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Pan African Resources PLC (GB:PAF)
LSE:PAF

Pan African Resources (PAF) AI Stock Analysis

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Pan African Resources

(LSE:PAF)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
53.00p
▲(10.88%Upside)
Pan African Resources presents a solid investment case with strong financial stability, positive technical momentum, and supportive corporate actions. While the valuation is fair, recent operational achievements and strategic investor confidence enhance its attractiveness. Continued focus on managing free cash flow and debt levels will be important for sustaining long-term growth.

Pan African Resources (PAF) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Pan African Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPan African Resources PLC engages in the mining, extraction, production, and the sale of gold in South Africa. Its flagship projects include the Barberton gold project that consists of three underground mines, including Fairview, Sheba, and New Consort located in the Barberton Greenstone Belt; and Elikhulu tailings retreatment plant in Southern Africa. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.
How the Company Makes MoneyPan African Resources generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold, which is its core business. The company operates several gold mining projects, including underground and surface mining operations, which yield gold bullion and other gold products. Revenue is derived from selling these products to various customers, including international gold buyers and local refineries. The company also has interests in platinum group metals and coal, contributing to its revenue diversification. Strategic partnerships, cost-efficient mining practices, and continuous exploration activities play a significant role in maintaining and enhancing profitability. Additionally, Pan African Resources focuses on optimizing production processes and reducing operational costs to maximize its earnings.

Pan African Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pan African Resources exhibits strong financial stability with commendable profitability metrics. The company shows healthy revenue and profit growth despite some volatility. A conservative debt level is maintained, though recent increases in debt require monitoring. Cash flow management is an area for improvement, particularly regarding free cash flow due to significant capital expenditures.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Pan African Resources has demonstrated a commendable revenue growth rate of 16.22% in the latest year, with a strong net profit margin of 21.23%. The gross profit margin is at 35.15%, indicating efficient cost management relative to revenue. However, revenue has shown volatility over the years, notably decreasing from 2022 to 2023. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, reflecting healthy operating and overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.36, which suggests a conservative level of leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is robust at 21.73%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 53.23%, showing a balanced use of debt and equity in financing assets. However, the increase in total debt in recent years poses a potential risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow covers net income well, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.14. However, the company has experienced negative free cash flow growth due to significant capital expenditures, which can strain liquidity if it continues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash outflows exceeding the net income, which could be concerning if sustained.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
435.09M373.80M321.61M376.37M368.91M274.11M
Gross Profit
150.13M131.37M102.42M121.40M124.57M93.67M
EBIT
153.41M115.59M95.19M112.67M112.51M65.45M
EBITDA
170.13M143.01M115.17M105.22M144.90M69.36M
Net Income Common Stockholders
90.43M79.38M61.14M75.14M74.69M44.29M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
31.30M26.33M34.77M26.99M35.13M33.53M
Total Assets
573.65M686.07M500.94M457.09M483.09M368.62M
Total Debt
93.04M130.73M56.84M38.96M58.69M89.25M
Net Debt
61.74M104.40M22.07M11.97M23.55M55.72M
Total Liabilities
246.20M321.97M206.34M162.48M199.46M185.00M
Stockholders Equity
328.22M365.22M295.12M294.78M283.63M183.62M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
10.63M-75.44M-12.70M27.32M37.80M19.10M
Operating Cash Flow
164.79M90.80M100.12M110.01M82.24M53.83M
Investing Cash Flow
-150.32M-169.38M-112.73M-81.39M-44.15M-30.64M
Financing Cash Flow
-15.49M68.98M24.87M-32.36M-44.47M3.34M

Pan African Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price47.80
Price Trends
50DMA
45.68
Positive
100DMA
41.84
Positive
200DMA
37.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.66
Positive
RSI
54.45
Neutral
STOCH
47.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:PAF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 47.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.65, above the 50-day MA of 45.68, and above the 200-day MA of 37.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:PAF.

