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GeoPark
(NYSE:GPRK)
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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▼(-5.00% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/05/26
The score is held back mainly by weakened cash-flow quality (near-breakeven/negative TTM free cash flow) and elevated leverage for a cyclical producer. Valuation is a clear positive (low P/E and dividend), while technical momentum remains bearish. The latest earnings call supports a moderately constructive view on operations and liquidity, but rising costs and higher CapEx ambitions add near-term risk.
Positive Factors
Vaca Muerta growth & execution
GeoPark's committed execution in Vaca Muerta — dedicated three‑year rig, completed fracs, environmental approvals and application to Argentina's investment incentive regime — materially de-risks unconventional expansion. This creates a durable production growth engine and geographic diversification over the next 2–3 years, improving reserve life and optionality for higher-return development investments.
Negative Factors
Elevated balance sheet leverage
Despite repair in equity, historically high leverage leaves GeoPark more exposed to commodity downturns and interest cost variability. Elevated debt metrics constrain strategic flexibility, increase refinancing and covenant risk during stress periods, and can amplify equity return volatility, limiting the company’s ability to fund large multi-year investments purely from cash flow without accessing markets.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Vaca Muerta growth & execution
GeoPark's committed execution in Vaca Muerta — dedicated three‑year rig, completed fracs, environmental approvals and application to Argentina's investment incentive regime — materially de-risks unconventional expansion. This creates a durable production growth engine and geographic diversification over the next 2–3 years, improving reserve life and optionality for higher-return development investments.
Read all positive factors
GeoPark (GPRK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$630.62M
Dividend Yield2.36%
Average Volume (3M)438.55K
Price to Earnings (P/E)9.1
Beta (1Y)0.59
Revenue Growth-23.34%
EPS Growth-29.24%
CountryUS
Employees382
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.07
Shares Outstanding64,678,770
10 Day Avg. Volume361,220
30 Day Avg. Volume438,547
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.16
Price to Book (P/B)1.55
Price to Sales (P/S)0.78
P/FCF Ratio-4.56
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)1.35
Revenue Forecast (FY)$594.33M
GeoPark Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
GeoPark Limited is an energy firm primarily engaged in the discovery, development, and extraction of petroleum and natural gas resources. Its operational footprint extends across multiple Latin American nations, specifically Chile, Colombia, Brazi...
How the Company Makes Money
GeoPark makes money primarily by producing hydrocarbons (mainly crude oil and associated natural gas) from its operated and non-operated fields and selling those volumes into domestic and export markets. Revenue is driven mainly by (1) sales volum...
GeoPark Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized operational consistency and strategic progress (stable production, sequential revenue growth of 12%, adjusted EBITDA margin of 51%, Argentina execution including fracked wells and a secured rig, and a strong balance sheet with $316M cash and 1.2x net leverage). These positives were balanced against near-term cost headwinds: lifting costs rose materially (from $14.7 to $17.8/bbl, ~21% increase), first-half OpEx averaged $16.2/bbl above guidance, notable hedging losses (~$41M), and currency/energy price pressures that push expected full-year lifting costs to $17–19/bbl. Management presented mitigation actions (efficiency, energy sourcing, hedging strategy) and growth options (potential CapEx up to $250M and RIGI application), indicating confidence in both protecting cash flow and pursuing value-accretive growth. Overall, highlights (resilient production, solid margins, Argentina progress, strong liquidity) outweigh the lowlights (cost inflation, hedging loss, modest net income), pointing to a cautiously positive outlook.Positive Updates
Stable Production
Average production of 37.3 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day in Q2 2026, performing within full-year guidance and broadly in line with Q1 2026.
Negative Updates
Rising Operating Costs and FX Pressure
Lifting cost increased from $14.7/bbl to $17.8/bbl quarter-to-quarter (approximately a 21% increase). First-half average lifting cost was $16.2/bbl, above prior guidance of $13–15/bbl. Management now expects full-year lifting costs in the $17–19/bbl range, driven by Colombian and Argentine currency appreciation and higher energy costs (FX impact estimated at $2.1–$2.5/bbl and energy cost impact ~+$1.5/bbl).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Stable Production
Average production of 37.3 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day in Q2 2026, performing within full-year guidance and broadly in line with Q1 2026.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated its production and financial guidance while adding a number of specific metrics: Q2 production averaged 37.3 kbbl/d (bbl/d equivalent) and management said results are within full‑year guidance; Argentina (Vaca Muerta) is targeted to reach ~5–6 kbbl/d exit production by year‑end 2026, with 2H‑2026 Vaca Muerta CapEx of about $40–50m (70–80% in Q3) and the full‑year CapEx program potentially accelerated from the prior $190–220m range up to ~$250m; lifting cost guidance was raised from the prior $13–15/bbl to an expected $17–19/bbl for the year (H1 average lifting cost $16.2/bbl; Q1 $14.7, Q2 $17.8), with FX and energy drivers (~$2.1–2.5/bbl FX impact and ~$1.5/bbl energy impact) and ~ $2.5m OpEx per 100‑peso/USD move sensitivity; hedging covers ~19 kbbl/d in 2026 (floors ~$65/ceiling ~$72–73) and ~19 kbbl/d of expected 2027 production already protected (recently quoted floors ~$75 with ceilings ~$85–86), cash was $316m, net leverage 1.2x EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA was $73.1m (51% margin) in Q2, ROACE ~19%, and the board approved a $0.023/share dividend.GeoPark Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 483.54M | 492.52M | 660.84M | 756.63M | 1.05B | 688.54M |
