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SEPLAT Petroleum Development Company PLC (GB:SEPL)
LSE:SEPL

SEPLAT Petroleum Development (SEPL) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:SEPL

SEPLAT Petroleum Development

(LSE:SEPL)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
374.00p
▲(45.24% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance, led by strong cash flow growth and healthy operating margins, with manageable leverage. Technicals show an uptrend, but overbought signals reduce the technical score. Valuation is supportive due to a moderate P/E and a strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Sustained FCF growth (27.98% TTM) indicates strong internal cash generation, enabling capital expenditures, dividend maintenance, and debt reduction without relying on external financing. This improves resilience across oil cycles and funds long-term gas monetization investments.
Manageable Leverage
A moderate debt-to-equity ratio (~0.65) and stable equity base signal prudent capital structure, preserving borrowing capacity for growth investments. This balanced leverage supports operational flexibility and lowers refinancing risk over multiple commodity cycles if debt growth is controlled.
Operational Efficiency & Margin
Double-digit TTM revenue growth and a healthy 35.5% gross margin reflect efficient upstream operations and cost control. Robust EBIT/EBITDA margins support durable cash generation and reinvestment capacity, underpinning long-term production and value-added gas projects.
Negative Factors
Low Net Profitability
A modest net margin (~5.7%) limits retained earnings and reduces the buffer against downturns. Over time this constrains equity accumulation, lowers flexibility for long-cycle investments, and reduces the firm's ability to absorb prolonged commodity price shocks without cutting capex or payouts.
Rising Total Debt Risk
Although current leverage is moderate, the noted rise in total debt over time raises refinancing and interest coverage risk if commodity prices fall. Growing debt can restrict future capex, elevate funding costs, and pressure cash flows needed for dividends and gas project investments.
Commodity & Regional Concentration
Heavy reliance on oil/gas revenues and operations concentrated in the Niger Delta creates persistent exposure to commodity cycles, local regulatory shifts, and geopolitical disruptions. This structural concentration can amplify earnings volatility and limit predictability of long-term cash flows.

SEPLAT Petroleum Development (SEPL) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

SEPLAT Petroleum Development Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSEPLAT Petroleum Development Company Plc is a leading independent oil and gas exploration and production company based in Nigeria. Founded in 2009, SEPLAT operates predominantly in the Niger Delta region and is involved in the acquisition, exploration, and production of hydrocarbon resources. The company focuses on both oil and natural gas, leveraging its strategic partnerships and technical expertise to maximize production and operational efficiency. SEPLAT is known for its commitment to sustainable practices and community engagement, making it a significant player in the Nigerian energy sector.
How the Company Makes MoneySEPLAT generates revenue primarily through the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. The company sells its produced hydrocarbons to various domestic and international customers, including major oil companies and refiners. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, natural gas sales, and associated products. SEPLAT also benefits from joint ventures and partnerships with international oil companies, enhancing its operational capabilities and market reach. Additionally, the company is involved in gas processing and monetization, contributing to its income through the supply of natural gas to power plants and industrial customers. Fluctuations in global oil prices, regulatory frameworks, and market demand significantly influence SEPLAT's earnings.

SEPLAT Petroleum Development Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid fundamentals: strong TTM revenue growth (11.63%) and robust EBIT/EBITDA margins support operating strength. Cash generation is a key positive with strong TTM free cash flow growth (27.98%) and good cash conversion. Balance sheet leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity 0.65), but modest net margin (5.68%) and rising debt risk temper the score.
Income Statement
75
Positive
SEPLAT Petroleum Development shows a strong revenue growth rate of 11.63% in the TTM, indicating positive momentum. The gross profit margin is healthy at 35.50%, though it has decreased from previous years. The net profit margin is modest at 5.68%, reflecting some profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, suggesting efficient operations. Overall, the income statement reflects growth and operational efficiency, but with room for improvement in net profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.65, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is 7.71%, showing a reasonable return on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid financial structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
SEPLAT's cash flow statement is strong, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 27.98% in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.59, showing good cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.71 suggests effective cash management. Overall, the cash flow position is robust, supporting the company's financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.93B1.12B1.06B951.79M733.19M530.47M
Gross Profit1.07B479.90M532.00M464.74M285.19M124.58M
EBITDA1.54B523.19M427.75M410.71M404.30M107.95M
Net Income209.16M153.35M83.13M104.71M141.78M-85.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.59B6.40B3.40B3.54B3.89B3.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments531.26M469.86M450.11M404.34M324.49M225.14M
Total Debt1.04B1.44B757.07M774.23M770.18M704.39M
Total Liabilities3.22B4.55B1.60B1.78B2.19B1.79B
Stockholders Equity1.35B1.83B1.77B1.78B1.77B1.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow922.03M101.86M261.14M323.56M199.96M158.79M
Operating Cash Flow1.21B310.00M445.07M498.89M369.84M308.72M
Investing Cash Flow-775.59M-658.94M-162.40M-280.95M-165.35M-203.52M
Financing Cash Flow50.00M409.59M-196.66M-137.03M-100.76M-217.44M

