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Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR (HCMLY)
OTHER OTC:HCMLY
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Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR (HCMLY) AI Stock Analysis

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HCMLY

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR

(OTC:HCMLY)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$19.00
â–²(4.91% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is primarily supported by solid financial performance driven by strong operating cash flow/free cash flow and stable operating margins, plus a positive earnings-call update featuring upgraded 2026 guidance. Offsetting these are weak technical conditions (price below key moving averages and negative MACD) and unfavorable valuation signals (high P/E alongside a very high dividend yield that looks harder to justify given volatile/weak TTM net income).
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Holcim's persistent free cash flow and operating cash flow provide durable financial flexibility to fund capex, bolt‑on M&A, sustainability programs and debt service without over-reliance on external financing. Consistent cash generation cushions profit volatility and supports strategic investments.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatility and quality
A large drop in reported net income versus the prior year indicates material below‑the‑line volatility from provisions, impairments or non‑recurring items. That weakens the reliability of earnings as a signal for sustainable dividends, makes forecasting harder and raises stakeholder scrutiny over recurring profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Holcim's persistent free cash flow and operating cash flow provide durable financial flexibility to fund capex, bolt‑on M&A, sustainability programs and debt service without over-reliance on external financing. Consistent cash generation cushions profit volatility and supports strategic investments.
Read all positive factors

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR (HCMLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Holcim Ltd, a venerable company founded in 1833 and headquartered in Zug, Switzerland, functions as a global provider of construction materials and innovative solutions. Its expansive operations span across major regions, including Asia Pacific, E...
How the Company Makes Money
Holcim primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling construction materials and related solutions to customers such as contractors, builders, infrastructure developers, and distributors. Its core revenue streams are: (1) Cement: Holcim sells ...

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong operational and financial momentum: solid organic sales and double-digit recurring EBIT growth, upgraded full-year guidance, successful value-accretive M&A (Xella, Pacasmayo), material sustainability gains (36% increase in recycled materials, >70% alternative fuel use in Europe) and clear AI targets for productivity. Offsetting these positives are manageable near-term issues: country-specific softness (UK, Argentina), mix effects and integration/onboarding costs (including margin dilution from divestments and acquisitions), FX headwinds, and some one-off provisions. On balance the positives—broad-based growth, margin expansion drivers, upgraded guidance and strategic initiatives—outweigh the lowlights.
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Net Sales Growth
Organic net sales up 5.2% in H1 2026 and 6.4% in Q2 2026, contributing ~CHF 390 million in organic growth for the first half.
Negative Updates
Country-Specific Weaknesses — UK, Argentina, Colombia Effects
UK residential remained soft in H1; Argentina showed softer performance; Colombia volumes impacted by election uncertainty, contributing to weaker Q2 volume trends in parts of LatAm.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Organic Net Sales Growth
Organic net sales up 5.2% in H1 2026 and 6.4% in Q2 2026, contributing ~CHF 390 million in organic growth for the first half.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Holcim upgraded its 2026 guidance after a strong H1, targeting organic net sales growth at the high end of NextGen (c.5% organic net sales growth) and organic recurring EBIT growth at the high end (c.10%), together with a further increase in recurring EBIT margin (broadly flat through the first 9 months before full‑year expansion), free cash flow around CHF 2.0 billion, and a year‑end leverage of roughly 1.6x (near the 1.5x target) while maintaining a bolt‑on M&A run‑rate of ~CHF 0.5bn p.a.; management reiterated continued positive price‑over‑cost (17th consecutive quarter), plans to grow recycled construction & demolition volumes (up 36% in H1) and alternative fuel use (>70% in Europe H1), and flagged strategic contributions from recent deals (Xella ~CHF 900m and Pacasmayo ~CHF 500m projected 2026 sales) and AI benefits of ~CHF 200m by 2028 (with ~CHF 20m p.a. investment).

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$4.24B; free cash flow ~$2.78B) supports financial flexibility, while operating margins are resilient (gross margin ~42%, EBIT margin ~15%). The main drag is earnings volatility/quality: TTM net income is unusually low ($151M) versus the prior annual period ($804M), and leverage has drifted higher versus 2023–2024 (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.69).
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.81B15.72B26.41B27.01B29.19B26.83B
Gross Profit8.30B6.66B11.68B11.50B11.61B11.54B
EBITDA4.40B3.51B6.83B6.82B5.34B6.42B
Net Income150.93M804.15M2.93B3.06B3.31B2.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.14B33.64B54.28B52.69B57.60B59.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.59B5.45B5.35B6.09B9.83B6.69B
Total Debt10.91B9.52B12.92B13.12B14.91B16.61B
Total Liabilities19.51B17.54B26.33B25.90B27.99B29.41B
Stockholders Equity15.75B15.39B27.24B26.00B28.67B27.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.78B1.65B4.02B3.96B3.01B3.51B
Operating Cash Flow4.24B2.66B5.67B5.47B4.56B5.04B
Investing Cash Flow-3.41B-1.87B-2.04B-3.47B2.08B-4.71B
Financing Cash Flow-779.96M-60.17M-4.37B-5.22B-3.25B1.11B

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.11
Price Trends
50DMA
18.59
Negative
100DMA
18.20
Negative
200DMA
18.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Positive
RSI
45.93
Neutral
STOCH
22.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HCMLY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.25, below the 50-day MA of 18.59, and below the 200-day MA of 18.45, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HCMLY.

Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$31.54B12.8823.11%0.59%0.06%125.23%
71
Outperform
$63.21B14.8223.81%1.52%6.29%18.35%
70
Outperform
$34.80B31.6013.11%0.72%6.86%18.35%
65
Neutral
$48.85B69.1945.64%60.98%-19.54%-85.61%
65
Neutral
$17.92B35.443.67%0.82%9.40%-67.61%
62
Neutral
$6.29B16.1126.87%0.47%1.68%-7.06%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HCMLY
Holcim Ltd Unsponsored ADR
18.00
1.40
8.45%
CX
Cemex SAB
11.55
3.23
38.89%
EXP
Eagle Materials
218.27
-1.43
-0.65%
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
553.37
-41.49
-6.97%
VMC
Vulcan Materials
286.77
7.21
2.58%
CRH
CRH plc
100.00
3.75
3.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026