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Galapagos NV (GLPG)
:GLPG

Galapagos (GLPG) AI Stock Analysis

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Galapagos

(NASDAQ:GLPG)

49Neutral
Galapagos faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and negative cash flows. While strategic initiatives and partnerships offer future potential, current technical indicators and operational inefficiencies weigh heavily on the stock's performance.
Positive Factors
Business Development
A new team overseeing business development and GILD's commitment to good faith negotiations with SpinCo should help improve prospects.
Financial Stability
The company expects a cash runway extending to 2028, suggesting financial stability for ongoing projects.
Strategic Restructuring
The restructuring aims to reduce cash burn at legacy GLPG and increase the likelihood of business development by pursuing this within a new entity.
Negative Factors
Commercialization Challenges
GLPG had been trading at a negative enterprise value as lead pipeline assets are still several years from commercialization with unclear differentiation.
Future Dilution Risk
Future dilution risk and whether pivotal data from ‘5101 can serve as a financeable catalyst is questionable.
Strategic Uncertainty
The absence of updates on the proposed spinoff indicates uncertainty about the company's strategic direction.

Galapagos (GLPG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Galapagos Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGalapagos NV (GLPG) is a biotechnology company focused on the discovery and development of small molecule medicines with novel modes of action. Headquartered in Mechelen, Belgium, the company operates primarily in the pharmaceutical and healthcare sectors, with a strong emphasis on autoimmune, inflammatory, and other disease areas. Galapagos leverages its proprietary target discovery platform to identify and validate new drug targets, aiming to address unmet medical needs through innovative therapies.
How the Company Makes MoneyGalapagos generates revenue primarily through collaboration agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies, which often involve upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on potential future sales of licensed products. Key partnerships, such as those with Gilead Sciences, provide significant financial support and resources for the company's research and development activities. Additionally, Galapagos may earn revenue from government grants and research subsidies, as well as commercialization of its own products, should they receive market approval.

Galapagos Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Galapagos faces significant challenges in achieving sustainable profitability. Despite strong cash reserves and a stable equity position, the company struggles with declining revenues and persistent operating losses. The negative cash flows from operations further exacerbate its financial position, suggesting the need for strategic adjustments to improve operational efficiency and revenue growth.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Galapagos has experienced declining revenue and profit margins over recent years. The gross profit margin has turned negative in the latest year, and net income remains volatile. The revenue decreased in 2020 and 2021, followed by a slight recovery in 2022 before dropping again in 2023. Operating losses have widened, indicating challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Galapagos maintains a strong equity base with a high equity ratio, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, suggesting minimal reliance on debt financing. However, the return on equity is weak due to persistent losses, reflecting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
The cash flow from operations has been negative, and free cash flow remains under pressure with negative growth. Although there are substantial cash reserves, the company's inability to generate positive operating cash flow is a concern. The cash flow to net income ratios indicate inefficiencies in converting profits into cash.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
275.65M239.72M505.28M484.85M478.05M
Gross Profit
-94.67M203.74M493.20M483.22M-45.61M
EBIT
-188.34M-88.26M-267.52M-165.60M-178.63M
EBITDA
-152.94M51.04M-33.37M-100.93M-294.52M
Net Income Common Stockholders
74.08M211.70M-217.99M-125.42M-311.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.12B3.68B4.09B4.70B5.16B
Total Assets
4.14B4.36B4.73B5.19B5.72B
Total Debt
11.72M9.60M21.90M26.86M29.44M
Net Debt
-52.52M-157.21M-486.22M-2.21B-2.11B
Total Liabilities
1.24B1.56B2.21B2.55B3.05B
Stockholders Equity
2.90B2.80B2.53B2.64B2.67B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-336.75M-425.24M-537.49M-561.71M-518.65M
Operating Cash Flow
-320.03M-405.97M-500.54M-503.83M-427.34M
Investing Cash Flow
220.60M71.19M-1.25B541.24M757.29M
Financing Cash Flow
-4.92M-5.00M-1.49M-3.88M22.04M

Galapagos Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.34
Price Trends
50DMA
25.10
Negative
100DMA
25.77
Negative
200DMA
26.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
38.92
Neutral
STOCH
26.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLPG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.11, below the 50-day MA of 25.10, and below the 200-day MA of 26.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GLPG.

