Vistry Group (VTY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £1.89B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 902.02K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 28.2
• Beta (1Y): 2.24
• Revenue Growth: -0.57%
• EPS Growth: -104.08%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 4,587
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 75
• Industry: Residential Construction
• EPS (TTM): 0.18
• Shares Outstanding: 323,415,370
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,229,483
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 902,022
• PEG Ratio: -0.40
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.60
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.52
• P/FCF Ratio: 14.79
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £607.50
• Price Target Upside: 3.78% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 13

• Rating: 60 Neutral
• Price Target: 634.00p ▲(8.30% Upside)

Vistry Group's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance, which shows strong revenue growth but declining profit margins and increased leverage. Technical analysis indicates a lack of strong momentum, and the valuation suggests the stock may be overvalued. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not impact the score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Steady revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, enhancing the company's competitive position in the residential construction industry.

Stable Equity Position

A stable equity position reflects financial health and provides a solid foundation for future investments and growth opportunities, supporting long-term business sustainability.

Positive Free Cash Flow

Positive free cash flow indicates effective cash management, enabling the company to fund operations and invest in growth without relying heavily on external financing.

Negative Factors

Declining Profit Margins

Declining profit margins suggest rising costs or pricing pressures, which could impact profitability and limit the company's ability to reinvest in its business.

Increased Leverage

Higher leverage can increase financial risk, potentially affecting the company's ability to weather economic downturns and limiting its financial flexibility.

Reduced Profitability

Reduced profitability may indicate inefficiencies or challenges in generating returns on investments, which could hinder long-term growth and shareholder value.

Vistry Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vistry Group PLC (VTY) is a leading UK-based housebuilding and construction company, primarily engaged in the development of residential properties. The company operates through several segments, including housebuilding and partnerships, providing a diverse range of products from affordable housing to luxury homes. Vistry Group's core services encompass land acquisition, planning, design, and construction, catering to both individual homebuyers and local authorities through various housing schemes.

How the Company Makes Money

Vistry Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential properties, including private homes and affordable housing units. The company's revenue model is anchored in its housebuilding segment, where it constructs homes and sells them to consumers, investors, and housing associations. Additionally, Vistry earns income from its partnerships segment, which involves working with local authorities and other organizations to deliver large-scale residential projects, often funded through government initiatives. Key revenue streams include the sale of completed homes, land sales, and partnership revenues from joint ventures. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with local governments and housing associations, enhancing its ability to secure contracts and generate consistent revenue.

Vistry Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Vistry Group shows strong revenue growth and a stable equity position, but faces challenges with declining profit margins and increased leverage. Positive free cash flow generation after a previous decline is a positive indicator, though cost control and efficient capital use remain critical.

Income Statement

Vistry Group shows a consistent revenue growth trend, increasing from £1.81 billion in 2020 to £3.78 billion in 2024. However, the gross profit margin decreased from 2023 to 2024, indicating higher cost pressures. The net profit margin also declined in 2024, suggesting reduced profitability despite revenue growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins dropped compared to prior years, reflecting operating efficiency challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a stable equity position with stockholders' equity growing over time. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased slightly due to rising total debt, indicating increased leverage. The equity ratio has remained relatively stable, showing a firm capital structure. Return on Equity (ROE) declined in 2024, reflecting lower profitability relative to equity.

Cash Flow

Vistry Group demonstrated a positive free cash flow in 2024 after a negative performance in 2023. The free cash flow to net income ratio improved, suggesting better cash management. Despite fluctuations in operating cash flow, the company has managed to generate positive free cash flows, indicating an ability to sustain operations and invest in growth.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.69B	3.78B	3.56B	2.77B	2.41B	1.81B
Gross Profit	304.70M	291.70M	545.40M	413.70M	445.02M	257.87M
EBITDA	164.40M	213.90M	388.50M	233.00M	341.00M	141.66M
Net Income	-10.10M	74.50M	223.40M	204.30M	254.13M	76.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	6.23B	6.04B	6.09B	6.02B	3.84B	3.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	457.40M	320.30M	418.30M	676.80M	398.71M	340.99M
Total Debt	844.40M	597.40M	605.40M	645.20M	197.31M	345.25M
Total Liabilities	2.98B	2.81B	2.77B	2.77B	1.45B	1.44B
Stockholders Equity	3.25B	3.24B	3.32B	3.25B	2.39B	2.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	199.20M	132.10M	-74.90M	102.30M	312.79M	206.06M
Operating Cash Flow	206.90M	139.00M	-72.10M	103.90M	315.85M	208.80M
Investing Cash Flow	-29.90M	23.10M	52.50M	-30.30M	-4.12M	-410.95M
Financing Cash Flow	-42.80M	-260.10M	-238.90M	204.50M	-254.00M	181.18M

Vistry Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 585.40
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:VTY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 585.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 618.68, below the 50-day MA of 612.15, and below the 200-day MA of 611.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:VTY.

