Geo Group Inc (GEO)
NYSE:GEO
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GEO Stock Chart & Stats
$18.60
$1.52(5.30%)
At close: 4:00 PM EST
$18.60
$1.52(5.30%)
Day’s Range― - ―
52-Week Range$12.51 - $27.90
Previous CloseN/A
Volume1.55M
Average Volume (3M)1.79M
Market Cap
$3.10B
Enterprise Value$4.68B
Total Cash (Recent Filing)$80.22M
Total Debt (Recent Filing)$1.66B
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.5
Beta1.64
Next Earnings
Aug 12, 2026EPS Estimate
0.28Next Dividend Ex-DateN/A
Dividend YieldN/A
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.99
Shares Outstanding133,618,290
10 Day Avg. Volume2,386,933
30 Day Avg. Volume1,791,780
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.01
Price to Book (P/B)1.50
Price to Sales (P/S)0.86
P/FCF Ratio-18.04
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.51
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.71
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.24
Enterprise Value/Ebitda7.55
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$29.00Price Target Upside55.91% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)1.19
Revenue Forecast (FY)$2.96B
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Large Contract BacklogA sizable $520M incremental annual revenue pipeline from multi-year government contracts provides durable revenue visibility and diversification across ICE, U.S. Marshals and state DOCs. Long-term contract structure reduces revenue volatility and underpins multi-quarter organic growth prospects.
Higher‑value ISAP Mix ShiftMaterial mix shift toward higher‑priced GPS monitoring and expanded case management raises recurring revenue per participant and improves service margins. Technology-driven supervision services are stickier and can sustainably boost ARPU and EBITDA as enrollment scales.
Active Capital Allocation & Liquidity ActionsManagement is returning capital and shoring liquidity while reducing leverage metrics. Share repurchases and revolver expansion signal confidence and provide flexibility to fund activations or acquisitions, supporting durable shareholder returns and strategic optionality.
Bears Say
Weak Cash ConversionOperating cash generation lags reported earnings, with FCF turned negative, reducing the company’s ability to self‑fund capex, repurchases and debt paydown. Persistently weak cash conversion constrains financial flexibility and increases reliance on external financing over coming quarters.
Elevated Absolute LeverageTotal debt near $1.66B and a debt‑to‑equity around 1.11 leave the capital structure relatively levered versus lower‑debt peers. High absolute leverage increases sensitivity to refinancing conditions and profit swings, limiting runway for strategic investments or large unforeseen costs.
Government Dependence & Utilization RiskRevenue and occupancy are tightly tied to government policy, ICE census and DHS funding timing. Policy shifts, funding delays, or census declines can persistently depress utilization and delay facility ramps, creating structural revenue and margin variability across quarters.
Geo Group News
GEO FAQ
What was Geo Group Inc’s price range in the past 12 months?
Geo Group Inc lowest stock price was $12.51 and its highest was $27.90 in the past 12 months.
What is Geo Group Inc’s market cap?
Geo Group Inc’s market cap is $3.10B.
When is Geo Group Inc’s upcoming earnings report date?
Geo Group Inc’s upcoming earnings report date is Aug 12, 2026 which is in 83 days.
How were Geo Group Inc’s earnings last quarter?
Geo Group Inc released its earnings results on May 06, 2026. The company reported $0.29 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $0.202 by $0.088.
Is Geo Group Inc overvalued?
According to Wall Street analysts Geo Group Inc’s price is currently Undervalued.
Does Geo Group Inc pay dividends?
Geo Group Inc pays a Quarterly dividend of $0.25 which represents an annual dividend yield of N/A. See more information on Geo Group Inc dividends here
What is Geo Group Inc’s EPS estimate?
Geo Group Inc’s EPS estimate is 0.28.
How many shares outstanding does Geo Group Inc have?
Geo Group Inc has 133,618,290 shares outstanding.
What happened to Geo Group Inc’s price movement after its last earnings report?
Geo Group Inc reported an EPS of $0.29 in its last earnings report, beating expectations of $0.202. Following the earnings report the stock price went up 20.915%.
Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Geo Group Inc?
Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in GEO
What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology
Geo Group Stock Smart Score
Neutral
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Analyst Consensus
Moderate Buy
Average Price Target:
$29.00 (55.91% Upside)
$29.00 (55.91% Upside)
Blogger Sentiment
Bearish
GEO Sentiment 70%
Sector Average ―
Sector Average ―
Hedge Fund Trend
Decreased
By 19.6K Shares
Last Quarter.
Last Quarter.
Crowd Wisdom
Very Negative
Last 7 Days >0.1%
Last 30 Days ▼ 6.5%
Last 30 Days ▼ 6.5%
News Sentiment
Very Bearish
Bullish news 0%
Bearish news 100%
Bearish news 100%
Technicals
SMA
Positive
20 days / 200 days
Momentum
-17.20%
12-Months-Change
Fundamentals
Return on Equity
18.50%
Trailing 12-Months
Asset Growth
4.95%
Trailing 12-Months
Company Description
Geo Group Inc
The GEO Group, Inc. engages in the ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities, reentry facilities, and processing centers in the United States, Australia, and South Africa. It operates through four segments: U.S. Secure Services, Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, Reentry Services, and International Services. The company provides counseling, education, and treatment for alcohol and drug abuse problems at various facilities; and compliance technologies for monitoring services, and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. It also offers secure facility management services, including security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services at secure services facilities; reentry services comprising supervision of individuals in community-based programs and reentry centers, and provision of temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; and supervision and reporting services that improves the participation of non-detained aliens in the immigration court system. In addition, the company provides secure transportation services; and rehabilitation services, such as evidence-based, including cognitive behavioral treatment and post-release services, as well as academic and vocational classes in life skills and treatment programs under the GEO Continuum of Care platform; and develops new facilities based on contract, as well as designs, constructs, and finances the facilities. The GEO Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.
GEO Company Deck
GEO Earnings Call
Q1 2026
0:00 / 0:00
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call conveyed strong operational and financial momentum: significant YoY growth in revenue (+17%), net income (+96%), and adjusted EBITDA (+32%), material new contract wins (~$520M incremental annual revenue potential), raised 2026 guidance, active share repurchases, and improved margins (lower G&A as % of revenue). Offsetting risks include a recent decline in ICE census (24K to 21K), payment timing delays from the DHS partial shutdown, higher operating expenses from facility activations, and uncertainty around timing/realization of potential facility sales and paused government warehouse plans. On balance, the positive growth drivers, backlog of contract wins, margin improvements, and increased guidance materially outweigh the near-term operational and timing risks.View all GEO earnings summariesGEO Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$29.00
▲(55.91% Upside)
Technical Analysis
Ownership Overview
4.51% Insiders
17.19% Mutual Funds
37.25% Other Institutional Investors
16.85% Public Companies and
Individual Investors