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CGN Mining Co Ltd (HK:1164)
:1164

CGN Mining Co (1164) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

CGN Mining Co

(OTC:1164)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
HK$2.50
▲(17.37%Upside)
The overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum, as reflected in the bullish price trends and positive MACD. However, financial performance issues such as declining profitability and cash flow challenges weigh negatively on the score. Valuation concerns, with a high P/E ratio and low dividend yield, suggest the stock may be overvalued, adding a further risk dimension.
Positive Factors
Earnings Potential
The fixed price in the new agreement is significantly higher than the current mechanism and the latest industry contract price, indicating strong future earnings potential.
Market Strategy
Management sees M&A opportunities in markets such as Africa and Central Asia, with an aim to achieve diversification.
Nuclear Power Expansion
The Trump Administration's plan to boost nuclear power installed capacity is seen as a potential catalyst to drive both the uranium price and the share price of CGN Mining.
Negative Factors
Dividend Withholding Tax
Upcoming 15% dividend withholding tax and recent pullback of uranium price lead to a revision down of the 2025E/26E price assumption.
Equity Conversion Loss
The conversion of CGN Mining's equity interest in Fission Uranium to a smaller equity interest in Paladin Energy resulted in a loss from discontinued operations.
Tax Policy Changes
Kazakhstan’s mineral extraction tax rate will increase to 9% in 2025, likely pushing unit production costs higher.

CGN Mining Co (1164) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

CGN Mining Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCGN Mining Co., Ltd. (1164) is a public company primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and mining of uranium resources. The company operates within the energy sector, focusing on the supply of natural uranium products. As a key player in the nuclear energy industry, CGN Mining Co. supports the production of clean and sustainable energy by providing raw materials essential for nuclear power generation.
How the Company Makes MoneyCGN Mining Co. makes money through the extraction, processing, and sale of uranium resources. The company's primary revenue stream comes from selling natural uranium products to nuclear power plants and other entities involved in nuclear energy production. Revenue is generated from long-term contracts and spot market sales, ensuring a steady income stream. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its production capabilities and market reach, further contributing to its earnings.

CGN Mining Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CGN Mining Co faces significant operational challenges, as evidenced by declining profitability margins and cash flow issues. While growth in revenue is a positive sign, the negative gross profit, EBIT, and EBITDA margins in 2024 highlight substantial operational inefficiencies. Balance sheet stability provides some cushion, but declining return on equity and cash flow concerns point to underlying financial health issues.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company experienced inconsistent revenue growth, with an increase of 17.1% from 2023 to 2024, but a net loss in gross profit margin. Net profit margin dropped significantly from 6.7% in 2023 to 4.0% in 2024, indicating decreased profitability. Additionally, both EBIT and EBITDA margins turned negative in 2024, showing operational struggles.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74 in 2024, which is relatively stable. The equity ratio improved to 50.0% in 2024, indicating a strong capital base. However, the return on equity decreased from 12.8% in 2023 to 8.7% in 2024, reflecting declining profitability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow fell from 1.04 billion in 2023 to zero in 2024, indicating cash flow challenges. Free cash flow also decreased sharply, suggesting reduced financial flexibility. The absence of operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios highlights cash flow inefficiencies despite prior year's positive performance.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
8.62B7.36B3.65B3.86B2.86B
Gross Profit
-66.12M131.93M148.03M88.28M202.77M
EBIT
-137.70M61.14M89.40M36.04M157.54M
EBITDA
-127.91M692.81M107.34M108.01M226.42M
Net Income Common Stockholders
341.98M497.10M514.91M178.50M155.22M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.15B1.02B52.39M81.29M1.17B
Total Assets
7.84B6.75B6.87B6.35B4.19B
Total Debt
2.92B1.76B2.40B3.03B1.96B
Net Debt
1.77B745.85M2.35B2.95B786.11M
Total Liabilities
3.92B2.87B3.52B4.19B2.16B
Stockholders Equity
3.92B3.88B3.35B2.16B2.03B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-903.41M1.04B463.74M242.30M-327.12M
Operating Cash Flow
-903.36M1.04B464.33M242.69M-326.59M
Investing Cash Flow
577.25M498.79M-592.00K-3.37B-524.00K
Financing Cash Flow
471.39M-581.91M-481.74M2.03B823.73M