| Gross Profit | 229.14M | 234.27M | 366.14M | 403.37M | 593.11M | 386.78M |
| EBITDA | 232.13M | 219.92M | 409.07M | 372.74M | 533.99M | 267.16M |
| Net Income | 56.78M | 49.67M | 96.38M | 111.07M | 224.44M | 61.13M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.21B | 1.04B | 1.20B | 1.02B | 973.98M | 895.74M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 274.90M | 100.30M | 296.84M | 133.04M | 128.84M | 101.47M |
| Total Debt | 633.31M | 579.54M | 540.26M | 533.28M | 529.69M | 694.84M |
| Total Liabilities | 916.60M | 794.60M | 996.76M | 840.53M | 858.39M | 957.69M |
| Stockholders Equity | 292.50M | 245.80M | 203.29M | 176.02M | 115.58M | -61.95M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -3.53M | -83.65M | 279.70M | 101.90M | 298.69M | 87.52M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 94.22M | 14.71M | 471.00M | 300.94M | 467.50M | 216.78M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -170.82M | -155.50M | -226.85M | -198.59M | -153.70M | -126.56M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 43.58M | -36.12M | -99.20M | -98.72M | -286.55M | -190.44M |
GeoPark Technical Analysis
Negative
10.00
Price Trends
9.97
Negative
9.71
Negative
8.76
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.11
Positive
44.91
Neutral
39.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPRK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.73, above the 50-day MA of 9.97, and above the 200-day MA of 8.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GPRK.
GeoPark Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | $297.87M | 14.06 | 10.10% | ― | -26.15% | -56.98% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
63 Neutral | $795.21M | -14.57 | -4.14% | ― | -22.88% | -107.96% | |
61 Neutral | $188.09M | 19.42 | 16.91% | ― | 1533.93% | ― | |
57 Neutral | $555.70M | -3.89 | -31.67% | 4.50% | -36.31% | -346.60% | |
56 Neutral | $630.62M | 9.11 | 23.90% | 2.43% | -23.34% | -29.24% |
* Energy Sector Average
GPRK
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3.04
47.55%
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GeoPark Corporate Events
GeoPark Posts Strong Profit Rebound in First Half of 2026
Aug 5, 2026
GeoPark Limited reported significantly improved financial performance for the three- and six-month periods ended June 30, 2026, compared with the same periods in 2025. Revenue increased to $143.3 million in the second quarter and $271.7 million in...
GeoPark Posts Strong Q2 2026 Results While Ramping Up Vaca Muerta Investment
Aug 5, 2026
In the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, GeoPark delivered stable production of 27,271 boepd from Colombia and Argentina, higher realized prices and a 12% sequential revenue increase to $143.3 million. Adjusted EBITDA edged up to $73.1 million d...
GeoPark Posts Steady Q2 2026 Output and Accelerates Vaca Muerta Growth Amid Board Refresh
Jul 22, 2026
GeoPark reported a solid operational performance for the second quarter of 2026, with consolidated production steady at 27,271 boepd and strong contributions from core Colombian blocks such as Llanos 34, CPO-5 and Llanos 123, where secondary recov...
GeoPark Shareholders Approve Board Slate and Auditor at July 14 AGM
Jul 14, 2026
GeoPark Limited reported the voting outcomes of its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders held on July 14, 2026, in Hamilton, Bermuda. A quorum representing 61.57% of the company’s 64,895,753 outstanding shares entitled to vote was reached,...
GeoPark Confirms Independent Director Slate Ahead of July 2026 AGM
Jun 29, 2026
GeoPark Limited disclosed on June 29, 2026, that its Board of Directors has reviewed the slate of director nominees for election at the 2026 Annual General Meeting and confirmed that five candidates meet its Corporate Governance Guidelines and the...
GeoPark Sets July 14, 2026 Annual General Meeting and Board, Auditor Votes
Jun 8, 2026
GeoPark Limited has called its Annual General Meeting of shareholders for July 14, 2026, in Hamilton, Bermuda, with June 1, 2026, set as the record date for voting eligibility. Shareholders are being encouraged to vote electronically or request pa...
GeoPark Unveils 2025 Sustainability Report as Vaca Muerta Expansion Lifts Growth and Cuts Emissions
May 11, 2026
GeoPark has released its 2025 SPEED/Sustainability Report, detailing how in 2025 it safeguarded core Colombian operations while re-entering a growth phase by moving into the Vaca Muerta shale play in Neuquen, Argentina. The company exceeded its 20...
GeoPark Posts Strong Q1 2026 Results and Bolsters Balance Sheet with Strategic Investment
May 6, 2026
GeoPark reported strong first-quarter 2026 results on May 6, 2026, with consolidated production averaging 27,249 boepd and sales volumes up 8% versus the prior quarter, supported by higher Brent prices and improved realized pricing. Revenue rose 1...
GeoPark Q1 2026 Profit Jumps on Break-Up Fee Despite Hedging Hit
May 6, 2026
GeoPark reported unaudited interim results for the three months ended March 31, 2026, showing revenue of $128.4 million, down from $137.3 million a year earlier, but operating profit rose to $58.0 million and net profit increased to $20.2 million,...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.