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Kitwave Group PLC (GB:KITW)
LSE:KITW
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Kitwave Group PLC (KITW) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:KITW

Kitwave Group PLC

(LSE:KITW)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
286.00p
▲(24.89% Upside)
Kitwave Group PLC's strong valuation, highlighted by a favorable P/E ratio and high dividend yield, is a significant positive factor. However, financial performance concerns about declining net income and rising debt, along with bearish technical indicators, moderate the overall score. Positive corporate events add confidence in future growth.
Positive Factors
Integration
The integration of Creed is progressing well, with synergy benefits expected to start in H2 2025 and full benefits realised by early 2026.
Market Position
Kitwave is positioned to grow significantly in the highly fragmented UK Retail and Wholesale and Foodservice end-markets.
Market Share
Kitwave is positioned to continue gaining market share and deliver growth for shareholders.
Negative Factors
Cost Pressures
Kitwave continues to look to drive synergy and operational efficiency benefits to mitigate ongoing cost headwinds.
Sector Challenges
Challenges in the hospitality sector impacted the Foodservice performance in the early months of the period.

Kitwave Group PLC (KITW) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Kitwave Group PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKitwave Group plc engages in the wholesale business in the United Kingdom. The company operates through three divisions: Ambient, Frozen & Chilled, and Foodservice. The Ambient division supplies confectionery, soft drinks, crisps and snacks, and tobacco. This division serves independent convenience stores, vending operators, national retailers, and other UK wholesalers through a network of 6 depots. The Frozen & Chilled division offers ice creams, pizzas, chips, ready meals, and a range of chilled products. It serves independent convenience stores, leisure outlets, and UK wholesalers through a network of 10 depots. The Foodservice division provides frozen, chilled, and ambient food, as well as alcohol and soft drinks to independent traditional foodservice outlets, including bars, restaurants, and leisure outlets, as well as customers in the care home and education sectors through a network of 11 depots. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in North Shields, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyKitwave Group PLC generates revenue primarily through the wholesale distribution of a broad range of products. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of ambient, frozen, and chilled foods, as well as confectionery, tobacco, and alcohol products. Kitwave leverages its extensive distribution network and strategically located depots across the UK to efficiently supply these goods to independent retailers, foodservice operators, and other businesses. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers to enhance its product offerings and maintain competitive pricing, thus driving sales volume and profitability.

Kitwave Group PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kitwave Group PLC has strong revenue growth and operational efficiency. However, the decline in net income and increasing debt levels are concerns. Sustaining cash flow is crucial for financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kitwave Group PLC has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a significant increase from the previous year. The gross profit and EBIT margins are healthy, indicating efficient cost management. However, the decline in net income and its margin suggests potential challenges in managing operating expenses or interest costs.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a reasonable level of leverage. The equity ratio is satisfactory, suggesting a stable asset base supported by equity. However, the increasing total debt over the years could pose potential financial risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Kitwave's cash flow statement indicates solid operating cash flow relative to net income, supporting its operational efficiency. The consistent free cash flow generation is a positive sign, although the decrease in free cash flow compared to the previous year is a concern. The company must maintain its cash flow to ensure financial flexibility.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue663.65M602.22M503.09M380.69M592.02M
Gross Profit147.82M132.13M102.63M68.58M96.02M
EBITDA41.40M39.33M28.37M19.77M24.63M
Net Income16.72M18.96M14.34M1.10M-500.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets359.29M209.59M179.66M148.82M129.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.14M673.00K5.51M4.97M342.00K
Total Debt121.39M59.07M49.10M39.26M82.16M
Total Liabilities234.74M125.14M107.77M87.23M129.92M
Stockholders Equity124.55M84.44M71.89M61.58M-53.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.13M26.38M23.92M4.96M26.76M
Operating Cash Flow31.40M30.30M26.52M7.92M29.89M
Investing Cash Flow-77.09M-23.04M-19.21M-2.71M-16.30M
Financing Cash Flow49.15M-12.10M-6.77M-577.00K-14.45M

Kitwave Group PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price229.00
Price Trends
50DMA
266.14
Negative
100DMA
275.60
Negative
200DMA
281.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.16
Positive
RSI
34.09
Neutral
STOCH
8.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:KITW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 229 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 240.95, below the 50-day MA of 266.14, and below the 200-day MA of 281.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:KITW.

