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Ithaca Energy PLC (GB:ITH)
LSE:ITH
UK Market
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Ithaca Energy PLC (ITH) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

Ithaca Energy PLC

(LSE:ITH)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
177.00p
▲(6.76%Upside)
Ithaca Energy's overall score is driven primarily by strong corporate events that enhance its strategic positioning. However, the financial performance is mixed with strong cash flow but net losses, and valuation concerns persist due to negative earnings. Technical analysis indicates moderate bullish momentum.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
Ithaca's acquisition of an additional stake in the Cygnus field increases ownership to 85%, enhancing its strategic position in the UK's largest producing gas field.
Operational Performance
The new COO's focus on operational performance is already showing positive results in production.
Reserves
The 2P reserves acquired are above current estimates, indicating a significant upside to the field's reserves.
Negative Factors
Dividend Forecast
The forecasted cash dividend is expected to decline due to lower commodity price forecasts and lower production.
NAV vs. Share Price
Despite derisking certain projects, the NAV remains below the current share price.

Ithaca Energy PLC (ITH) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Ithaca Energy PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIthaca Energy PLC (ITH) is a UK-based oil and gas company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of hydrocarbons. Operating primarily in the North Sea, the company focuses on maximizing the value of its existing portfolio through operational excellence and strategic acquisitions. Ithaca Energy is committed to responsible energy production, emphasizing safety and environmental stewardship in its operations.
How the Company Makes MoneyIthaca Energy PLC generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of oil and gas. The company operates a portfolio of assets in the North Sea, where it explores, develops, and produces hydrocarbons. Revenue streams are largely dependent on the volume of oil and gas produced and the prevailing market prices for these commodities. Ithaca Energy also engages in the acquisition of strategic assets to bolster its production capabilities and reserves. Additionally, the company may benefit from partnerships and joint ventures that allow for shared resources and expertise, thus enhancing operational efficiency and profitability.

Ithaca Energy PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ithaca Energy PLC exhibits strong operational margins and cash flow capabilities, though these are offset by recent net losses. The balance sheet indicates manageable debt levels, but profitability challenges persist.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Ithaca Energy PLC's revenue has shown fluctuations over the past years, with recent TTM figures indicating a decline. The gross profit margin stands at 49.0% in TTM, reflecting a strong ability to cover production costs. However, the net profit margin has turned negative at -6.7% due to a net loss, indicating challenges in managing overall expenses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 35.2% and 62.0% respectively, suggesting operational efficiency despite the net loss.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is currently negative due to a net loss, but the equity ratio of 35.1% shows a solid capital structure. There is potential risk from liabilities, which are substantial compared to equity, but the overall financial position remains stable.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Ithaca Energy PLC demonstrates strong cash flow management, with operating cash flow significantly exceeding net income, yielding a high operating cash flow to net income ratio. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, reflecting good cash generation despite capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio further underscores the company's ability to generate cash, even during periods of net loss.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.21B1.98B2.32B2.60B1.43B1.11B
Gross Profit1.08B842.21M1.00B1.25B549.06M311.46M
EBITDA1.37B1.04B1.15B1.79B918.11M618.15M
Net Income-148.25M153.15M215.63M1.03B620.62M-467.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.05B8.27B6.25B6.76B4.73B4.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments268.94M178.08M156.54M253.82M44.85M1.20M
Total Debt1.08B1.07B768.71M1.27B1.40B1.85B
Total Liabilities5.23B5.23B3.80B4.30B4.06B3.72B
Stockholders Equity2.82B3.04B2.44B2.46B676.51M542.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow445.29M389.20M811.97M1.34B643.06M593.21M
Operating Cash Flow974.85M853.28M1.29B1.72B912.66M735.27M
Investing Cash Flow-591.30M-390.91M-492.40M-1.40B-220.15M-198.96M
Financing Cash Flow-411.84M-449.48M-900.73M-107.45M-650.74M-549.87M

Ithaca Energy PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price165.80
Price Trends
50DMA
152.40
Positive
100DMA
142.82
Positive
200DMA
123.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.81
Positive
RSI
59.51
Neutral
STOCH
68.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ITH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 165.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 160.95, above the 50-day MA of 152.40, and above the 200-day MA of 123.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.81 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:ITH.

