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Digital China Holdings Limited (HK:0861)
:0861

Digital China Holdings (0861) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0861

Digital China Holdings

(0861)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
HK$3.00
▲(14.07% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/03/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—losses, declining revenue, compressed margins, and especially the absence of operating/free cash flow in 2024. Technical indicators are moderately supportive in the near term, and the dividend offers limited valuation support, but neither is strong enough to outweigh the fundamental and cash-flow risk.
Positive Factors
Diverse enterprise IT services and distribution
Digital China’s integrated model—distribution, systems integration, cloud and managed services—creates multiple complementary revenue streams. Over the medium term this diversification supports resilience, enabling recurring managed-service revenue and cross-sell opportunities that stabilize cashflows and client relationships.
Scale and channel/delivery capabilities
A large workforce and established channel/delivery footprint support execution of large public and enterprise digitalization projects. This scale is a durable competitive asset for project delivery, vendor partnerships and government/business contract wins, improving long-term win rates and implementation throughput.
Moderate equity base and stable debt trend
A moderate equity ratio and a relatively stable debt-to-equity trend provide a structural capital buffer versus more highly leveraged peers. This financing mix gives management some flexibility to support operations and pursue strategic investments without immediate solvency pressure, assuming cash generation recovers.
Negative Factors
No operating or free cash flow in 2024
The lack of operating and free cash flow is a material structural weakness: without internal cash generation the company faces ongoing liquidity risk, limited ability to self-fund capex or working capital, and greater reliance on external financing, which can constrain strategic execution and long-term growth.
Declining revenue and negative profitability
Sustained top-line decline and an outturn net loss undermine economies of scale and reinvestment capacity. Over months this weakens competitive positioning, pressures vendor and customer relationships, and reduces flexibility to invest in product development or service expansion needed to regain growth.
Compressed margins and falling operational efficiency
Low gross margin and deteriorating EBIT/EBITDA margins point to structural margin pressure—likely from mix shifts, pricing or cost inefficiencies. Persistently compressed margins limit ability to fund SG&A or R&D, reduce returns on projects, and raise the risk of permanently lower profitability if not reversed.

Digital China Holdings (0861) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Digital China Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDigital China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides big data products and solutions for government and enterprise customers primarily in Mainland China. The Big Data Products and Solutions segment sells data software products focused on spatial-temporal big data and artificial intelligence. This segment offers data fabric comprising Yan Cloud DaaS, a software platform that supports data sharing, interoperability, and integration of isolated digital islands; and Sysnet, an integration platform that integrates various data, applications, and services. It also provides data hub, including data management, security, innovation, and aggregation products; and digital twin, which constructs a digital replica of the physical city, as well as data solutions for city and supply chain digital native transformation, and fintech. The Software and Operating Services segment offers end-to-end data-enabled supply chain operating services, as well as software development, testing, operation, and maintenance services. The Traditional Services segment provides systems integration services, e-commerce supply chain services, and software and operating services. The segment also engages in the investments, property sales and rental, and other businesses. It also engages in provision of logistics, systems integration, technical, network optimization, rural agricultural internet, data processing and manpower outsourcing, and cloud application system services; development and construction of science and technology park; finance lease and property development business; operation of sm@rt city platform; and sale of financial specialized equipment and surveying service software. In addition, the company offers Quattro, a touchless multi-biometric access control reader; and Aibion Trio, a contactless multi-biometric access control solution. Digital China Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
How the Company Makes MoneyDigital China generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily by providing IT services and solutions to businesses and government entities. Key revenue streams include cloud services, where the company offers infrastructure as a service (IaaS) and platform as a service (PaaS) solutions, as well as software licensing and maintenance services. Additionally, the company earns income from system integration projects, which involve customizing IT solutions for clients. Strategic partnerships with major technology firms and investments in emerging technologies further bolster its earnings potential, enabling the company to tap into new markets and enhance its service offerings.

Digital China Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: declining revenue, lower gross margin (~13.76% in 2024), and a net loss driving negative profitability. Cash flow is the biggest concern, with no operating/free cash flow reported for 2024 suggesting potential liquidity pressure, partially offset by a relatively stable balance sheet structure.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Digital China Holdings has experienced declining revenues, with a negative revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin for 2024 is approximately 13.76%, which is lower compared to prior years. The company posted a net loss in 2024, resulting in a negative net profit margin. There is a significant decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating challenges in maintaining operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively stable, but there is an increasing trend in total debt over the years. The equity ratio for 2024 stands at approximately 26.13%, reflecting a moderate level of equity financing. However, the return on equity is negative due to the net loss, indicating inefficiency in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The absence of operating and free cash flow in 2024 highlights severe cash flow management issues. The company previously had positive free cash flow growth, but this has deteriorated significantly. The lack of cash flow metrics for 2024 suggests potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.00B17.72B20.20B20.64B20.54B19.82B
Gross Profit2.56B2.44B2.87B2.94B3.76B3.36B
EBITDA167.86M114.45M-843.71M668.63M1.71B1.72B
Net Income-271.02M-270.22M-2.02B360.92M711.59M612.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.39B23.74B25.10B24.77B29.60B28.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.39B3.54B3.20B3.26B4.61B4.20B
Total Debt5.50B3.81B3.40B3.74B4.24B4.51B
Total Liabilities15.13B13.62B13.67B12.46B14.73B14.26B
Stockholders Equity6.32B5.83B6.93B8.36B10.16B9.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow341.72M375.80M587.13M432.03M393.71M1.02B
Operating Cash Flow375.14M405.53M746.14M525.56M540.70M1.15B
Investing Cash Flow79.10M-223.02M334.18M-47.88M20.37M1.51B
Financing Cash Flow652.89M-60.38M-678.68M-249.29M-926.23M-1.54B

