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GrowGeneration (GRWG)
NASDAQ:GRWG
US Market

GrowGeneration (GRWG) AI Stock Analysis

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GRWG

GrowGeneration

(NASDAQ:GRWG)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-5.06% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (large negative margins, negative ROE, and slight TTM revenue contraction). Technicals are also soft with the stock trading below key moving averages, only partially offset by oversold signals. The latest earnings call points to meaningful restructuring progress (margin and adjusted EBITDA improvement), but ongoing GAAP losses and softer Q4 revenue guidance temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Proprietary Brands Growth
Growth in proprietary brands enhances margin sustainability and strengthens competitive advantage, driving long-term profitability.
Cost Reduction Initiatives
Significant cost reductions improve operational efficiency, supporting margin expansion and financial health over the long term.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with substantial cash reserves and no debt provides financial flexibility and stability for future growth.
Negative Factors
Year-Over-Year Revenue Decline
Declining year-over-year revenue highlights challenges in maintaining growth momentum, impacting long-term revenue prospects.
Fourth Quarter Revenue Expectations
Sequential revenue decline suggests potential demand issues or market saturation, affecting future growth trajectory.
GAAP Net Loss
Ongoing GAAP net losses indicate persistent profitability challenges, which could hinder long-term financial performance.

GrowGeneration (GRWG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GrowGeneration Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrowGeneration Corp., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates retail hydroponic and organic gardening stores in the United States. It engages in the marketing and distribution of nutrients, growing media, advanced indoor and greenhouse lighting, environmental control systems, vertical benching, and accessories for hydroponic gardening, as well as other indoor and outdoor growing products. The company serves commercial and urban cultivators growing specialty crops, including organics, greens, and plant-based medicines. As of March 01, 2022, it operated a chain of 63 stores, which includes 23 in California, 8 in Colorado, 7 in Michigan, 5 in Maine, 6 in Oklahoma, 4 in Oregon, 3 in Washington, 2 in Nevada, 1 in Arizona, 1 in Rhode Island, 1 in Florida, 1 in Massachusetts, and 1 in New Mexico, as well as growgeneration.com, an online superstore for cultivators. The company was formerly known as Easylife Corp. GrowGeneration Corp. was founded in 2008 and is based in Greenwood Village, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrowGeneration generates revenue primarily through the sale of hydroponic and gardening supplies in its retail stores and online platform. The company offers a diverse range of products, including equipment, nutrients, and growing mediums, targeting both commercial and residential customers. Additionally, GrowGeneration benefits from its relationships with leading manufacturers and suppliers in the industry, allowing it to provide exclusive products and competitive pricing. The company also engages in wholesale distribution, providing products to other retailers and growers, which serves as a significant revenue stream. Strategic partnerships with key players in the cannabis sector further enhance its market presence and profitability.

GrowGeneration Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Store Count
Store Count
Shows the total number of retail locations, indicating the company's physical footprint and potential for reaching more customers and increasing sales.
Chart InsightsGrowGeneration's store count has been declining since 2023, reflecting a strategic shift towards a more agile, fulfillment-centric model. The latest earnings call confirms plans to potentially close ten more stores, aligning with the company's focus on digital sales and proprietary brands. Despite the reduction in physical locations, GrowGeneration is enhancing profitability through improved gross margins and a strong liquidity position. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and tariff issues pose ongoing challenges, as evidenced by the withdrawal of full-year guidance and increased net losses.
Data provided by:The Fly

GrowGeneration Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
GrowGeneration has shown strong sequential revenue growth and an improvement in profitability metrics, driven by proprietary brand expansion and cost reduction initiatives. Despite a decline in year-over-year sales due to store closures, the company is strategically expanding into new markets and maintaining a strong financial position.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Revenue Growth
Net sales of $47.3 million, up 15.4% sequentially from the second quarter of 2025.
Improved Gross Margins and Return to Profitability
Gross margins expanded to 27.2%, and the company returned to positive adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 million, a $3.7 million improvement from the same quarter last year.
Proprietary Brands Growth
Proprietary brands grew to 31.6% of cultivation and gardening revenue, compared to 23.8% a year ago, with brands like Char Coir growing over 30% year-over-year.
Cost Reduction Initiatives
Store operating expenses reduced by 27.8% and total operating expenses by 31.5% year-over-year.
Strong Balance Sheet
Ended the quarter with $48.3 million in cash and no debt.
Strategic Market Expansion
Expanded B2B reach and entered new markets like independent garden centers and international territories such as Costa Rica and the European Union.
Negative Updates
Year-Over-Year Revenue Decline
Net sales were $47.3 million compared to $50 million in the third quarter of 2024, reflecting 19 fewer retail locations.
Fourth Quarter Revenue Expectations
Expected fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $40 million, indicating a sequential decline from Q3 2025.
GAAP Net Loss
GAAP net loss narrowed to $2.4 million or negative $0.04 per share, improved from a net loss of $11.4 million in the prior year period.
Company Guidance
During GrowGeneration's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a significant improvement in its financial performance, marking an inflection point in its restructuring efforts. The company achieved net sales of $47.3 million, a 15.4% sequential increase, and expanded its gross margins to 27.2%. It also returned to positive adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 million, a $3.7 million improvement from the same quarter last year. Proprietary brands represented 31.6% of cultivation and gardening revenue, up from 23.8% a year ago, with Char Coir and Drip Hydro showing strong growth. The company reduced store operating expenses by 27.8% and total operating expenses by 31.5% year-over-year, contributing to its first positive adjusted EBITDA quarter in several years. GrowGeneration closed five stores, bringing the total to 24 locations, and completed over $7 million in cultivation infrastructure projects. The MMI Storage Solutions segment reported $8.9 million in revenue, with anticipated steady growth in 2026. Looking ahead, the company expects fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $40 million, with plans to drive proprietary brand sales to 40% of cultivation and gardening revenue by 2026.

