Vistry Group (GB:VTY)
LSE:VTY
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Vistry Group
(LSE:VTY)
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Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
256.00 p
â–¼(-30.36% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is held back mainly by weak technicals (strong downtrend and bearish momentum) and softened operating profitability versus prior years. Offsetting these risks are a relatively strong, conservatively levered balance sheet and a low P/E valuation that implies meaningful pessimism is already priced in.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Consistently low debt-to-equity (~0.18 2023–2025) and sizable equity provide capital flexibility for land acquisition and development. This reduces financial stress through cycles, supports capital allocation to partnerships, and limits refinancing risk in a capital-intensive industry.
Negative Factors
Compressed margins
Material margin compression versus 2021–2023 leaves less buffer against build-cost inflation and reduces reinvestable profits. Persistently low gross and net margins constrain ability to absorb shocks, limit returns on projects, and weaken long-term earnings power.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Consistently low debt-to-equity (~0.18 2023–2025) and sizable equity provide capital flexibility for land acquisition and development. This reduces financial stress through cycles, supports capital allocation to partnerships, and limits refinancing risk in a capital-intensive industry.
Read all positive factors
Vistry Group (VTY) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£798.81M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.01M
Price to Earnings (P/E)5.8
Beta (1Y)2.43
Revenue Growth-4.38%
EPS Growth100.09%
CountryUK
Employees4,587
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryResidential Construction
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.42
Shares Outstanding317,786,900
10 Day Avg. Volume633,673
30 Day Avg. Volume1,011,210
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.17
Price to Book (P/B)0.63
Price to Sales (P/S)0.58
P/FCF Ratio14.32
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
£287.63Price Target Upside-21.76% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)0.44
Revenue Forecast (FY)£4.20B
Vistry Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Vistry Group PLC, along with its subsidiaries, functions as a leading residential developer across the United Kingdom. The company's portfolio includes a diverse selection of family residences, from single-bedroom properties to spacious five-bedro...
How the Company Makes Money
Vistry Group makes money primarily by developing residential sites and monetizing the completed homes through two main routes: (1) open-market private sales and (2) partnership/contracted delivery arrangements. In its housebuilding activities, the...
Vistry Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 3.61B | 3.78B | 3.56B | 2.77B | 2.41B |
| Gross Profit | 358.00M | 291.70M | 545.40M | 413.70M | 445.02M |
| EBITDA | 203.90M | 213.90M | 415.30M | 248.50M | 341.00M |
| Net Income | 138.00M | 74.50M | 223.40M | 204.30M | 254.13M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 6.38B | 6.04B | 6.09B | 6.02B | 3.84B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 353.70M | 320.30M | 418.30M | 676.80M | 398.71M |
| Total Debt | 596.00M | 597.40M | 605.40M | 645.20M | 197.31M |
| Total Liabilities | 3.05B | 2.81B | 2.77B | 2.77B | 1.45B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.32B | 3.24B | 3.32B | 3.25B | 2.39B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 146.40M | 132.10M | -74.90M | 102.30M | 312.79M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 157.40M | 139.00M | -72.10M | 103.90M | 315.85M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -46.20M | 23.10M | 52.50M | -30.30M | -4.12M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -80.80M | -260.10M | -238.90M | 204.50M | -254.00M |
Vistry Group Technical Analysis
Negative
367.60
Price Trends
295.88
Negative
418.83
Negative
528.70
Negative
Market Momentum
-17.09
Negative
39.13
Neutral
67.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:VTY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 367.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 254.58, above the 50-day MA of 295.88, and below the 200-day MA of 528.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -17.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:VTY.
Vistry Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | £3.27B | 9.43 | 10.20% | 6.38% | -6.44% | -0.03% | |
67 Neutral | £3.69B | 17.55 | 2.73% | 4.73% | 28.95% | 43.50% | |
63 Neutral | £2.79B | 28.32 | 2.40% | 8.95% | 13.04% | -54.27% | |
62 Neutral | £2.11B | 13.98 | 4.43% | 2.62% | 13.29% | 7.12% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
59 Neutral | £798.81M | 5.84 | 4.20% | ― | -4.38% | 100.09% | |
58 Neutral | £3.37B | 11.79 | 8.05% | 4.54% | 17.20% | 6.80% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GB:VTY
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Vistry Group Corporate Events
Other
Vistry Executives Add Shares Through Ongoing Incentive Plan Purchases
Neutral
Jun 16, 2026
Vistry Group has disclosed routine share purchases under its Share Incentive Plan involving Executive Chair Daniel King and Sally Seabrook, a person closely associated with Chief Commercial Officer Michael Stirrop. The plan acquires ordinary share...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights After Buyback
Neutral
May 29, 2026
Vistry Group PLC reported that its issued share capital now comprises 318,405,003 ordinary 50p shares, following the cancellation of 207,511 shares under its ongoing share buyback programme. The company continues to hold 618,105 shares in treasury...
