.50
Price to Sales (P/S)2.53
P/FCF Ratio7.30
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
HK$6.31Price Target Upside21.48% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.41
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$8.36B
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Brokerage and Wealth Management; Credit Transaction; Investment Banking;...
How the Company Makes Money
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Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
38
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 10.07B | 10.30B | 4.51B | 4.00B | 4.00B | 3.28B |
| Gross Profit | 8.66B | 8.56B | 3.23B | 2.62B | 2.87B | 1.42B |
| EBITDA | 2.77B | 3.76B | 2.00B | 2.32B | 2.23B | 2.29B |
| Net Income | 2.12B | 1.96B | 397.42M | 674.55M | 767.28M | 888.64M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 236.33B | 203.31B | 97.21B | 87.13B | 74.38B | 65.94B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 10.47B | 84.72B | 59.34B | 49.67B | 40.22B | 34.95B |
| Total Debt | 100.38B | 65.98B | 25.04B | 25.55B | 21.25B | 18.44B |
| Total Liabilities | 182.64B | 150.41B | 78.26B | 69.01B | 57.62B | 49.56B |
| Stockholders Equity | 53.31B | 52.51B | 18.58B | 17.77B | 16.76B | 16.38B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -310.03M | 3.58B | 8.02B | 581.25M | 1.84B | -6.96B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 23.96M | 3.87B | 8.18B | 779.79M | 1.95B | -6.85B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 9.37B | 15.27B | 1.37B | -904.82M | -2.16B | -6.32B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 9.26B | 8.87B | -2.26B | 3.72B | 1.53B | 9.18B |
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Technical Analysis
Negative
5.19
Price Trends
4.55
Negative
4.89
Negative
5.46
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.06
Positive
37.59
Neutral
14.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1456, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.55, above the 50-day MA of 4.55, and below the 200-day MA of 5.46, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1456.
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | HK$292.98B | 8.17 | 6.85% | 2.75% | 91.20% | 30.16% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
63 Neutral | HK$183.69B | 6.38 | 9.27% | 2.92% | 28.52% | 6.24% | |
62 Neutral | HK$88.55B | 6.25 | 6.85% | 3.48% | 24.21% | 75.20% | |
61 Neutral | HK$71.78B | 7.25 | 6.25% | 2.66% | 14.46% | 25.89% | |
55 Neutral | HK$57.76B | 10.76 | 4.07% | 1.18% | 51.17% | 27.91% | |
54 Neutral | HK$122.86B | 6.39 | 8.68% | 2.89% | -21.60% | 73.59% |
* Financial Sector Average
HK:1456
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
4.23
0.72
20.51%
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15.66
3.23
25.99%
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Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
6.00
1.46
32.16%
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7.64
0.71
10.32%
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2.66
0.58
27.58%
HK:2611
Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
13.08
2.52
23.90%
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Corporate Events
Guolian Minsheng Securities Delivers Strong Q1 2026 Profit and Cash Flow Growth
Apr 27, 2026
Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited reported unaudited first-quarter 2026 results showing solid top-line growth and stronger profitability, with operating income rising 18.81% year on year to RMB 1.86 billion and total profit up 28.58%. Ne...
Guolian Minsheng Securities Sets Date to Approve First-Quarter 2026 Results
Apr 14, 2026
Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 27 April 2026 to review and approve the first quarterly results for the three months ended 31 March 2026. The board also plans to approve the release of these results to...
Guolian Minsheng Securities Publishes Audited 2025 Annual Results and Confirms Board Line-up
Mar 27, 2026
Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has released its audited annual results for the year ended 31 December 2025, fulfilling Hong Kong listing requirements on preliminary results disclosure. The full 2025 annual report, covering financial d...
Guolian Minsheng Securities Proposes 2025 Final Dividend and Sets Out Tax Treatment
Mar 27, 2026
Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has proposed a final ordinary cash dividend of RMB 0.6 per 10 shares for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, subject to shareholder approval. Key timetable details, including the ex-dividend date,...
Guolian Minsheng Securities Sets March 2026 Board Meeting on 2025 Results and Dividend
Mar 16, 2026
Guolian Minsheng Securities has scheduled a board meeting for 27 March 2026 to review and approve the annual results of the company and its subsidiaries for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, and to authorise their publication. The board w...
Guolian Minsheng Securities Moves to Add Stock Options Market Making to Business Scope
Feb 8, 2026
Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has renewed its operation licence for securities and futures business and is moving to formally expand its authorised business scope to include stock options market making. The board approved amendments ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.