SEPLAT Petroleum Development Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price257.50
Price Trends
50DMA
283.96
Positive
100DMA
282.01
Positive
200DMA
252.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
17.02
Negative
RSI
73.96
Negative
STOCH
78.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SEPL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 257.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 322.65, below the 50-day MA of 283.96, and above the 200-day MA of 252.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 17.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.96 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:SEPL.

SEPLAT Petroleum Development Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
£2.03B12.5412.03%5.64%159.13%143.76%
73
Outperform
£1.60B9.8017.24%10.99%-2.66%0.11%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
£757.85M-4.60-22.53%10.49%56.20%-185.69%
63
Neutral
£3.74B-10.09-11.32%8.77%123.03%-330.89%
60
Neutral
£807.67M-31.67-4.31%9.30%-32.89%-239.58%
54
Neutral
£2.97B-34.05-4.67%14.05%63.10%-161.03%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:SEPL
SEPLAT Petroleum Development
351.50
164.48
87.95%
GB:DEC
Diversified Energy Company
946.00
-292.42
-23.61%
GB:HBR
Harbour Energy
229.20
19.99
9.55%
GB:SQZ
Serica Energy
206.50
78.94
61.89%
GB:ENOG
Energean
869.00
-5.54
-0.63%
GB:ITH
Ithaca Energy PLC
180.80
69.50
62.44%

SEPLAT Petroleum Development Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Seplat Energy Delivers First Gas from 300 MMscfd ANOH Project
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

Seplat Energy has brought its 300 MMscfd ANOH gas project onstream, marking first gas and the start of commercial supply to Indorama’s petrochemical operations following completion of a new export pipeline and regulatory approvals. Initial output is delivering 40–52 MMscfd of processed gas and 2.0–2.5 kboepd of condensates, with plans to ramp up towards full capacity, add interruptible sales to Nigeria LNG, and ultimately channel volumes through the resumed OB3 pipeline once completed. Developed via an incorporated joint venture with Nigerian Gas Infrastructure Company, the ANOH plant unlocks an estimated 4.6 Tcf of condensate-rich gas, creates dual income streams for Seplat from wet gas sales and dividends, strengthens its position as a leading domestic supplier of LPG and clean cooking fuel, and supports its onshore end-of-routine-flaring programme and carbon-intensity reduction goals. The project, completed without a single Lost Time Incident and identified by the Nigerian government as one of seven critical gas developments, lifts Seplat’s onshore joint-venture gas processing capacity to over 850 MMscfd and is expected to materially bolster revenues, energy access and the company’s contribution to Nigeria’s economic and energy-transition objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SEPL) stock is a Buy with a £359.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SEPLAT Petroleum Development stock, see the GB:SEPL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Seplat Energy Adds Canaccord Genuity and Peel Hunt as Joint UK Brokers
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

Seplat Energy has strengthened its capital markets support in the UK by appointing Canaccord Genuity and Peel Hunt as joint corporate brokers alongside existing adviser Citigroup Global Markets. The move reinforces the Nigerian independent energy producer’s engagement with international investors on both the Nigerian and London stock exchanges at a time when its expanded upstream and gas-processing portfolio is central to domestic power supply and to its positioning in Nigeria’s evolving energy transition landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SEPL) stock is a Buy with a £285.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SEPLAT Petroleum Development stock, see the GB:SEPL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Maurel & Prom to Sell 20% Seplat Energy Stake to Heirs Energies
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

Seplat Energy has acknowledged a public announcement by founding investor Etablissements Maurel & Prom S.A. on the proposed sale of its 20.07% equity stake in the Nigerian producer to Heirs Energies Limited. While Seplat has yet to receive formal regulatory notification, it has signalled that further updates will follow, with the transaction potentially reshaping its shareholder base and underscoring ongoing portfolio and ownership shifts in Nigeria’s indigenous energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SEPL) stock is a Buy with a £285.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SEPLAT Petroleum Development stock, see the GB:SEPL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Seplat Energy Completes PIA Conversion for Key Onshore Assets
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

