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Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. (HK:0098)
:0098
Hong Kong Market

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. (0098) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0098

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd.

(0098)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
HK$8.00
▲(10.50% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/28/26
The score is supported primarily by attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Offsetting this, financial performance shows clear pressure (weaker margins, higher leverage, and reduced cash conversion), and technical indicators reflect weak near-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
A ~70% revenue increase in 2025 indicates durable demand expansion and stronger order flow for aluminium profiles. Sustained top-line growth supports scale benefits, capacity utilization and reinvestment capacity, improving long-term competitiveness even if margins need recovery.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressure
Meaningful margin compression indicates cost inflation, pricing pressure or adverse product mix. Lower margins reduce earnings quality and limit reinvestment and buffer for cyclical downturns, making profitability more sensitive to raw material and demand swings over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
A ~70% revenue increase in 2025 indicates durable demand expansion and stronger order flow for aluminium profiles. Sustained top-line growth supports scale benefits, capacity utilization and reinvestment capacity, improving long-term competitiveness even if margins need recovery.
Read all positive factors

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. (0098) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures, sells, and trades in aluminium profiles used as construction and industrial materials in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Industrial Aluminium Profi...
How the Company Makes Money
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. makes money primarily by selling aluminium extrusion products and related processed/fabricated aluminium products to customers, with revenue recognized from orders of aluminium profiles used in construction and indus...

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth in 2025, but margins weakened (net margin ~3.0% vs ~4.4% in 2024; EBITDA margin ~6.1% vs ~8.1%). Leverage rose sharply (debt ~0.98x equity vs ~0.49x), and cash conversion deteriorated with free cash flow down ~51% YoY and covering ~34% of net income.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
Cash Flow
43
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.16B18.85B17.35B16.93B15.43B
Gross Profit2.10B1.76B1.99B1.77B1.81B
EBITDA1.24B1.53B1.43B1.07B1.46B
Net Income610.56M826.03M804.17M457.77M887.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.00B14.54B12.87B12.10B11.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.54B2.73B2.84B1.85B1.64B
Total Debt6.17B2.88B3.15B2.51B1.76B
Total Liabilities8.70B8.63B7.54B7.44B6.86B
Stockholders Equity6.29B5.90B5.32B4.65B4.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow316.58M459.66M485.69M-184.33M646.46M
Operating Cash Flow938.24M1.42B1.47B790.77M1.33B
Investing Cash Flow-1.84B-884.65M-836.70M-890.39M-604.82M
Financing Cash Flow-143.35M-647.88M358.69M326.51M408.78M

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.24
Price Trends
50DMA
7.59
Negative
100DMA
7.50
Positive
200DMA
7.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
48.85
Neutral
STOCH
88.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0098, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.57, below the 50-day MA of 7.59, and below the 200-day MA of 7.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0098.

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
HK$363.98B12.6224.18%5.10%15.38%41.07%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
HK$215.07B8.4919.96%3.32%20.06%20.03%
61
Neutral
HK$1.19B18.522.55%3.52%-5.29%-32.47%
58
Neutral
HK$3.17B4.6010.28%8.68%10.71%-22.12%
53
Neutral
HK$4.76B11.950.70%0.76%-14.11%
48
Neutral
HK$151.13M-2.68-0.58%-26.79%-112.82%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0098
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd.
7.54
0.44
6.20%
HK:2600
Aluminum of China
11.84
8.14
220.00%
HK:0581
China Oriental Group Co
1.28
0.24
23.31%
HK:0609
Tiande Chemical Holdings Limited
1.35
0.40
42.11%
HK:1378
China Hongqiao Group Ltd.
36.68
24.88
210.85%
HK:2078
PanAsialum Holdings Co. Ltd.
0.13
<0.01
5.00%

Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Xingfa Aluminium Grows Revenue But Profit and Dividend Decline in 2025
Mar 26, 2026
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Limited reported a 9.8% year-on-year increase in revenue to approximately RMB20.7 billion for 2025, driven by an 11.2% rise in sales volume to 900,100 tonnes. Despite higher top-line and volume growth, gross profit fell 2...
Xingfa Aluminium Sets March Board Meeting to Approve 2025 Final Results
Mar 16, 2026
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 26 March 2026 to review and approve the audited final results for the financial year ended 31 December 2025. The board will also consider whether to recommend a final dividend, a ...
Xingfa Aluminium Shifts Hong Kong Principal Place of Business
Feb 10, 2026
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Limited has announced a change to its principal place of business in Hong Kong, effective 10 February 2026. The company&#8217;s operations will be administratively based at Flat F, 31/F, Boton Technology Innovation Tower,...
Xingfa Aluminium Raises RMB300 Million in First Tranche of 2026 Medium-Term Notes
Feb 9, 2026
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Limited has announced that its indirect wholly owned subsidiary, Guangdong Xingfa Aluminium Co. Ltd., has completed the issuance of the first tranche of its 2026 medium-term notes in China, raising RMB300 million. The thr...
Xingfa Aluminium Renews 2025 Connected Tenancy Deals for Mainland Production Facilities
Dec 31, 2025
Xingfa Aluminium has renewed its connected tenancy arrangements for 2025 through its subsidiaries Henan Xingfa and Jiangxi Xingfa, which entered into new tenancy agreements with Henan Jingxing and Jiangxi Jingxing for leasing production plants and...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 28, 2026