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ITM Power PLC (GB:ITM)
LSE:ITM

ITM Power (ITM) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:ITM

ITM Power

(LSE:ITM)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
68.00p
▲(6.25% Upside)
ITM Power's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including negative profitability and cash flow issues. While the earnings call provided positive insights into future growth and strategic initiatives, the current technical indicators and valuation metrics reflect a cautious outlook. The company's strong revenue growth and contract backlog are positive, but operational inefficiencies and market challenges remain significant concerns.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for ITM's products and services, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term financial stability.
Contract Backlog
A strong contract backlog suggests sustained future revenue streams, providing visibility and stability in financial planning and operations.
Technological Advancements
Innovations like CHRONOS enhance ITM's competitive edge by improving product efficiency and cost-effectiveness, driving long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues can hinder ITM's ability to reinvest in growth and innovation, affecting its long-term competitive position.
Cash Flow Issues
Cash flow difficulties can limit ITM's operational flexibility and capacity to fund strategic initiatives, impacting future growth.
Legacy Contract Challenges
Reliance on unprofitable legacy contracts can strain resources and delay the transition to more lucrative opportunities, affecting long-term profitability.

ITM Power (ITM) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

ITM Power Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionITM Power Plc designs, manufactures, and sells hydrogen energy systems for energy storage, transportation, and industrial sectors in the United Kingdom, Germany, rest of Europe, and the United States. It offers HGas for power-to-gas, clean fuel, and industrial hydrogen applications. The company is also involved in the development and manufacture of prototype products; and sale of electrolysis equipment and hydrogen storage solutions. ITM Power Plc was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Sheffield, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyITM Power generates revenue primarily through the sale of its electrolyzers and hydrogen production systems to various industries, including utilities, transportation, and industrial sectors. The company has established significant partnerships with key players in the energy market, which help to drive sales and expand its customer base. Additionally, ITM Power engages in joint ventures and collaborations that facilitate the deployment of its technology on a larger scale, contributing to its earnings. The company may also benefit from government grants and incentives aimed at promoting renewable energy solutions, further enhancing its revenue streams.

ITM Power Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant positive developments, including strong revenue growth, an impressive contract backlog, and operational improvements. The introduction of new business models and technological advancements further position ITM Power Plc for future success. However, challenges remain with legacy contracts and market slowdowns in the U.S. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment of the call leans towards a positive outlook, supported by a robust financial position and strategic initiatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
ITM Power Plc reported a 50% year-on-year increase in revenue, reaching GBP 26 million, significantly ahead of their original guidance of GBP 18 million to GBP 22 million.
Strong Contract Backlog
The company's contract order backlog reached GBP 145.1 million, doubling from the previous fiscal year, indicating strong future revenue potential.
Operational Excellence
Factory Acceptance Test pass rate improved from under 50% to 99%, demonstrating significant improvements in product quality and reliability.
Successful Launch of New Business Model
The introduction of Hydropulse, a build, own, operate business model, was met with excitement, aiming to provide zero CapEx and zero risk solutions to customers.
Technological Advancements
The next-generation stack platform, CHRONOS, promises larger capacity, lower cost, and higher performance, with significant improvements in power density and reduced part count.
Positive Financial Position
ITM Power Plc ended the fiscal year with a cash position of GBP 207 million, significantly ahead of their original guidance.
Negative Updates
Legacy Contract Challenges
The majority of equipment sales revenue came from legacy contracts, which were not contributing to profit, although they are being fulfilled.
Cash Flow and Inventory Management
Despite reducing overall inventory balances, there was a need for improvement in cash flow management, with specific focus on CapEx and work in progress related to FY '26 guidance.
U.S. Market Slowdown
There was a noted slowdown in green hydrogen projects in the U.S., although ITM Power Plc managed to mitigate impacts by not heavily investing in the region prematurely.
Company Guidance
During the call, ITM Power Plc provided extensive guidance and updates on their performance and strategic outlook. The company reported a revenue increase of 50% year-on-year, reaching GBP 26 million, with significant contributions from equipment sales and other services. Their contract backlog has doubled to GBP 145.1 million, signaling robust future prospects. ITM emphasized operational excellence with a Factory Acceptance Test pass rate improvement from below 50% to 99%, underscoring advancements in quality and efficiency. They also highlighted a strong financial position with GBP 207 million in cash as of April 2025. Looking ahead, ITM expects a further 50% revenue growth in the fiscal year ending April 2026, targeting between GBP 35 million and GBP 40 million, and aims to reduce their adjusted EBITDA loss to GBP 27 million to GBP 29 million. The presentation emphasized ITM's commitment to disciplined capital management, continued innovation with the development of their next-generation stack platform, CHRONOS, and the strategic launch of Hydropulse, a new business model aimed at expanding market reach and profitability.