Kitwave Group PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
£186.73M10.4215.19%5.13%19.01%-15.21%
70
Outperform
£212.36M5.1364.21%0.81%125.55%
67
Neutral
£7.41B15.2117.39%3.01%-0.18%-4.60%
64
Neutral
£435.08M24.8518.67%2.66%3.04%-6.67%
56
Neutral
£298.39M
3.72%
53
Neutral
C$5.40B6.7411.95%3.32%4.99%-1.01%
50
Neutral
£286.93M-2.48%2.19%-16.16%80.50%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:KITW
Kitwave Group PLC
229.00
-69.71
-23.34%
GB:BNZL
Bunzl plc
2,280.00
-854.63
-27.26%
GB:MCB
McBride
120.00
-9.50
-7.34%
GB:NICL
Nichols
1,205.00
74.64
6.60%
GB:PZC
PZ Cussons
68.50
-31.72
-31.65%
GB:54GW
Fuller Smith & Turner
107.50
12.26
12.87%

Kitwave Group PLC Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kitwave Group PLC Adjusts Financial Year-End to Align with Calendar Year
Neutral
Aug 11, 2025

Kitwave Group PLC has announced a change in its accounting reference date from 31 October to 31 December, aligning its financial year with the calendar year. This adjustment aims to provide a more balanced financial statement presentation, reflecting the company’s revenue patterns more accurately. The change will affect the reporting timetable, with new dates set for the publication of unaudited and audited accounts. Additionally, the company plans to distribute a single dividend for the eight-month period ending 31 December 2025, in conjunction with the interim dividend previously announced.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:KITW) stock is a Buy with a £495.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kitwave Group PLC stock, see the GB:KITW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Kitwave Group PLC Sees Increase in Major Holdings by Downing LLP
Neutral
Jul 18, 2025

Kitwave Group PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Downing LLP increasing its voting rights from 3.06% to 4.14%. This acquisition of additional voting rights signifies a strengthened position for Downing LLP within Kitwave, potentially impacting the company’s governance and strategic decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:KITW) stock is a Buy with a £4.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kitwave Group PLC stock, see the GB:KITW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Kitwave Group Sees Shift in Major Shareholder Voting Rights
Neutral
Jul 11, 2025

Kitwave Group PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Liontrust Investment Partners LLP reducing its voting rights from 9.653% to 5.702%. This shift in voting rights could impact Kitwave’s strategic decisions and influence within the market, as Liontrust’s reduced stake may alter the dynamics of shareholder influence and decision-making processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:KITW) stock is a Buy with a £420.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kitwave Group PLC stock, see the GB:KITW Stock Forecast page.

Other
Kitwave Director and PCA Increase Shareholding
Positive
Jul 4, 2025

Kitwave Group PLC announced that Gerard Murray, a Non-Executive Director, along with his PCA, Marta Fernandez Varona, purchased a total of 30,000 ordinary shares of the company on July 3, 2025. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects a modest increase in their shareholding, each now holding 75,000 shares, representing 0.09% of the current issued share capital. This move could indicate confidence in the company’s future prospects and may impact investor perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:KITW) stock is a Buy with a £495.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kitwave Group PLC stock, see the GB:KITW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kitwave Group PLC Reports Revenue Growth Amid Operational Challenges
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

Kitwave Group PLC reported a 26.7% increase in revenue to £376.2 million for the six months ending April 2025, driven by strategic acquisitions and infrastructure investments. Despite record revenue and operating profits, the company anticipates lower than expected financial performance due to increased operational costs, macroeconomic challenges affecting consumer confidence, and higher employer National Insurance contributions. The integration of Creed Foodservice and the new South West distribution center have strengthened Kitwave’s position, but the company has revised its profit expectations for the year. Kitwave remains confident in its long-term strategy and continues to focus on service-led growth initiatives, supported by a robust balance sheet.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:KITW) stock is a Buy with a £495.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kitwave Group PLC stock, see the GB:KITW Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Kitwave Group PLC to Announce Interim Results on 1 July 2025
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

Kitwave Group PLC has announced that it will release its interim results for the six months ended 30 April 2025 on 1 July 2025. Following the announcement, CEO Ben Maxted and CFO David Brind will host an online analyst briefing. This upcoming release is significant as it will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:KITW) stock is a Buy with a £495.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kitwave Group PLC stock, see the GB:KITW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kitwave Group Appoints Dr. Marnie Millard as Non-Executive Chair
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

Kitwave Group PLC has appointed Dr. Marnie Millard OBE as the new Non-Executive Chair, effective from May 30, 2025, succeeding Steve Smith. Dr. Millard brings extensive experience from her previous roles, including CEO of Nichols Plc, where she significantly increased market capitalization and led successful acquisitions. Her appointment is expected to support Kitwave’s growth strategy and enhance its customer offerings. The outgoing Chair, Steve Smith, played a crucial role in the company’s development, including its IPO in 2021, and his contributions are acknowledged as pivotal to Kitwave’s expansion as a public company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:KITW) stock is a Buy with a £495.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kitwave Group PLC stock, see the GB:KITW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2025