Pan African Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBSRB
82
Outperform
£157.25M5.0330.73%42.36%270.33%
81
Outperform
£115.07M5.5534.04%45.63%126.68%
GBPAF
74
Outperform
£963.93M14.2221.65%2.02%0.07%6.71%
GBHOC
63
Neutral
£1.19B15.7315.70%0.59%31.84%
51
Neutral
$2.04B-1.21-21.10%3.95%2.90%-30.45%
GBAAZ
£199.92M-22.65%
GBMTL
£256.67M12.6019.64%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:PAF
Pan African Resources
47.80
23.66
98.01%
GB:ALTN
AltynGold Plc
415.50
301.50
264.47%
GB:AAZ
Anglo Asian Mining
170.00
102.00
150.00%
GB:HOC
Hochschild Mining
247.60
79.44
47.24%
GB:MTL
Metals Exploration
9.20
4.65
102.20%
GB:SRB
Serabi Gold
171.50
107.70
168.81%

Pan African Resources Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pan African Resources Achieves Record Gold Production and Reduces Debt
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

Pan African Resources reported a record half-year gold production of approximately 112,000 ounces in FY25H2, marking a 32% increase from the previous half. Despite this achievement, the full-year production is expected to fall slightly below the guidance range due to delays in certain projects. The company also announced a substantial reduction in net debt by 32% and a share buyback program. Looking forward, Pan African anticipates a significant increase in production for FY26, driven by steady-state production at the Mogale Tailings Retreatment operation and increased output from the Evander underground operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PAF) stock is a Buy with a £0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan African Resources stock, see the GB:PAF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Pan African Resources Announces Change in Major Shareholder Holdings
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

Pan African Resources PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Allan Gray Proprietary Limited crossing a threshold in their voting rights. The acquisition or disposal of voting rights resulted in Allan Gray holding 11.7958% of the voting rights in Pan African Resources, down from a previous position of 12.9544%. This change in holdings could impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially influencing its strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PAF) stock is a Buy with a £0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pan African Resources stock, see the GB:PAF Stock Forecast page.

Other
Pan African Resources Sees Change in Major Shareholder Holdings
Neutral
May 8, 2025

Pan African Resources PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Allan Gray Proprietary Limited adjusting its voting rights in the company. As of May 6, 2025, Allan Gray’s voting rights have decreased from 13.8166% to 12.9544%, which reflects a disposal of shares. This change in holdings may impact the company’s shareholder dynamics and influence future decision-making processes.

Business Operations and Strategy
Pan African Resources Sees Increased Stake by Public Investment Corporation
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

Pan African Resources PLC, a UK-based company, has announced a significant change in its voting rights structure. The Public Investment Corporation SOC Limited, based in Pretoria, South Africa, has increased its stake in Pan African Resources to 14.815% from a previous 13.884%, as of April 29, 2025. This acquisition of voting rights could potentially impact the company’s decision-making processes and influence its strategic direction.

Business Operations and Strategy
Allan Gray Adjusts Stake in Pan African Resources
Neutral
Apr 16, 2025

Allan Gray Proprietary Limited has adjusted its holdings in Pan African Resources PLC, reducing its voting rights from 14.97% to 13.82% as of April 11, 2025. This change in shareholding could impact the company’s governance dynamics and influence within the market, as it reflects a shift in stakeholder engagement and investment strategy.

Business Operations and Strategy
Van Eck Associates Boosts Stake in Pan African Resources
Neutral
Mar 25, 2025

Pan African Resources PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Van Eck Associates Corporation increasing its voting rights from 4.765% to 6.799%. This acquisition of additional voting rights signifies a strengthened position for Van Eck in the company, potentially impacting the company’s strategic decisions and market influence.

Business Operations and Strategy
Public Investment Corporation Increases Stake in Pan African Resources
Positive
Mar 25, 2025

Public Investment Corporation SOC Limited has increased its stake in Pan African Resources PLC, crossing the 13% threshold of voting rights. This acquisition signifies a notable shift in shareholder composition, potentially impacting the company’s strategic decisions and signaling confidence in its market position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.