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Secure Trust Bank PLC (GB:STB)
LSE:STB
UK Market

Secure Trust Bank (STB) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:STB

Secure Trust Bank

(LSE:STB)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
1,466.00p
▲(13.64% Upside)
The score is driven mainly by moderate financial performance (profitability pressure and weak cash flow despite a relatively balanced balance sheet). Technicals are strong with price well above moving averages and positive MACD, but momentum indicators are very elevated (RSI/Stoch), tempering the technical score. Valuation is supportive with a modest P/E and a ~2.12% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth Momentum
Sustained top-line expansion driven by lending and fee income supports the bank's core franchise, enabling reinvestment in products and distribution. Over the next 2–6 months, consistent revenue growth helps absorb cost pressures and underpins medium-term earnings stability.
Balanced Leverage and Asset Base
A moderate leverage profile and stable equity ratio provide resilience against funding shocks and support regulatory capital buffers. This structural balance sheet strength preserves the bank’s ability to originate loans and maintain liquidity over multiple quarters without aggressive deleveraging.
Management Insider Confidence
Material insider buying aligns management and shareholder interests and signals conviction in the bank’s strategic outlook. That alignment tends to support disciplined capital allocation and steadier execution, reducing execution risk over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Eroding Profitability and ROE
Falling ROE and compressing net margins signal weaker returns on capital and reduced ability to generate shareholder value from core lending activities. Persisting margin pressure can limit retained earnings, constrain growth initiatives and weaken long-term capital generation.
Weak Cash Conversion and Negative FCF
Poor conversion of accounting profits into cash and negative free cash flow forces reliance on external financing. Over several months this can restrict loan growth, increase funding costs, and reduce flexibility to absorb shocks or invest in higher-return initiatives.
Regulatory Redress Risk (Motor Finance)
A regulatory redress requirement in motor finance could trigger remediation costs, reserve build-ups and operational changes. These structural impacts can depress earnings, tie up capital and force underwriting adjustments that affect medium-term revenues and profitability.

Secure Trust Bank (STB) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Secure Trust Bank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSecure Trust Bank PLC provides banking and financial products and services in the United Kingdom. It operates through Real Estate Finance, Commercial Finance, Vehicle Finance, Retail Finance, and Debt Management segments. The Real Estate Finance segment provides loans for residential and commercial investment and development, as well as for mixed development projects. The Commercial Finance segment provides invoice financing solutions, including invoice discounting and factoring, and coronavirus business interruption loan scheme finance to businesses. The Vehicle Finance segment provides hire purchase agreements secured against the vehicle being financed. This segment distributes its motor finance products through motor dealers, brokers, and Internet introducers. The Retail Finance segment offers point of sale unsecured finance for in-store and online retailers under the V12 brand. This segment serves retailers of various industries, including cycle, music, furniture, outdoor/leisure, electronics, dental, jewelry, home improvements, and football season tickets. The Debt Management segment provides debt collection services. It also provides property rental and leasing services. Secure Trust Bank PLC was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Solihull, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneySecure Trust Bank generates revenue primarily through interest income from its lending activities, which include personal loans and credit products. The bank charges interest on the loans it provides to customers, which typically constitutes a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, STB earns fees from account management, overdrafts, and other banking services. The bank may also generate income through partnerships with financial service providers or through investment income from its holdings. The growth of its customer base and the management of risk in its lending portfolio are crucial factors that contribute to its overall earnings.

Secure Trust Bank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement quality is mixed (stable gross margin but declining net margin and volatile/declining revenue), the balance sheet is relatively solid with balanced leverage but weakening ROE and signs of rising leverage, and cash flow is the main weakness with negative free cash flow growth and weak cash conversion.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Secure Trust Bank's gross profit margin is relatively stable, reflecting consistent revenue generation. However, the net profit margin shows a declining trend due to rising costs and lower net income. Revenue growth has been volatile, with recent years showing a decline. EBIT and EBITDA margins have fluctuated, indicating inconsistent operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet highlights a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting balanced leverage. However, the return on equity has decreased, indicating reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, showcasing a solid asset base relative to liabilities, but there are signs of increased leverage in the latest year.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals negative free cash flow growth, suggesting operational cash may not be sufficient to cover capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is weak, indicating challenges in converting income into cash. However, financing activities have provided liquidity, partially offsetting operational cash flow deficits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue149.50M142.10M141.80M219.70M176.50M208.30M
Gross Profit149.50M142.10M321.30M169.30M148.80M163.00M
EBITDA45.70M39.40M-6.50M42.30M59.40M22.20M
Net Income23.60M19.70M24.30M33.70M45.60M15.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.29B4.12B3.78B3.38B2.89B2.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments385.90M469.00M400.30M370.10M235.70M181.50M
Total Debt1.64B459.10M495.10M451.60M54.00M54.70M
Total Liabilities3.91B3.76B3.43B3.05B2.58B2.39B
Stockholders Equity374.10M360.50M344.50M326.90M302.40M270.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-387.60M-262.40M-405.30M30.00M-91.10M93.70M
Operating Cash Flow-386.70M-261.40M-402.60M32.70M-89.80M95.60M
Investing Cash Flow1.00M-350.80M-443.00M82.50M59.10M23.10M
Financing Cash Flow364.60M331.10M388.70M-5.00M101.60M-31.60M

Secure Trust Bank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1290.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1171.88
Positive
100DMA
1094.73
Positive
200DMA
970.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
78.90
Negative
RSI
74.03
Negative
STOCH
86.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:STB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1290 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1359.00, above the 50-day MA of 1171.88, and above the 200-day MA of 970.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 78.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.03 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:STB.