ITM Power Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ITM Power shows revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but negative margins and cash flow issues highlight operational inefficiencies.
Income Statement
ITM Power has shown some revenue growth, with a 12.44% increase in the latest year. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative gross, net, EBIT, and EBITDA margins. The consistent negative margins highlight ongoing operational challenges and cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting poor profitability and efficiency in using shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall balance sheet shows a stable capital structure with low financial risk.
Cash Flow
ITM Power's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.04M26.04M16.51M5.23M5.63M4.28M
Gross Profit-27.55M-23.69M-16.66M-83.01M-34.32M-14.74M
EBITDA-42.49M-37.00M-31.68M-96.05M-42.93M-24.85M
Net Income-45.52M-45.52M-27.22M-101.20M-46.69M-27.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets341.96M341.96M381.78M402.32M458.17M229.07M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments207.04M207.04M230.35M283.33M366.18M176.08M
Total Debt12.33M12.33M12.70M7.81M7.15M6.49M
Total Liabilities117.71M117.71M113.06M106.81M63.21M31.62M
Stockholders Equity224.25M224.25M268.72M295.51M394.95M197.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-23.91M-32.94M-65.08M-83.11M-49.01M-32.01M
Operating Cash Flow-15.36M-20.02M-50.58M-67.99M-37.85M-20.06M
Investing Cash Flow-12.79M-2.65M-795.00K-10.90M-15.38M-12.49M
Financing Cash Flow-667.00K-667.00K-891.00K-95.00K243.13M168.72M

ITM Power Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price64.00
Price Trends
50DMA
69.71
Negative
100DMA
71.81
Negative
200DMA
64.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.26
Negative
RSI
50.35
Neutral
STOCH
55.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ITM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.12, below the 50-day MA of 69.71, and below the 200-day MA of 64.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:ITM.

ITM Power Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
£6.48B28.1023.79%1.29%-0.32%-3.96%
75
Outperform
£7.73B25.2417.68%1.26%-1.97%40.55%
73
Outperform
£1.75B44.1335.23%1.01%24.42%103.25%
67
Neutral
£638.20M23.338.04%4.87%-7.30%-59.71%
66
Neutral
£2.81B28.9016.97%2.04%1.93%-15.07%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
46
Neutral
£396.35M-8.68-18.47%57.73%-67.12%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ITM
ITM Power
66.10
30.20
84.12%
GB:GDWN
Goodwin
22,900.00
15,759.29
220.70%
GB:IMI
IMI plc
2,622.00
828.99
46.23%
GB:MGAM
Morgan Advanced Materials
228.50
-6.40
-2.72%
GB:ROR
Rotork plc
335.00
35.93
12.01%
GB:WEIR
Weir Group plc (The)
3,030.00
899.21
42.20%

ITM Power Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
ITM Power Secures Green Hydrogen Contract to Support Kimberly-Clark’s Renewable Energy Goals
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

ITM Power has signed a 12.5MW contract with Octopus Energy Generation to deploy its NEPTUNE V green hydrogen systems at Kimberly-Clark’s Northfleet manufacturing plant for decarbonizing paper production. Green hydrogen will support an innovative dual-fuel boiler system, aiding Kimberly-Clark’s ambition for 100% renewable energy and showcasing the vital role of hydrogen in reducing emissions for energy-intensive industries. The facility is expected to begin operations by the end of 2027, marking a significant development for green hydrogen adoption in industrial processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITM) stock is a Hold with a £68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ITM Power stock, see the GB:ITM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
ITM Power Strengthens Employee Engagement Initiative via BAYE Incentive Shares
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

