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GEO Stock Chart & Stats
$30.93
<$0.01(0.03%)
At close: 4:00 PM EDT
$30.93
<$0.01(0.03%)
Day’s Range― - ―
52-Week Range$12.51 - $32.62
Previous CloseN/A
Volume1.26M
Average Volume (3M)2.03M
Market Cap
$4.11B
Enterprise Value$5.48K
Total Cash (Recent Filing)$57.13M
Total Debt (Recent Filing)$1.61B
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.6
Beta1.45
Next Earnings
Nov 05, 2026EPS Estimate
0.34Next Dividend Ex-DateN/A
Dividend YieldN/A
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.14
Shares Outstanding131,619,580
10 Day Avg. Volume1,497,304
30 Day Avg. Volume2,028,631
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.01
Price to Book (P/B)1.50
Price to Sales (P/S)0.86
P/FCF Ratio-18.04
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$40.00Price Target Upside29.32% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)1.26
Revenue Forecast (FY)$2.99B
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Improved ProfitabilityTTM margins and returns have re‑scaled materially versus prior years, showing healthier operating economics and pricing power under existing contracts. Sustained mid‑teens EBIT margins and double‑digit ROE provide a durable earnings base to fund operations, reinvestment, and capital returns over the next several quarters.
Stronger Balance SheetLeverage has been cut meaningfully, giving GEO greater financial flexibility to bid on contracts, absorb activation costs, and pursue buybacks or selective asset sales. A low debt-to-equity ratio materially reduces refinancing and solvency risk compared with its historically high leverage.
Contract & Bed Growth PipelineConcrete contract wins and available idle capacity create visible, multi‑quarter organic revenue runway. ICE reactivations and idle company‑owned beds, once normalized, translate directly to recurring per‑diem revenue and higher utilization, supporting sustained revenue and EBITDA growth beyond near‑term cyclical noise.
Bears Say
Free Cash Flow VolatilityEarnings quality is weakened by inconsistent cash conversion: FCF has trailed net income and been volatile, limiting the company's ability to reliably fund capex, activations, or buybacks without drawing on liquidity or asset dispositions. This creates ongoing cash‑cycle risk over coming quarters.
Dependence On ICE Funding & PolicyA large share of future activations and potential asset sales hinge on government appropriations and procurement decisions. That dependence introduces structural timing and execution risk: policy changes or funding lapses can delay revenue realization and make forward cash flow projections uncertain for multiple quarters.
Cash & CapEx StrainA relatively small cash balance versus sizable net debt and elevated unreimbursed activation capex constrains near‑term flexibility. Until reimbursements, asset sales, or liquidity events occur, capital allocation choices (repurchases, acquisitions, unexpected costs) may be limited and increase refinancing or operational funding risk.
Geo Group News
GEO FAQ
What was Geo Group’s price range in the past 12 months?
Geo Group lowest stock price was $12.51 and its highest was $32.62 in the past 12 months.
What is Geo Group’s market cap?
Geo Group’s market cap is $4.11B.
When is Geo Group’s upcoming earnings report date?
Geo Group’s upcoming earnings report date is Nov 05, 2026 which is in 80 days.
How were Geo Group’s earnings last quarter?
Geo Group released its earnings results on Aug 06, 2026. The company reported $0.37 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $0.288 by $0.082.
Is Geo Group overvalued?
According to Wall Street analysts Geo Group’s price is currently Undervalued.
Does Geo Group pay dividends?
Geo Group pays a Quarterly dividend of $0.25 which represents an annual dividend yield of N/A. See more information on Geo Group dividends here
What is Geo Group’s EPS estimate?
Geo Group’s EPS estimate is 0.34.
How many shares outstanding does Geo Group have?
Geo Group has 131,619,580 shares outstanding.
What happened to Geo Group’s price movement after its last earnings report?
Geo Group reported an EPS of $0.37 in its last earnings report, beating expectations of $0.288. Following the earnings report the stock price went down -4.074%.
Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Geo Group?
Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in GEO
What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology
Geo Group Stock Smart Score
Outperform
1
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9
10
Analyst Consensus
Strong Buy
Average Price Target:
$40.00 (29.32% Upside)
$40.00 (29.32% Upside)
Blogger Sentiment
Bullish
GEO Sentiment 80%
Sector Average ―
Sector Average ―
Hedge Fund Trend
Decreased
By 135.8K Shares
Last Quarter.
Last Quarter.
Crowd Wisdom
Very Negative
Last 7 Days ▼ 1.5%
Last 30 Days ▼ 3.7%
Last 30 Days ▼ 3.7%
News Sentiment
Very Bullish
Bullish news 100%
Bearish news 0%
Bearish news 0%
Technicals
SMA
Positive
20 days / 200 days
Momentum
25.94%
12-Months-Change
Fundamentals
Return on Equity
―
Trailing 12-Months
Asset Growth
2.21%
Trailing 12-Months
Company Description
Geo Group
The GEO Group, Inc. is dedicated to the operation, leasing, and ownership of secure correctional centers, administrative processing hubs, and community reentry facilities situated in the United States, Australia, and South Africa. The company's operations are segmented into four main areas: U.S. Secure Services, Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, Reentry Services, and International Services. GEO Group provides a comprehensive suite of services. This includes offering counseling, educational programs, and treatment for alcohol and drug dependency within its various locations. It also leverages compliance technologies for monitoring services and implements empirically supported supervision and rehabilitation programs for individuals on parole, probation, or awaiting trial in a community setting. The firm's secure facility management services span security protocols, administrative tasks, rehabilitative initiatives, educational opportunities, and food provision. Its reentry services involve overseeing individuals in community-based programs and specialized centers, furnishing temporary housing, structured programming, employment assistance, and other essential support. Furthermore, GEO Group delivers monitoring and reporting solutions aimed at enhancing the participation of non-detained foreign nationals in the immigration court system. Additional services include secure transportation. Under its "GEO Continuum of Care" platform, the company offers extensive rehabilitation services, encompassing evidence-based cognitive behavioral therapy, post-release support, and academic and vocational training focused on life skills and therapeutic interventions. Beyond its operational roles, GEO Group also develops, designs, constructs, and finances new facilities, often under contract. Established in 1984, The GEO Group, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Boca Raton, Florida.
GEO Company Deck
GEO Earnings Call
Q2 2026
0:00 / 0:00
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call presented strong operational and financial momentum: solid top-line growth (+15% revenue), outsized net income and EPS gains (63% and 71%), improved adjusted EBITDA (+20%), raised full-year guidance, meaningful new ICE contracts that add significant bed capacity and future revenue, and active share repurchases. Key risks and challenges cited include timing delays for several managed contracts (Florida facilities), a temporary lapse in skip-tracing revenue due to funding disruptions, modest near-term ISAP headcount growth despite favorable device/case mix, higher operating expenses from activations, and uncertainty around potential asset sales to ICE. On balance, positive execution and upgraded guidance substantially outweigh the operational and timing risks described on the call.View all GEO earnings summariesGEO Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$40.00
▲(29.32% Upside)
Technical Analysis
Ownership Overview
4.57% Insiders
16.18% Mutual Funds
32.19% Other Institutional Investors
22.94% Public Companies and
Individual Investors