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Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW)
:HAYW
US Market

Hayward Holdings (HAYW) AI Stock Analysis

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Hayward Holdings

(NYSE:HAYW)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▲(11.27%Upside)
The overall score reflects a balanced view of Hayward Holdings' solid financial performance and positive earnings call insights, tempered by mixed technical indicators and a relatively high valuation.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
Accelerated cost reduction, productivity initiatives, and shifting sourcing and production to non-China locations and the U.S. are expected to offset the incremental costs.
Earnings
Shares reacted positively to a nice, broad-based first-quarter beat and maintained 2025 guidance despite the more uncertain macro and rising costs from tariffs.
Innovation
Hayward has shown strong innovation with products such as the microchannel heat pump and its introduction of OmniX products, which are expected to drive share in coming years.
Negative Factors
Consumer Spending
Increasing risks to US consumer spending and the deterioration in housing fundamentals push out expectations for a recovery in the pool market.
Discretionary Spending
More discretionary remodel and upgrade revenue streams likely remain under pressure as consumers push larger spend items to the right.
Economic Risks
The risks of a consumer-led recession have risen meaningfully.

Hayward Holdings (HAYW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hayward Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) is a leading global designer, manufacturer, and marketer of a broad portfolio of pool equipment and associated automation systems. The company operates primarily in the residential and commercial pool sectors, providing innovative products that include pumps, filters, heaters, sanitizers, and automation solutions. With a strong emphasis on energy efficiency and sustainability, Hayward Holdings serves both new pool construction and the aftermarket for existing pools, focusing on enhancing pool owners' experiences through easy-to-use and advanced technological solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyHayward Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pool equipment and associated automation systems. The company capitalizes on both new pool construction and the aftermarket, providing replacement and upgrade products for existing pool infrastructures. Key revenue streams include the sale of pumps, filters, heaters, sanitizers, and automation solutions. Hayward's earnings are further supported by its extensive distribution network, which includes partnerships with pool builders, retailers, and service professionals. The company's focus on energy-efficient and sustainable products also appeals to environmentally conscious consumers, bolstering its market position and revenue potential.

Hayward Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.50%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with record net sales growth, effective margin management, and strategic product launches. However, it also highlighted challenges such as tariff impacts and economic uncertainty affecting discretionary spending. Overall, the company's proactive strategies to mitigate these challenges indicate a positive outlook despite the hurdles.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Expectations in Q1 2025
Net sales increased 8% to $229 million with growth across both segments, North America and Europe, and positive contributions from volume and price. Gross profit margins increased to 49.5% and adjusted EBITDA margins increased to 21.5%.
OmniX Product Launch
Launch of OmniX, an innovative suite of products for the aftermarket, providing IoT connectivity and control for non-automated pools, opening up significant addressable market opportunities.
Strong Balance Sheet and Financial Flexibility
Net leverage maintained at 2.8x, with total liquidity of $398 million. The company also reported a 25% increase in adjusted diluted EPS to $0.10.
Successful Tariff Mitigation Strategy
Aggressively executing plans to offset expected tariff-related cost increases and volume pressures, including cost and supply chain initiatives, with expected reduction of direct sourcing from China to 3% by year-end.
Margin Expansion and Profitability
Gross profit margins increased 30 basis points to 49.5%, and adjusted EBITDA increased 9% to $49 million, with a focus on strategic reinvestment in sales, marketing, customer service, and engineering.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs
Estimated total annualized tariff impact of approximately $85 million, with a partial year impact in 2025 of approximately $30 million, mostly related to China.
Economic Uncertainty and Discretionary Spending Pressure
Economic conditions and higher interest rates impacting discretionary spending, particularly new construction and remodels, with a pragmatic approach to volume projections.
Cash Flow Guidance Reduction
Free cash flow guidance reduced from $160 million to $150 million due to CapEx for tooling and more expensive residual inventory from China.
Company Guidance
During the Hayward Holdings First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company confirmed its guidance for the full year, anticipating net sales to increase by approximately 1% to 5%, reaching between $1.06 billion and $1.1 billion. Additionally, it expects adjusted EBITDA to range from $280 million to $290 million. The first quarter results exceeded expectations with net sales increasing by 8% to $229 million, driven by a 3% increase in both price and organic volume, along with a 3% contribution from the ChlorKing acquisition. Gross profit margins rose to 49.5%, and adjusted EBITDA margins improved to 21.5%. Despite challenges, such as increased tariffs, the company maintained net leverage within its targeted range of 2.8x. The guidance reflects potential impacts from tariffs and proactive mitigation strategies, including pricing actions and supply chain initiatives. The company also highlighted the launch of the OmniX platform, aimed at enhancing pool automation offerings.