Vistry Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
BKG	72 Outperform	£3.48B	9.68	10.73%	6.87%	0.90%	-4.04%
PSN	68 Neutral	£3.49B	13.42	7.44%	5.04%	16.74%	-0.16%
TW	66 Neutral	£3.44B	40.53	1.97%	9.65%	4.21%	-65.57%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.09B	12.97	-1.60%	2.98%	1.42%	-15.92%
VTY	60 Neutral	£1.89B	28.23	-0.31%	―	-0.57%	-104.08%
BWY	60 Neutral	£2.74B	18.48	4.22%	2.54%	-11.63%	-31.81%
BTRW	57 Neutral	£5.17B	34.78	1.81%	4.70%	4.78%	-53.59%

Vistry Group Corporate Events

Vistry Group Executes Share Buyback, Reducing Share Count

Vistry Group PLC, a company involved in the construction and housing industry, has announced the purchase of 47,650 of its own ordinary shares as part of its ongoing share buyback program. The shares were bought at prices ranging from 617.40 GBp to 638.40 GBp, with a volume-weighted average price of 629.57 GBp. These shares will be cancelled, reducing the total number of shares in issue and affecting the company’s total voting rights, which may influence shareholder notifications under regulatory guidelines.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:VTY) stock is a Hold with a £650.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vistry Group stock, see the GB:VTY Stock Forecast page.

Vistry Group Poised for Growth Amid Affordable Housing Initiative

Vistry Group PLC reported its half-year results for 2025, showing a performance in line with expectations despite a challenging market environment. The company is strategically positioned to benefit from the UK’s new £39 billion Social and Affordable Homes Programme, which aims to boost affordable housing over the next decade. Vistry has made significant progress in reducing its net debt and has extended its refinancing facilities to 2028. The company anticipates a strong second half with increased completions and profits, driven by a robust pipeline of development opportunities and a long-term joint venture with Homes England.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:VTY) stock is a Hold with a £650.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vistry Group stock, see the GB:VTY Stock Forecast page.

Vistry Group Executes Share Buyback to Optimize Capital Structure

Vistry Group PLC has executed a share buyback transaction as part of its ongoing share buyback programme, purchasing 35,600 of its Ordinary 50p Shares through Peel Hunt LLP. The shares were bought at prices ranging from 627.60 GBp to 635.40 GBp, with a volume-weighted average price of 632.12 GBp. Following the cancellation of these shares, the total number of voting rights in the company will be 323,548,030. This move is part of Vistry’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:VTY) stock is a Hold with a £663.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vistry Group stock, see the GB:VTY Stock Forecast page.

Vistry Group Forms Joint Venture with Homes England to Boost Housing Development

Vistry Group PLC has announced a joint venture with Homes England, named Hestia, to accelerate the development of large-scale residential sites across England. This partnership, backed by £150 million of capital investment, aims to deliver high-quality, mixed-tenure communities and support the wider housing sector by selling land parcels to SME developers. The initiative represents a significant step in delivering sustainable housing growth and aligns with Vistry’s commitment to affordable housing delivery, enhancing its industry positioning and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:VTY) stock is a Hold with a £663.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vistry Group stock, see the GB:VTY Stock Forecast page.

Vistry Group Executes Share Buyback to Optimize Capital Structure

Vistry Group PLC has executed a share buyback transaction as part of its ongoing programme, purchasing 82,000 of its Ordinary 50p Shares through Peel Hunt LLP. The shares, acquired at prices ranging from 594.60 GBp to 600.00 GBp, will be cancelled, reducing the total number of shares in issue and affecting the company’s voting rights structure. This move is likely aimed at enhancing shareholder value and optimizing the company’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:VTY) stock is a Hold with a £652.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vistry Group stock, see the GB:VTY Stock Forecast page.

Vistry Group Appoints Sue Farr as Non-Executive Director

Vistry Group PLC has announced the appointment of Sue Farr as an independent Non-Executive Director, effective from October 1, 2025. Sue Farr brings a wealth of experience in marketing, branding, and corporate communications from her previous roles at the BBC, Thames Television, and Vauxhall Motors, as well as her non-executive positions at various companies. This appointment follows the resignation of Helen Owers, who will step down on September 30, 2025. The addition of Sue Farr is expected to strengthen Vistry Group’s board as it continues to focus on its multi-tenure partnerships model, aiming to deliver sustainable value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:VTY) stock is a Hold with a £652.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vistry Group stock, see the GB:VTY Stock Forecast page.

Vistry Group Advances Share Buyback Programme with Latest Share Acquisition

Vistry Group PLC, a prominent player in the construction and housing industry, has announced the purchase of 84,225 of its own Ordinary Shares as part of its ongoing share buyback programme. The shares were acquired at prices ranging from 585.40 GBp to 600.00 GBp, with a volume-weighted average price of 593.64 GBp. Following the cancellation of these shares, the total number of voting rights in the company will be 323,714,333. This strategic move is expected to optimize the company’s capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:VTY) stock is a Hold with a £652.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vistry Group stock, see the GB:VTY Stock Forecast page.