Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA (GOFPY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $6.79B
• Dividend Yield: 6.24%
• Average Volume (3M): 42.85K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 12.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.39
• Revenue Growth: 10.42%
• EPS Growth: 12.94%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,949
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
• EPS (TTM): 0.21
• Shares Outstanding: 740,125,500
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 0
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 42,854
• PEG Ratio: 0.60
• Price to Book (P/B): 9.88
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.64
• P/FCF Ratio: 8.51
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.84
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 3.49
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.67
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 6.71
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 80 Outperform
• Price Target: $12.50 ▲(16.50% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 12/11/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 12/11/25

GOFPY's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and valuation, with a reasonable P/E ratio and high dividend yield. Positive technical indicators and a confident earnings call further bolster the score, despite challenges in online betting and increased leverage.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth reflects strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.

Profitability Margins

High profit margins indicate efficient operations and strong pricing power, contributing to sustained profitability.

Strategic Growth Initiatives

Strategic initiatives aimed at growth can drive future revenue and market expansion, reinforcing competitive positioning.

Negative Factors

Increased Leverage

Higher leverage can increase financial risk, potentially impacting cash flow and limiting flexibility in adverse conditions.

Negative Free Cash Flow Growth

Negative free cash flow growth may hinder future investments and debt repayments, affecting long-term financial health.

Challenges in Online Betting

Challenges in online betting could limit growth in a key segment, impacting overall revenue potential and market competitiveness.

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Organization of Football Prognostics S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates and manages numerical lottery and sports betting games in Greece. The company operates through Lotteries, Betting (Land Based), Online Betting, Other Online Games, Instant & Passives, VLTs (video lottery terminals), Telecommunication & eMoney Services, and Other segments. It holds rights to conduct, manage, organize, and operate numerical lottery games, betting games, passive and instant lotteries, VLTs, and terrestrial and online horseracing mutual betting. The company's sports betting games category includes the fixed odds game comprising PAME STOIXIMA, and the mutual betting games, such as PROPO, PROPOGOAL, HORSE RACING STOIXIMA, POWERSPIN, and PAME STOIXIMA virtual sports; numerical lottery games comprise the fixed odds games, such as KINO, SUPER 3, and EXTRA 5, as well as the mutual games, including TZOKER, LOTTO, and PROTO; passive lotteries include LAIKO, ETHNIKO, and STATE; and instant lotteries comprise the SCRATCH Luck. In addition, it provides transaction services through electronic means; intangible talk time selling and bill payments services; and software services. The company also holds license for the instalment and operation of 25,000 VLTs under the brand name PLAY. It provides its products and services through a franchised retail network, and online betting and gaming platforms. The company also offers its products and services through sales and distribution networks, including agents, street vendors, and retailers. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 3,628 OPAP stores, 373 PLAY stores, 10,139 independent points of sale, and 1,924 street vendors that distribute SCRATCH tickets and passive lotteries. The company was founded in 1958 and is based in Athens, Greece.

How the Company Makes Money

GOFPY generates revenue primarily through its betting operations, which include both online and retail betting services. Revenue streams include commissions on bets placed by customers, subscription fees for premium statistical data and forecasting services, and advertising partnerships with sports-related brands. Additionally, the organization may benefit from strategic alliances with other betting platforms and sports agencies, which further enhance its market reach and profitability. The company's earnings are also bolstered by promotional events and sponsorships that attract more users to its betting services.

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability with efficient equity utilization. However, increased leverage and negative free cash flow growth present potential risks. Continued focus on managing costs and debt levels will be crucial to maintaining financial health.

Income Statement

The company shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.43%, indicating robust demand. Gross profit margins are healthy at 61.77% TTM, and net profit margins are impressive at 30.14% TTM. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to previous years, which could indicate rising costs or competitive pressures.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.29 TTM, reflecting higher leverage, which could pose a risk if interest rates rise. Return on equity is strong at 86.04% TTM, showcasing efficient use of equity. However, the equity ratio has decreased, indicating a higher reliance on debt financing.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow remains strong with a high coverage ratio of 0.92 TTM, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth has turned negative at -8.4% TTM, which could impact future investments or debt repayments. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains robust at 94.84% TTM.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.64B	1.57B	1.44B	1.33B	1.04B	737.26M
Gross Profit	1.01B	962.93M	852.35M	1.11B	605.84M	421.16M
EBITDA	854.02M	835.32M	744.50M	875.98M	543.66M	356.00M
Net Income	494.99M	485.78M	408.32M	592.33M	259.43M	205.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.17B	2.00B	2.10B	2.57B	2.70B	2.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	777.63M	494.87M	490.89M	728.07M	863.99M	511.50M
Total Debt	973.41M	681.41M	686.58M	835.51M	1.10B	1.10B
Total Liabilities	1.86B	1.39B	1.33B	1.50B	1.75B	1.57B
Stockholders Equity	300.65M	579.41M	740.65M	1.04B	910.86M	739.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	691.56M	672.09M	497.92M	637.00M	469.17M	167.51M
Operating Cash Flow	732.45M	704.85M	527.59M	659.80M	493.38M	186.39M
Investing Cash Flow	-30.52M	-18.49M	92.63M	-53.23M	-39.10M	-78.51M
Financing Cash Flow	-456.20M	-683.60M	-857.32M	-742.49M	-100.80M	-234.82M

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 10.73
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOFPY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.05, above the 50-day MA of 10.49, and below the 200-day MA of 10.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.27 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GOFPY.

Greek Organization of Football Prognostics SA Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GOFPY	80 Outperform	$6.79B	12.04	85.43%	6.24%	10.42%	12.94%
RSI	73 Outperform	$4.38B	67.54	29.49%	―	23.15%	―
SGHC	73 Outperform	$5.31B	24.32	32.35%	1.34%	29.54%	4389.69%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
DKNG	61 Neutral	$19.82B	-583.72	0.45%	―	18.51%	37.25%
CDRO	56 Neutral	$363.99M	69.11	23.16%	―	1.79%	―
FLUT	55 Neutral	£20.75B	-91.37	-2.00%	―	―	―