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Bunzl PLC (GB:BNZL)
LSE:BNZL
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Bunzl plc (BNZL) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:BNZL

Bunzl plc

(LSE:BNZL)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
2,702.00p
▲(4.40% Upside)
Bunzl plc's overall stock score reflects its solid financial performance and moderate valuation. While the company shows strong operational efficiency and cash flow generation, technical indicators suggest potential resistance, and the earnings call highlights some operational challenges. The stock remains attractive for its dividend yield, but investors should monitor leverage and regional performance issues.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
Bunzl has signed an agreement to acquire Hospitalia in Chile, marking its entry into the Chilean healthcare market with revenue of c.£21m.
Analyst Recommendation
Analyst upgrades Bunzl to Buy due to improving underlying trading trends, balance sheet strength, and a valuation discount to historical averages.
Financial Performance
Bunzl reported a robust set of full year results, with revenues up, improved underlying trends, and increased operating profits and margins.
Negative Factors
Buyback Programme
The pause in the group's buyback programme no longer provides share price support.
North American Operations
Bunzl faces challenges in its North American business and market headwinds, impacting near-term sentiment.
Profit Expectations
Q1 profit below expectations; reduction to guidance due to operational challenges in North America and a challenging start to the year.

Bunzl plc (BNZL) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Bunzl plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBunzl plc operates as a distribution and services company in the North America, Continental Europe, the United Kingdom, Ireland, and internationally. The company offers food packaging, films, labels, cleaning and hygiene supplies, and personal protection equipment to grocery stores, supermarkets, and convenience stores. It also provides food packaging, disposable tableware, guest amenities, catering equipment, agricultural supplies, cleaning and hygiene products, and safety items to hotels, restaurants, contract caterers, food processors, commercial growers, and the leisure sector; and gloves, boots, hard hats, ear and eye protection, and other workwear, as well as cleaning and hygiene supplies, and asset protection products to industrial and construction, and ecommerce sectors. In addition, the company offers chemicals and hygiene paper to cleaning and facilities management companies, and industrial and public customers; gloves, masks, swabs, gowns, bandages, and other healthcare related equipment; and healthcare devices to hospitals, care homes, and other facilities serving the healthcare sector. Further, it provides packaging and other store supplies to retail chains, boutiques, department stores, home improvement chains, office supply companies, and related e-commerce sales channels. The company was founded in 1854 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyBunzl plc generates revenue through the distribution of a wide range of products, including packaging materials, cleaning and hygiene supplies, safety equipment, and food service items. The company's primary revenue model is based on the sale of these products to businesses in various sectors, which are often required in high volumes. Key revenue streams include direct sales to customers, contract agreements with businesses for ongoing supply needs, and value-added services that enhance customer loyalty and retention. Bunzl's strong relationships with suppliers and manufacturers allow it to source products efficiently, ensuring competitive pricing. Additionally, the company benefits from economies of scale due to its global presence, which further contributes to its profitability.

Bunzl plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 26, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook for Bunzl. While there were positive aspects such as revenue growth driven by acquisitions, effective cash conversion, and progress in acquisitions, significant challenges were highlighted including a decline in operating profit, issues in the North America Distribution business, and margin declines in Continental Europe. The company's commitment to long-term growth and strategic initiatives provides some optimism, but immediate challenges in key business areas temper the overall sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Bunzl delivered revenue growth of 4.2% at constant exchange rates, driven by acquisitions.
Cash Conversion
Cash conversion was better than expected at 97%, despite a decline in free cash flow.
Share Buyback and Dividend
Resuming a GBP 200 million share buyback with GBP 86 million remaining, and announcing a 0.5% increase in the interim dividend.
Acquisition Success
Completed 5 acquisitions with a committed spend of approximately GBP 120 million, including expansion into the Chilean health care market.
Long-Term Growth Strategy
Bunzl remains committed to its long-term compounding growth strategy, with a focus on both organic growth and value-accretive acquisitions.
Negative Updates
Decline in Operating Profit
Group adjusted operating profit declined by 7.6% at constant exchange rates and the operating margin reduced by approximately 100 basis points to 7%.
Challenges in North America
North America Distribution business faced significant challenges, with a notable inflection point in April leading to a drop in profit.
Continental Europe Performance
Continental Europe's operating margin declined by around 100 basis points, driven by deflation in France and revenue softness in certain online businesses.
Free Cash Flow Decline
Free cash flow declined by 22%, largely due to the operating profit decline.
Effective Tax Rate Increase
Effective tax rate increased to 26.4% from 25.5% last year, reflecting absence of one-off benefits.
Company Guidance
In the 2025 Half Year Results Presentation, Bunzl reported a 4.2% revenue growth at constant exchange rates, driven largely by acquisitions, while underlying revenue remained stable. Adjusted operating profit declined by 7.6%, with the operating margin reducing by 100 basis points to 7%. Cash conversion exceeded expectations at 97%, but free cash flow fell by 22%. The adjusted net debt-to-EBITDA ratio stood at 1.9x, slightly better than guidance. An interim dividend increase of 0.5% was announced. Bunzl completed five acquisitions with a committed spend of approximately GBP 120 million, alongside a resumed GBP 200 million share buyback program, with GBP 86 million to be completed by year-end. The company aims for moderate revenue growth in 2025, with group operating margin expected to be moderately below 8%.

