Mondi plc (MNDI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £4.74B
• Dividend Yield: 5.6%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.41M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 29.8
• Beta (1Y): 1.15
• Revenue Growth: 3.30%
• EPS Growth: -58.67%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 22,473
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 57
• Industry: Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
• EPS (TTM): 0.37
• Shares Outstanding: 441,412,540
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,790,717
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,412,294
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £1,249.33
• Price Target Upside: 16.38% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6

• Rating: 62 Neutral
• Price Target: 1,121.00p ▲(4.42% Upside)

Mondi plc's overall stock score is driven by mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. Positive corporate events and a strong dividend yield provide some support, but high valuation metrics and declining profitability are concerns.

Positive Factors

Acquisition

Mondi's acquisition of Schumacher is expected to strengthen Mondi's corrugated footprint in Europe and be highly value accretive over time.

Earnings

Mondi expects sequentially higher Q4 EBITDA from a combination of seasonally stronger demand and considerably less costly maintenance activity.

Growth Prospects

Mondi's €1.2bn growth capex program is nearing completion, expected to add €200m to annual EBITDA by 2026, evenly spread between 2025 and 2026.

Negative Factors

Debt Levels

Near term weaker earnings and higher indebtedness cause analysts to lower the price target to 1,815p from 1,933p.

Financial Performance

Mondi hit an unexpected speed bump in Q3, delivering underlying EBITDA significantly lower than expectations due to high maintenance activity and forestry fair value losses.

Stock Price

Mondi's stock price dropped 7.5% on weak sequential performance in Q3 and directionally cautious comments on the current trading environment.

Mondi plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mondi plc engages in the manufacture and sale of packaging and paper products in Africa, Western Europe, Emerging Europe, Russia, North America, South America, Asia, and Australia. It operates in Corrugated Packaging, Flexible Packaging, Engineered Materials, and Uncoated Fine Paper segments. The company offers flexible packaging, bags, and pouches; personal care components; release liners; functional films; corrugated solutions; industrial bags; barrier coatings; specialty Kraft and sack Kraft papers; containerboards; and office and professional printing papers. It serves customers in the agriculture, automotive, building and construction, chemicals and dangerous goods, food and beverages, graphic and photographic, home and personal care, medical and pharmaceutical, office and professional printing, paper and packaging converting, pet care, retail and e-commerce, and shipping and transport industries. Mondi plc was founded in 1967 and is based in Weybridge, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Mondi generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of packaging and paper products. The company’s key revenue streams include flexible packaging solutions for food and consumer goods, which are designed to enhance product shelf life and reduce waste. Additionally, Mondi produces corrugated packaging and paper bags, serving various industries including e-commerce and retail. The company also engages in the sale of uncoated fine paper and specialty paper products. Significant partnerships with major brands and manufacturers in these sectors help drive sales and expand market reach. Moreover, Mondi's commitment to sustainability and innovation allows it to cater to the growing demand for eco-friendly packaging solutions, further bolstering its revenue potential.

Mondi plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mondi plc shows a mixed financial picture. While the gross profit margin is strong, declining net income and negative free cash flow raise concerns. A stable balance sheet provides some reassurance, but recent trends suggest the need for strategic adjustments.

Income Statement

Mondi plc's income statement shows mixed performance. The gross profit margin has been relatively strong, but there is a concerning trend of declining net profit margins and EBIT margins over recent years. Revenue growth has been inconsistent with recent declines, which could indicate challenges in maintaining market position or pricing power.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Mondi plc is relatively stable with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio. However, the decline in stockholders' equity over the last year and a reduction in the equity ratio raise concerns about long-term financial health. The return on equity has also seen significant fluctuations, indicating potential volatility in shareholder returns.

Cash Flow

Mondi plc's cash flow statement highlights some challenges. Free cash flow has turned negative in the most recent period, and there has been a significant decrease in operating cash flow compared to previous years. These trends suggest potential liquidity pressures and a need for careful cash management to support future operations and investments.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	7.42B	7.33B	8.90B	6.97B	6.66B
Gross Profit	3.08B	2.74B	3.43B	2.76B	2.98B
EBITDA	918.00M	1.21B	2.11B	1.16B	1.30B
Net Income	218.00M	-153.00M	1.45B	543.00M	582.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	9.34B	9.96B	10.85B	9.26B	8.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	278.00M	1.61B	1.07B	473.00M	383.00M
Total Debt	2.02B	2.02B	2.07B	2.23B	2.18B
Total Liabilities	3.99B	3.87B	4.59B	4.37B	3.98B
Stockholders Equity	4.86B	5.66B	5.79B	4.50B	4.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-143.00M	465.00M	891.00M	624.00M	645.00M
Operating Cash Flow	851.00M	1.36B	1.45B	1.15B	1.32B
Investing Cash Flow	-936.00M	-482.00M	32.00M	-670.00M	-675.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.23B	-541.00M	-572.00M	-372.00M	-268.00M

Mondi plc Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 1073.50
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:MNDI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1073.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1064.24, below the 50-day MA of 1123.66, and below the 200-day MA of 1138.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -22.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:MNDI.