Ithaca Energy PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
£1.75B11.8717.50%8.65%-9.80%-1.98%
79
Outperform
£1.36B10.029.56%3.59%89.44%540.95%
GBSQZ
73
Outperform
£649.28M8.8911.29%12.11%-9.79%-46.17%
67
Neutral
$15.20B9.676.33%6.14%4.05%-66.98%
GBITH
67
Neutral
£2.74B15.84-5.65%22.98%1.04%-156.59%
GBHBR
67
Neutral
£3.35B21.62-2.87%13.14%29.33%
GBDEC
59
Neutral
£840.19M-16.60%7.84%-11.09%-110.76%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ITH
Ithaca Energy PLC
165.80
63.40
61.91%
GB:SEPL
SEPLAT Petroleum Development
230.50
51.20
28.56%
GB:HBR
Harbour Energy
198.90
-77.63
-28.07%
GB:ENOG
Energean
952.00
-4.85
-0.51%
GB:SQZ
Serica Energy
165.20
48.01
40.97%
GB:DEC
Diversified Energy Company
1,083.00
-56.60
-4.97%

Ithaca Energy PLC Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Announces Board Appointment
Positive
Jul 17, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced that Deborah Gudgeon has been appointed as an Independent Non-Executive Director to the Board of Valterra Platinum Limited. This appointment may enhance Ithaca Energy’s strategic positioning by potentially fostering new partnerships or insights from Gudgeon’s involvement with Valterra Platinum.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITH) stock is a Hold with a £1.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ithaca Energy PLC stock, see the GB:ITH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Executives Participate in Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced that its Share Incentive Plan (SIP) facilitated the purchase of ordinary shares by key executives, including the Executive Chairman and Chief Financial Officer, through Computershare Share Plan Trustees Limited. This move, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, aligns with the company’s strategy to engage employees in its growth and success, potentially enhancing stakeholder value and reinforcing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITH) stock is a Hold with a £1.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ithaca Energy PLC stock, see the GB:ITH Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Completes Strategic Acquisition to Boost North Sea Presence
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

Ithaca Energy has completed the acquisition of JAPEX UK E&P Limited, increasing its stake in the Seagull field from 35% to 50%, matching bp’s interest. This acquisition, valued at $193 million, is part of Ithaca’s strategy to enhance production and cash flow from high-quality assets, reinforcing its position as a key player in the UK North Sea oil and gas industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITH) stock is a Hold with a £1.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ithaca Energy PLC stock, see the GB:ITH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Enhances Employee Investment with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced the purchase of ordinary shares by its managerial staff under the company’s Share Incentive Plan. This plan allows employees to acquire shares through salary deductions, aligning their interests with company performance. The transactions were conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflecting the company’s commitment to employee investment and engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITH) stock is a Sell with a £1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ithaca Energy PLC stock, see the GB:ITH Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ithaca Energy Reports Record Q1 2025 Performance Amid Strategic Acquisitions
Positive
May 21, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC reported record quarterly production and adjusted EBITDAX for Q1 2025, driven by its enlarged portfolio and strategic acquisitions, including increased stakes in the Seagull and Cygnus fields. The company’s strong financial performance, with significant liquidity and a low leverage position, supports its growth strategy and shareholder returns, positioning it as a leading gas producer in the UKCS.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITH) stock is a Hold with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ithaca Energy PLC stock, see the GB:ITH Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Expands Stake in Cygnus Gas Field
Positive
May 20, 2025

Ithaca Energy has signed an agreement to acquire an additional 46.25% stake in the Cygnus gas field from Spirit Energy for £116 million, increasing its operated interest to 85%. This acquisition aligns with Ithaca’s strategy of value-accretive M&A, enhancing its portfolio with high-quality assets in the UK Continental Shelf. The Cygnus field, the largest gas field in the UKCS, is crucial for the UK’s energy security, and this transaction is expected to add significant reserves and production capacity, with further potential through infill drilling.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITH) stock is a Hold with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ithaca Energy PLC stock, see the GB:ITH Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Reinvests Dividends in Executive Share Purchases
Positive
May 15, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced that dividends paid on shares within its Share Incentive Plan were reinvested to purchase additional shares for its executives, including the Executive Chairman and Chief Financial Officer. This reinvestment, conducted in accordance with the company’s SIP scheme rules, underscores Ithaca Energy’s commitment to aligning management interests with shareholder value, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence in the company’s governance and financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITH) stock is a Hold with a £116.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ithaca Energy PLC stock, see the GB:ITH Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy PLC Announces Successful AGM Resolutions
Positive
May 14, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced the successful passing of all resolutions at its Annual General Meeting held on May 14, 2025. The resolutions included the approval of the annual report, director appointments, and authorizations related to share allotment and company share purchases. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support and positions the company to continue its strategic initiatives and governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITH) stock is a Hold with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ithaca Energy PLC stock, see the GB:ITH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Enhances Employee Engagement with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
May 7, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced the purchase of ordinary shares by its managerial staff under the company’s Share Incentive Plan (SIP), which is an all-employee share plan approved by HM Revenue and Customs. This move is part of the company’s efforts to align the interests of its employees with its operational goals, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence and reinforcing its market position.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Grants Deferred Bonus Awards to Key Executives
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced the granting of deferred bonus awards to its directors and persons discharging managerial responsibilities (PDMRs) under the company’s Deferred Share Bonus Plan. The awards, which are nil-cost options to acquire ordinary shares, are set to vest on the third anniversary of the grant date. This move aligns with the company’s strategy to incentivize its leadership team, potentially impacting its operational focus and stakeholder interests by aligning management incentives with long-term company performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 18, 2025