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GeoPark (GPRK)
NYSE:GPRK
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GeoPark (GPRK) AI Stock Analysis

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GPRK

GeoPark

(NYSE:GPRK)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(0.93% Upside)
GeoPark's overall stock score reflects a balance of strengths and challenges. Strong cash flow and attractive valuation are key positives, but high leverage and recent production declines pose risks. The technical outlook is neutral, with potential for improvement if operational efficiencies continue.

GeoPark (GPRK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GeoPark Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeoPark Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas reserves in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Ecuador. As of December 31, 2021, the company had working and/or economic interests in 42 hydrocarbons blocks. It had net proved reserves of 87.8 million barrels of oil equivalent. GeoPark Limited has a strategic partnership with ONGC Videsh to jointly acquire, invest in, and create value from upstream oil and gas projects across Latin America. The company was formerly known as GeoPark Holdings Limited and changed its name to GeoPark Limited in July 2013. GeoPark Limited was founded in 2002 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeoPark primarily generates revenue through the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, selling these hydrocarbons on the open market. The company's revenue model is largely driven by the sale of crude oil, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. Additionally, GeoPark benefits from the fluctuating prices of oil and gas, which can impact its revenue positively or negatively. Key revenue streams include the production of oil from its operated and non-operated fields and the potential for future growth through ongoing exploration and new project developments. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its resource base, which further contributes to its earnings. Furthermore, GeoPark's focus on cost management and operational efficiency plays a crucial role in maximizing profitability.

GeoPark Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call revealed a resilient performance by GeoPark, with significant operational efficiencies and strategic decisions leading to solid financial results despite some challenges. The company is well-positioned for future growth with a focus on core assets and operational improvements. However, production decline and a reported net loss due to asset divestments were notable challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Operational and Financial Performance
GeoPark delivered solid operational and financial results despite market volatility, a lower Brent price environment, and divestment of non-core assets. Consolidated average production for the quarter was 27,380 barrels of oil equivalent per day, contributing to a year-to-date average of 28,223 barrels of oil equivalent per day, in line with guidance.
Operational Efficiency Improvements
The drilling team achieved significant efficiency improvements, reducing average well costs by more than 30% and reducing pad-to-pad mobilization time from 7 days to 18 hours.
Financial Flexibility and Cost Management
Adjusted EBITDA was $71.5 million with a 60% margin. Operating costs remained within 2025 guidance at $12.3 per barrel. The company ended the quarter with $266 million in cash and a net leverage ratio of 1.1x.
Successful Exploration Activities
In Llanos 123, two exploration wells, Currucutu-1 and Toritos Sur-3, were drilled and completed, contributing new production and demonstrating additional upside.
Dividend Distribution
The Board approved the payment of a $7.5 million dividend for the second quarter of 2025, reflecting the company's performance during the period.
Negative Updates
Production Decline
The company experienced a 6% decline in production compared to the last quarter due to the divestment of the non-operated Llanos 32 Block and 16 days of shut-in production in CPO-5 Block due to local blockades.
Net Loss Due to Non-Recurring Impairment Charge
The company reported a net loss for the quarter of $10.3 million due to a non-recurring impairment charge from divestments. Excluding this charge, net profit was $20.7 million.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, GeoPark Limited achieved solid operational and financial results despite facing market volatility and a lower Brent price environment. The company reported an average production of 27,380 barrels of oil equivalent per day for the quarter, contributing to a year-to-date average production of 28,223 barrels per day, aligning with guidance. This represented a 6% decline from the previous quarter due to a divestment of the non-operated Llanos 32 Block and temporary blockades that led to 16 days of shut-in production at the CPO-5 Block. The Llanos 34 Block delivered 17,605 barrels per day, surpassing expectations with enhanced field productivity and improved drilling efficiency, such as a 30% reduction in average well costs. Financially, GeoPark recorded an adjusted EBITDA of $71.5 million with a 60% margin and ended the quarter with $266 million in cash and a net leverage ratio of 1.1x. The company executed a $54.5 million open market repurchase of its 2030 notes, enhancing financial flexibility. For the full year, GeoPark forecasts an organic production range of 26,000 to 28,000 barrels per day and expects an adjusted EBITDA between $260 million and $290 million, supported by a focused capital program of $90 million to $120 million and successful cost-saving initiatives.

