GeoPark (GPRK)
NYSE:GPRK
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GeoPark
(NYSE:GPRK)
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Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(33.33% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/07/25
GeoPark's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment. While financial performance shows some challenges, particularly with high leverage and declining free cash flow growth, the company's strategic initiatives and operational efficiencies provide a positive outlook. The valuation is reasonable, but the dividend suspension could affect investor sentiment.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition in Vaca Muerta enhances GeoPark's long-term growth and diversification, strengthening its production capacity and resource base.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, especially in volatile market conditions, potentially impacting long-term stability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition in Vaca Muerta enhances GeoPark's long-term growth and diversification, strengthening its production capacity and resource base.
Read all positive factors
GeoPark (GPRK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$485.39M
Dividend Yield6.49%
Average Volume (3M)1.07M
Price to Earnings (P/E)7.7
Beta (1Y)0.65
Revenue Growth-26.63%
EPS Growth-66.89%
CountryUS
Employees476
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.60
Shares Outstanding51,309,776
10 Day Avg. Volume1,891,787
30 Day Avg. Volume1,070,906
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.89
Price to Book (P/B)2.39
Price to Sales (P/S)0.74
P/FCF Ratio1.74
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.94
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.43
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit5.19
Enterprise Value/Ebitda5.07
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$10.50Price Target Upside75.00% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.83
Revenue Forecast (FY)$486.09M
GeoPark Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
GeoPark Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas reserves in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Ecuador. As of December 31, 2021, the company had working and/or economic interests in 42 hydrocarbons block...
How the Company Makes Money
GeoPark generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company operates various oil and gas fields where it explores and develops hydrocarbon resources, selling the extracted products to domestic and international m...
GeoPark Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted GeoPark's strategic growth and operational efficiencies, particularly with the acquisition in Vaca Muerta and strong production figures. Financial metrics showed stability and growth, although the announcement of a dividend suspension presents a challenge. Overall, the sentiment is positive with significant achievements outweighing the lowlights.Positive Updates
Successful Acquisition in Vaca Muerta
GeoPark secured operational control of two high-quality blocks in Vaca Muerta, Neuquen, marking a significant step towards long-term growth and diversification.
Negative Updates
Dividend Suspension
Dividends will be suspended as investments in Argentina peak, with levels to be reviewed as the investment cycle progresses and returns to positive free cash flow.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Successful Acquisition in Vaca Muerta
GeoPark secured operational control of two high-quality blocks in Vaca Muerta, Neuquen, marking a significant step towards long-term growth and diversification.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the GeoPark Limited conference call on November 7, 2025, the company provided robust guidance for its long-term growth strategy. The company successfully acquired two high-quality blocks in Vaca Muerta, Neuquen, and aims to reach a consolidated production target of 42,000 to 46,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day by 2030. GeoPark is projecting an adjusted EBITDA of USD 520 million to USD 550 million and plans to maintain a net leverage ratio of 0.8 to 1.0. The company's operational performance in Q3 2025 included an average consolidated production of 28,136 barrels per day, with operating costs averaging $12.5 per barrel. GeoPark also announced a revised dividend program of approximately USD 6 million over the next four quarters, equivalent to $0.03 per share per quarter, with dividends to be suspended as investments in Argentina peak in 2026. GeoPark's financial stability is further supported by a cash position of USD 197 million and a hedging program that protects approximately 62% of expected 2026 production.GeoPark Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 388.59M | 660.84M | 756.63M | 1.05B | 688.54M | 393.69M |
| Gross Profit | 181.86M | 366.14M | 403.37M | 593.11M | 386.78M | 150.55M |
| EBITDA | 186.13M | 409.07M | 381.26M | 533.99M | 267.16M | -12.34M |
| Net Income | 20.86M | 96.38M | 111.07M | 224.44M | 61.13M | -232.95M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.01B | 1.20B | 1.02B | 973.98M | 895.74M | 960.27M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 197.01M | 296.84M | 133.04M | 128.84M | 101.47M | 201.94M |
| Total Debt | 596.87M | 540.26M | 533.28M | 529.69M | 694.84M | 806.93M |
| Total Liabilities | 798.48M | 996.76M | 840.53M | 858.39M | 957.69M | 1.07B |
| Stockholders Equity | 208.65M | 203.29M | 176.02M | 115.58M | -61.95M | -109.19M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 23.52M | 279.70M | 101.90M | 298.69M | 87.52M | 93.40M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 134.97M | 471.00M | 300.94M | 467.50M | 216.78M | 168.70M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -79.92M | -226.85M | -198.59M | -153.70M | -126.56M | -347.63M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 19.19M | -99.20M | -98.72M | -286.55M | -190.44M | 271.14M |
GeoPark Technical Analysis
Positive
6.00
Price Trends
8.45
Positive
8.02
Positive
7.28
Positive
Market Momentum
0.41
Negative
61.81
Neutral
65.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPRK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.95, below the 50-day MA of 8.45, and below the 200-day MA of 7.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GPRK.
