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Vistry Group
(LSE:VTY)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
244.00 p
▼(-33.62% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/09/26
The score is primarily driven by weakening profitability and a clearly bearish technical setup (price below all major moving averages and negative MACD). These are partly offset by a strong, conservatively levered balance sheet and a low P/E valuation.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
A low debt-to-equity (~0.18) provides durable financial flexibility across housing cycles. It reduces refinancing and interest-rate pressure, supports land acquisition and partnership bids, and gives capacity to fund development or defend returns during downturns without requiring rapid capital raises.
Negative Factors
Compressed margins
Significantly lower gross and net margins reduce the firm's ability to absorb build-cost inflation and protect profitability through cycles. Lower margins compress returns on capital, limit reinvestment for growth, and heighten sensitivity to pricing weakness or cost overruns on longer-term projects.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
A low debt-to-equity (~0.18) provides durable financial flexibility across housing cycles. It reduces refinancing and interest-rate pressure, supports land acquisition and partnership bids, and gives capacity to fund development or defend returns during downturns without requiring rapid capital raises.
Read all positive factors
Vistry Group (VTY) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£801.34M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.01M
Price to Earnings (P/E)6.1
Beta (1Y)2.45
Revenue Growth-4.38%
EPS Growth100.09%
CountryUK
Employees4,407
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryResidential Construction
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.42
Shares Outstanding317,786,900
10 Day Avg. Volume633,673
30 Day Avg. Volume1,011,210
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.17
Price to Book (P/B)0.63
Price to Sales (P/S)0.58
P/FCF Ratio14.32
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
£269.88Price Target Upside-26.58% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)0.42
Revenue Forecast (FY)£4.16B
Vistry Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Vistry Group PLC, along with its subsidiaries, functions as a leading residential developer across the United Kingdom. The company's portfolio includes a diverse selection of family residences, from single-bedroom properties to spacious five-bedro...
How the Company Makes Money
Vistry Group makes money primarily by developing residential sites and monetizing the completed homes through two main routes: (1) open-market private sales and (2) partnership/contracted delivery arrangements. In its housebuilding activities, the...
Vistry Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 3.61B | 3.78B | 3.56B | 2.77B | 2.41B |
| Gross Profit | 358.00M | 291.70M | 545.40M | 413.70M | 445.02M |
| EBITDA | 203.90M | 213.90M | 415.30M | 248.50M | 341.00M |
| Net Income | 138.00M | 74.50M | 223.40M | 204.30M | 254.13M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 6.38B | 6.04B | 6.09B | 6.02B | 3.84B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 353.70M | 320.30M | 418.30M | 676.80M | 398.71M |
| Total Debt | 596.00M | 597.40M | 605.40M | 645.20M | 197.31M |
| Total Liabilities | 3.05B | 2.81B | 2.77B | 2.77B | 1.45B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.32B | 3.24B | 3.32B | 3.25B | 2.39B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 146.40M | 132.10M | -74.90M | 102.30M | 312.79M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 157.40M | 139.00M | -72.10M | 103.90M | 315.85M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -46.20M | 23.10M | 52.50M | -30.30M | -4.12M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -80.80M | -260.10M | -238.90M | 204.50M | -254.00M |
Vistry Group Technical Analysis
Neutral
367.60
Price Trends
266.99
Negative
344.41
Negative
497.90
Negative
Market Momentum
-4.29
Negative
50.29
Neutral
67.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:VTY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 367.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 253.05, above the 50-day MA of 266.99, and below the 200-day MA of 497.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:VTY.
Vistry Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | £3.09B | 10.02 | 10.20% | 6.38% | -4.15% | -10.17% | |
67 Neutral | £3.99B | 17.98 | 2.73% | 4.73% | 28.95% | 43.50% | |
63 Neutral | £2.80B | 28.33 | 2.40% | 8.95% | 13.04% | -54.27% | |
62 Neutral | £2.15B | 14.25 | 4.43% | 2.62% | 13.29% | 7.12% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | £801.34M | 6.05 | 4.20% | ― | -4.38% | 100.09% | |
58 Neutral | £3.43B | 11.83 | 8.05% | 4.54% | 17.20% | 6.80% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GB:VTY
Vistry Group
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Vistry Group Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Vistry Group CFO Tim Lawlor to Step Down After HY Results
Neutral
Jul 8, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has announced that Chief Financial Officer Tim Lawlor will step down and leave the company to take a CFO role in a large privately owned business in another sector. Lawlor will remain in post until October, staying through the pub...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Vistry embraces transition year as cash-focused overhaul hits first-half profit
Neutral
Jul 8, 2026
Vistry Group has designated 2026 as a transition year as new chief executive Adam Daniels refocuses the business on lower leverage and healthier profitability, even at the cost of short-term earnings. The company has taken aggressive cash-generati...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry updates share capital and voting rights structure
Neutral
Jun 30, 2026
Vistry Group PLC reported that as of 30 June 2026 its issued share capital comprised 318,405,003 ordinary shares of 50 pence each, of which 618,105 are held in treasury. This leaves 317,786,898 voting shares in circulation, a figure shareholders m...