GeoPark Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GeoPark shows strong operational efficiencies and cash flow generation, with a Gross Profit Margin of 75.2% and a robust Operating Cash Flow. However, challenges include a 12.7% revenue decline and high leverage with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 2.53, indicating financial risk.
Income Statement
65
Positive
GeoPark's income statement reveals mixed performance. The Gross Profit Margin for the most recent year is approximately 75.2%, indicating strong cost management relative to revenue. However, there is a notable decrease in total revenue from $756.6 million in 2023 to $660.8 million in 2024, reflecting a revenue decline of about 12.7%. Net Profit Margin stands at 14.6%, suggesting moderate profitability given the industry's volatile environment. EBIT and EBITDA Margins are solid at 41.4% and 63.4% respectively, showing efficiency in operations despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates some financial stability concerns. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is elevated at 2.53, highlighting significant leverage and potential risk if earnings do not improve. Return on Equity is relatively high at 47.4%, but this is driven by a low equity base, which implies financial risk. The Equity Ratio is 16.9%, indicating a reliance on debt financing with limited equity cushioning, which could pose challenges during downturns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
GeoPark's cash flow statement shows healthy cash generation. Operating Cash Flow of $471 million is robust, with an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio of 4.89, suggesting strong cash earnings quality. Free Cash Flow has increased substantially by 174.5%, improving liquidity. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.9, indicating efficient cash conversion, which is a positive sign for financial flexibility.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue660.80M756.63M1.05B688.54M393.69M
Gross Profit496.80M403.37M593.10M386.78M150.55M
EBITDA409.07M381.26M548.67M281.48M-2.43M
Net Income96.38M111.07M224.44M61.13M-232.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.20B1.02B974.00M895.74M960.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments296.84M133.04M128.80M101.47M201.94M
Total Debt540.26M533.28M497.60M694.84M806.93M
Total Liabilities996.76M840.53M858.40M957.69M1.07B
Stockholders Equity203.29M176.02M115.60M-61.95M-109.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow279.70M101.90M298.69M87.52M93.40M
Operating Cash Flow471.00M300.94M467.50M216.78M168.70M
Investing Cash Flow-226.85M-198.59M-153.70M-126.56M-347.63M
Financing Cash Flow-99.20M-98.72M-286.55M-190.44M271.14M

GeoPark Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.44
Price Trends
50DMA
6.56
Negative
100DMA
6.59
Negative
200DMA
7.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
48.89
Neutral
STOCH
47.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPRK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.44, below the 50-day MA of 6.56, and below the 200-day MA of 7.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GPRK.

GeoPark Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$444.70M5.9216.72%3.73%13.75%87.48%
72
Outperform
$410.78M10.717.60%6.56%-2.71%-54.82%
72
Outperform
$375.73M2.5025.41%-11.62%
68
Neutral
$248.85M10.0718.75%22.97%-19.37%
66
Neutral
$15.26B7.303.22%5.27%4.16%-60.82%
63
Neutral
$337.11M7.7822.94%9.13%-25.23%-56.59%
61
Neutral
$269.40M251.97-6.27%0.40%-99.72%-101.28%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPRK
GeoPark
6.44
-0.94
-12.74%
PNRG
Primeenergy
153.85
23.70
18.21%
SD
SandRidge Energy
11.81
-0.22
-1.83%
EGY
Vaalco Energy
3.94
-1.36
-25.66%
SJT
San Juan Basin Royalty
5.78
2.52
77.30%
GFR
Greenfire Resources
5.25
-1.90
-26.57%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025