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GeoPark (GPRK)
NYSE:GPRK
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GeoPark
(NYSE:GPRK)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(5.11% Upside)
GeoPark (GPRK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$340.70M
Dividend Yield8.83%
Average Volume (3M)498.00K
Price to Earnings (P/E)7.9
Beta (1Y)0.57
Revenue Growth-25.23%
EPS Growth-56.59%
CountryUS
Employees476
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength45
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.20
Shares Outstanding51,309,776
10 Day Avg. Volume610,149
30 Day Avg. Volume498,002
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.89
Price to Book (P/B)2.39
Price to Sales (P/S)0.74
P/FCF Ratio1.74
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.12
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.09
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.84
Enterprise Value/Ebitda1.76
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$7.00Price Target Upside5.11% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
GeoPark Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionGeoPark Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas reserves in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Ecuador. As of December 31, 2021, the company had working and/or economic interests in 42 hydrocarbons blocks. It had net proved reserves of 87.8 million barrels of oil equivalent. GeoPark Limited has a strategic partnership with ONGC Videsh to jointly acquire, invest in, and create value from upstream oil and gas projects across Latin America. The company was formerly known as GeoPark Holdings Limited and changed its name to GeoPark Limited in July 2013. GeoPark Limited was founded in 2002 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeoPark primarily generates revenue through the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, selling these hydrocarbons on the open market. The company's revenue model is largely driven by the sale of crude oil, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. Additionally, GeoPark benefits from the fluctuating prices of oil and gas, which can impact its revenue positively or negatively. Key revenue streams include the production of oil from its operated and non-operated fields and the potential for future growth through ongoing exploration and new project developments. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its resource base, which further contributes to its earnings. Furthermore, GeoPark's focus on cost management and operational efficiency plays a crucial role in maximizing profitability.
GeoPark Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
| % Change Since: 0.30%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong operational and financial performance with significant efficiency improvements and successful exploration results. However, the company faced challenges such as a production decline and a net loss due to a non-recurring impairment charge. Strategic focus on capital discipline and growth opportunities were highlighted.Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Production Despite Challenges
Consolidated average production for the quarter reached 27,380 barrels of oil equivalent per day, aligning with guidance despite market volatility, lower Brent prices, divestment of non-core assets, and temporary blockades.
Operational Efficiency Improvements
Average well costs were reduced by more than 30%, and pad-to-pad mobilization time decreased from 7 days to just 18 hours, demonstrating significant operational efficiencies.
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA was $71.5 million with a 60% margin, driven by cost discipline and a $4.9 million gain from the commodity hedging program.
Successful Exploration Wells
The Currucutu-1 and Toritos Sur-3 wells in Llanos 123 were drilled and completed, contributing new production and demonstrating additional upside.
Improved Financial Flexibility
Completed an open market repurchase of $54.5 million of 2030 notes below par, enhancing long-term financial flexibility and reducing future interest payments.
Dividend Declaration
A $7.5 million dividend was declared for the second quarter of 2025, reflecting strong performance.
Negative Updates
Production Decline
A 6% decline in production compared to the last quarter, attributed to the divestment of the Llanos 32 Block and 16 days of shut-in production in CPO-5 Block due to local blockades.
Net Loss Due to Impairment Charge
A net loss of $10.3 million was reported for the quarter due to a non-recurring impairment charge from divestments, although excluding this charge, net profit was $20.7 million.
