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Big 5 Sporting Goods Corp. (BGFV)
NASDAQ:BGFV
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Big 5 Sporting Goods (BGFV) AI Stock Analysis

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BGFV

Big 5 Sporting Goods

(NASDAQ:BGFV)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(11.11% Upside)
The overall stock score of 41 reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, increased losses, and high leverage. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are unfavorable with a negative P/E ratio. These factors collectively suggest a high-risk investment profile.

Big 5 Sporting Goods (BGFV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Big 5 Sporting Goods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBig 5 Sporting Goods Corporation operates as a sporting goods retailer in the western United States. The company's products include athletic shoes, apparel, and accessories. It also offers a selection of outdoor and athletic equipment for team sports, fitness, camping, hunting, fishing, tennis, golf, and winter and summer recreation, as well as home recreation. The company also provides private label items, such as shoes, apparel, camping equipment, fishing supplies, and snow sport equipment. It sells private label merchandise under its own trademarks comprising Golden Bear, Harsh, Pacifica, and Rugged Exposure. As of May 03, 2022, the company operated 431 stores. It also operates an e-commerce platform under the Big 5 Sporting Goods name. The company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in El Segundo, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBig 5 Sporting Goods generates revenue primarily through the sale of sporting goods, apparel, and footwear in its retail stores and online. The company operates a diverse revenue model that includes direct sales to consumers, seasonal promotions, and clearance sales to manage inventory effectively. Key revenue streams include merchandise sales across various sporting categories, with particular emphasis on popular sports like basketball, football, and outdoor activities. Additionally, Big 5 benefits from strategic partnerships with well-known brands, allowing them to offer exclusive merchandise and promotions that drive consumer interest and increase sales. The company also leverages seasonal demand, particularly during back-to-school and holiday shopping periods, to boost revenue. Their loyalty programs and customer engagement initiatives further enhance repeat business and contribute to sustained earnings.

Big 5 Sporting Goods Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted some strategic inventory management and expense control, but was overshadowed by significant declines in net sales, same-store sales, and increased net losses. Weather challenges and decreased merchandise margins also contributed to a negative outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Inventory Strategy
Inventory levels increased by 6.5% year-over-year, reflecting earlier receipts of seasonal merchandise, which helped mitigate near-term impact from increased tariff costs.
Expense Management
Selling and administrative expenses decreased by $0.6 million compared to the prior year, primarily due to reduced labor costs and lower credit card fees.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Sales and Same-Store Sales
Net sales for the first quarter were $175.6 million, down from $193.4 million in the prior year. Same-store sales decreased by 7.8% compared to the first quarter of fiscal 2024.
Weather-Related Sales Impact
Winter-related sales were down nearly 25%, especially impacting the southern tier of store footprint due to unfavorable seasonal weather.
Decreased Merchandise Margins
Merchandise margins decreased by 78 basis points due to product mix shifts and promotional efforts.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for the first quarter was $17.3 million compared to a net loss of $8.3 million in the first quarter last year, partly due to the absence of an income tax benefit.
Negative EBITDA
EBITDA was negative $12 million for the first quarter, worsening from negative EBITDA of $6.5 million in the first quarter last year.
Guidance for Continued Sales Decline
Guidance for the second quarter expects same-store sales to be down in the low to mid-single-digit range, with a net loss per basic share expected between $0.75 to $0.90.
Company Guidance
In the Big 5 Sporting Goods first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported net sales of $175.6 million, a decrease from $193.4 million in the previous year, with same-store sales declining by 7.8%. Merchandise margins fell by 78 basis points, and the company posted a net loss of $17.3 million or $0.78 per basic share, compared to a net loss of $8.3 million or $0.38 per basic share in the prior year. Inventory levels rose by 6.5% year-over-year, reflecting earlier receipt of seasonal merchandise. For the second quarter, the company anticipates same-store sales to decline in the low to mid-single-digit range, with a projected net loss per basic share between $0.75 and $0.90, amidst ongoing macroeconomic headwinds and calendar shifts impacting sales.

