Mondi plc (MNDI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £5.15B
• Dividend Yield: 5.8%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.05M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 28.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.12
• Revenue Growth: -1.55%
• EPS Growth: -65.03%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 22,473
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 67
• Industry: Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
• EPS (TTM): 0.37
• Shares Outstanding: 441,412,540
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,071,762
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,051,571
• PEG Ratio: 0.04
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.21
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 7.88
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £1,370.00
• Price Target Upside: 33.33% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 64 Neutral
• Price Target: 1,247.00p ▲(21.36%Upside)

Mondi's overall stock score is 63.5, reflecting a mixed financial performance and neutral technical outlook. Positive corporate events and a strong dividend yield provide some support, but high valuation and negative cash flow trends warrant caution. Investors should monitor the company's ability to improve financial metrics and maintain strategic momentum.

Positive Factors

Acquisition

Mondi's acquisition of Schumacher is expected to strengthen Mondi's corrugated footprint in Europe and be highly value accretive over time.

Earnings

Mondi expects sequentially higher Q4 EBITDA from a combination of seasonally stronger demand and considerably less costly maintenance activity.

Growth Prospects

Mondi's €1.2bn growth capex program is nearing completion, expected to add €200m to annual EBITDA by 2026, evenly spread between 2025 and 2026.

Negative Factors

Debt Levels

Near term weaker earnings and higher indebtedness cause analysts to lower the price target to 1,815p from 1,933p.

Financial Performance

Mondi hit an unexpected speed bump in Q3, delivering underlying EBITDA significantly lower than expectations due to high maintenance activity and forestry fair value losses.

Stock Price

Mondi's stock price dropped 7.5% on weak sequential performance in Q3 and directionally cautious comments on the current trading environment.

Mondi plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mondi plc (MNDI) is a global leader in packaging and paper, providing innovative and sustainable solutions for a wide range of industries. Headquartered in the United Kingdom, Mondi operates across more than 30 countries, with a strong presence in Central Europe, Russia, and South Africa. The company specializes in the production of packaging solutions, paper products, and advanced materials, serving sectors such as consumer goods, e-commerce, automotive, and industrial applications.

How the Company Makes Money

Mondi plc generates revenue through the sale of its diverse range of packaging and paper products. Its primary revenue streams include corrugated packaging, flexible packaging, engineered materials, and uncoated fine paper. The company leverages its integrated value chain, from managing forests and producing pulp and paper to developing and manufacturing innovative packaging solutions. Mondi's financial performance is bolstered by strategic partnerships with major global brands and its commitment to sustainability, which enhances its market appeal and customer loyalty. Additionally, Mondi invests in continuous innovation to improve product functionality and environmental impact, further driving its competitive edge and profitability.

Mondi plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mondi plc shows a mixed financial picture. While the gross profit margin is strong, declining net income and negative free cash flow raise concerns. A stable balance sheet provides some reassurance, but recent trends suggest the need for strategic adjustments.

Income Statement

Mondi plc's income statement shows mixed performance. The gross profit margin has been relatively strong, but there is a concerning trend of declining net profit margins and EBIT margins over recent years. Revenue growth has been inconsistent with recent declines, which could indicate challenges in maintaining market position or pricing power.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Mondi plc is relatively stable with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio. However, the decline in stockholders' equity over the last year and a reduction in the equity ratio raise concerns about long-term financial health. The return on equity has also seen significant fluctuations, indicating potential volatility in shareholder returns.

Cash Flow

Mondi plc's cash flow statement highlights some challenges. Free cash flow has turned negative in the most recent period, and there has been a significant decrease in operating cash flow compared to previous years. These trends suggest potential liquidity pressures and a need for careful cash management to support future operations and investments.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	7.42B	7.33B	8.90B	6.97B	6.66B
Gross Profit	3.08B	2.74B	3.43B	2.76B	2.98B
EBITDA	918.00M	1.21B	2.11B	1.16B	1.30B
Net Income	218.00M	-153.00M	1.45B	543.00M	582.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	9.34B	9.96B	10.85B	9.26B	8.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	278.00M	1.61B	1.07B	473.00M	383.00M
Total Debt	2.02B	2.02B	2.07B	2.23B	2.18B
Total Liabilities	3.99B	3.87B	4.59B	4.37B	3.98B
Stockholders Equity	4.86B	5.66B	5.79B	4.50B	4.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-143.00M	465.00M	891.00M	624.00M	645.00M
Operating Cash Flow	851.00M	1.36B	1.45B	1.15B	1.32B
Investing Cash Flow	-936.00M	-482.00M	32.00M	-670.00M	-675.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.23B	-541.00M	-572.00M	-372.00M	-268.00M

Mondi plc Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 1027.50
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:MNDI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1027.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1169.98, below the 50-day MA of 1188.22, and below the 200-day MA of 1172.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -16.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.51 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:MNDI.