Hayward Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hayward Holdings shows a solid financial performance with improvements in gross profit margins and consistent EBIT margins. The balance sheet is strong with a good equity position and reduced debt, but there is room for improvement in return on equity. Cash flow management is robust, with strong free cash flow growth and effective cash generation relative to net income.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Hayward Holdings demonstrates a solid financial performance with improving gross profit margins and consistent EBIT margins over the TTM. Revenue growth has been modest with a growth rate of 1.55% from the previous year. However, the company has seen a decline from its peak revenue levels in 2021, indicating some volatility. The net profit margin is healthy, reflecting effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet of Hayward Holdings shows a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 48.23% in TTM. The company has significantly reduced its total debt, which has improved the debt-to-equity ratio to 0.01, enhancing financial stability. However, the return on equity is moderate at 8.56%, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns on shareholder capital.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Hayward Holdings exhibits robust cash flow management with a strong free cash flow growth rate of 38.20% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.30 indicates effective cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 2.11, highlighting excellent cash flow conversion from earnings.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.07B1.05B992.45M1.31B1.40B875.40M
Gross Profit
532.60M530.76M476.95M597.03M655.78M397.00M
EBIT
212.28M208.79M175.22M285.57M317.97M124.60M
EBITDA
244.73M208.79M227.75M356.87M390.82M188.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
123.15M118.66M80.69M179.35M203.72M43.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
181.33M196.59M203.10M56.18M265.80M114.90M
Total Assets
2.98B2.99B2.95B2.88B2.98B2.61B
Total Debt
973.27M975.39M1.16B1.10B985.28M1.30B
Net Debt
791.94M778.81M985.03M1.04B719.48M1.19B
Total Liabilities
1.55B1.57B1.63B1.65B1.61B2.40B
Stockholders Equity
1.44B1.42B1.31B1.22B1.37B209.20M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
259.55M187.78M153.55M86.32M160.37M198.20M
Operating Cash Flow
283.42M212.07M184.54M115.94M187.51M213.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-79.36M-54.13M-55.38M-92.57M-48.78M-13.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-137.44M-136.79M-7.61M-229.24M10.96M-135.10M

Hayward Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.93
Price Trends
50DMA
13.42
Positive
100DMA
13.92
Negative
200DMA
14.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
44.20
Neutral
STOCH
39.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HAYW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.04, above the 50-day MA of 13.42, and below the 200-day MA of 14.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HAYW.

Hayward Holdings Risk Analysis

Hayward Holdings disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hayward Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hayward Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$2.33B13.2137.08%0.55%27.43%67.93%
74
Outperform
$4.77B63.466.36%0.32%0.06%-28.32%
73
Outperform
$2.27B12.9812.73%1.97%-12.02%-67.69%
69
Neutral
$3.06B25.078.92%7.34%48.64%
ENENS
67
Neutral
$3.52B9.9919.82%1.08%-2.94%22.32%
66
Neutral
$4.51B12.225.40%3.63%4.14%-12.01%
ENENR
58
Neutral
$1.56B28.2833.46%5.55%0.39%-37.01%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HAYW
Hayward Holdings
13.66
0.48
3.64%
AEIS
Advanced Energy
122.80
16.43
15.45%
ENR
Energizer Holdings
20.72
-6.43
-23.68%
ENS
EnerSys
86.52
-15.61
-15.28%
POWL
Powell Industries
187.85
23.25
14.13%
ATKR
Atkore International Group
66.48
-68.23
-50.65%

Hayward Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Hayward Holdings Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Hayward Holdings, Inc. conducted its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made. The election of directors resulted in Ronald Keating, Lawrence Silber, and Edward Ward being elected to serve until 2028. Additionally, the compensation for the company’s named executive officers was approved on an advisory basis, and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accountants for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (HAYW) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hayward Holdings stock, see the HAYW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hayward Holdings Expands Board with New Appointment
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

On March 20, 2025, Hayward Holdings expanded its Board of Directors from nine to ten members, appointing Ron Keating as an independent director. Keating, who brings extensive experience in the water industry and global business environments, will serve on the Compensation Committee. His appointment is expected to enhance Hayward’s strategic growth and shareholder value, leveraging his expertise from previous leadership roles at Excelitas Technologies and Evoqua Water Technologies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.