Seplat Energy’s subsidiaries Seplat West Limited and Seplat East Onshore Limited have completed the conversion of their operated onshore assets from the Petroleum Profit Tax regime to the fiscal framework of Nigeria’s Petroleum Industry Act, covering former OMLs 4, 38, 41 and 53, which accounted for roughly 31% of group production in the first nine months of 2025. Following completion of technical and regulatory steps with the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, including the issuance of new Petroleum Mining Lease and Petroleum Prospecting License numbers, operations under the new regime are expected to start on 1 January 2026, a move the company says was already embedded in its medium-term guidance and is expected to enhance profitability, cash-flow margins and support further investment and production growth, while it continues to work toward converting its offshore assets by 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SEPL) stock is a Buy with a £285.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SEPLAT Petroleum Development stock, see the GB:SEPL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Seplat Energy Loses Incoming Independent Director to Top Nigerian Regulator Role
Neutral
Dec 22, 2025

Seplat Energy Plc has confirmed that Engineer Saidu Aliyu Mohammed will no longer join its board as an Independent Non-Executive Director on 1 January 2026, after he withdrew his acceptance following his appointment by the Federal Government of Nigeria as Chief Executive Officer of the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, which created a conflict of interest. The company has publicly supported Mohammed’s new regulatory role, highlighting its industry significance, and has indicated it will announce a future replacement for the board position in due course, a move that underscores ongoing attention to governance and regulatory alignment in Nigeria’s energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SEPL) stock is a Buy with a £285.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SEPLAT Petroleum Development stock, see the GB:SEPL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Seplat Energy Appoints Two New Independent Non-Executive Directors
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

Seplat Energy Plc has announced the appointment of Engineer Saidu Aliyu Mohammed and Mr. Larry Ephraim Ettah as Independent Non-Executive Directors, effective January 1, 2026. This change follows the resignation of two board members and is part of Seplat’s succession plan to enhance its strategic growth objectives. Engineer Mohammed brings over 37 years of experience in the oil and gas industry, having held significant roles in the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, while Mr. Ettah is a seasoned business leader with extensive experience in corporate governance and strategic partnerships. Their appointments are expected to strengthen Seplat’s board with their complementary expertise, supporting the company’s continued success and strategic growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SEPL) stock is a Buy with a £279.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SEPLAT Petroleum Development stock, see the GB:SEPL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Seplat Energy Completes Key Offshore Project, Boosting NGL Production
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

Seplat Energy Plc has successfully completed the replacement of the Inlet Gas Exchanger module on its East Area Project platform offshore Nigeria. This project, completed on budget, significantly boosts the facility’s NGL sales volumes, which have more than doubled since the EAP complex restarted. The new module is crucial for efficient NGL processing, enhancing Seplat’s production capacity and supporting domestic energy access. The project underscores Seplat’s commitment to growth and value delivery for Nigeria and its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SEPL) stock is a Hold with a £270.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SEPLAT Petroleum Development stock, see the GB:SEPL Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Seplat Energy Announces Q3 2025 Dividend Exchange Rate
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

Seplat Energy PLC announced the currency exchange rate for its Q3 2025 interim dividend, applicable to shareholders receiving payments in Naira. The exchange rate is set at US$1 = ₦1,443.08, based on the Central Bank of Nigeria NFEM rate as of November 12, 2025. This announcement is crucial for stakeholders as it impacts the dividend payments and reflects the company’s financial operations in the context of fluctuating currency rates.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SEPL) stock is a Buy with a £550.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SEPLAT Petroleum Development stock, see the GB:SEPL Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Seplat Energy Declares Interim and Special Dividends for 2025
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Seplat Energy Plc announced an interim dividend of US5 cents and a special dividend of US2.5 cents per ordinary share to be paid to shareholders registered by November 13, 2025. The dividends, payable in Naira and US Dollars, reflect the company’s commitment to rewarding its shareholders and may influence its market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SEPL) stock is a Buy with a £312.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SEPLAT Petroleum Development stock, see the GB:SEPL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Seplat Energy Reports Strong Production and Financial Growth in 2025
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Seplat Energy Plc announced its unaudited results for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, highlighting significant production growth and financial performance. The company reported a 185% increase in production compared to the previous year, with an average of 135,636 boepd. Financially, Seplat generated over $1 billion in after-tax cash flow, reducing net debt by 43% and improving leverage ratios. The company declared a dividend of 7.5 US cents per share, reflecting strong cash generation. Operationally, Seplat made progress in reducing carbon emissions and ending routine flaring onshore, while also facing challenges such as a fire incident at the Yoho production platform.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SEPL) stock is a Buy with a £312.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SEPLAT Petroleum Development stock, see the GB:SEPL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 21, 2026