Other
Vistry Executives Add Shares Through Ongoing Incentive Plan
Positive
May 19, 2026
Vistry Group has disclosed small share purchases by its Chief Financial Officer Tim Lawlor, Executive Chair Daniel King and Sally Seabrook, a person closely associated with Chief Commercial Officer Michael Stirrop. The transactions were made on 18...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vistry Grants Restricted Share Awards to Top Executives Under New 2026 Plan
Positive
May 18, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has implemented its newly approved Vistry Group Share Plan 2026 by granting restricted share awards to its senior leadership following shareholder approval of the company’s updated remuneration policy at the 13 May annual me...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry reduces share capital with latest buyback tranche
Positive
May 18, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has continued its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing a total of 58,655 ordinary shares on 11 and 12 May 2026 at volume-weighted average prices of 342.87p and 337.14p respectively. These shares, acquired thr...
Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackShareholder Meetings
Vistry Wins AGM Backing but Faces Investor Dissent on Pay
Neutral
May 13, 2026
Vistry Group reported that all resolutions at its 2026 AGM were passed by poll, including the adoption of the 2025 accounts, renewal of auditor PwC, share issuance and buyback authorities, and approval of a new 2026 Long Term Incentive Plan. Share...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Vistry Targets Cash Generation as Discounts Hit First-Half Profit
Neutral
May 13, 2026
Vistry Group reported a 32% rise in year-to-date sales rates, driven by accelerated sales of completed and near-completed open market homes, though this has required heavier discounting on lower-margin sites and will weigh more heavily on first-ha...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Vistry cancels new tranche of buyback shares, trims voting rights
Positive
May 11, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has continued to execute its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing just under 119,400 ordinary shares between 5 and 8 May 2026 at prices ranging roughly from 325p to 352p. The transactions, conducted through P...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Cancels Newly Repurchased Shares, Resets Voting Rights Base
Positive
May 5, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has continued to execute its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing more than 150,000 ordinary shares between 27 April and 1 May 2026 at prices generally in the low to mid-300 pence range. The repurchased share...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights After Buybacks and Option Exercises
Neutral
Apr 30, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has updated the market on its share capital and voting rights following recent activity in its share buyback programme and the exercise of employee share options. The company’s issued share capital now comprises 318,612,514 ...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Cancels Further Shares Under Ongoing Buyback Programme
Positive
Apr 27, 2026
Vistry Group has continued executing its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing tranches of ordinary 50p shares between 20 and 24 April 2026 through broker Peel Hunt at prices ranging roughly between 334p and 354p per share. Th...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Chair Rob Woodward Increases Stake with £64,666 Share Purchase
Positive
Apr 20, 2026
Vistry Group has disclosed that its chair, Rob Woodward, purchased 18,319 ordinary shares in the company on 20 April 2026, at a price of £3.53 per share, for a total consideration of £64,666.07. Following the transaction, Woodward, inclu...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Cancels 144,000 Shares in Latest Buyback Tranche
Positive
Apr 20, 2026
Vistry Group has continued to execute its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing 144,521 ordinary shares between 13 and 17 April 2026 at prices ranging from about 326p to 355p per share through broker Peel Hunt. The company wil...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry executives add shares through ongoing incentive plan purchases
Positive
Apr 16, 2026
Vistry Group has disclosed routine share purchases under its Share Incentive Plan involving Chief Financial Officer Tim Lawlor, Executive Chair Daniel King and Sally Seabrook, who is closely associated with Chief Commercial Officer Michael Stirrop...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vistry Grants New Long-Term Share Awards to Top Executives
Neutral
Apr 14, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has granted new performance share and restricted share awards to its senior leadership under the amended 2020 Long Term Incentive Plan, including substantial nil-cost option allocations to Chief Executive Officer Adam Daniels and ...