CGN Mining Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.13
Price Trends
50DMA
1.54
Positive
100DMA
1.57
Positive
200DMA
1.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
75.15
Negative
STOCH
69.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1164, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.67, above the 50-day MA of 1.54, and above the 200-day MA of 1.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.15 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1164.

CGN Mining Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
€898.16B5.7519.25%7.66%5.62%-0.74%
77
Outperform
HK$115.59B5.3522.05%18.39%2.87%
73
Outperform
HK$55.57B8.987.81%3.62%7.72%2.35%
66
Neutral
HK$31.57B17.807.73%-0.40%2.61%
63
Neutral
$16.34B47.7813.49%0.20%17.13%-31.19%
61
Neutral
$26.57B39.240.58%-8.96%
57
Neutral
$7.22B3.16-4.49%5.63%0.82%-49.15%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1164
CGN Mining Co
2.13
-0.54
-20.34%
HK:0883
CNOOC Limited
18.28
-1.56
-7.85%
HK:1171
Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited Class H
8.23
-3.32
-28.74%
HK:2883
China Oilfield Services
6.40
-1.02
-13.75%
HK:0338
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co
1.24
0.12
10.71%
HK:1033
Sinopec Oilfield Service
0.63
0.11
21.15%

CGN Mining Co Corporate Events

CGN Mining Co Extends Uranium Sales and Financial Services Agreements
Jun 3, 2025

CGN Mining Co has entered into new framework agreements to continue its transactions related to the sale of natural uranium and financial services with its subsidiaries, extending these agreements for another three years starting January 2026. These agreements, which involve major transactions and connected transactions under the Hong Kong Listing Rules, require approval from independent shareholders and are subject to annual reporting and review requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1164) stock is a Buy with a HK$2.36 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CGN Mining Co stock, see the HK:1164 Stock Forecast page.

CGN Mining Co’s Controlling Shareholder Reduces Stake
Jun 1, 2025

CGN Mining Company Limited announced a reduction in the long position of its controlling shareholder, CGNPC, from 57.01% to 56.43% following the disposal of shares by CGN Investment HK. Despite this reduction, CGNPC maintains confidence in the company and its subsidiary, China Uranium Development, which has retained its shares since 2011. The disposals were part of CGN Investment HK’s investment strategy, and none of the shares were acquired by connected persons of the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1164) stock is a Buy with a HK$2.36 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CGN Mining Co stock, see the HK:1164 Stock Forecast page.

CGN Mining Co. Announces 2025 AGM Agenda and Key Resolutions
May 27, 2025

CGN Mining Company Limited has announced its upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for June 19, 2025, in Beijing. Key agenda items include the adoption of financial statements for the year ending December 31, 2024, the declaration of a final cash dividend of HK0.7 cents per share, and the re-election of several directors. Additionally, the company plans to re-appoint BDO Limited as auditors and authorize the board to fix their remuneration. The AGM will also consider resolutions to allow the directors to issue additional shares, subject to certain conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1164) stock is a Buy with a HK$2.36 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CGN Mining Co stock, see the HK:1164 Stock Forecast page.

CGN Mining Co. Surpasses Q1 Uranium Production Targets, Reports Strong Trading Activity
Apr 22, 2025

In the first quarter of 2025, CGN Mining Co. exceeded its natural uranium production targets, achieving a 110.7% completion rate, with significant contributions from its Kazakhstan-based joint ventures, Semizbay-U and Ortalyk. The company also reported holding substantial uranium inventory and entered new contracts for procurement and sales, indicating robust trading activity. However, the data is preliminary and subject to change, and stakeholders are cautioned about potential risks due to external factors.