GeoPark Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | $365.39M | 6.52 | 12.19% | ― | -6.03% | -54.59% | |
69 Neutral | $643.27M | -9.15 | -8.46% | 7.20% | -23.00% | -68.20% | |
68 Neutral | $485.39M | 7.68 | 16.86% | 6.49% | -26.63% | -66.89% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
63 Neutral | $808.85M | -12.94 | 16.30% | ― | -21.67% | 251.59% | |
48 Neutral | $464.58M | 12.87 | -23.43% | ― | ― | -985.28% |
* Energy Sector Average
GPRK
GeoPark
9.46
1.74
22.55%
PNRG
Primeenergy
223.48
-6.08
-2.65%
EGY
Vaalco Energy
6.17
2.57
71.20%
GFR
Greenfire Resources
6.45
1.68
35.22%
ANNA
AleAnna
6.97
-0.64
-8.41%
GeoPark Corporate Events
GeoPark’s Strategic Engagement with Parex Resources Ends Without Revised Offer
Dec 10, 2025
GeoPark Limited has announced that it engaged substantively with Parex Resources Inc. to negotiate a potential transaction, providing extensive information to support an improved offer above $9.00 per share. Despite GeoPark’s efforts, Parex ...
GeoPark Unveils 2026 Program to Boost Production and EBITDA
Dec 1, 2025
On December 1, 2025, GeoPark Limited announced its 2026 Work Program and medium-term guidelines, which aim to double EBITDA and increase production by over 60% through 2028. The company is focusing on maximizing core production and cash generation...
GeoPark Achieves 430% Reserve Replacement with Strategic Vaca Muerta Acquisitions
Nov 25, 2025
On November 24, 2025, GeoPark Limited announced a significant increase in its 2P reserves, achieving a 430% reserve replacement ratio, largely due to strategic acquisitions in Argentina’s Vaca Muerta region. This development has enhanced Geo...
GeoPark Limited Reports Decline in Q3 2025 Revenue and Profit
Nov 5, 2025
GeoPark Limited reported its financial results for the three-month and nine-month periods ending September 30, 2025, showing a decline in revenue compared to the same periods in 2024. The company experienced a decrease in operating profit and prof...
GeoPark Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Completes Vaca Muerta Acquisition
Nov 5, 2025
GeoPark Limited reported strong operational and financial results for the third quarter of 2025, driven by increased production, stable prices, and disciplined cost management. The company completed the acquisition of the Vaca Muerta operation on ...
GeoPark Rejects Parex Resources’ Acquisition Proposal
Oct 30, 2025
On October 29, 2025, GeoPark Limited’s Board of Directors unanimously rejected an unsolicited acquisition proposal from Parex Resources Inc., which offered an all-cash transaction of $9.00 per share. The Board concluded that the proposal und...
GeoPark Unveils Strategic Plan and Dividend Update at Investor Day
Oct 21, 2025
On October 21, 2025, GeoPark Limited announced its new long-term strategic plan and capital allocation framework at its Investor Day event. The plan includes a focus on disciplined growth, leveraging its operations in Colombia and recent acquisiti...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.