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Ithaca Energy PLC (GB:ITH)
:ITH
UK Market

Ithaca Energy PLC (ITH) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

Ithaca Energy PLC

(LSE:ITH)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
166.00p
▲(14.33%Upside)
Ithaca Energy PLC's strong technical momentum and strategic corporate actions are key strengths, driving a high overall score. However, challenges in declining revenue and free cash flow warrant attention. The stock's favorable valuation with a high dividend yield further supports its attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
Ithaca's acquisition of an additional stake in the Cygnus gas field increases its ownership to 85%, positioning the company to benefit from the UK's largest producing gas field.
Reserves
The 2P reserves being acquired exceed current estimates, indicating a significant potential increase in reserves.
Negative Factors
Dividend
The forecasted cash dividend is expected to decline as a result of lower commodity price forecasts and reduced production levels.
Net Asset Value
Despite derisking certain projects, the Net Asset Value remains below the current share price, suggesting potential overvaluation.

Ithaca Energy PLC (ITH) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Ithaca Energy PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIthaca Energy Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas in the North Sea. The company own a portfolio of assets located in Northern and Central North Sea and Moray Firth areas. As of December 31, 2021, it had proved and probable reserves, and resources of 5.6 millions of barrels of oil equivalent. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Aberdeen, the United Kingdom. Ithaca Energy Limited is a subsidiary of Delek North Sea Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyIthaca Energy PLC generates revenue through the exploration, extraction, and sale of oil and natural gas. The company's primary revenue streams come from the production of hydrocarbons, which are sold in global energy markets. Ithaca Energy's earnings are influenced by factors such as oil and gas prices, production efficiency, and the successful management of its asset portfolio in the North Sea. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other energy companies also play a role in enhancing operational capabilities and expanding the company's market reach, thus contributing to its revenue generation.

Ithaca Energy PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ithaca Energy PLC demonstrates solid profitability and reasonable leverage, yet faces challenges with declining revenue and free cash flow. The financial health is stable, but strategic actions may be needed to ensure sustainable cash generation.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Ithaca Energy PLC shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 42.5% and an EBIT margin of 26.4% for 2024. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 7.7% from 9.3% in 2023, indicating pressure on net income. Revenue has seen a declining trend, dropping from $2.6 billion in 2022 to $2 billion in 2024, which is a concern for top-line growth.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, which is manageable but slightly increased from previous years. The equity ratio is 36.7%, showing a reasonable proportion of equity financing. However, total assets have grown to $8.3 billion, while stockholders' equity has only modestly increased, indicating leveraged growth.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust at $853 million, but free cash flow has decreased significantly to $389 million in 2024, a 52% drop from 2023. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting effective conversion of earnings to cash; however, the decline in free cash flow poses concerns about future liquidity and investment capacity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.98B2.32B2.60B1.43B1.11B
Gross Profit
842.21M1.00B1.25B549.06M311.46M
EBIT
523.75M486.06M1.13B462.20M245.32M
EBITDA
1.04B1.15B1.79B918.11M618.15M
Net Income Common Stockholders
153.15M215.63M1.03B620.62M-467.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
178.08M156.54M253.82M44.85M1.20M
Total Assets
8.27B6.25B6.76B4.73B4.26B
Total Debt
1.07B768.71M1.27B1.40B1.85B
Net Debt
899.98M615.49M1.02B1.35B1.85B
Total Liabilities
5.23B3.80B4.30B4.06B3.72B
Stockholders Equity
3.04B2.44B2.46B676.51M542.47M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
389.20M811.97M1.34B643.06M593.21M
Operating Cash Flow
853.28M1.29B1.72B912.66M735.27M
Investing Cash Flow
-390.91M-492.40M-1.40B-220.15M-198.96M
Financing Cash Flow
-449.48M-900.73M-107.45M-650.74M-549.87M

Ithaca Energy PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price145.20
Price Trends
50DMA
137.73
Positive
100DMA
131.72
Positive
200DMA
114.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.64
Negative
RSI
63.63
Neutral
STOCH
76.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ITH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 145.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 138.56, above the 50-day MA of 137.73, and above the 200-day MA of 114.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:ITH.