CGN Mining Announces Leadership Changes with New CEO Appointment
Apr 15, 2025

CGN Mining Company Limited has announced a significant change in its leadership structure, effective April 15, 2025. Mr. Wang Xianfeng has transitioned from the role of Chief Executive Officer to a non-executive Director while continuing as the Chairman of the Board. Mr. Qiu Bin, with over 30 years of experience in the nuclear fuel industry, has been appointed as the new Chief Executive Officer and an executive Director. This change aims to clearly delineate the responsibilities between the Chairman and CEO roles, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and operational efficiency. Additionally, Mr. Yin Xiong has resigned as a non-executive Director due to retirement, with no disagreements or issues reported.

CGN Mining Co Updates Board of Directors and Committee Roles
Apr 15, 2025

CGN Mining Company Limited, incorporated in the Cayman Islands, has announced its updated list of directors and their roles within the company. The board comprises executive, non-executive, and independent non-executive directors, each serving on various committees such as Audit, Remuneration, Nomination, and Environmental, Social and Governance. This announcement provides clarity on the governance structure and committee responsibilities, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder engagement.

CGN Mining Co Reports 2024 Financial Results Amidst Operational Challenges
Mar 20, 2025

CGN Mining Co announced its audited consolidated results for the year ending December 31, 2024. The company reported a profit from continuing operations of HK$526.7 million, an increase from HK$486.6 million in the previous year. However, the overall profit attributable to owners of the company decreased to HK$342 million from HK$497.1 million due to losses from discontinued operations. The earnings per share from continuing operations rose to HK6.93 cents, while the overall earnings per share declined to HK4.50 cents. The announcement highlights a challenging year with a gross loss, but strong contributions from joint ventures and associates helped maintain profitability.

CGN Mining Co Declares Final Dividend for 2024
Mar 20, 2025

CGN Mining Company Limited announced a final cash dividend of HKD 0.007 per share for the financial year ending December 31, 2024. The dividend reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to shareholders and is scheduled for payment on July 30, 2025, following shareholder approval in June. This announcement underscores CGN Mining’s stable financial performance and its strategic focus on maintaining shareholder confidence.

CGN Mining Issues Profit Warning Amid Tax Challenges and Market Changes
Mar 13, 2025

CGN Mining Company Limited has issued a profit warning, indicating an expected increase in profit from continuing operations before taxation by approximately HK$230 million to HK$280 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to 2023. This increase is attributed to a rise in natural uranium prices, benefiting the company’s joint ventures and associates. However, the net profit is expected to decrease by HK$130 million to HK$180 million due to increased income tax expenses, particularly in Kazakhstan, and a loss from discontinued operations following a share swap acquisition involving Fission Uranium Corp.

CGN Mining Announces Board and Committee Changes
Mar 12, 2025

CGN Mining Company Limited has announced changes to its board of directors and committees. Mr. Qiu Xianhong has resigned from his position as an independent non-executive director and several committee roles to focus on personal matters. In his place, Ms. Dai Qijia has been appointed as an independent non-executive director, chairwoman of the remuneration committee, and a member of the audit and nomination committees. Ms. Dai brings 17 years of experience in capital market investment and financing. Additionally, Mr. Zhang Yuntao has been re-designated as the chairman of the audit committee.

CGN Mining Co Announces Board Composition and Roles
Mar 12, 2025

CGN Mining Co has announced the composition of its board of directors and their respective roles within the company’s various committees. This announcement outlines the leadership structure, which includes executive, non-executive, and independent non-executive directors, highlighting the company’s commitment to governance and strategic oversight.

CGN Mining Co. Schedules Board Meeting to Review Annual Results
Mar 10, 2025

CGN Mining Company Limited has announced that its board of directors will meet on March 20, 2025, to review and approve the company’s annual financial results for the year ending December 31, 2024. The meeting will also consider the potential declaration of a final dividend. This announcement is significant as it may impact the company’s financial standing and shareholder returns, reflecting its performance and strategic decisions in the past year.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.