GeoPark (GPRK) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $425.87M
• Dividend Yield: 7.61%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.57M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 12.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.58
• Revenue Growth: -26.63%
• EPS Growth: -66.89%
• Country: US
• Employees: 476
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.31
• Shares Outstanding: 51,309,776
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,897,728
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,569,569
• PEG Ratio: -0.89
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.39
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.74
• P/FCF Ratio: 1.74
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.73
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.31
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 2.38
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 2.46
• 1Y Price Target: $9.17
• Price Target Upside: 52.83% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 68 Neutral
• Price Target: $9.00 ▲(50.00% Upside)

GeoPark's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment. While financial performance shows some challenges, particularly with high leverage and declining free cash flow growth, the company's strategic initiatives and operational efficiencies provide a positive outlook. The valuation is reasonable, but the dividend suspension could affect investor sentiment.

GeoPark Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

GeoPark Limited (GPRK) is a leading independent oil and gas company focused on the exploration, development, and production of hydrocarbons in Latin America. The company operates in various regions, including Colombia, Brazil, Chile, and Argentina, and is known for its commitment to sustainable practices and operational excellence. GeoPark's core products and services encompass the extraction and sale of crude oil and natural gas, as well as the provision of associated technical services in the energy sector.

How the Company Makes Money

GeoPark primarily generates revenue through the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, selling these hydrocarbons on the open market. The company's revenue model is largely driven by the sale of crude oil, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. Additionally, GeoPark benefits from the fluctuating prices of oil and gas, which can impact its revenue positively or negatively. Key revenue streams include the production of oil from its operated and non-operated fields and the potential for future growth through ongoing exploration and new project developments. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its resource base, which further contributes to its earnings. Furthermore, GeoPark's focus on cost management and operational efficiency plays a crucial role in maximizing profitability.

GeoPark Financial Statement Overview

Summary

GeoPark's financial statements reflect challenges in revenue growth and profitability, with high leverage posing potential risks. Operational efficiency remains strong, as evidenced by healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, but the decline in free cash flow growth and high debt levels could impact future financial flexibility.

Income Statement

GeoPark's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth by 11.16%, reflecting challenges in maintaining sales momentum. Gross profit margin stands at 55.16%, which is healthy but has decreased from the previous year. The net profit margin has also decreased to 7.70%, indicating reduced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 29.53% and 53.38%, respectively, suggesting efficient operational management despite revenue challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.20, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risk. Return on equity is moderate at 21.26%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing, which could impact financial stability in volatile market conditions.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 27.88%, which is concerning. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.60, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.42, suggesting that a significant portion of net income is converted into free cash flow, but the decline in growth is a potential risk.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	560.35M	660.80M	756.63M	1.05B	688.54M	393.69M
Gross Profit	309.08M	496.80M	403.37M	593.10M	386.78M	150.55M
EBITDA	299.12M	409.07M	381.26M	548.67M	281.48M	-2.43M
Net Income	43.14M	96.38M	111.07M	224.44M	61.13M	-232.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.07B	1.20B	1.02B	974.00M	895.74M	960.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	266.04M	296.84M	133.04M	128.80M	101.47M	201.94M
Total Debt	651.78M	540.26M	533.28M	497.60M	694.84M	806.93M
Total Liabilities	865.98M	996.76M	840.53M	858.40M	957.69M	1.07B
Stockholders Equity	203.42M	203.29M	176.02M	115.60M	-61.95M	-109.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	100.61M	279.70M	101.90M	298.69M	87.52M	93.40M
Operating Cash Flow	240.46M	471.00M	300.94M	467.50M	216.78M	168.70M
Investing Cash Flow	-85.62M	-226.85M	-198.59M	-153.70M	-126.56M	-347.63M
Financing Cash Flow	44.87M	-99.20M	-98.72M	-286.55M	-190.44M	271.14M

GeoPark Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 6.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPRK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.03, below the 50-day MA of 6.66, and below the 200-day MA of 6.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.71 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GPRK.