Ithaca Energy PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
£1.61B10.8917.50%10.64%-9.80%-1.98%
GBITH
78
Outperform
£2.40B14.115.54%11.65%-16.96%-34.52%
77
Outperform
£1.31B9.659.56%5.08%89.44%540.95%
GBSQZ
75
Outperform
£638.27M8.5511.29%14.46%-9.79%-46.17%
GBHBR
68
Neutral
£3.17B21.62-2.87%10.71%29.33%
GBDEC
62
Neutral
£804.85M-16.60%8.69%-11.09%-110.76%
57
Neutral
$7.14B3.09-4.49%5.67%0.82%-49.15%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ITH
Ithaca Energy PLC
146.20
42.16
40.52%
GB:DEC
Diversified Energy Company
1,042.00
-4.63
-0.44%
GB:HBR
Harbour Energy
189.00
-98.00
-34.15%
GB:SEPL
SEPLAT Petroleum Development
223.50
36.73
19.67%
GB:SQZ
Serica Energy
151.60
12.89
9.29%
GB:ENOG
Energean
890.00
-62.31
-6.54%

Ithaca Energy PLC Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Enhances Employee Investment with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced the purchase of ordinary shares by its managerial staff under the company’s Share Incentive Plan. This plan allows employees to acquire shares through salary deductions, aligning their interests with company performance. The transactions were conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflecting the company’s commitment to employee investment and engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITH) stock is a Sell with a £1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ithaca Energy PLC stock, see the GB:ITH Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ithaca Energy Reports Record Q1 2025 Performance Amid Strategic Acquisitions
Positive
May 21, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC reported record quarterly production and adjusted EBITDAX for Q1 2025, driven by its enlarged portfolio and strategic acquisitions, including increased stakes in the Seagull and Cygnus fields. The company’s strong financial performance, with significant liquidity and a low leverage position, supports its growth strategy and shareholder returns, positioning it as a leading gas producer in the UKCS.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITH) stock is a Hold with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ithaca Energy PLC stock, see the GB:ITH Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Expands Stake in Cygnus Gas Field
Positive
May 20, 2025

Ithaca Energy has signed an agreement to acquire an additional 46.25% stake in the Cygnus gas field from Spirit Energy for £116 million, increasing its operated interest to 85%. This acquisition aligns with Ithaca’s strategy of value-accretive M&A, enhancing its portfolio with high-quality assets in the UK Continental Shelf. The Cygnus field, the largest gas field in the UKCS, is crucial for the UK’s energy security, and this transaction is expected to add significant reserves and production capacity, with further potential through infill drilling.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITH) stock is a Hold with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ithaca Energy PLC stock, see the GB:ITH Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Reinvests Dividends in Executive Share Purchases
Positive
May 15, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced that dividends paid on shares within its Share Incentive Plan were reinvested to purchase additional shares for its executives, including the Executive Chairman and Chief Financial Officer. This reinvestment, conducted in accordance with the company’s SIP scheme rules, underscores Ithaca Energy’s commitment to aligning management interests with shareholder value, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence in the company’s governance and financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITH) stock is a Hold with a £116.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ithaca Energy PLC stock, see the GB:ITH Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy PLC Announces Successful AGM Resolutions
Positive
May 14, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced the successful passing of all resolutions at its Annual General Meeting held on May 14, 2025. The resolutions included the approval of the annual report, director appointments, and authorizations related to share allotment and company share purchases. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support and positions the company to continue its strategic initiatives and governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITH) stock is a Hold with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ithaca Energy PLC stock, see the GB:ITH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Enhances Employee Engagement with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
May 7, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced the purchase of ordinary shares by its managerial staff under the company’s Share Incentive Plan (SIP), which is an all-employee share plan approved by HM Revenue and Customs. This move is part of the company’s efforts to align the interests of its employees with its operational goals, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence and reinforcing its market position.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Grants Deferred Bonus Awards to Key Executives
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced the granting of deferred bonus awards to its directors and persons discharging managerial responsibilities (PDMRs) under the company’s Deferred Share Bonus Plan. The awards, which are nil-cost options to acquire ordinary shares, are set to vest on the third anniversary of the grant date. This move aligns with the company’s strategy to incentivize its leadership team, potentially impacting its operational focus and stakeholder interests by aligning management incentives with long-term company performance.

