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Atkore International Group (ATKR)
NYSE:ATKR

Atkore International Group (ATKR) AI Stock Analysis

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Atkore International Group

(NYSE:ATKR)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$77.00
▲(2.24%Upside)
Atkore's overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its financial stability, technical indicators, and valuation attractiveness. While financial performance is under pressure due to declining revenues and profitability, the company maintains strong cash flows and a solid balance sheet. Technical analysis suggests a slight upward momentum, and valuation metrics indicate potential undervaluation. The earnings call and recent corporate events present mixed outcomes with both strategic advances and significant challenges.

Atkore International Group (ATKR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Atkore International Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtkore Inc. manufactures and sells electrical, safety, and infrastructure products in the United States and internationally. The company offers electrical products, including conduits cables, and installation accessories. It also provides safety and infrastructure solutions, such as metal framing, mechanical pipe, perimeter security, and cable management. The company offers its products under the Allied Tube & Conduit, AFC Cable Systems, Kaf-Tech, Heritage Plastics, Unistrut, Power-Strut, Cope, US Tray, FRE Composites, Calbond, and Calpipe brands. It serves a group of end markets, including new construction; maintenance, repair, and remodel, as well as infrastructure; diversified industrials; alternative power generation; healthcare; data centers; and government through electrical, industrial, and mechanical contractors, as well as original equipment manufacturers. The company was formerly known as Atkore International Group Inc. and changed its name to Atkore Inc. in February 2021. Atkore Inc. was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Harvey, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtkore International Group makes money primarily through the manufacture and sale of electrical raceway and mechanical products. Its revenue model is anchored in providing essential components for electrical and mechanical systems used in construction and infrastructure projects. Key revenue streams include the sale of conduits, cables, metal framing, and cable management systems. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with distributors, contractors, and end-users who rely on Atkore's products for large-scale projects. Market demand for infrastructure development and commercial construction significantly contributes to its earnings, along with its operational efficiency and strong distribution network.

Atkore International Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 13.13%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance with strong financial outcomes in Q2 and strategic initiatives like share repurchases and labor agreements, but also highlights challenges such as pricing declines and market uncertainties. The impact of tariffs is seen as a positive, yet the impairment charge and market unpredictability present significant concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q2 Financial Performance
Net sales reached $702 million with 5% organic volume growth; Adjusted EBITDA was $116 million and adjusted EPS was $2.04, driven by construction services, steel conduit, metal framing, and cable management products.
Labor Agreement and Shareholder Returns
Ratified a new five-year labor agreement with United Steelworkers; repurchased $50 million in shares and increased the dividend to $0.33 per share.
Positive Impact of Tariffs
Anticipated benefit from 25% tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, leading to increased demand for U.S.-made products.
Improved EBITDA Margins
Sequential improvement in adjusted EBITDA margins to 16.6% from 15% in Q1 FY2025.
Negative Updates
Pricing Declines
Average selling prices declined 17% year-over-year, primarily affecting PVC conduit and steel conduit products.
Impairment Charge
A net loss of $50 million due to a $128 million non-cash impairment charge related to HDPE assets, triggered by competing technologies and delays in government stimulus.
Market Uncertainties
Concerns over tariffs, potential delays in construction projects, and unpredictable macroeconomic conditions affecting future performance.
Company Guidance
In Atkore's Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call, the company reported net sales of $702 million, marking a 5% organic volume growth. The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $116 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 16.6%, up from 15% in the previous quarter, and an adjusted EPS of $2.04. The company highlighted key developments, including a new five-year labor agreement with the United Steelworkers and a $50 million share repurchase. Despite a $128 million noncash impairment charge related to HDPE assets, Atkore maintained its full-year fiscal 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance, targeting a midpoint of $400 million, and expected full-year adjusted EPS to range between $5.75 and $6.85. The company noted the impact of tariffs, especially on steel and aluminum products, which carry a 25% tariff, and expressed optimism about the demand for U.S.-made steel conduit. Atkore also increased its quarterly dividend to $0.33 per share, underlining its commitment to shareholder returns.