GeoPark Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EGY	72 Outperform	$397.22M	10.36	7.60%	6.38%	-2.71%	-54.82%
GPRK	68 Neutral	$425.87M	12.56	16.85%	7.61%	-26.63%	-66.89%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
GFR	64 Neutral	$313.93M	3.24	16.30%	―	-21.67%	251.51%
PNRG	62 Neutral	$219.86M	9.25	18.75%	―	22.97%	-19.37%
BRY	54 Neutral	$255.33M	―	-13.25%	3.63%	-15.69%	-207.52%
ANNA	45 Neutral	$262.66M	-9.14	-65.43%	―	―	-935.70%

GeoPark Corporate Events

GeoPark Limited Reports Decline in Q3 2025 Revenue and Profit

GeoPark Limited reported its financial results for the three-month and nine-month periods ending September 30, 2025, showing a decline in revenue compared to the same periods in 2024. The company experienced a decrease in operating profit and profit before income tax, attributed to higher financial expenses and a drop in revenue. Despite these challenges, GeoPark managed to maintain a positive profit for the period, reflecting its resilience in a competitive industry. The financial results highlight the company’s ongoing efforts to manage costs and optimize operations amid fluctuating market conditions.

GeoPark Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Completes Vaca Muerta Acquisition

GeoPark Limited reported strong operational and financial results for the third quarter of 2025, driven by increased production, stable prices, and disciplined cost management. The company completed the acquisition of the Vaca Muerta operation on October 16, 2025, and has begun workover activities to enhance productivity. GeoPark’s strategic plan aims to sustain a high-margin base in Colombia while scaling growth in Argentina, targeting significant production and EBITDA growth by 2030. The company also announced a revised dividend program and continued its debt reduction efforts, reflecting a robust capital structure and commitment to shareholder returns.

GeoPark Rejects Parex Resources’ Acquisition Proposal

On October 29, 2025, GeoPark Limited’s Board of Directors unanimously rejected an unsolicited acquisition proposal from Parex Resources Inc., which offered an all-cash transaction of $9.00 per share. The Board concluded that the proposal undervalued GeoPark, failing to account for its growth prospects, including a projected 46% increase in production and a 70% increase in adjusted EBITDA by 2028. GeoPark’s recent acquisition in the Vaca Muerta basin, which adds significant recoverable resources and extends its reserve life, underscores its strategic growth plan. The rejection highlights GeoPark’s commitment to executing its strategy and creating long-term value for shareholders.

GeoPark Unveils Strategic Plan and Dividend Update at Investor Day

On October 21, 2025, GeoPark Limited announced its new long-term strategic plan and capital allocation framework at its Investor Day event. The plan includes a focus on disciplined growth, leveraging its operations in Colombia and recent acquisition in Argentina’s Vaca Muerta formation. GeoPark aims to maintain balance sheet strength and generate cash flow surplus. The company also updated its dividend program, planning a total distribution of $6 million over the next year, with a suspension starting in the third quarter of 2026 to accommodate increased capital expenditures. Additionally, GeoPark completed a $100 million debt repurchase program to strengthen its financial position.

GeoPark Acquires Key Assets in Vaca Muerta

On September 25, 2025, GeoPark Limited announced its acquisition of a 100% operated working interest in the Loma Jarillosa Este and Puesto Silva Oeste blocks in the Vaca Muerta formation, Argentina, from Pluspetrol S.A. This strategic move marks GeoPark’s entry into the Vaca Muerta, a renowned unconventional oil and gas play, enhancing its production capacity and reserve base. The acquisition is expected to increase GeoPark’s production to approximately 30,000 boepd by the end of 2025 and contribute significantly to its EBITDA. The transaction is anticipated to close by the end of 2025, with GeoPark planning substantial investments to develop the acquired assets, aiming for a production plateau by 2028.