Secure Trust Bank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
£269.67M11.526.47%2.66%9.09%-9.36%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
£145.16M11.749.72%21.31%-15.65%-12.27%
62
Neutral
£896.83M8.469.14%-29.12%964.19%
59
Neutral
£141.23M8.716.22%5.68%1.68%-46.69%
54
Neutral
£70.07M58.971.05%11.43%-3.99%-36.07%
48
Neutral
£5.00M-8.16-12.33%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:STB
Secure Trust Bank
1,445.00
1,025.68
244.61%
GB:ARBB
Arbuthnot Banking
872.50
-12.93
-1.46%
GB:LIO
Liontrust Asset Management
236.00
-147.03
-38.39%
GB:MTRO
Metro Bank
133.20
31.00
30.33%
GB:PMI
Premier Asset Management
45.00
-5.60
-11.06%
GB:PRIM
Primorus Investments
4.00
0.25
6.67%

Secure Trust Bank Corporate Events

Other
Secure Trust Bank CEO Increases Stake with £0.5m Share Purchase
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

Secure Trust Bank PLC has disclosed that its CEO, Ian Corfield, has purchased a total of 38,617 ordinary shares in the bank over two consecutive days in early January, with 19,419 shares acquired on 5 January 2026 at an average price of £12.808 and a further 19,198 shares bought on 6 January 2026 at an average price of £12.956, all on the London Stock Exchange. The purchases, formally notified as dealings by a person discharging managerial responsibilities, increase the chief executive’s personal stake in the business and may be read by investors as a vote of confidence in the bank’s current valuation and strategic direction amid its ongoing focus on diversified business and consumer finance lending.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:STB) stock is a Buy with a £1138.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Secure Trust Bank stock, see the GB:STB Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Secure Trust Bank Confirms Total Voting Rights Ahead of Year-End
Neutral
Dec 31, 2025

Secure Trust Bank has confirmed that, as of 31 December 2025, its issued share capital stands at 19,097,256 ordinary shares of 40p each, with no shares held in treasury. This establishes the total number of voting rights at 19,097,256, a key reference point for shareholders calculating notifiable interests and any changes in holdings under UK disclosure and transparency rules, reinforcing clarity and regulatory compliance in the bank’s shareholder base.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:STB) stock is a Buy with a £1138.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Secure Trust Bank stock, see the GB:STB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Secure Trust Bank Sells Consumer Vehicle Finance Arm to Boost Capital and Refocus Strategy
Positive
Dec 24, 2025

Secure Trust Bank has agreed to sell its Consumer Vehicle Finance business, including its portfolio of hire purchase and personal contract purchase loans and the Moneyway brand, to funds managed by LCM Partners for an estimated £458.6 million, a premium to book value, with completion expected in the first quarter of 2026. The deal will accelerate the bank’s previously announced exit from new vehicle finance lending, generate a small gain on sale, and materially strengthen its capital position by lifting its pro forma CET1 ratio by around 195 basis points to 14.8%, freeing up capital for higher-return core activities and potential shareholder distributions while STB continues to service the portfolio for a period and retains liability for any future FCA motor finance commission redress on relevant loans; the board views the move as a strategically significant step to improve returns on equity and refocus the bank on its core lending franchises.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:STB) stock is a Buy with a £1138.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Secure Trust Bank stock, see the GB:STB Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Secure Trust Bank Announces Current Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

Secure Trust Bank PLC has announced that as of 30 November 2025, its issued share capital consists of 19,093,508 ordinary shares, with no shares held in treasury. This information is crucial for shareholders as it impacts the calculation of notifiable interests under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, reflecting the bank’s transparency and regulatory compliance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:STB) stock is a Hold with a £1009.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Secure Trust Bank stock, see the GB:STB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Secure Trust Bank Announces Board Changes with Retirement of Ann Berresford
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

Secure Trust Bank PLC has announced the retirement of Ann Berresford from the Board, effective 30 December 2025, after her nine-year tenure. Ann has significantly contributed to the strategic development of the Group, serving as Chair of the Audit Committee, Senior Independent Director, and a member of the Risk Committee. The Board has implemented succession plans, appointing Steve Colsell as the new Chair of the Audit Committee and Julie Hopes as the Senior Independent Director and Deputy Chair, both subject to regulatory approval. These changes are expected to maintain the strategic direction and governance standards of the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:STB) stock is a Hold with a £1009.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Secure Trust Bank stock, see the GB:STB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 15, 2026