Bunzl plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bunzl plc demonstrates solid financial performance with effective margin management and operational efficiency. Despite modest revenue growth, profitability remains strong. The balance sheet shows increased leverage, which requires monitoring, but the company continues to generate strong cash flows, supporting its financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Bunzl plc shows stable revenue with slight growth challenges, as seen by a marginal decline in revenue compared to the previous year. Gross profit margin is consistent, indicating effective cost management. However, net profit margin decreased slightly due to increased expenses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, reflecting efficient operational performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a robust equity position with an equity ratio of around 29% to 31% over recent years. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased, indicating rising leverage which might pose a risk if not managed carefully. The return on equity (ROE) remains strong, showcasing effective utilization of equity for generating profits.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow from operations remains healthy, supporting positive free cash flow. The company's free cash flow to net income ratio is solid, indicating strong conversion of net income to cash. Free cash flow growth is stable, despite fluctuations in capital expenditures and financing activities.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.78B11.80B12.04B10.29B10.11B
Gross Profit3.39B3.19B1.62B1.31B1.38B
EBITDA1.22B1.18B1.03B909.00M896.20M
Net Income500.40M526.20M474.40M442.80M430.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.53B8.75B8.85B7.20B6.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.43B1.43B1.50B776.90M944.30M
Total Debt3.72B3.09B3.13B2.59B2.71B
Total Liabilities6.74B5.78B6.13B4.99B4.99B
Stockholders Equity2.79B2.97B2.72B2.20B1.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow856.50M845.70M859.20M665.60M715.60M
Operating Cash Flow910.90M904.00M905.90M698.30M748.70M
Investing Cash Flow-609.10M-339.50M-239.40M-466.70M-395.10M
Financing Cash Flow-381.10M-666.90M-269.10M-415.20M-65.60M

Bunzl plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2588.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2339.56
Positive
100DMA
2351.35
Positive
200DMA
2782.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
71.23
Negative
RSI
82.39
Negative
STOCH
87.91
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BNZL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2588 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2401.80, above the 50-day MA of 2339.56, and below the 200-day MA of 2782.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 71.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 82.39 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.91 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:BNZL.

Bunzl plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
£2.23B46.585.21%1.58%0.84%-62.73%
73
Outperform
£7.15B42.6818.41%1.11%15.75%44.11%
71
Outperform
£200.97M11.2115.19%4.89%19.01%-15.21%
67
Neutral
£8.40B17.7217.98%2.65%1.92%0.50%
66
Neutral
£9.34B36.555.93%1.98%-1.58%-34.64%
65
Neutral
£1.84B17.1423.48%3.08%14.34%-16.43%
63
Neutral
$20.52B14.79-2.72%3.09%1.95%-4.74%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BNZL
Bunzl plc
2,588.00
-958.88
-27.03%
GB:DPLM
Diploma
5,405.00
1,041.23
23.86%
GB:MTO
Mitie Group plc
139.40
23.49
20.27%
GB:RTO
Rentokil Initial
377.10
-83.30
-18.09%
GB:SRP
Serco Group plc
222.60
54.35
32.30%
GB:KITW
Kitwave Group PLC
234.00
-75.71
-24.45%

Bunzl plc Corporate Events

Other
Bunzl CEO North America Purchases Shares, Signaling Confidence
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

Bunzl plc announced a transaction involving James McCool, the Chief Executive Officer for North America, who executed a non-discretionary purchase of 48 ordinary shares through the Bunzl Employee Stock Purchase Plan. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects internal confidence in the company’s market position and may impact stakeholder perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BNZL) stock is a Sell with a £2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunzl plc stock, see the GB:BNZL Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Bunzl plc Updates on Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

Bunzl plc announced that as of July 31, 2025, its share capital consists of 327,667,059 ordinary shares, each carrying one vote per share. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the Financial Conduct Authority’s rules, impacting how they manage their interests in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BNZL) stock is a Sell with a £2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunzl plc stock, see the GB:BNZL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesDividends
Bunzl CEO Acquires Shares Following Dividend Reinvestment
Positive
Jul 11, 2025