ITM Power has announced the issuance of incentive shares to its executives as part of the Buy as You Earn program (BAYE). Through this initiative, employees can purchase shares monthly, matched on a one-to-one basis by the company. This announcement highlights the company’s commitment to employee engagement and retention while also reinforcing management alignment with shareholder interests, which could positively influence stakeholder confidence and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITM) stock is a Hold with a £68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ITM Power stock, see the GB:ITM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
ITM Power Secures Strategic Engineering Contracts in Australia and Canada
Positive
Dec 12, 2025

ITM Power has secured two significant engineering contracts, one for a Basic Design Engineering Package in Australia and another for a Front-End Engineering Design project in Canada, with a combined capacity of 70 MW. These contracts will utilize ITM’s NEPTUNE V containerised green hydrogen production plants, marking a strategic expansion into the Australian and Canadian markets and reinforcing ITM’s position in the green hydrogen industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITM) stock is a Hold with a £68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ITM Power stock, see the GB:ITM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ITM Power Reports Record H1 Revenue Amid Strong Hydrogen Market Growth
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

ITM Power has reported a record revenue of £18.0 million for the first half of 2025, despite an adjusted EBITDA loss of £11.9 million, and maintains a robust cash position of £197 million. The company is experiencing strong demand for its NEPTUNE V and ALPHA 50 hydrogen plants, and has made significant progress on major projects like the 100 MW PEM plant for RWE in Lingen. With a solid sales pipeline and continued advancements in product development, ITM Power is positioned as a reliable partner in the evolving hydrogen market, particularly in Europe where infrastructure investments are accelerating.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITM) stock is a Hold with a £68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ITM Power stock, see the GB:ITM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
ITM Power Partners with Stablegrid for Major Hydrogen Projects in Germany
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

ITM Power has been selected by Stablegrid Group as the technology partner for two significant energy infrastructure projects in Germany, totaling 710 MW of electrolyser capacity. These projects aim to enhance grid stability and reduce redispatch costs by using hydrogen storage to balance electricity supply and consumption. The first project, ‘Netzbrücke 410’, involves a 30 MW green hydrogen plant, while the second project will see the installation of 680 MW of electrolyser capacity. This collaboration underscores ITM Power’s prominent role in the energy transition within Europe’s largest economy.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITM) stock is a Hold with a £68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ITM Power stock, see the GB:ITM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
ITM Power Executive Directors Participate in Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

ITM Power has announced the participation of its Executive Directors in the company’s Buy as You Earn (BAYE) Share Incentive Plan. Under this scheme, employees can purchase up to £150 of ordinary shares monthly, with the company matching these purchases on a one-for-one basis. This initiative reflects ITM Power’s commitment to aligning the interests of its management with those of its shareholders, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence and reinforcing its market position in the renewable energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITM) stock is a Hold with a £82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ITM Power stock, see the GB:ITM Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related Announcements
ITM Power Launches ALPHA 50: A New Benchmark in Green Hydrogen Production
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

ITM Power has launched ALPHA 50, a 50MW green hydrogen plant designed to set a new global standard in scalable and cost-effective hydrogen production. This new flagship product is compact, easily configurable for larger plants, and can be deployed globally. With superior energy efficiency and competitive pricing, ALPHA 50 aims to transform the industry by offering unmatched value and setting a new standard for large-scale hydrogen projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITM) stock is a Buy with a £1.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ITM Power stock, see the GB:ITM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
ITM Power Enhances Executive Stake with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Oct 17, 2025

ITM Power has announced the purchase and awarding of shares to its Executive Directors under the Buy as You Earn (BAYE) Share Incentive Plan. This initiative allows employees to purchase shares with the company matching these purchases on a one-for-one basis, reflecting ITM Power’s commitment to employee investment and engagement. The recent transactions involve the purchase and matching of 354 shares each for Simon Bourne, Chief Technology Officer, and Dennis Schulz, Chief Executive Officer, at a price of £0.84514 per share. This move is likely to strengthen the company’s internal stakeholder alignment and enhance its market positioning by demonstrating confidence in its growth and sustainability strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ITM) stock is a Buy with a £1.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ITM Power stock, see the GB:ITM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025