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Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Class A (GRDN)
NYSE:GRDN
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Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Class A (GRDN) AI Stock Analysis

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GRDN

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Class A

(NYSE:GRDN)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(2.25% Upside)
Guardian Pharmacy Services' overall stock score reflects a mix of strong earnings performance and technical momentum, offset by significant financial risks and valuation concerns. The company's robust growth and strategic expansions are promising, but profitability and leverage issues, along with a high P/E ratio, present notable challenges.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 20% revenue growth reflects strong market demand and effective expansion strategies, ensuring sustained business development.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisitions in new regions enhance market presence and growth potential, reinforcing Guardian's competitive positioning.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation provides financial flexibility for future investments and operational stability, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage and lack of equity indicate financial risk, potentially affecting the company's ability to invest and grow sustainably.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges may hinder Guardian's ability to reinvest in growth and maintain competitive advantages.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory challenges introduce operational uncertainties, potentially impacting Guardian's strategic initiatives and market operations.

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Class A (GRDN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuardian Pharmacy Services, Inc., a pharmacy service company, provides a suite of technology-enabled services designed to help residents of long-term health care facilities (LTCFs) in the United States. Its individualized clinical, drug dispensing, and administration capabilities are used to serve the needs of residents in lower acuity LTCFs, such as assisted living facilities and behavioral health facilities and group homes. The company's Guardian Compass includes dashboards created using data from its data warehouse to help its local pharmacies plan, track, and optimize their business operations; and GuardianShield Programs for LTCFs. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGuardian Pharmacy Services generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source of income comes from the dispensing of prescription medications and over-the-counter products to long-term care facilities, where they have established contracts to serve as the preferred pharmacy provider. Additionally, the company earns fees from medication management services, which include consulting and compliance support for healthcare providers. Significant partnerships with healthcare organizations and payers enhance revenue stability, while the growing demand for specialized pharmacy services in the aging population drives further growth in earnings. By leveraging technology and optimizing pharmacy operations, Guardian Pharmacy also aims to reduce costs and increase efficiency, contributing positively to its revenue model.

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Guardian Pharmacy reported strong financial growth and increased guidance for the year, driven by successful acquisitions and organic growth. However, regulatory challenges and the dilutive impact of recent acquisitions present ongoing challenges. The positive financial performance and strategic expansions are tempered by these operational and external pressures.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Financial Performance
Guardian Pharmacy reported a revenue increase of 20% to $377 million, driven by both organic growth and acquisitions. Adjusted EBITDA grew 19% to $27 million, with margins holding steady at 7.2%.
Resident Growth
The company experienced a 13% growth in resident count, reaching nearly 204,000 residents, primarily due to new facility partnerships and expansions.
Acquisitions in Pacific Northwest
Guardian Pharmacy successfully acquired pharmacies in Oregon and Washington, expanding its footprint in the Pacific Northwest and enhancing its growth potential in the region.
Increased Guidance for 2025
The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $1.43 billion to $1.45 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $104 million to $106 million, reflecting solid growth expectations.
Strong Financial Position
Guardian Pharmacy ended the quarter with $36 million in cash, highlighting strong cash generation and no debt outstanding under its credit facility.
Negative Updates
Inflation Reduction Act Impact
The Inflation Reduction Act presents ongoing challenges for the industry, though Guardian is working on strategic actions to offset anticipated EBITDA headwinds.
Dilutive Impact of Recent Acquisitions
Recent acquisitions have been dilutive to overall margins, with the most recent ones still affecting EBITDA margins negatively.
Policy and Regulatory Challenges
Guardian Pharmacy is navigating complex policy and regulatory environments, including negotiations with PBMs under NDAs, which add uncertainty to future operations.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter earnings call for 2025, Guardian Pharmacy Services reported robust financial performance, exhibiting double-digit growth across key metrics. Revenue surged by 20% to $377 million, driven by a 13% increase in resident count and strategic acquisitions. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 19% to $27 million, maintaining a margin of 7.2%. The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) stood at $0.25. Given this strong performance, Guardian raised its full-year revenue guidance to between $1.43 billion and $1.45 billion, and adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $104 million and $106 million. The company continues to navigate the policy challenges posed by the Inflation Reduction Act while focusing on organic growth, strategic acquisitions, and operational efficiencies to sustain its market leadership in serving assisted living facilities. Guardian's acquisition pipeline remains robust, with recent expansions into Oregon and Washington contributing to its growth momentum.