Energy and Community Risks
Potential risks include increased total fluid production, energy costs, community claims leading to blockages, and upcoming labor cost regulations in Colombia.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, GeoPark Limited reported solid operational and financial performance despite facing market volatility and a lower Brent price environment. Average production for the quarter reached 27,380 barrels of oil equivalent per day, contributing to a year-to-date average of 28,223 barrels per day, aligning with their guidance. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $71.5 million with a 60% margin, supported by cost discipline and a $4.9 million gain from their commodity hedging program. Operating costs were maintained at $12.3 per barrel, and GeoPark invested approximately $24 million during the quarter. They ended with $266 million in cash and a net leverage ratio of 1.1x. GeoPark also repurchased $54.5 million of their 2030 notes, enhancing financial flexibility. For the full year, they forecast an organic production range of 26,000 to 28,000 barrels per day and adjusted EBITDA between $260 million to $290 million, assuming Brent prices of $65 to $70 per barrel. The company plans to execute a lean capital program of $90 million to $120 million, primarily aimed at short-cycle, high-return drilling.GeoPark Financial Statement Overview
Summary
GeoPark's financial performance shows mixed results. Strong operational efficiency and cash flow are offset by a decline in revenue and high leverage. While the company has good cash earnings quality and liquidity, the elevated debt levels pose a risk to financial stability.Income Statement
GeoPark's income statement reveals mixed performance. The Gross Profit Margin for the most recent year is approximately 75.2%, indicating strong cost management relative to revenue. However, there is a notable decrease in total revenue from $756.6 million in 2023 to $660.8 million in 2024, reflecting a revenue decline of about 12.7%. Net Profit Margin stands at 14.6%, suggesting moderate profitability given the industry's volatile environment. EBIT and EBITDA Margins are solid at 41.4% and 63.4% respectively, showing efficiency in operations despite revenue challenges.65
Positive
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet indicates some financial stability concerns. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is elevated at 2.53, highlighting significant leverage and potential risk if earnings do not improve. Return on Equity is relatively high at 47.4%, but this is driven by a low equity base, which implies financial risk. The Equity Ratio is 16.9%, indicating a reliance on debt financing with limited equity cushioning, which could pose challenges during downturns.55
Neutral
Cash Flow
GeoPark's cash flow statement shows healthy cash generation. Operating Cash Flow of $471 million is robust, with an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio of 4.89, suggesting strong cash earnings quality. Free Cash Flow has increased substantially by 174.5%, improving liquidity. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.9, indicating efficient cash conversion, which is a positive sign for financial flexibility.70
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 660.80M | 756.63M | 1.05B | 688.54M | 393.69M |
| Gross Profit | 496.80M | 403.37M | 593.10M | 386.78M | 150.55M |
| EBITDA | 409.07M | 381.26M | 548.67M | 281.48M | -2.43M |
| Net Income | 96.38M | 111.07M | 224.44M | 61.13M | -232.95M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 1.20B | 1.02B | 974.00M | 895.74M | 960.27M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 296.84M | 133.04M | 128.80M | 101.47M | 201.94M |
| Total Debt | 540.26M | 533.28M | 497.60M | 694.84M | 806.93M |
| Total Liabilities | 996.76M | 840.53M | 858.40M | 957.69M | 1.07B |
| Stockholders Equity | 203.29M | 176.02M | 115.60M | -61.95M | -109.19M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 279.70M | 101.90M | 298.69M | 87.52M | 93.40M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 471.00M | 300.94M | 467.50M | 216.78M | 168.70M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -226.85M | -198.59M | -153.70M | -126.56M | -347.63M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -99.20M | -98.72M | -286.55M | -190.44M | 271.14M |
GeoPark Technical Analysis
Neutral
6.66
Price Trends
6.90
Negative
6.81
Negative
7.77
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.06
Negative
48.74
Neutral
63.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPRK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.64, below the 50-day MA of 6.90, and below the 200-day MA of 7.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GPRK.
GeoPark Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | $270.74M | 7.65 | 28.43% | ― | 69.21% | 47.13% | |
72 Outperform | $392.01M | 10.22 | 7.60% | 6.76% | -2.71% | -54.82% | |
66 Neutral | $396.92M | 5.29 | 16.72% | 4.07% | 13.75% | 87.48% | |
66 Neutral | $318.84M | 2.17 | 25.41% | ― | -11.62% | ― | |
65 Neutral | $14.84B | 8.63 | 2.77% | 5.45% | 4.51% | -62.52% | |
65 Neutral | $340.70M | 7.87 | 22.94% | 8.83% | -25.23% | -56.59% | |
61 Neutral | $263.34M | 251.97 | -6.27% | 0.40% | -91.24% | -94.60% |
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
GPRK
GeoPark
6.66
-1.84
-21.65%
PNRG
Primeenergy
149.39
17.77
13.50%
SD
SandRidge Energy
10.81
-1.84
-14.55%
EGY
Vaalco Energy
3.70
-2.60
-41.27%
SJT
San Juan Basin Royalty
5.77
1.98
52.24%
GFR
Greenfire Resources
4.54
-2.37
-34.30%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.