Galapagos Risk Analysis

Galapagos disclosed 79 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Galapagos reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Galapagos Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
56
Neutral
$1.48B2.1557.29%36.07%
54
Neutral
$1.43B-36.38%-40.11%-17.79%
49
Neutral
$1.54B20.257.21%
48
Neutral
$6.27B1.17-48.19%2.68%17.28%1.24%
47
Neutral
$1.41B-600.68%-98.62%-86.21%
46
Neutral
$1.53B-43.94%-83.18%-144.95%
41
Neutral
$1.68B-37.40%-100.00%-144.79%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLPG
Galapagos
24.34
-6.78
-21.79%
ARWR
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals
11.80
-13.59
-53.53%
AGIO
Agios Pharma
26.28
-3.66
-12.22%
DNLI
Denali Therapeutics
12.86
-5.56
-30.18%
BEAM
Beam Therapeutics
16.37
-10.69
-39.50%
KYMR
Kymera Therapeutics
23.95
-11.38
-32.21%

Galapagos Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 12, 2025 | % Change Since: -2.52% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant advancements in cell therapy and strategic initiatives, such as the separation into two entities and key partnerships. However, challenges in manufacturing setup, deprioritization of certain programs, and workforce reductions were noted. The overall sentiment balances between positive strategic steps and the challenges faced.
Highlights
Advancement of GLPG5101 CD19 CAR-T Program
Galapagos made significant progress in advancing their flagship GLPG5101 CD19 CAR-T clinical development program, receiving FDA's IND clearance to begin clinical studies in the U.S. The program showed promising results in the ATALANTA study, with high overall and complete response rates in refractory/relapsed lymphomas.
Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations
Galapagos executed key partnerships with companies like Lonza, Thermo Fisher, and Adaptimmune to support their cell therapy goals. These partnerships aim to enhance their decentralized manufacturing platform and expand therapeutic applications.
Separation into Two Entities
Galapagos announced plans to separate into two publicly-traded entities, Galapagos and SpinCo. SpinCo will focus on building a pipeline of innovative medicines through transformational transactions, while Galapagos will concentrate on accelerating global oncology leadership.
Financial Performance and Cash Position
Galapagos reported a net profit of €74 million for 2024, driven by fair value adjustments, currency exchange, and interest income. The company ended the year with approximately €3.3 billion in cash.
Lowlights
Deprioritization of GLPG5201
Galapagos decided to deprioritize activities related to GLPG5201, their second CD19 CAR-T candidate, to focus resources on the more promising GLPG5101 program.
Challenges in Manufacturing and Regulatory Delays
There were procedural and operational delays in starting the ATALANTA clinical trial in the U.S. The complexity of setting up a decentralized manufacturing network added to the challenges.
Strategic Restructuring and Workforce Reduction
As part of their strategic focus on cell therapy, Galapagos announced a restructuring that will reduce their workforce by 40% to align their resources and reduce cash burn.
Company Guidance
During the Galapagos Full Year 2024 Financial Results and Business Update Conference Call, the company provided comprehensive guidance on their strategic direction and financial outlook. Galapagos reported total revenues of €276 million for the year, with research and development expenses at €335 million, marking a 39% increase due to expansion in oncology CAR-T. The company ended the year with approximately €3.3 billion in cash and a cash burn of €293 million, excluding business development. Key strategic initiatives include advancing their flagship CD19 CAR-T program, GLPG5101, with plans to start pivotal studies in 2026 and aim for first approval by 2028. To streamline operations, Galapagos announced the separation into two publicly-traded entities: Galapagos, focusing on cell therapy in oncology, and SpinCo, targeting innovative medicines through partnerships. Galapagos will capitalize on a decentralized manufacturing platform, projecting a cash runway to 2028 with an annual burn rate between €175 million and €225 million. Meanwhile, SpinCo will be capitalized with approximately €2.45 billion to pursue high-quality biotech assets.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.