Big 5 Sporting Goods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Big 5 Sporting Goods is facing financial challenges with declining revenues, increased losses, and high leverage. The income statement shows significant losses, with a negative net profit margin of -12.1%. The balance sheet reveals high debt levels, and cash flows are negative, highlighting operational difficulties.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The income statement shows declining revenue and profitability. The TTM revenue decreased by approximately 4% compared to the previous year, and net losses have widened significantly. The gross profit margin stood at 29.1%, but a negative net profit margin of -12.1% indicates substantial losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.59, indicating significant leverage. Stockholders' equity has decreased, affecting the equity ratio, which is now at 21.8%. Return on equity is negative due to net losses. Overall, the balance sheet depicts moderate financial stability but with considerable leverage risks.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, reflecting cash usage rather than generation. The free cash flow has worsened by nearly 198% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios are both negative, indicating cash flow difficulties in supporting operations and investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue762.76M795.47M884.75M995.54M1.16B1.04B
Gross Profit221.87M234.50M285.84M341.21M435.83M349.17M
EBITDA-56.85M-36.44M8.18M49.99M136.02M76.27M
Net Income-92.57M-69.07M-7.08M26.13M102.39M55.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets617.19M609.37M644.68M708.79M753.95M699.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.86M5.42M9.20M25.57M97.42M64.65M
Total Debt348.88M299.14M277.25M295.47M290.99M296.12M
Total Liabilities482.30M433.75M400.27M440.01M486.64M467.36M
Stockholders Equity134.89M175.61M244.41M268.78M267.31M232.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-66.39M-22.32M7.52M-41.63M104.66M141.40M
Operating Cash Flow-58.52M-11.37M18.54M-28.44M115.53M148.74M
Investing Cash Flow-6.84M-10.85M-10.96M-13.18M-10.62M-5.36M
Financing Cash Flow65.28M18.44M-23.94M-30.23M-72.15M-86.95M

Big 5 Sporting Goods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.35
Price Trends
50DMA
1.42
Negative
100DMA
1.30
Positive
200DMA
1.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
30.62
Neutral
STOCH
42.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BGFV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.42, below the 50-day MA of 1.42, and above the 200-day MA of 1.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BGFV.

Big 5 Sporting Goods Risk Analysis

Big 5 Sporting Goods disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Big 5 Sporting Goods reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Big 5 Sporting Goods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
19.98B15.5434.98%2.13%2.70%4.58%
74
Outperform
866.83M33.5912.77%38.40%32.42%
72
Outperform
3.10B8.6917.87%1.07%-2.20%-17.95%
52
Neutral
116.83M-3.10-17.92%-2.92%-8.22%
48
Neutral
44.85M-0.80-85.56%-8.87%-125.02%
41
Neutral
$32.54M-51.44%3.55%-8.04%-263.28%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BGFV
Big 5 Sporting Goods
1.35
-0.67
-33.17%
DKS
Dick's Sporting Goods
222.80
13.28
6.34%
LQDT
Liquidity Services
27.75
4.41
18.89%
PRTS
CarParts.com Inc
0.76
-0.13
-14.61%
SPWH
Sportsman's Warehouse
3.04
-0.13
-4.10%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
46.58
-14.62
-23.89%

Big 5 Sporting Goods Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Big 5 Sporting Goods Announces Merger Agreement
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

On June 29, 2025, Big 5 Sporting Goods Corporation entered into a merger agreement with Worldwide Sports Group Holdings LLC and its subsidiaries, where Big 5 will become a wholly owned subsidiary of the parent company. The merger, valued at approximately $112.7 million, offers Big 5 stockholders $1.45 per share in cash, representing a 36% premium over the company’s 60-day volume-weighted average price. The transaction, unanimously approved by Big 5’s Board, is expected to close in the second half of 2025, subject to stockholder approval and other conditions. Upon completion, Big 5 will become a private company, leveraging the financial resources of Capitol Hill Group and the retail expertise of Worldwide Golf to enhance its growth and competitive position in the sporting goods sector.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Big 5 Sporting Goods Holds Annual Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

At the Annual Meeting, Big 5 Sporting Goods stockholders voted on several key proposals. They re-elected two Class B directors, Lily W. Chang and Van B. Honeycutt, to the Board of Directors until the 2028 annual meeting. Additionally, stockholders approved the executive compensation plan, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for fiscal year 2025, and amended the 2019 Equity Incentive Plan.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 18, 2025