Atkore International Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Atkore demonstrates stable financial health with strong cash flow generation and a balanced capital structure. However, declining revenue and profitability margins pose challenges, with EBIT and EBITDA margins under pressure. Despite these challenges, manageable leverage levels and solid cash flow metrics provide a foundation for recovery.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Atkore's financial performance shows a decline in revenue and profitability over the TTM period. The Gross Profit Margin stands at 28.65% and the Net Profit Margin at 6.48%, both of which have decreased compared to previous years. The company has experienced a revenue contraction of 7.12% from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also fallen to 9.64% and 11.91% respectively, indicating pressure on operating efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Atkore's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.67, indicating moderate leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) is 13.67%, showing a decent return on shareholder investments despite a decrease. The Equity Ratio of 49.33% suggests a solid capital structure, though a slight decline in equity strength is observed.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement shows resilience with a Free Cash Flow of $324 million. Despite a decline in Free Cash Flow Growth Rate, the company maintains a robust Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.41, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio has decreased to 1.68, suggesting reduced cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.97B3.20B3.52B3.91B2.93B1.77B
Gross Profit851.93M1.08B1.34B1.64B1.13B491.31M
EBITDA354.30M774.03M1.02B1.33B905.97M331.33M
Net Income192.81M472.87M689.90M913.43M587.86M152.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.86B3.02B2.94B2.60B2.21B1.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments330.38M351.38M388.11M388.75M576.29M284.47M
Total Debt940.88M951.20M884.43M832.30M800.41M843.66M
Total Liabilities1.45B1.48B1.47B1.35B1.35B1.18B
Stockholders Equity1.41B1.54B1.47B1.25B864.74M378.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow324.19M399.17M588.75M651.06M508.43M214.99M
Operating Cash Flow464.14M549.03M807.63M786.84M572.90M248.76M
Investing Cash Flow-123.39M-154.34M-302.15M-442.80M-97.96M-27.51M
Financing Cash Flow-376.97M-435.28M-506.78M-524.21M-184.46M-61.18M

Atkore International Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price75.31
Price Trends
50DMA
67.30
Positive
100DMA
64.78
Positive
200DMA
75.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.70
Negative
RSI
72.17
Negative
STOCH
87.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATKR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 75.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.92, above the 50-day MA of 67.30, and above the 200-day MA of 75.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.17 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ATKR.

Atkore International Group Risk Analysis

Atkore International Group disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Atkore International Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Atkore International Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NVNVT
82
Outperform
$12.09B20.977.63%1.09%-5.12%1.69%
78
Outperform
$2.64B15.3637.08%0.49%27.43%67.93%
78
Outperform
$825.42M21.209.19%0.48%-4.36%-24.20%
76
Outperform
$5.03B69.036.36%0.29%0.06%-28.32%
74
Outperform
$2.53B14.5012.73%1.75%-12.02%-67.69%
ENENS
73
Outperform
$3.47B10.0019.82%1.07%1.00%38.51%
68
Neutral
£2.93B10.198.40%3.47%2.87%-9.95%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATKR
Atkore International Group
75.31
-53.51
-41.54%
AEIS
Advanced Energy
137.55
31.47
29.67%
ENS
EnerSys
89.98
-9.54
-9.59%
POWL
Powell Industries
218.53
74.33
51.55%
PLPC
Preformed Line Products Company
167.08
46.73
38.83%
NVT
nVent Electric
73.44
-1.57
-2.09%

Atkore International Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Atkore Reports Q2 2025 Loss Amid Market Challenges
Negative
May 6, 2025

Atkore Inc. reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, revealing a significant decline in net sales and income compared to the previous year. The company faced a net loss of $50.1 million, attributed to decreased selling prices and asset impairment charges, but maintained its full-year financial outlook. Despite the challenging market conditions, Atkore achieved a 5% growth in organic volume and improved productivity, highlighting the resilience of its operations and the dedication of its workforce.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Atkore International Group Announces Impairment Charge in Q2 2025
Neutral
Apr 21, 2025

Atkore Inc. announced an impairment charge related to its high-density polyethylene (HDPE) pipe and conduit products, primarily due to emerging competing technologies and market conditions in the second quarter of 2025. Despite this, the company maintains its full-year fiscal 2025 outlook, with net sales expected between $2,850 million and $2,950 million, and has reached a new collective bargaining agreement at its Harvey, Illinois location.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025