Executive/Board Changes
Vistry executives receive first LTIP share awards and sell stock to cover taxes
Neutral
Apr 13, 2026
Vistry Group has reported a series of share transactions involving senior regional executives under its Long Term Incentive Plan 2020. Ordinary shares of 50 pence each vested on 10 April 2026 for executives including Partnerships Regeneration CEO...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry cancels 88,455 shares in latest buyback, trims voting rights base
Positive
Apr 13, 2026
Vistry Group has repurchased a total of 88,455 ordinary 50p shares between 7 and 10 April 2026 under its previously announced share buyback programme, executing the trades via broker Peel Hunt at volume-weighted average prices in the mid-320p to m...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vistry names Adam Daniels CEO as Greg Fitzgerald steps down
Positive
Apr 13, 2026
Vistry Group has appointed Adam Daniels as Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director with immediate effect, following a multi-year succession process that considered internal and external candidates. Daniels, formerly Executive Chair of one o...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Cancels Further Shares as Buyback Tightens Free Float
Positive
Apr 7, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has continued to execute its share buyback programme, repurchasing a total of around 120,000 ordinary shares between 30 March and 2 April 2026 at prices broadly in the mid-320p to high-330p range. The move forms part of the compan...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights After Buyback
Neutral
Mar 31, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has updated investors on its share capital, confirming it now has 319,173,138 ordinary 50p shares in issue, down from 319,619,414 after cancelling 446,276 shares under its ongoing buyback programme. The company also increased its ...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry shifts to weekly buyback disclosures as it cancels 28,000 shares
Neutral
Mar 30, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has adjusted its disclosure practices for share repurchases to align with revised UK Listing Rule 9.6.6, shifting from daily to consolidated weekly announcements of buyback activity while maintaining the same level of detail. The ...
Executive/Board Changes
Vistry grants nil-cost deferred bonus share awards to senior executives
Neutral
Mar 27, 2026
Vistry Group has granted a series of conditional share awards to its top executives under the company’s Deferred Bonus Plan, with grants made on 27 March 2026 outside of a trading venue. Executive Chair and CEO Greg Fitzgerald received 213,6...
Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Vistry Executives Lose 2023 Long-Term Share Awards as Targets Missed
Negative
Mar 27, 2026
Vistry Group has disclosed that a series of awards granted on 27 March 2023 under its Long Term Incentive Plan 2020 to several senior executives, including Executive Chair and CEO Greg Fitzgerald and CFO Timothy Lawlor, have fully lapsed after per...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Vistry publishes 2025 annual report and sets date for 2026 AGM
Neutral
Mar 27, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has published its Annual Report and Accounts 2025 and the notice of its 2026 Annual General Meeting, making both documents available on its website and posting hard copies to shareholders who requested them. The materials, which h...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry cancels 27,000 shares in latest buyback, trims voting rights base
Positive
Mar 27, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has bought back 27,000 of its ordinary 50p shares on 26 March 2026 under its previously announced share repurchase programme, paying a volume-weighted average price of 353.32 pence, with trades executed via Peel Hunt on the London...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Continues Buyback, Cancels Shares to Tighten Equity Base
Positive
Mar 26, 2026
Vistry Group has continued its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing 28,142 ordinary shares on 25 March 2026 through broker Peel Hunt at prices between 353.10p and 356.40p, with a volume-weighted average price of 355.19p per s...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry trims share count with latest buyback tranche
Positive
Mar 25, 2026
Vistry Group has continued its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing 29,195 ordinary shares on 24 March 2026 through broker Peel Hunt at prices between 336.50p and 347.20p, with a volume-weighted average of 342.31p. The repurc...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry cancels newly repurchased shares as buyback trims voting capital
Positive
Mar 24, 2026
Vistry Group has continued to execute its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing 28,813 ordinary shares on 23 March 2026 at prices ranging between 332.90p and 355.00p, with a volume-weighted average price of 347.04p. The repurc...
Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Executives Vest and Sell Shares to Cover Tax Liabilities
Neutral
Mar 23, 2026
Vistry Group has reported the vesting of conditional share awards for several senior executives under its Deferred Bonus Plan, resulting in the allocation of ordinary shares outside a trading venue. Executive chair and CEO Greg Fitzgerald, CFO Tim...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry Cancels Newly Repurchased Shares, Updates Voting Rights
Positive
Mar 23, 2026
Vistry Group has continued to execute its previously announced share buyback programme, repurchasing 28,071 ordinary shares on 20 March 2026 at prices between 348.50p and 360.70p per share. The transaction was conducted through broker Peel Hunt an...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry cancels shares after latest buyback tranche, updates voting rights
Positive
Mar 20, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has continued to execute its share buyback programme, repurchasing 27,897 ordinary shares on 19 March 2026 through broker Peel Hunt at prices between 354.00p and 367.50p, with a volume-weighted average of 357.99p. The shares will ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vistry cancels 25,924 shares in latest buyback tranche
Positive
Mar 19, 2026
Vistry Group PLC has repurchased 25,924 of its ordinary 50p shares on 18 March 2026 under its ongoing share buyback programme, at prices ranging between 377.60p and 391.50p and a volume-weighted average price of 385.74p. The shares will be cancell...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.