Other
Vistry Executives Add Shares Through Ongoing Incentive Plan Purchases
Neutral
Jun 16, 2026
Vistry Group has disclosed routine share purchases under its Share Incentive Plan involving Executive Chair Daniel King and Sally Seabrook, a person closely associated with Chief Commercial Officer Michael Stirrop. The plan acquires ordinary share...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights After Buyback
Neutral
May 29, 2026
Vistry Group PLC reported that its issued share capital now comprises 318,405,003 ordinary 50p shares, following the cancellation of 207,511 shares under its ongoing share buyback programme. The company continues to hold 618,105 shares in treasury...
Other
Vistry Executives Add Shares Through Ongoing Incentive Plan
Positive
May 19, 2026
Vistry Group has disclosed small share purchases by its Chief Financial Officer Tim Lawlor, Executive Chair Daniel King and Sally Seabrook, a person closely associated with Chief Commercial Officer Michael Stirrop. The transactions were made on 18...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vistry Grants Restricted Share Awards to Top Executives Under New 2026 Plan
Positive
May 18, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has implemented its newly approved Vistry Group Share Plan 2026 by granting restricted share awards to its senior leadership following shareholder approval of the company’s updated remuneration policy at the 13 May annual me...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry reduces share capital with latest buyback tranche
Positive
May 18, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has continued its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing a total of 58,655 ordinary shares on 11 and 12 May 2026 at volume-weighted average prices of 342.87p and 337.14p respectively. These shares, acquired thr...
Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackShareholder Meetings
Vistry Wins AGM Backing but Faces Investor Dissent on Pay
Neutral
May 13, 2026
Vistry Group reported that all resolutions at its 2026 AGM were passed by poll, including the adoption of the 2025 accounts, renewal of auditor PwC, share issuance and buyback authorities, and approval of a new 2026 Long Term Incentive Plan. Share...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Vistry Targets Cash Generation as Discounts Hit First-Half Profit
Neutral
May 13, 2026
Vistry Group reported a 32% rise in year-to-date sales rates, driven by accelerated sales of completed and near-completed open market homes, though this has required heavier discounting on lower-margin sites and will weigh more heavily on first-ha...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Vistry cancels new tranche of buyback shares, trims voting rights
Positive
May 11, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has continued to execute its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing just under 119,400 ordinary shares between 5 and 8 May 2026 at prices ranging roughly from 325p to 352p. The transactions, conducted through P...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Cancels Newly Repurchased Shares, Resets Voting Rights Base
Positive
May 5, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has continued to execute its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing more than 150,000 ordinary shares between 27 April and 1 May 2026 at prices generally in the low to mid-300 pence range. The repurchased share...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights After Buybacks and Option Exercises
Neutral
Apr 30, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has updated the market on its share capital and voting rights following recent activity in its share buyback programme and the exercise of employee share options. The company’s issued share capital now comprises 318,612,514 ...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Cancels Further Shares Under Ongoing Buyback Programme
Positive
Apr 27, 2026
Vistry Group has continued executing its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing tranches of ordinary 50p shares between 20 and 24 April 2026 through broker Peel Hunt at prices ranging roughly between 334p and 354p per share. Th...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Chair Rob Woodward Increases Stake with £64,666 Share Purchase
Positive
Apr 20, 2026
Vistry Group has disclosed that its chair, Rob Woodward, purchased 18,319 ordinary shares in the company on 20 April 2026, at a price of £3.53 per share, for a total consideration of £64,666.07. Following the transaction, Woodward, inclu...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Cancels 144,000 Shares in Latest Buyback Tranche
Positive
Apr 20, 2026
Vistry Group has continued to execute its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing 144,521 ordinary shares between 13 and 17 April 2026 at prices ranging from about 326p to 355p per share through broker Peel Hunt. The company wil...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry executives add shares through ongoing incentive plan purchases
Positive
Apr 16, 2026
Vistry Group has disclosed routine share purchases under its Share Incentive Plan involving Chief Financial Officer Tim Lawlor, Executive Chair Daniel King and Sally Seabrook, who is closely associated with Chief Commercial Officer Michael Stirrop...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vistry Grants New Long-Term Share Awards to Top Executives
Neutral
Apr 14, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has granted new performance share and restricted share awards to its senior leadership under the amended 2020 Long Term Incentive Plan, including substantial nil-cost option allocations to Chief Executive Officer Adam Daniels and ...
Executive/Board Changes
Vistry executives receive first LTIP share awards and sell stock to cover taxes
Neutral
Apr 13, 2026
Vistry Group has reported a series of share transactions involving senior regional executives under its Long Term Incentive Plan 2020. Ordinary shares of 50 pence each vested on 10 April 2026 for executives including Partnerships Regeneration CEO...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry cancels 88,455 shares in latest buyback, trims voting rights base
Positive
Apr 13, 2026
Vistry Group has repurchased a total of 88,455 ordinary 50p shares between 7 and 10 April 2026 under its previously announced share buyback programme, executing the trades via broker Peel Hunt at volume-weighted average prices in the mid-320p to m...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vistry names Adam Daniels CEO as Greg Fitzgerald steps down
Positive
Apr 13, 2026
Vistry Group has appointed Adam Daniels as Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director with immediate effect, following a multi-year succession process that considered internal and external candidates. Daniels, formerly Executive Chair of one o...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.