Digital China Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.63
Price Trends
50DMA
2.66
Negative
100DMA
2.75
Negative
200DMA
2.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
43.65
Neutral
STOCH
49.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0861, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.57, below the 50-day MA of 2.66, and below the 200-day MA of 2.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0861.

Digital China Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
HK$681.57M5.806.75%7.27%7.39%2.23%
70
Outperform
HK$339.75M4.945.83%7.24%-1.26%-10.80%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
55
Neutral
HK$396.00M48.09-0.77%8.55%-1.86%-105.19%
54
Neutral
HK$10.49B9.444.70%1.06%5.43%-6.88%
48
Neutral
HK$3.86B141.36-4.20%2.65%-6.07%86.55%
39
Underperform
HK$2.07B4.074.78%-25.92%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0861
Digital China Holdings
2.55
-0.42
-14.17%
HK:0354
Chinasoft International
3.88
-2.04
-34.44%
HK:1522
BII Railway Transportation Technology Holdings Co., Ltd.
0.33
0.07
25.00%
HK:1985
Microware Group Ltd.
1.32
0.16
13.79%
HK:3680
Suoxinda Holdings Limited
2.30
1.40
155.56%
HK:0046
Computer & Technologies Holdings Ltd.
1.40
-0.25
-14.95%

Digital China Holdings Corporate Events

Digital China Clarifies Independence of Counterparties in DCITS Share Disposal
Jan 30, 2026

Digital China Holdings has issued a supplemental announcement clarifying details of a previously disclosed disposal by its indirect wholly owned subsidiary, Digital China Software Co., Ltd., of 11,895,200 shares in DCITS, representing about 1.22% of DCITS’s total share capital. The company confirmed that shares sold via centralized bidding on the open market went to unidentified buyers who, to the board’s knowledge after reasonable enquiries, are independent third parties, and that shares sold via block trade were placed through Shenzhen Fulai Investment Co., Ltd., whose ultimate owners and the purchaser are also considered independent of Digital China and its connected persons. The additional disclosures do not change any commercial terms or other contents of the original transaction announcement, and the company states that the earlier information remains valid and in force.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0861) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Digital China Holdings stock, see the HK:0861 Stock Forecast page.

Digital China Subsidiary DCITS Forecasts 2025 Return to Profit on Fintech Push
Jan 30, 2026

Digital China Holdings announced that its indirect non-wholly owned subsidiary DCITS expects to swing to a profit attributable to shareholders of between RMB46 million and RMB69 million for 2025, compared with a loss of about RMB524 million in 2024, driven by market expansion, stronger accounts receivable management, and a sharp reduction in impairment losses. The improvement at DCITS, whose results are consolidated into Digital China’s accounts, underscores the subsidiary’s strategic pivot toward fintech and “AI for Process” solutions for financial institutions, but management cautioned that the preview is unaudited, applies only to DCITS, and may not fully reflect the group’s consolidated 2025 performance, advising investors to exercise caution until full-year results are released by end-March 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0861) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Digital China Holdings stock, see the HK:0861 Stock Forecast page.

Digital China Faces Shareholder Push to Tighten Approval Rules for Major Deals
Jan 23, 2026

Digital China Holdings has received a requisition from Guangzhou City Investment Jiazi Investment Partnership, which holds about 17.57% of its issued share capital via HKSCC Nominees, demanding that the company convene a special general meeting to vote on amendments to its bye-laws. The proposed changes would require that major transactions, very substantial disposals and acquisitions, extreme transactions and reverse takeovers be approved by shareholders by way of special resolutions at general meetings, effectively raising the approval threshold for large corporate actions; however, a majority of the board, excluding two non-executive directors representing the requisitioning shareholder, has stated that it believes these amendments are not in the interests of the company or its shareholders as a whole. The board is seeking legal advice on how to proceed and plans to issue a circular with further details and a notice of the special general meeting to shareholders in due course, signaling a potential governance tussle that could affect how the company executes future strategic transactions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0861) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Digital China Holdings stock, see the HK:0861 Stock Forecast page.

