Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA (GOFPY)
OTHER OTC:GOFPY
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Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA
(OTC:GOFPY)
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Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▼(-16.12% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying profitability/cash quality but increased leverage and the 2025 revenue decline. Earnings-call updates were broadly positive (guidance delivery and the new 12-year lotteries concession) but tempered by higher costs and some demand/regulatory uncertainties. Technical signals remain bearish and weigh on the overall result, while valuation is supported by a reasonable P/E and very high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High Profitability
Sustained, very high gross/EBIT/net margins indicate durable pricing power and effective cost control in core gaming operations. These margins generate internal funding for marketing, digital and retail upgrades, provide a cushion against cyclicality, and support medium-term strategic investment.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
A meaningful increase in leverage reduces balance-sheet flexibility and amplifies downside risk. Higher D/E raises interest and refinancing risk, limits strategic optionality, and can magnify earnings volatility—particularly problematic if revenue or cash flow weaken over the next several years.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Profitability
Sustained, very high gross/EBIT/net margins indicate durable pricing power and effective cost control in core gaming operations. These margins generate internal funding for marketing, digital and retail upgrades, provide a cushion against cyclicality, and support medium-term strategic investment.
Read all positive factors
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA (GOFPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
N/A
Dividend Yield6.24%
Average Volume (3M)42.85K
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.5
Beta (1Y)0.51
Revenue Growth10.42%
EPS Growth12.94%
CountryUS
Employees1,315
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryGambling, Resorts & Casinos
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.20
Shares Outstanding1,608,575,300
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume42,854
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-3.90
Price to Book (P/B)15.96
Price to Sales (P/S)5.38
P/FCF Ratio9.83
Enterprise Value/Market Cap10.00T>
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.62
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit6.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda6.73
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
OPAP Holding SA engages in the operation of numerical lottery and sports betting games. It operates through the following segments: Lotteries, Sports Betting, Instant & Passives, VLTs, Telecommunication & eMoney Services and Others. The company wa...
How the Company Makes Money
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Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operational and strategic picture: full-year GGR grew 4.9% and underlying margins (34.7%) met guidance, the 12-year Hellenic Lotteries concession was secured with an imminent May 1 start, VLT and retail investments are driving visitation, and the Allwyn rebrand has been well received. Offsetting these positives were a recent decline in online sports betting (not fully quantified), elevated Q4 operating expenses driven by digital investments, some muted retail lottery comps versus a strong prior-year quarter, and lingering uncertainties around regulatory implementation and a major license beyond 2030. Overall, management emphasized momentum, transformational digital and retail initiatives, and confidence entering the Allwyn combination, while acknowledging near-term headwinds and some open items.Positive Updates
Full-Year GGR Growth in Line with Guidance
Group Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) grew 4.9% for the fiscal year 2025, in line with the company's provided outlook.
Negative Updates
Q4 Online Sports Betting Decline
Online sports betting declined in Q4 (attributed to customer-friendly sporting results) and has trended down for several quarters; management says Q1 shows business back on track but did not quantify the decline percentage.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Full-Year GGR Growth in Line with Guidance
Group Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) grew 4.9% for the fiscal year 2025, in line with the company's provided outlook.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The management reiterated its FY2025 guidance and outcomes: Group GGR grew 4.9% for the year, and management had guided operating metrics toward the mid-30s (~35%) range — excluding one-off items the reported margin for the year was 34.7%. They expect to begin operating the new 12‑year Hellenic Lotteries concession from the beginning of May (May 1) once parliamentary ratification and publication are complete, noted the legacy exclusive games rights currently expire in 2030, and described 2026 as “a year of great success” (no numeric 2026 revenue/profit guidance given). On brand transition, the consumer-facing rebrand launched January 19 and current Allwyn awareness is roughly 50%; management also flagged anticipated positive effects from forthcoming illegal-betting legislation and ongoing digital investments (one app/one wallet/retail digital upgrades) but offered no additional quantitative forecasts.Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
74
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.26B | 1.57B | 1.44B | 1.33B | 1.04B |
| Gross Profit | 699.00M | 962.93M | 852.35M | 1.11B | 605.84M |
| EBITDA | 786.94M | 835.32M | 744.50M | 875.98M | 543.66M |
| Net Income | 464.34M | 485.78M | 408.32M | 592.33M | 259.43M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 2.18B | 2.00B | 2.10B | 2.57B | 2.70B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 773.25M | 494.87M | 490.89M | 728.07M | 863.99M |
| Total Debt | 968.14M | 681.41M | 686.58M | 835.51M | 1.10B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.70B | 1.39B | 1.33B | 1.50B | 1.75B |
| Stockholders Equity | 423.06M | 579.41M | 740.65M | 1.04B | 910.86M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 686.91M | 672.09M | 497.92M | 637.00M | 469.17M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 697.69M | 704.85M | 527.59M | 659.80M | 493.38M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -237.55M | -18.49M | 92.63M | -53.23M | -39.10M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -191.70M | -683.60M | -857.32M | -742.49M | -100.80M |
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Technical Analysis
Negative
10.73
Price Trends
9.13
Negative
9.85
Negative
10.41
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.22
Negative
55.21
Neutral
99.77
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOFPY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.26, above the 50-day MA of 9.13, and above the 200-day MA of 10.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.77 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GOFPY.
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $5.16B | 55.90 | 27.50% | ― | 23.15% | ― | |
73 Outperform | $5.48B | 17.39 | 30.38% | 1.34% | 29.54% | 4389.69% | |
65 Neutral | ― | 14.54 | 99.08% | 6.24% | 10.42% | 12.94% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | $21.21B | 3,446.00 | 0.46% | ― | 18.51% | 37.25% | |
56 Neutral | $383.12M | ― | 16.40% | ― | 1.79% | ― | |
52 Neutral | $19.20B | -124.17 | -3.56% | ― | ― | ― |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GOFPY
Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA
8.80
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-5.02%
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.