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
40
Negative
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.39B1.23B1.05B908.91M792.07M735.96M
Gross Profit274.32M244.37M208.31M185.87M161.26M147.00M
EBITDA82.19M-43.43M58.81M68.15M46.49M49.07M
Net Income40.24M-87.29M23.90M35.42M16.31M19.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets390.04M320.81M271.17M256.11M235.85M217.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.49M4.66M752.00K607.00K15.01M6.45M
Total Debt34.08M37.33M69.15M62.98M55.04M58.84M
Total Liabilities194.54M170.83M211.31M180.18M182.53M150.80M
Stockholders Equity183.76M142.67M28.21M42.73M23.93M38.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow45.21M41.59M56.26M31.75M49.22M44.27M
Operating Cash Flow59.82M57.96M70.82M48.52M58.50M52.61M
Investing Cash Flow-25.17M-30.41M-13.44M-17.90M-13.15M-12.18M
Financing Cash Flow-53.05M-23.64M-57.23M-45.03M-36.79M-34.26M

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.34
Price Trends
50DMA
26.99
Positive
100DMA
25.37
Positive
200DMA
23.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Positive
RSI
57.16
Neutral
STOCH
44.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRDN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.94, above the 50-day MA of 26.99, and above the 200-day MA of 23.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GRDN.

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$71.49B46.29144.31%0.61%9.31%5.92%
72
Outperform
$109.07B27.510.36%17.23%66.17%
69
Neutral
$8.86B23.7811.39%3.51%29.65%
64
Neutral
$50.64B32.171.04%4.37%28.48%
56
Neutral
$1.80B44.5625.85%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
39
Underperform
$212.70M-184.47%-37.09%-2639.44%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GRDN
Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Class A
29.34
4.40
17.64%
COR
Cencora
368.53
118.91
47.64%
CAH
Cardinal Health
213.14
92.63
76.86%
HSIC
Henry Schein
75.25
-1.80
-2.34%
MCK
McKesson
883.71
257.98
41.23%
OMI
Owens & Minor
2.75
-10.72
-79.58%

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Guardian Pharmacy’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Nov 12, 2025

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Class A recently held its earnings call, showcasing a strong financial performance and increased guidance for the year. The sentiment during the call was largely positive, driven by successful acquisitions and organic growth. However, the company faces challenges from regulatory pressures and the dilutive impact of recent acquisitions, which temper the otherwise optimistic outlook.

Guardian Pharmacy Services Boosts Revenue, Raises Guidance
Nov 11, 2025

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. is a prominent player in the long-term care pharmacy services sector, providing medication and technology-enabled services to enhance care for residents in long-term care facilities across the United States. The company operates over 53 pharmacies nationwide, serving approximately 204,000 residents in 38 states.

Business Operations and Strategy
Guardian Pharmacy Locks Up Majority of Shares
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. announced that it has entered into lock-up agreements with holders of approximately 93% of its outstanding Class A and Class B common stock. These agreements restrict the sale or transfer of shares held by the company’s founders, executive officers, and employees until June 30, 2026, impacting 17,188,059 Class A shares and 12,759,054 Class A shares issuable upon conversion of Class B shares. This move aims to stabilize the company’s stock following its initial public offering on September 27, 2024, and maintain market confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GRDN) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Class A stock, see the GRDN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Guardian Pharmacy Highlights Strategic Initiatives in ALF Market
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. has released a presentation intended for investors and analysts, highlighting its strategic initiatives and market positioning. The company emphasizes its competitive advantages through a tech-enabled, service-led model, aiming for above-sector growth and profitability. The presentation outlines Guardian’s focus on the ALF market, which is characterized by a high demand for medication management due to the rising age and acuity of residents. The company’s strong financial performance, experienced management team, and significant market share position it as a leader in the highly fragmented ALF pharmacy market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GRDN) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Class A stock, see the GRDN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025