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Atkore International Group (ATKR)
NYSE:ATKR
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Atkore International Group (ATKR) AI Stock Analysis

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ATKR

Atkore International Group

(NYSE:ATKR)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$59.00
▼(-0.30% Downside)
Atkore's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including declining margins and profitability. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, further weighing on the score. Valuation concerns arise from a high P/E ratio, although the dividend yield offers some support. The earnings call provided some optimism with improved EPS guidance, but corporate events like leadership changes add uncertainty. The company must address these challenges to improve its stock performance.

Atkore International Group (ATKR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Atkore International Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtkore Inc. manufactures and sells electrical, safety, and infrastructure products in the United States and internationally. The company offers electrical products, including conduits cables, and installation accessories. It also provides safety and infrastructure solutions, such as metal framing, mechanical pipe, perimeter security, and cable management. The company offers its products under the Allied Tube & Conduit, AFC Cable Systems, Kaf-Tech, Heritage Plastics, Unistrut, Power-Strut, Cope, US Tray, FRE Composites, Calbond, and Calpipe brands. It serves a group of end markets, including new construction; maintenance, repair, and remodel, as well as infrastructure; diversified industrials; alternative power generation; healthcare; data centers; and government through electrical, industrial, and mechanical contractors, as well as original equipment manufacturers. The company was formerly known as Atkore International Group Inc. and changed its name to Atkore Inc. in February 2021. Atkore Inc. was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Harvey, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtkore International Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its extensive product offerings in the electrical, plumbing, and mechanical markets. The company has multiple key revenue streams, including direct sales to contractors, wholesalers, and distributors. Additionally, Atkore benefits from strong relationships with major contractors and builders, which contribute to its consistent sales volume. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its product lines and market reach, further enhancing its earnings potential. Economic trends, construction activity, and infrastructure spending are significant factors influencing Atkore's revenue, as demand for its products is closely tied to these elements.

Atkore International Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -22.69%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong third-quarter performance and improved EPS outlook, despite challenges from price declines and a complex tariff environment. The company is optimistic about future growth but acknowledges upcoming headwinds.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance in Q3 FY2025
Atkore achieved net sales of $735 million, with 2% organic volume growth. Adjusted EBITDA was $100 million, and adjusted EPS was $1.63, indicating strong financial performance toward the top end of expected ranges.
Increased Midpoint of Full Year EPS Outlook
The company raised the midpoint of its adjusted EPS outlook for the full year to $6.50, reflecting improved visibility and stronger earnings leverage.
Sequential Pricing Improvement in Steel Conduit Products
Atkore reported a second consecutive quarter of sequential pricing improvement in their steel conduit products, suggesting stabilization and potential growth in margins.
Stable Cash Flow and Strong Balance Sheet
Year-to-date, the company generated $192 million in cash flow from operations and maintains a strong balance sheet with a net leverage ratio of approximately 1x.
Negative Updates
Year-Over-Year Price Declines
Average selling prices declined 12% year-over-year, driven primarily by PVC conduit and steel conduit products.
Tariff Environment Challenges
The new tariff environment introduced complexities affecting input costs and broader market pricing dynamics, with specific challenges from increased tariffs on steel and aluminum imports.
Expected Headwinds into FY2026
The company anticipates several headwinds into FY2026, including approximately $50 million of unmitigated challenges from price declines and tariff effects.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, Atkore reported net sales of $735 million, with 2% organic volume growth, and adjusted EBITDA of $100 million. The adjusted EPS for the quarter was $1.63. The company maintained its full-year adjusted EBITDA midpoint at $400 million but raised its adjusted EPS midpoint to $6.50, reflecting improved visibility and stronger earnings leverage. The volume growth was supported by productivity gains, particularly in the S&I segment, while year-over-year declines in average selling prices were in line with expectations. Atkore faced challenges in pricing, especially in PVC and steel conduit products, but saw sequential pricing improvement in steel conduit products. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2026, Atkore anticipates several headwinds, including impacts from lower selling prices and broader tariff effects, estimating approximately $50 million of unmitigated headwinds. The company continues to evaluate measures to mitigate these impacts, maintaining a strong balance sheet with a net leverage ratio of approximately 1x.

