Geo Group Inc (GEO)
NYSE:GEO
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GEO Stock Chart & Stats
$18.60
$1.52(5.30%)
At close: 4:00 PM EST
$18.60
$1.52(5.30%)
Day’s Range― - ―
52-Week Range$12.51 - $28.50
Previous CloseN/A
Volume1.55M
Average Volume (3M)1.89M
Market Cap
$3.76B
Enterprise Value$4.61B
Total Cash (Recent Filing)$80.22M
Total Debt (Recent Filing)$1.66B
Price to Earnings (P/E)13.7
Beta1.56
Next Earnings
Aug 12, 2026EPS Estimate
0.29Next Dividend Ex-DateN/A
Dividend YieldN/A
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.99
Shares Outstanding133,618,290
10 Day Avg. Volume1,821,383
30 Day Avg. Volume1,889,965
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.01
Price to Book (P/B)1.50
Price to Sales (P/S)0.86
P/FCF Ratio-18.04
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.23
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.69
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.18
Enterprise Value/Ebitda7.43
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$29.00Price Target Upside55.91% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)1.18
Revenue Forecast (FY)$2.96B
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Material Multi-year Contract WinsSecuring up to ~$520M of incremental annual revenue from multi-year government contracts is a durable revenue base expansion. These awards increase revenue visibility, support facility utilization and EBITDA over multiple years, and reduce short-term renewal exposure to smaller contracts.
Shift To Higher-priced ISAP Monitoring MixA structural mix shift toward GPS and case-management services raises average revenue per participant and typically carries higher margins. This recurring, programmatic revenue enhances predictability and can sustainably lift top-line and margin profiles if tech-focused mix persists across contract renewals.
Improved Profitability And ReturnsTTM margins and ROE recovery reflect operating leverage from recent contract activations and cost control (lower G&A %). Sustained mid-teens EBITDA margins and improved returns give management more flexibility to invest in growth and service offerings, supporting durable earnings power.
Bears Say
Weak Cash Generation And Negative FCFOperating cash flow covering only ~40% of net income and a negative FCF position undermines financial flexibility. Persistent weak cash conversion constrains the ability to fund capex, pay down debt, or sustain buybacks, leaving the company vulnerable during funding or revenue slowdowns.
Meaningful Absolute LeverageElevated gross and net debt levels increase refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity and reduce strategic optionality. Even with leverage down from peak, the absolute debt stock limits nimbleness on M&A, facility investments, or extended startup periods for new contracts if cash generation stays weak.
Dependence On Government Funding & Payment Timing RiskRevenue and collections tied to DHS/ICE create structural timing and political risks. Payment delays and occupancy shifts driven by agency decisions can compress working capital and amplify liquidity strain, making operational stability contingent on external government funding and policy continuity.
Geo Group News
GEO FAQ
What was Geo Group Inc’s price range in the past 12 months?
Geo Group Inc lowest stock price was $12.51 and its highest was $28.50 in the past 12 months.
What is Geo Group Inc’s market cap?
Geo Group Inc’s market cap is $3.76B.
When is Geo Group Inc’s upcoming earnings report date?
Geo Group Inc’s upcoming earnings report date is Aug 12, 2026 which is in 61 days.
How were Geo Group Inc’s earnings last quarter?
Geo Group Inc released its earnings results on May 06, 2026. The company reported $0.29 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $0.205 by $0.085.
Is Geo Group Inc overvalued?
According to Wall Street analysts Geo Group Inc’s price is currently Undervalued.
Does Geo Group Inc pay dividends?
Geo Group Inc pays a Quarterly dividend of $0.25 which represents an annual dividend yield of N/A. See more information on Geo Group Inc dividends here
What is Geo Group Inc’s EPS estimate?
Geo Group Inc’s EPS estimate is 0.29.
How many shares outstanding does Geo Group Inc have?
Geo Group Inc has 133,618,290 shares outstanding.
What happened to Geo Group Inc’s price movement after its last earnings report?
Geo Group Inc reported an EPS of $0.29 in its last earnings report, beating expectations of $0.205. Following the earnings report the stock price went up 20.915%.
Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Geo Group Inc?
Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in GEO
What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology
Geo Group Stock Smart Score
Neutral
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Analyst Consensus
Moderate Buy
Average Price Target:
$29.00 (55.91% Upside)
$29.00 (55.91% Upside)
Blogger Sentiment
Bearish
GEO Sentiment 70%
Sector Average ―
Sector Average ―
Hedge Fund Trend
Decreased
By 135.8K Shares
Last Quarter.
Last Quarter.
Crowd Wisdom
Positive
Last 7 Days ▲ 3.3%
Last 30 Days ▼ 1.1%
Last 30 Days ▼ 1.1%
News Sentiment
Very Bearish
Bullish news 19%
Bearish news 100%
Bearish news 100%
Technicals
SMA
Positive
20 days / 200 days
Momentum
4.37%
12-Months-Change
Fundamentals
Return on Equity
18.50%
Trailing 12-Months
Asset Growth
4.95%
Trailing 12-Months
Company Description
Geo Group Inc
The GEO Group, Inc. is dedicated to the operation, leasing, and ownership of secure correctional centers, administrative processing hubs, and community reentry facilities situated in the United States, Australia, and South Africa. The company's operations are segmented into four main areas: U.S. Secure Services, Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, Reentry Services, and International Services. GEO Group provides a comprehensive suite of services. This includes offering counseling, educational programs, and treatment for alcohol and drug dependency within its various locations. It also leverages compliance technologies for monitoring services and implements empirically supported supervision and rehabilitation programs for individuals on parole, probation, or awaiting trial in a community setting. The firm's secure facility management services span security protocols, administrative tasks, rehabilitative initiatives, educational opportunities, and food provision. Its reentry services involve overseeing individuals in community-based programs and specialized centers, furnishing temporary housing, structured programming, employment assistance, and other essential support. Furthermore, GEO Group delivers monitoring and reporting solutions aimed at enhancing the participation of non-detained foreign nationals in the immigration court system. Additional services include secure transportation. Under its "GEO Continuum of Care" platform, the company offers extensive rehabilitation services, encompassing evidence-based cognitive behavioral therapy, post-release support, and academic and vocational training focused on life skills and therapeutic interventions. Beyond its operational roles, GEO Group also develops, designs, constructs, and finances new facilities, often under contract. Established in 1984, The GEO Group, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Boca Raton, Florida.
GEO Company Deck
GEO Earnings Call
Q1 2026
0:00 / 0:00
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call conveyed strong operational and financial momentum: significant YoY growth in revenue (+17%), net income (+96%), and adjusted EBITDA (+32%), material new contract wins (~$520M incremental annual revenue potential), raised 2026 guidance, active share repurchases, and improved margins (lower G&A as % of revenue). Offsetting risks include a recent decline in ICE census (24K to 21K), payment timing delays from the DHS partial shutdown, higher operating expenses from facility activations, and uncertainty around timing/realization of potential facility sales and paused government warehouse plans. On balance, the positive growth drivers, backlog of contract wins, margin improvements, and increased guidance materially outweigh the near-term operational and timing risks.View all GEO earnings summariesGEO Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$29.00
▲(55.91% Upside)
Technical Analysis
Ownership Overview
4.51% Insiders
16.24% Mutual Funds
37.25% Other Institutional Investors
17.90% Public Companies and
Individual Investors