Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA (GOFPY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $8.47B
• Dividend Yield: 7.81%
• Average Volume (3M): 595.00
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.43
• Revenue Growth: 11.93%
• EPS Growth: 23.34%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,949
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 64
• Industry: Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
• EPS (TTM): 0.18
• Shares Outstanding: 740,125,500
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,785
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 595
• PEG Ratio: 6.39
• Price to Book (P/B): 10.09
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 9.53
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: $13.00
• Price Target Upside: 12.95% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 80 Outperform
• Price Target: $13.00 ▲(12.95%Upside)

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA achieves a solid overall score driven primarily by strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, which highlight significant growth and future potential. The stock's technical indicators show stable momentum, and the valuation is attractive, underpinned by a high dividend yield. However, potential risks regarding future licensing negotiations slightly temper the outlook.

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Organization of Football Prognostics S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates and manages numerical lottery and sports betting games in Greece. The company operates through Lotteries, Betting (Land Based), Online Betting, Other Online Games, Instant & Passives, VLTs (video lottery terminals), Telecommunication & eMoney Services, and Other segments. It holds rights to conduct, manage, organize, and operate numerical lottery games, betting games, passive and instant lotteries, VLTs, and terrestrial and online horseracing mutual betting. The company's sports betting games category includes the fixed odds game comprising PAME STOIXIMA, and the mutual betting games, such as PROPO, PROPOGOAL, HORSE RACING STOIXIMA, POWERSPIN, and PAME STOIXIMA virtual sports; numerical lottery games comprise the fixed odds games, such as KINO, SUPER 3, and EXTRA 5, as well as the mutual games, including TZOKER, LOTTO, and PROTO; passive lotteries include LAIKO, ETHNIKO, and STATE; and instant lotteries comprise the SCRATCH Luck. In addition, it provides transaction services through electronic means; intangible talk time selling and bill payments services; and software services. The company also holds license for the instalment and operation of 25,000 VLTs under the brand name PLAY. It provides its products and services through a franchised retail network, and online betting and gaming platforms. The company also offers its products and services through sales and distribution networks, including agents, street vendors, and retailers. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 3,628 OPAP stores, 373 PLAY stores, 10,139 independent points of sale, and 1,924 street vendors that distribute SCRATCH tickets and passive lotteries. The company was founded in 1958 and is based in Athens, Greece.

How the Company Makes Money

GOFPY makes money primarily through its sports betting and gaming operations. Its revenue model is based on the collection of bets placed by customers, with the company taking a margin on these bets. The key revenue streams include retail sports betting through a network of retail outlets, online sports betting through its digital platform, and the sale of lottery tickets and instant win games. Significant partnerships with technology providers and payment processors enhance its service delivery and customer experience, contributing to its earnings. Additionally, GOFPY benefits from regulatory licenses that allow it to operate legally within Greece and potentially in other jurisdictions.

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

GOFPY demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and robust cash flow generation. The company maintains a moderate leverage position, requiring careful management to mitigate potential financial risks.

Income Statement

The company exhibits strong revenue growth with an increase of 9.4% from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margin remains robust at 61.3% for 2024, highlighting efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved to 30.9%, indicating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 43.8% and 53.2%, respectively, reflecting solid operational performance.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.18, showing moderate leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is at 83.8%, suggesting strong returns for shareholders. However, the equity ratio declined to 28.9%, indicating a higher reliance on debt, which may pose financial risk in volatile markets.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow grew by 34.9% from 2023 to 2024, showcasing robust cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.45, suggesting healthy cash conversion from profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.38 indicates strong cash flow relative to earnings, providing financial flexibility.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.60B	1.57B	1.44B	1.33B	1.04B	737.26M
Gross Profit	987.34M	962.93M	852.35M	1.11B	605.84M	421.16M
EBITDA	853.72M	835.32M	744.50M	875.98M	543.66M	356.00M
Net Income	495.88M	485.78M	408.32M	592.33M	259.43M	205.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.10B	2.00B	2.10B	2.57B	2.70B	2.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	654.38M	494.87M	490.89M	728.07M	863.99M	511.50M
Total Debt	680.44M	681.41M	686.58M	835.51M	1.10B	1.10B
Total Liabilities	1.37B	1.39B	1.33B	1.50B	1.75B	1.57B
Stockholders Equity	702.85M	579.41M	740.65M	1.04B	910.86M	739.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	737.73M	672.09M	497.92M	637.00M	469.17M	167.51M
Operating Cash Flow	775.78M	704.85M	527.59M	659.80M	493.38M	186.39M
Investing Cash Flow	-24.86M	-18.49M	92.63M	-53.23M	-39.10M	-78.51M
Financing Cash Flow	-659.09M	-683.60M	-857.32M	-742.49M	-100.80M	-234.82M

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 11.51
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOFPY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.29, above the 50-day MA of 11.15, and above the 200-day MA of 9.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GOFPY.

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GOFPY	80 Outperform	$8.47B	15.55	64.62%	7.81%	11.93%	23.34%
LNW	77 Outperform	$8.52B	26.11	46.19%	―	7.26%	54.83%
RSI	72 Outperform	$3.51B	192.25	11.87%	―	29.86%	―
BRSL	70 Outperform	$3.65B	12.51	1.33%	4.44%	-33.50%	35.81%
CDRO	65 Neutral	$381.56M	―		―	―	―
Sector *	63 Neutral	$16.82B	11.32	-7.02%	2.91%	1.72%	-24.85%
DKNG	61 Neutral	$38.06B	―	-46.78%	―	22.86%	30.40%