Mondi plc Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JMAT	72 Outperform	£2.96B	8.34	15.96%	4.31%	-9.10%	239.75%
VCT	66 Neutral	£594.05M	20.00	6.65%	8.67%	4.75%	-3.29%
VSVS	65 Neutral	£862.93M	10.53	7.20%	4.95%	-5.68%	-23.91%
MNDI	64 Neutral	£5.15B	28.10	4.17%	5.80%	-1.55%	-65.03%
BA29	63 Neutral	£630.45M	―		536.96%	―	―
CRDA	62 Neutral	£3.63B	25.92	6.17%	3.21%	2.36%	-13.99%
Sector *	44 Neutral	AU$1.49B	-6.14	-41.46%	4.16%	-2.94%	-41.86%

Mondi plc Corporate Events

Mondi Announces 2025 Interim Dividend Details

Mondi plc announced an interim dividend of 23.33 euro cents per share for the year ending December 2025, payable on 26 September 2025. UK shareholders will receive the dividend in sterling unless they opt for euros, while South African shareholders will receive it in rand, subject to local tax regulations. The dividend reflects Mondi’s strong financial position and commitment to returning value to shareholders, with implications for tax treatment based on the shareholder’s residency.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Mondi plc Directors Participate in Share Incentive Plan

Mondi plc announced transactions related to its Share Incentive Plan (SIP) involving its directors, Andrew King and Mike Powell. The SIP allows UK employees to purchase Mondi shares through salary deductions and receive free matching shares. These transactions, conducted on 7 July 2025, involved the acquisition of partnership and free matching shares, with half acquired for nil consideration, reflecting Mondi’s commitment to employee engagement and shareholding.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Coronation Fund Managers Increases Stake in Mondi plc

Mondi plc has announced a change in the major interests of its shares, as Coronation Fund Managers, based in Cape Town, South Africa, has acquired a 7.006423% voting rights stake in the company. This acquisition signifies a slight increase from their previous position and reflects a strategic move by Coronation Fund Managers, potentially impacting Mondi’s shareholder dynamics and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Mondi plc Directors Engage in Share Incentive Plan Transactions

Mondi plc announced transactions related to its Share Incentive Plan (SIP) involving directors Andrew King and Mike Powell. The SIP allows UK employees to purchase ordinary shares through salary deductions and receive free matching shares, enhancing employee participation and aligning interests with company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Mondi Announces Results of 2024 Dividend Reinvestment Plan

Mondi plc announced the results of its 2024 final dividend reinvestment plan, highlighting shareholder participation in both the UK and South African markets. Shareholders on the UK main register holding 0.83% of Mondi’s issued share capital and those on the South African branch register holding 2.84% opted for the Dividend Reinvestment Plans, resulting in the purchase of additional shares in the market. This move reflects Mondi’s ongoing commitment to shareholder value and sustainable growth, reinforcing its strong market position and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Buy with a £20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Mondi plc Announces Change in Shareholder Voting Rights

Mondi plc has announced a change in its shareholder structure, with Coronation Fund Managers adjusting its voting rights in the company. The adjustment sees Coronation Fund Managers holding 6.993902% of the voting rights, down from a previous 7.021019%. This change in shareholding could impact Mondi’s strategic decisions and influence within the market, as it reflects a slight shift in investor confidence or strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MNDI) stock is a Hold with a £17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondi plc stock, see the GB:MNDI Stock Forecast page.

Mondi plc Directors Participate in Share Incentive Plan

Mondi plc announced transactions related to its Share Incentive Plan (SIP), allowing UK employees to purchase ordinary shares through salary deductions and receive free matching shares. This initiative, involving directors Andrew King and Mike Powell, reflects Mondi’s commitment to employee investment and aligns with its strategy to enhance stakeholder engagement and company performance.

Mondi plc AGM Results: All Resolutions Passed Amid Shareholder Engagement

Mondi plc held its Annual General Meeting where all resolutions were passed, with approximately 81% of shares voted. Notably, Resolution 19 regarding the disapplication of pre-emption rights saw over 20% opposition, prompting the Board to engage with shareholders for further dialogue. The resolutions align with UK market practices, and the company plans to update stakeholders within six months. This AGM outcome reflects Mondi’s adherence to corporate governance and its responsiveness to shareholder concerns, potentially impacting its operational flexibility and shareholder relations.

Mondi plc Sees Strong Q1 2025 Performance Amid Expansion and Strategic Acquisitions

Mondi plc reported a strong first quarter in 2025, with higher sales volumes and effective cost control offsetting lower average selling prices compared to the previous quarter. The company’s underlying EBITDA rose to €290 million, aided by a forestry fair value gain. Key developments include the successful start-up of new production facilities in the Czech Republic and Italy, and the completion of the acquisition of Schumacher Packaging’s Western Europe assets, which is expected to enhance Mondi’s product offerings and supply chain efficiency. Despite global trade tensions, Mondi remains focused on expanding its capacity and integrating new assets to maintain its competitive edge in the sustainable packaging market.