Atkore International Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Atkore International Group faces challenges in maintaining revenue and profitability, as evidenced by declining margins and revenue growth. While the balance sheet remains stable with a manageable debt level, the significant drop in return on equity raises concerns about the company's ability to efficiently generate profits. Cash flow generation is adequate, but the negative growth in free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues. Overall, the company needs to address its declining profitability and improve operational efficiency to enhance financial performance.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Atkore International Group's income statement shows a declining trend in revenue and profitability. The TTM data indicates a negative revenue growth rate of -2.94%, and margins have significantly decreased compared to previous years. The gross profit margin has dropped from 41.90% in 2022 to 25.79% in TTM, and the net profit margin has decreased from 23.34% to 3.89%. This decline in profitability suggests challenges in maintaining cost efficiency and pricing power.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62 in TTM. The equity ratio remains healthy, indicating a solid capital structure. However, the return on equity has decreased from 73.09% in 2022 to 7.59% in TTM, highlighting a significant reduction in profitability relative to shareholder equity. This suggests potential inefficiencies in utilizing equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, with a negative growth rate of -19.26% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.77, indicating a moderate level of cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.67 suggests that the company is generating sufficient cash to cover its net income, but the declining trend in free cash flow growth is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.89B3.20B3.52B3.91B2.93B1.77B
Gross Profit744.33M1.08B1.34B1.64B1.13B491.31M
EBITDA285.68M774.03M1.02B1.33B905.97M331.33M
Net Income112.36M472.87M689.90M913.43M587.86M152.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.92B3.02B2.94B2.60B2.21B1.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments331.02M351.38M388.11M388.75M576.29M284.47M
Total Debt910.60M951.20M884.43M832.30M800.41M843.66M
Total Liabilities1.45B1.48B1.47B1.35B1.35B1.18B
Stockholders Equity1.47B1.54B1.47B1.25B864.74M378.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow261.75M399.17M588.75M651.06M508.43M214.99M
Operating Cash Flow391.44M549.03M807.63M786.84M572.90M248.76M
Investing Cash Flow-112.96M-154.34M-302.15M-442.80M-97.96M-27.51M
Financing Cash Flow-253.84M-435.28M-506.78M-524.21M-184.46M-61.18M

Atkore International Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price59.18
Price Trends
50DMA
70.13
Negative
100DMA
66.53
Negative
200DMA
73.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.49
Positive
RSI
35.26
Neutral
STOCH
13.23
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATKR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 59.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.53, below the 50-day MA of 70.13, and below the 200-day MA of 73.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.23 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ATKR.

Atkore International Group Risk Analysis

Atkore International Group disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Atkore International Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Atkore International Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.26B18.7634.00%0.41%14.32%33.76%
77
Outperform
$14.78B26.147.53%0.87%-4.84%2.33%
74
Outperform
$847.07M20.099.66%0.45%7.95%4.48%
73
Outperform
$3.69B11.2519.13%0.96%3.73%32.29%
71
Outperform
¥268.19B15.088.32%2.78%6.19%11.06%
70
Neutral
$5.98B72.067.04%0.25%8.49%-7.65%
58
Neutral
$1.92B18.287.29%2.18%-12.09%-78.18%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATKR
Atkore International Group
59.18
-31.85
-34.99%
AEIS
Advanced Energy
162.52
61.97
61.63%
ENS
EnerSys
100.41
6.67
7.12%
POWL
Powell Industries
259.71
103.61
66.37%
PLPC
Preformed Line Products Company
176.30
61.44
53.49%
NVT
nVent Electric
90.61
26.82
42.04%

Atkore International Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Atkore Reports Q3 Sales Decline Amid Leadership Change
Negative
Aug 5, 2025

Atkore Inc. reported its fiscal 2025 third-quarter results, showing a 10.6% decline in net sales to $735 million compared to the previous year, primarily due to decreased selling prices and divestitures. Despite these challenges, Atkore maintained its full-year Adjusted EBITDA outlook and increased its adjusted net income per diluted share midpoint, while CEO Bill Waltz announced his retirement, emphasizing a seamless leadership transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATKR) stock is a Buy with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atkore International Group stock, see the ATKR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Atkore CEO William Waltz Announces Retirement Plans
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Atkore Inc. announced that its CEO and President, William E. Waltz, Jr., plans to retire, with the company initiating a search for his successor. Waltz, who has been with Atkore for 12 years and served as CEO for seven, expressed pride in the company’s achievements and commitment to its strategic goals. Under his leadership, Atkore expanded its product portfolio to meet growing demands in electrification and digitization, contributing to the company’s strong foundation. The Board of Directors acknowledged Waltz’s contributions and emphasized the company’s continued commitment to its mission and smooth leadership transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATKR) stock is a Buy with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atkore International Group stock, see the ATKR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025