GrowGeneration Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GrowGeneration faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability issues. While the balance sheet shows moderate leverage, the negative return on equity and cash flow challenges highlight the need for strategic improvements. The company must focus on enhancing operational efficiency and stabilizing revenue to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
GrowGeneration's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced declining revenue over the past few years, with a negative revenue growth rate of -1.68% in the TTM. Profit margins are under pressure, with a negative net profit margin of -29.84% and EBIT margin of -30.10% in the TTM, indicating operational inefficiencies. Despite a relatively stable gross profit margin, the overall profitability is concerning.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.31 in the TTM, which is manageable. However, the return on equity is negative at -40.71%, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears relatively stable compared to its assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates some improvement in free cash flow growth, with a positive growth rate of 25.28% in the TTM. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.19, indicating some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue161.36M188.87M225.88M278.17M422.49M193.37M
Gross Profit40.28M43.72M61.26M70.26M118.24M51.05M
EBITDA-23.79M-29.85M-29.76M-149.48M27.87M11.03M
Net Income-39.97M-49.51M-46.50M-163.75M12.79M5.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets159.60M174.35M239.09M293.44M459.34M354.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments48.31M56.45M64.97M71.91M81.17M177.91M
Total Debt31.92M37.03M42.47M48.84M45.56M12.72M
Total Liabilities54.90M54.26M65.69M77.05M88.05M37.74M
Stockholders Equity104.70M120.09M173.40M216.40M371.29M317.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.71M-3.78M-5.28M-948.00K-13.58M-4.64M
Operating Cash Flow-6.17M-1.80M1.42M11.95M5.16M-213.00K
Investing Cash Flow6.25M5.73M-11.40M-11.57M-139.32M-45.83M
Financing Cash Flow-160.00K-6.21M-313.00K-1.69M-2.38M210.98M

GrowGeneration Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.58
Price Trends
50DMA
1.61
Negative
100DMA
1.64
Negative
200DMA
1.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
47.94
Neutral
STOCH
73.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRWG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.66, below the 50-day MA of 1.61, and above the 200-day MA of 1.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GRWG.

GrowGeneration Risk Analysis

GrowGeneration disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GrowGeneration reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GrowGeneration Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
$22.99M2.1520.64%-0.28%363.27%
51
Neutral
$36.73M-0.54-67.30%-8.35%-74.31%
48
Neutral
$42.14M-358.82-0.38%25.20%-5.07%-115.50%
45
Neutral
$94.55M-2.35-32.25%-19.68%23.40%
45
Neutral
$14.90M-0.12-58.14%-23.15%62.52%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GRWG
GrowGeneration
1.58
0.04
2.60%
TLF
Tandy Leather Factory
2.85
-0.37
-11.49%
PRTS
CarParts.com Inc
0.53
-0.79
-60.08%
NHTC
Natural Health Trends
3.66
-0.23
-5.91%
SBDS
Solo Brands
6.02
-35.98
-85.67%

GrowGeneration Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
GrowGeneration Announces New One-Year CFO Employment Agreement
Positive
Dec 30, 2025

On December 29, 2025, GrowGeneration Corp. entered into a new one-year employment agreement with its Chief Financial Officer, Gregory Sanders, effective January 1, 2026, replacing his prior contract and setting his annual base salary at $450,000. The agreement includes a performance-based annual cash bonus targeted at 50% of base salary, with a maximum of 100%, and grants 80,000 restricted stock units vesting in two equal tranches in June and December 2026; it also provides for six months of base salary, target bonus, and health benefit contributions if Sanders is terminated without cause before the end of the term, underscoring the company’s efforts to retain key financial leadership and align executive incentives with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GRWG) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GrowGeneration stock, see the GRWG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
GrowGeneration Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, GrowGeneration Corp. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a significant improvement in its financial performance. The company achieved a net sales increase of 15.4% sequentially to $47.3 million, surpassing guidance, and turned its adjusted EBITDA positive to $1.3 million. GrowGeneration also reported a reduction in net loss by $9.0 million year-over-year, driven by increased proprietary brand sales and cost-reduction initiatives. The company’s strategic focus on proprietary brands and operational efficiency has strengthened its profitability and market position, with expectations for continued growth and margin expansion in the coming years.

The most recent analyst rating on (GRWG) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GrowGeneration stock, see the GRWG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025