Greenfire Resources (GFR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $318.14M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 39.53K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 2.4
• Beta (1Y): 1.02
• Revenue Growth: 38.46%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 193
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.16
• Shares Outstanding: 70,230,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 24,168
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 39,533
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.88
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.75
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 1.97
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 2.23
• 1Y Price Target: $8.00
• Price Target Upside: 75.05% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 74 Outperform
• Price Target: $5.00 ▲(9.41% Upside)

Greenfire Resources demonstrates strong financial performance and attractive valuation, making it promising in the oil & gas sector. However, technical analysis shows mixed signals, suggesting potential caution in the short term. The lack of recent earnings call data does not impact the overall positive outlook.

Greenfire Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Greenfire Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, exploration, and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta. The company operates the Tier-1 oil sands assets located in Western Canada. It utilizes steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) extraction technology, a thermal oil recovery process to recover bitumen. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Greenfire Resources makes money through the exploration and extraction of oil and natural gas, which are then sold to markets around the world. The company generates revenue through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and other petroleum products. Key revenue streams include production contracts, joint ventures, and strategic partnerships with other energy companies. Greenfire Resources may also engage in hedging activities to manage price volatility and optimize its revenue. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to improve extraction methods and reduce operational costs, thereby enhancing its profitability.

Greenfire Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Greenfire Resources exhibits strong financial health with solid income statement performance, a robust balance sheet, and improving cash flows. The company efficiently manages its operations and capital structure, positioning itself well in the competitive oil & gas industry. Despite some fluctuations in revenue, the firm demonstrates promising long-term growth potential.

Income Statement

Greenfire Resources has demonstrated strong income statement performance with a significant improvement in net income from a loss in 2023 to $184 million in TTM 2025. The gross profit margin is robust at 38.2%, and there is a positive net profit margin of 23.2%. Revenue growth from 2023 to 2024 was impressive at 17%, although it slightly declined in TTM 2025. The EBIT and EBITDA margins show strong operational efficiency, indicating effective cost management.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Greenfire Resources is solid with a healthy equity ratio of 66% in TTM 2025, indicating strong capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.41, reflecting manageable leverage levels. Return on Equity (ROE) has improved significantly, suggesting effective use of equity capital to generate profits.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows a positive trajectory with a 37.9% increase in free cash flow in TTM 2025 compared to the previous period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.88, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. While free cash flow growth is positive, the company could further enhance its cash flow management to sustain long-term growth.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	790.95M	675.97M	948.78M	261.13M	0.00
Gross Profit	258.19M	279.47M	510.92M	139.09M	0.00
EBITDA	213.74M	60.92M	339.31M	71.66M	0.00
Net Income	121.41M	-135.67M	131.70M	661.44M	-360.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.26B	1.17B	1.17B	1.13B	0.00
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	67.42M	109.53M	35.36M	60.87M	0.00
Total Debt	338.24M	390.07M	255.37M	325.57M	0.00
Total Liabilities	436.04M	478.48M	336.49M	424.19M	60.00K
Stockholders Equity	821.43M	695.00M	837.77M	704.89M	-60.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	57.14M	53.12M	125.14M	27.39M	0.00
Operating Cash Flow	144.55M	86.55M	164.73M	31.98M	0.00
Investing Cash Flow	-94.41M	-12.10M	-63.75M	-336.53M	0.00
Financing Cash Flow	-95.43M	2.00K	-123.64M	365.61M	0.00

Greenfire Resources Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 4.57
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GFR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.46, above the 50-day MA of 4.52, and below the 200-day MA of 5.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GFR.

Greenfire Resources Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PNRG	75 Outperform	$279.25M	7.87	28.43%	―	69.21%	47.13%
GFR	74 Outperform	$318.14M	2.37	25.10%	―	38.46%	―
GPRK	64 Neutral	$340.70M	7.87	22.94%	9.20%	-14.94%	-25.19%
SJT	61 Neutral	$277.32M	259.83	39.61%	0.38%	-85.94%	-88.55%
WTI	54 Neutral	$255.44M	―	203.83%	2.35%	-11.53%	-342.58%
ANNA	45 Neutral	$327.27M	―	-73.54%	―	―	-280.78%
Sector *	45 Neutral	AU$1.32B	-8.62	-15.56%	7.70%	2.10%	-32.50%