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Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR (HCMLY)
OTHER OTC:HCMLY

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR (HCMLY) AI Stock Analysis

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HCMLY

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR

(OTC:HCMLY)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(18.69% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/30/25
Holcim Ltd's stock is rated highly due to its strong valuation metrics, including a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield, which suggest significant upside potential. The company's robust earnings call guidance and technical indicators further support a positive outlook. However, challenges such as declining revenue and free cash flow growth, along with foreign exchange impacts, temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Sustainable Offerings Expansion
Holcim's focus on sustainable products aligns with global trends towards eco-friendly construction, enhancing its competitive edge and market relevance.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth suggests potential challenges in market demand or competition, which could impact future profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustainable Offerings Expansion
Holcim's focus on sustainable products aligns with global trends towards eco-friendly construction, enhancing its competitive edge and market relevance.
Read all positive factors

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR (HCMLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Holcim Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a building materials and solutions company in the Asia Pacific, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, Africa, and North America. It operates through four segments: Cement, Aggregates, Ready...
How the Company Makes Money
Holcim generates revenue primarily through the sale of its core products: cement, aggregates, and ready-mix concrete. The company operates a diversified revenue model that includes direct sales to construction companies, infrastructure projects, a...

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong, broad-based profitable growth with meaningful margin expansion, robust free cash flow, a healthy balance sheet and clear mid‑term capital allocation (NextGen Growth 2030). Regional strengths (Europe, LatAm, North Africa/Australia) and traction in sustainable, high‑value solutions were repeatedly highlighted. Key headwinds include FX effects, some LatAm integration pressures and uncertainty around EU ETS/CCUS economics, but management portrayed these as manageable or temporary. Given the preponderance of positive operational and financial metrics, plus confident guidance for 2026 aligned with mid‑term targets, the tone of the call is overall constructive and upbeat.
Positive Updates
Strong recurring EBIT growth and margin expansion
Recurring EBIT accelerated in Q4 (+12.2%) and achieved full-year recurring EBIT growth of 10.3% (12.2% organic growth), materially exceeding the 6%–10% target. Group recurring EBIT margin expanded by ~80 basis points to 18.3%.
Negative Updates
Foreign exchange headwinds
FX reduced sales by CHF 810 million (~5%) in 2025 and created profit headwinds (CHF 200 million cited, ~7% on one measure). Management expects FX headwinds in 2026 of roughly ~3% on sales and ~4%–5% on profit (with Q1 still challenging).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong recurring EBIT growth and margin expansion
Recurring EBIT accelerated in Q4 (+12.2%) and achieved full-year recurring EBIT growth of 10.3% (12.2% organic growth), materially exceeding the 6%–10% target. Group recurring EBIT margin expanded by ~80 basis points to 18.3%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Holcim guided for 2026 to organic net‑sales growth of 3–5% and organic recurring‑EBIT growth of 8–10%, with a further increase in recurring‑EBIT margin; it expects cash flow of around CHF 2.0 billion (after CHF 2.2bn FCF in 2025 and 54% cash conversion), plans 20%+ volume growth in circular construction in 2026, and will continue investing (CapEx was ~CHF 400m in 2025). The group closed 2025 with net‑debt leverage of 0.9x and a 2025 ROIC of 11.2%, remains committed to net leverage below 1.5x long term, and reconfirmed its NextGen Growth 2030 allocation: up to CHF 22bn deployment to 2030, CHF 7bn returned to shareholders (~50% payout) plus CHF 4–6bn capacity for large M&A or buybacks; the Board proposed a CHF 1.7 dividend (53% payout ratio, 2.4% post‑tax yield). Management also noted a move to organic‑growth guidance, an anticipated FX headwind of roughly –3% on sales and –4–5% on profit (estimate), and reiterated disciplined pricing, cost and capital allocation as drivers of the targets.

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Holcim Ltd demonstrates strong profitability and efficient operations, with high margins and return on equity. However, declining revenue and free cash flow growth pose challenges. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, supporting long-term financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
65
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.72B26.41B27.01B29.19B26.83B
Gross Profit6.66B11.68B11.50B11.61B11.54B
EBITDA3.51B6.83B6.82B5.34B6.42B
Net Income804.15M2.93B3.06B3.31B2.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets33.64B54.28B52.69B57.60B59.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.45B5.35B6.09B9.83B6.69B
Total Debt9.52B12.92B13.12B14.91B16.61B
Total Liabilities17.54B26.33B25.90B27.99B29.41B
Stockholders Equity15.39B27.24B26.00B28.67B27.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.65B4.02B3.96B3.01B3.51B
Operating Cash Flow2.66B5.67B5.47B4.56B5.04B
Investing Cash Flow-1.87B-2.04B-3.47B2.08B-4.71B
Financing Cash Flow-60.17M-4.37B-5.22B-3.25B1.11B

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.80
Price Trends
50DMA
17.85
Positive
100DMA
18.51
Negative
200DMA
17.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
61.85
Neutral
STOCH
96.91
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HCMLY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.62, above the 50-day MA of 17.85, and above the 200-day MA of 17.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.91 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HCMLY.

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$49.87B-20.7078.14%90.93%-18.01%
75
Outperform
$38.55B34.8112.79%0.67%6.54%32.48%
73
Outperform
$18.04B1.7310.45%0.74%-6.34%210.97%
72
Outperform
$38.09B33.0211.90%0.51%1.99%-41.08%
70
Outperform
$6.27B16.1928.78%0.47%1.50%-4.44%
70
Outperform
$78.78B10.1715.21%1.17%4.28%0.39%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HCMLY
Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR
18.29
5.85
47.01%
CX
Cemex SAB
11.89
6.61
125.27%
EXP
Eagle Materials
201.83
-24.03
-10.64%
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
635.29
135.04
27.00%
VMC
Vulcan Materials
297.15
55.38
22.91%
CRH
CRH plc
117.27
32.70
38.66%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 30, 2025