Digital China to Lift Stake in Shenqi Digital to 94.5% via RMB391.6 Million Put-Option Buyback
Jan 16, 2026

Digital China Holdings has announced that its indirect wholly owned subsidiary DC Software has agreed to repurchase a 4.65% equity stake in Shenqi Digital from investor Changchun Jingyue for approximately RMB391.61 million, under a put option arrangement originally set out in a supplemental agreement. The sale will be conducted via public bidding on the Jilin Changchun Property Rights Exchange Center, with DC Software committed to bid at the predetermined put price, and if a third party wins the bid, Changchun Jingyue may revoke the exercise of the put option; upon completion of this transaction and the previously announced put option exercise by Changchun Financial, Digital China’s effective interest in Shenqi Digital will rise from about 83.65% to 94.5%, increasing its control over the subsidiary while the company expects no material impact on the group’s overall business and operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0861) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Digital China Holdings stock, see the HK:0861 Stock Forecast page.

Digital China Boosts Stake in Shenqi Digital After Investor Exercises Put Option
Jan 14, 2026

Digital China Holdings has announced that its indirect wholly owned subsidiary DC Software will acquire approximately 6.20% of Shenqi Digital Company Limited from investor Changchun Financial for about RMB522.4 million, following Changchun Financial’s exercise of a previously granted put option triggered by Shenqi Digital not achieving a stock exchange listing by the end of 2025. The deal, which is subject to an independent valuation confirming the sale price is not above the agreed consideration and is expected to complete by 27 March 2026, will raise the group’s stake in Shenqi Digital from roughly 83.65% to about 89.85%, with the company stating that the transaction will not have a material impact on its overall business or operations while further consolidating its control over this core subsidiary.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0861) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Digital China Holdings stock, see the HK:0861 Stock Forecast page.

Digital China Realises RMB203 Million by Trimming Stake in DCITS While Retaining Control
Jan 11, 2026

Digital China Holdings has sold 11,895,200 shares in its subsidiary DCITS via its indirect wholly owned unit DC Software between 31 December 2025 and 9 January 2026, representing about 1.22% of DCITS’ share capital, through a mix of centralized bidding and block trades for total proceeds of roughly RMB203 million (around HK$226 million). The transaction, which qualifies as a discloseable transaction under Hong Kong Listing Rules and is part of a wider plan to dispose of up to 2.95% of DCITS, allows the group to crystallise part of its unrealised gains in DCITS while retaining control and continuing to consolidate DCITS’ financials; the disposal will be treated as an equity transaction, with proceeds earmarked for business development and working capital and no gain or loss recognised in the consolidated income statement.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0861) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Digital China Holdings stock, see the HK:0861 Stock Forecast page.

Digital China Holdings Plans Partial Share Disposal in Subsidiary
Dec 9, 2025

Digital China Holdings Limited announced a proposed disposal of up to 28,827,300 shares in its subsidiary, Digital China Information Service Group Company Ltd. (DCITS), by its controlling shareholder, Digital China Software Co., Ltd. This disposal, representing approximately 2.9543% of DCITS’s share capital, is intended to support the group’s business development and working capital. Despite the sale, DCITS will remain a subsidiary of Digital China Holdings. The company anticipates recording a gain on this disposal, which will be reflected in its consolidated statement of changes in equity. The transaction’s completion is subject to market conditions and may require compliance with Hong Kong’s Listing Rules if certain thresholds are exceeded.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0861) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Digital China Holdings stock, see the HK:0861 Stock Forecast page.

Digital China Holdings Announces Board Composition and Committee Roles
Nov 28, 2025

Digital China Holdings Limited has announced the composition of its board of directors, detailing the roles and functions of its executive, non-executive, and independent non-executive directors. The announcement also outlines the membership of three key board committees: the Audit Committee, Remuneration Committee, and Nomination Committee. This update provides stakeholders with a clear view of the leadership structure, which is essential for corporate governance and strategic decision-making.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0861) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Digital China Holdings stock, see the HK:0861 Stock Forecast page.

Digital China Holdings Enhances Governance with New Nomination Committee
Nov 28, 2025

Digital China Holdings Limited has established a Nomination Committee as part of its Board of Directors to ensure a structured and diverse approach to board nominations. This move is expected to enhance the company’s governance and strategic oversight, potentially impacting its industry positioning by promoting diversity and independence within its leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0861) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Digital China Holdings stock, see the HK:0861 Stock Forecast page.

Digital China Holdings Appoints New Executive Director
Nov 28, 2025

Digital China Holdings Limited has announced the appointment of Mr. CAI Yinghua as an executive director, effective from November 28, 2025. Mr. CAI, who has been serving as the president and chief operating officer since September 2024, brings extensive experience in ICT and digital transformation to the role. This strategic appointment is expected to enhance the company’s leadership team and potentially strengthen its market position in the IT and digital transformation sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0861) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Digital China Holdings stock, see the HK:0861 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 03, 2026