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Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
(1456)
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Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
HK$4.00
â–¼(-22.93% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/29/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak recent cash flow and higher leverage, alongside a technically weak price trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD). A reasonable P/E and modest dividend yield provide some valuation support, but not enough to offset the financial and technical risks.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
Operating across brokerage, investment banking, asset/wealth management and proprietary trading gives durable revenue diversification. That mix smooths income over market cycles, lets the firm capture fee-based and trading gains, and supports resilience in changing capital-market conditions.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Near‑breakeven operating cash flow and negative free cash flow represent a material structural risk. Poor cash conversion constrains reinvestment, dividend capacity and buffers against market stress, increasing reliance on external funding during prolonged weak trading or issuance periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified business model
Operating across brokerage, investment banking, asset/wealth management and proprietary trading gives durable revenue diversification. That mix smooths income over market cycles, lets the firm capture fee-based and trading gains, and supports resilience in changing capital-market conditions.
Read all positive factors
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H (1456) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$56.06B
Dividend Yield1.8%
Average Volume (3M)4.87M
Price to Earnings (P/E)25.6
Beta (1Y)2.45
Revenue Growth51.17%
EPS Growth27.91%
CountryHK
Employees5,505
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryFinancial - Capital Markets
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.35
Shares Outstanding442,640,000
10 Day Avg. Volume2,796,150
30 Day Avg. Volume4,870,098
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.09
Price to Book (P/B)0.50
Price to Sales (P/S)2.53
P/FCF Ratio7.30
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
HK$7.61Price Target Upside46.63% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.4
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$8.38B
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd., along with its affiliated entities, delivers a comprehensive array of financial offerings and solutions across the People's Republic of China. Its operations are structured into several key divisions: Brokerage and We...
How the Company Makes Money
Guolian Securities generally makes money through a mix of fee- and commission-based income and investment-related income typical of a full-service securities company. Key revenue streams commonly include: (1) Brokerage commissions and fees: income...
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
38
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 10.07B | 10.30B | 4.51B | 4.00B | 4.00B | 3.28B |
| Gross Profit | 8.66B | 8.56B | 3.23B | 2.62B | 2.87B | 1.42B |
| EBITDA | 2.77B | 4.20B | 2.00B | 2.32B | 2.23B | 2.29B |
| Net Income | 2.12B | 1.96B | 397.42M | 674.55M | 767.28M | 888.64M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 236.33B | 203.31B | 97.21B | 87.13B | 74.38B | 65.94B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 10.47B | 84.72B | 59.34B | 49.67B | 40.22B | 34.95B |
| Total Debt | 100.38B | 65.98B | 25.04B | 25.55B | 21.25B | 18.44B |
| Total Liabilities | 182.64B | 150.41B | 78.26B | 69.01B | 57.62B | 49.56B |
| Stockholders Equity | 53.31B | 52.51B | 18.58B | 17.77B | 16.76B | 16.38B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -310.03M | 3.58B | 8.02B | 581.25M | 1.84B | -6.96B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 23.96M | 3.87B | 8.18B | 779.79M | 1.95B | -6.85B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 9.37B | 15.27B | 1.37B | -904.82M | -2.16B | -6.32B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 9.26B | 8.87B | -2.26B | 3.72B | 1.53B | 9.18B |
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Technical Analysis
Negative
5.19
Price Trends
4.06
Negative
4.31
Negative
4.92
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.05
Negative
44.14
Neutral
54.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1456, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.93, above the 50-day MA of 4.06, and above the 200-day MA of 4.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1456.
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | HK$349.46B | 12.89 | 6.85% | 2.75% | 91.20% | 30.16% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
63 Neutral | HK$195.59B | 10.35 | 9.27% | 2.92% | 28.52% | 6.24% | |
62 Neutral | HK$83.78B | 13.43 | 7.05% | 3.48% | 24.21% | 75.20% | |
61 Neutral | HK$71.26B | 17.19 | 6.25% | 2.66% | 14.46% | 25.89% | |
55 Neutral | HK$56.06B | 25.58 | 4.07% | 1.18% | 51.17% | 27.91% | |
54 Neutral | HK$125.67B | 11.57 | 8.87% | 2.89% | -21.60% | 73.59% |
* Financial Sector Average
HK:1456
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
3.84
-1.82
-32.19%
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16.66
-0.02
-0.09%
HK:3958
Orient Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
5.39
-1.49
-21.69%
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Everbright Securities Company Limited Class H
7.43
-2.57
-25.71%
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Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. Class H
2.50
-0.78
-23.73%
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Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. Class H
14.87
-0.29
-1.95%
Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. Class H Corporate Events
Guolian Minsheng Securities Updates Final Dividend Details and Withholding Tax Terms
Jun 16, 2026
Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has updated details of its proposed final dividend for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, declaring a payout of RMB 0.6 per 10 shares, equivalent to HKD 0.690195 per 10 shares based on an exchang...
Guolian Minsheng Securities Clears All Resolutions at 2026 AGM, Confirms Dividend and Governance Plans
Jun 15, 2026
Shareholders of Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited approved all ordinary resolutions at the 15 June 2026 annual general meeting in Wuxi, including the 2025 work and duty reports, annual report, and a profit distribution plan alongside aut...
Guolian Minsheng Securities Updates Final Dividend Timeline and Tax Details
May 22, 2026
Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has updated details of its proposed final dividend for the year ended 31 December 2025, confirming a payout of RMB 0.6 per 10 shares, subject to shareholder approval on 15 June 2026. The company will lat...
Guolian Minsheng Securities Sets 2025 AGM to Vote on Profit Plan, Mandates and Governance Changes
May 22, 2026
Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited has convened its 2025 annual general meeting for 15 June 2026 in Wuxi, where shareholders will review the 2025 board and independent directors’ work reports, the 2025 annual report and profit distr...
Guolian Minsheng Securities Delivers Strong Q1 2026 Profit and Cash Flow Growth
Apr 27, 2026
Guolian Minsheng Securities Company Limited reported unaudited first-quarter 2026 results showing solid top-line growth and stronger profitability, with operating income rising 18.81% year on year to RMB 1.86 billion and total profit up 28.58%. Ne...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.