Dividends
Ithaca Energy Announces Third Interim Dividend Payment
Positive
Apr 11, 2025

Ithaca Energy announced the payment of a third interim dividend of $200 million, equivalent to $0.1209 per ordinary share, to be distributed to shareholders on 25 April 2025. The dividend, converted to sterling at a rate of £1 = US$1.2830, will amount to 9.4232 pence per share, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to delivering attractive returns to its investors.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ithaca Energy Releases 2024 Annual Report and AGM Notice
Neutral
Apr 11, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC has published its 2024 Annual Report and Accounts, along with the Notice of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, which will be held on May 14 in Aberdeen, Scotland. The publication of these documents is in accordance with UK Financial Conduct Authority regulations, and they are available on the company’s website and the FCA’s National Storage Mechanism. This announcement underscores Ithaca Energy’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance, while also highlighting its strategic focus on energy security and sustainable operations in the UK North Sea.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Announces Share Purchases Under Incentive Plan
Neutral
Apr 8, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced that on April 7, 2025, purchases of its ordinary shares were made under the company’s Share Incentive Plan (SIP) by Computershare Share Plan Trustees Limited on behalf of the company’s key managerial personnel. This plan allows employees to buy shares using salary deductions, aligning employee interests with company performance. The transactions were conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflecting the company’s commitment to employee engagement and stakeholder alignment.

Dividends
Ithaca Energy Reinvests Dividends in Share Incentive Plan
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced that dividends paid on shares held within their Share Incentive Plan (SIP) in April and September 2024 were reinvested to purchase additional shares. This transaction involved key company figures, including the Chief Financial Officer and a former Executive Chairman, and was conducted in accordance with SIP rules on the London Stock Exchange.

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ithaca Energy CFO Executes Share Option and Sale
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced a transaction involving its Chief Financial Officer, Iain Lewis, who exercised a vested nil-cost option award over 114,274 ordinary shares, which he subsequently sold. This transaction, conducted under the company’s Long Term Incentive Plan, reflects internal financial maneuvers and compliance with regulatory disclosure requirements, potentially impacting shareholder perceptions and market dynamics.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ithaca Energy’s Transformational 2024: Strategic Growth and Strong Performance
Positive
Mar 26, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC reported a transformational year in 2024, highlighted by a significant business combination with Eni UK, which positioned it as the largest resource holder in the UKCS. The company achieved robust operational and financial performance, with strong production levels and a total dividend payout of $500 million. The acquisition of JAPEX UK E&P Limited further solidifies its growth strategy, increasing its stake in the Seagull field. Ithaca Energy also completed a successful refinancing, ensuring over $1 billion in liquidity, and made progress on key projects like Rosebank and Captain, while maintaining a strong safety record.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Announces Third Interim Dividend for 2024
Positive
Mar 26, 2025

Ithaca Energy has announced a third interim dividend for 2024 amounting to $200 million, equivalent to $0.1209 per ordinary share, to be paid on April 25, 2025. This move reflects the company’s commitment to delivering attractive and sustainable returns, supported by its emissions-reduction strategy and focus on energy security, aligning with the UK Government’s priorities.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Expands Stake in Seagull Oil Field with JAPEX Acquisition
Positive
Mar 25, 2025

Ithaca Energy has announced the acquisition of JAPEX UK E&P Limited, increasing its stake in the Seagull oil field in the UK North Sea from 35% to 50%. This strategic move is expected to add significant reserves and production capacity, aligning with Ithaca’s strategy of value-accretive M&A and enhancing its role in the UK energy market. The acquisition also includes substantial tax benefits, reflecting JAPEX’s investment in the field, and positions Ithaca Energy to play a key role in domestic energy security.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.