Greenfire Resources (GFR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $316.04M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 40.06K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 2.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.79
• Revenue Growth: -11.62%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 193
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.50
• Shares Outstanding: 70,230,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 39,557
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 40,061
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.58
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.69
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 1.67
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.71
• 1Y Price Target: $5.69
• Price Target Upside: 12.45% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 70 Outperform
• Price Target: $5.50 ▲(8.70% Upside)

Greenfire Resources scores well due to its strong valuation, indicating potential undervaluation, and positive technical indicators suggesting short-term momentum. However, financial performance is mixed, with strong profitability but concerns over revenue and cash flow growth.

Greenfire Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Greenfire Resources (GFR) is a leading player in the renewable energy sector, specializing in the development and management of sustainable energy solutions. The company focuses on the exploration and production of geothermal energy, alongside innovations in carbon capture technologies. GFR's core products include geothermal energy plants and carbon offset programs aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions, catering to both commercial and governmental clients seeking to enhance their sustainability efforts.

How the Company Makes Money

Greenfire Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity produced from its geothermal energy plants, which are contracted to supply power to utility companies and large-scale industrial clients. Additionally, GFR earns income through carbon offset credits, which can be sold to organizations looking to meet regulatory requirements or enhance their sustainability profiles. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with governmental agencies and private-sector firms to access funding for renewable projects, thereby expanding its operational capacity and revenue potential. Furthermore, GFR might explore research grants and collaborations with research institutions focusing on renewable technologies as a supplementary revenue stream.

Greenfire Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Greenfire Resources demonstrates strong profitability margins and a stable balance sheet. However, negative revenue growth and declining free cash flow growth are potential risks that need addressing.

Income Statement

Greenfire Resources shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data reveals a strong net profit margin of 28.03% and a healthy EBIT margin of 26.45%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the revenue growth rate is negative at -9.40%, suggesting a decline in sales compared to the previous period. Despite this, the company maintains a robust EBITDA margin of 40.30%, highlighting operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Greenfire Resources reflects a stable financial position with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 24.61%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 68.98%, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets, which enhances financial stability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows some concerns, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -71.58% in the TTM period, indicating potential cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 1.42, suggesting good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 0.24, pointing to limited free cash flow relative to profitability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	722.02M	790.95M	652.26M	948.78M	261.13M	0.00
Gross Profit	299.46M	258.19M	142.89M	510.92M	139.09M	0.00
EBITDA	290.96M	213.74M	60.92M	218.30M	41.04M	0.00
Net Income	202.37M	121.41M	-135.67M	131.70M	661.44M	-360.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.29B	1.26B	1.17B	1.17B	1.13B	0.00
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	69.98M	67.42M	109.53M	35.36M	60.87M	0.00
Total Debt	323.45M	338.24M	390.07M	255.37M	325.57M	0.00
Total Liabilities	398.48M	436.04M	478.48M	336.49M	424.19M	60.00K
Stockholders Equity	886.99M	821.43M	695.00M	837.77M	704.89M	-60.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	22.41M	57.14M	53.12M	125.14M	27.39M	0.00
Operating Cash Flow	94.72M	144.55M	86.55M	164.73M	31.98M	0.00
Investing Cash Flow	-86.60M	-94.41M	-12.10M	-63.75M	-336.53M	0.00
Financing Cash Flow	-97.38M	-95.43M	2.00K	-123.64M	365.61M	0.00

Greenfire Resources Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5.06
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GFR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.75, above the 50-day MA of 4.85, and above the 200-day MA of 5.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GFR.

Greenfire Resources Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GFR	―	$316.04M	2.15	25.41%	―	-11.62%	―
GPRK	―	$421.25M	7.82	22.94%	7.16%	-25.23%	-56.59%
Sector *	―	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
PNRG	―	$216.78M	8.84	18.75%	―	22.97%	-19.37%
SJT	―	$263.34M	―	-6.27%	―	-99.72%	-101.28%
WTI	―	$305.58M	―	―	1.94%	-11.53%	-342.58%
ANNA	―	$288.40M	-10.03	-65.43%	―	―	-935.70%

Greenfire Resources Corporate Events

Greenfire Resources Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results

Greenfire Resources Ltd. is an oil sands producer based in Calgary, Alberta, focusing on developing long-life and low-decline thermal oil assets in the Athabasca region. The company is listed on both the New York Stock Exchange and the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol ‘GFR’.

Greenfire Resources Announces Key Management Appointments

Greenfire Resources has announced significant management changes with the appointment of Travis Belak as Vice President, Finance, along with new vice presidents for development, geosciences, and reservoir engineering. These appointments bring extensive experience in the oil and gas sector, particularly in steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) operations, potentially strengthening Greenfire’s operational capabilities and strategic positioning in the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GFR) stock is a Buy with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenfire Resources stock, see the GFR Stock Forecast page.

Greenfire Resources Reports Q2 2025 Production Decline Amid Operational Challenges

Greenfire Resources reported a decrease in bitumen production for Q2 2025, with an average of 15,748 bbls/d, down 10% from the previous quarter. The decline was mainly due to a steam generator failure at the Expansion Asset, while the Demo Asset saw a 16% production increase due to well optimization. Financially, the company achieved a net income of $48.7 million, with adjusted free cash flow of $23.0 million, despite lower oil sales and increased operating expenses.

The most recent analyst rating on (GFR) stock is a Buy with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenfire Resources stock, see the GFR Stock Forecast page.