Bunzl plc announced a transaction involving its Chief Executive Officer for North America, James McCool, who acquired ordinary shares through a non-discretionary transaction. This acquisition followed the reinvestment of the company’s 2024 final dividend, with the transaction taking place on the London Stock Exchange. This move reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning management interests with shareholder value, potentially strengthening its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BNZL) stock is a Buy with a £3500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunzl plc stock, see the GB:BNZL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesDividends
Bunzl CEO Acquires Shares Through Dividend Reinvestment
Neutral
Jul 9, 2025

Bunzl plc announced a transaction involving its Chief Executive Officer for North America, James McCool, who acquired shares through a non-discretionary transaction. This acquisition was part of the reinvestment of the 2024 final dividend under the Bunzl Employee Stock Purchase Plan (US), highlighting the company’s ongoing commitment to employee investment and shareholder value. The transaction took place on July 8, 2025, at the London Stock Exchange.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BNZL) stock is a Sell with a £2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunzl plc stock, see the GB:BNZL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Bunzl CEO North America Executes Share Purchase
Neutral
Jul 3, 2025

Bunzl plc announced a transaction involving James McCool, the Chief Executive Officer for North America, who executed a non-discretionary purchase of shares through the Bunzl Employee Stock Purchase Plan. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to align management interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BNZL) stock is a Sell with a £2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunzl plc stock, see the GB:BNZL Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Bunzl plc Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights Information
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

Bunzl plc announced that as of June 30, 2025, its share capital consists of 327,662,849 ordinary shares, each carrying one vote. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the Financial Conduct Authority’s rules, impacting how they manage their interests in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BNZL) stock is a Sell with a £2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunzl plc stock, see the GB:BNZL Stock Forecast page.

Other
Bunzl plc Announces Share Transactions by European Managing Director
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

Bunzl plc announced a transaction involving Alberto Grau, Managing Director for Continental Europe, who acquired shares through the Bunzl Deferred Annual Share Bonus Scheme. Grau exercised options granted in 2021 and 2022, acquiring a total of 9,991 shares and subsequently selling 4,390 shares to cover associated costs. This transaction highlights Bunzl’s ongoing commitment to aligning management incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting the company’s market perception and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BNZL) stock is a Sell with a £2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunzl plc stock, see the GB:BNZL Stock Forecast page.

Other
Bunzl Executives Increase Stake in Company
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

Bunzl plc announced recent transactions involving its Chairman, Peter Ventress, and Non-executive Director, Jacqueline Simmonds, who have both purchased ordinary shares in the company. These transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflect a vote of confidence in Bunzl’s market position and future prospects, potentially signaling stability and growth to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BNZL) stock is a Sell with a £2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunzl plc stock, see the GB:BNZL Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Bunzl Reports Steady Growth and Announces Brazilian Acquisition
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

Bunzl plc announced that its trading is in line with expectations, with a 4% increase in group revenue at constant exchange rates compared to the previous year, driven by acquisitions. The company has agreed to acquire Solupack, a Brazilian distributor, to enhance its offerings in the food industry, pending regulatory approval. Bunzl’s operating margin is expected to remain stable, and the company is focused on improving performance in its largest markets. The acquisition aligns with Bunzl’s strategy of compounding growth and navigating economic uncertainties through diversification.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BNZL) stock is a Sell with a £2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunzl plc stock, see the GB:BNZL Stock Forecast page.

Other
Bunzl plc Announces Share Purchase by CFO’s Associate
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

Bunzl plc announced a transaction involving the purchase of 4,471 ordinary shares by Alexia Howes, a person closely associated with the company’s Chief Financial Officer, Richard Howes. The shares were acquired at a price of £22.19 each on the London Stock Exchange. This transaction reflects confidence in the company’s market position and may have implications for stakeholders regarding the financial strategies of Bunzl’s leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BNZL) stock is a Sell with a £2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunzl plc stock, see the GB:BNZL Stock Forecast page.

Other
Bunzl North America CEO Acquires Shares, Signaling Confidence
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

Bunzl plc announced a transaction involving its North America CEO, James McCool, who purchased ordinary shares through the Bunzl Employee Stock Purchase Plan. The transaction, which took place on the London Stock Exchange, involved the acquisition of 45 shares at a price of $28.0217 each. This move highlights the executive’s confidence in the company’s future prospects and may positively influence stakeholder perceptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BNZL) stock is a Hold with a £2500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunzl plc stock, see the GB:BNZL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Bunzl CFO Transfers Shares to Associated Party
Neutral
May 23, 2025

Bunzl plc announced a transaction involving the transfer of 89,940 ordinary shares by Richard Howes, the Chief Financial Officer, to Alexia Howes, a person closely associated with him, for nil consideration. This transaction, conducted outside of a trading venue, reflects internal share management and may indicate strategic financial planning within the company’s executive team.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BNZL) stock is a Hold with a £32.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunzl plc stock, see the GB:BNZL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2025