Mondi plc Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JMAT	75 Outperform	£3.17B	8.93	15.96%	4.04%	-9.10%	239.75%
VCT	67 Neutral	£611.44M	20.59	6.65%	8.64%	4.75%	-3.29%
CRDA	64 Neutral	£3.54B	25.31	6.17%	3.20%	2.36%	-13.99%
VSVS	64 Neutral	£880.53M	12.90	6.19%	1.91%	-4.27%	-28.32%
BA29	63 Neutral	£577.21M	―		536.96%	―	―
MNDI	62 Neutral	£4.74B	29.80	3.86%	5.60%	3.30%	-58.67%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.10B	6.13	0.58%	2.90%	3.10%	-40.33%

Mondi plc Corporate Events

Mondi plc Announces Change in Major Shareholder Interests

Mondi plc has announced a change in the major interests of its shares, with Allan Gray Proprietary Limited acquiring a significant voting rights stake. The acquisition increases Allan Gray’s voting rights in Mondi to 7.03%, up from a previous 6.01%. This shift in shareholding could influence Mondi’s strategic decisions and impact its stakeholders, highlighting the importance of monitoring shareholder dynamics in the company’s governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Mondi plc Directors Participate in Share Incentive Plan

Mondi plc announced transactions related to its Share Incentive Plan (SIP) involving its directors, allowing UK employees to acquire shares through salary deductions and receive free matching shares. This initiative reflects Mondi’s commitment to employee engagement and aligns with its strategic focus on sustainable growth, potentially enhancing stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £16.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Mondi plc Announces Change in Major Shareholder Voting Rights

Mondi plc has announced a change in the voting rights held by Coronation Fund Managers, which now holds 8.51% of the voting rights in the company. This increase from the previous 7.01% signifies a notable shift in shareholder influence, potentially impacting the company’s governance and strategic decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Mondi plc Announces Change in Major Shareholding

Mondi plc has announced a change in the voting rights held by Ninety One SA (Pty) Ltd, which now holds 4.63% of the total voting rights in Mondi. This adjustment in shareholding reflects a decrease from a previous position of 5.23%, potentially impacting the company’s shareholder dynamics and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Mondi plc Announces Change in Voting Rights

Mondi plc has announced a change in the voting rights held by Silchester International Investors LLP, which now holds 5.02% of the voting rights in the company. This adjustment follows a series of transactions and reflects Silchester’s role as an investment manager for various commingled funds, although no single client holds more than 5% of the voting rights. This change may influence Mondi’s shareholder dynamics and reflects ongoing investment interest in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Mondi Announces 2025 Interim Dividend Details

Mondi plc announced an interim dividend of 23.33 euro cents per share for the year ending December 2025, payable on 26 September 2025. UK shareholders will receive the dividend in sterling unless they opt for euros, while South African shareholders will receive it in rand, subject to local tax regulations. The dividend reflects Mondi’s strong financial position and commitment to returning value to shareholders, with implications for tax treatment based on the shareholder’s residency.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Mondi plc Directors Participate in Share Incentive Plan

Mondi plc announced transactions related to its Share Incentive Plan (SIP) involving its directors, Andrew King and Mike Powell. The SIP allows UK employees to purchase Mondi shares through salary deductions and receive free matching shares. These transactions, conducted on 7 July 2025, involved the acquisition of partnership and free matching shares, with half acquired for nil consideration, reflecting Mondi’s commitment to employee engagement and shareholding.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Coronation Fund Managers Increases Stake in Mondi plc

Mondi plc has announced a change in the major interests of its shares, as Coronation Fund Managers, based in Cape Town, South Africa, has acquired a 7.006423% voting rights stake in the company. This acquisition signifies a slight increase from their previous position and reflects a strategic move by Coronation Fund Managers, potentially impacting Mondi’s shareholder dynamics and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Mondi plc Directors Engage in Share Incentive Plan Transactions

Mondi plc announced transactions related to its Share Incentive Plan (SIP) involving directors Andrew King and Mike Powell. The SIP allows UK employees to purchase ordinary shares through salary deductions and receive free matching shares, enhancing employee participation and aligning interests with company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Mondi Announces Results of 2024 Dividend Reinvestment Plan

Mondi plc announced the results of its 2024 final dividend reinvestment plan, highlighting shareholder participation in both the UK and South African markets. Shareholders on the UK main register holding 0.83% of Mondi’s issued share capital and those on the South African branch register holding 2.84% opted for the Dividend Reinvestment Plans, resulting in the purchase of additional shares in the market. This move reflects Mondi’s ongoing commitment to shareholder value and sustainable growth, reinforcing its strong market position and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Mondi plc Announces Change in Shareholder Voting Rights

Mondi plc has announced a change in its shareholder structure, with Coronation Fund Managers adjusting its voting rights in the company. The adjustment sees Coronation Fund Managers holding 6.993902% of the voting rights, down from a previous 7.021019%. This change in shareholding could impact Mondi’s strategic decisions and influence within the market, as it reflects a slight shift in investor confidence or strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Hold with a £17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.