tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Weir Group PLC (The) (GB:WEIR)
LSE:WEIR

Weir Group plc (The) (WEIR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
47 Followers

Top Page

GB:WEIR

Weir Group plc (The)

(LSE:WEIR)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
3,773.00p
▲(24.11% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/07/25
The Weir Group plc's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company's strategic acquisitions and focus on digital solutions are expected to support future growth. While the valuation is fair, the earnings call and corporate events highlight significant strengths and confidence in the company's strategic direction.
Positive Factors
Aftermarket-led revenue growth
Higher aftermarket revenue is durable because it stems from installed equipment servicing and consumables, which are less cyclical than new capital sales. A growing aftermarket mix supports margin stability, recurring cash flows and stronger free cash conversion, improving predictability over the medium term.
Sustained margin expansion via Performance Excellence
Structured operational improvements and quantified savings point to sustainable margin gains, not one-off cost cuts. Continued margin expansion increases operating leverage, enhances cash generation and provides resilience to mix or cyclical shocks over the coming months.
Strategic acquisitions and digital capability build
Adding software and digital mining capabilities shifts the business toward higher-value, recurring services and differentiates product offering. This structural move strengthens competitive advantage, increases cross-sell opportunities and supports medium-term revenue and margin durability.
Negative Factors
Moderate leverage post-acquisition
A 2x net debt/EBITDA ratio signals moderate leverage that reduces financial flexibility if end markets weaken. Debt-funded acquisitions can amplify cyclical risk and increase interest/service costs, requiring sustained cash conversion to preserve investment capacity and ratings over the medium term.
Recent revenue dip in fundamentals
A slight recent revenue decline shows sensitivity to sector cycles and order phasing. Coupled with exposure to mining and oil & gas capex cycles, this weakens near-term top-line visibility and means management must rely on aftermarket, mix or acquisitions to sustain multi-quarter growth momentum.
FX headwinds and high effective tax rate
Foreign-exchange volatility and elevated tax rates materially reduce profit conversion and cash available for reinvestment. These structural drains can compress margins and free cash flow even when underlying operations improve, making earnings and target cash conversion goals harder to achieve consistently.

Weir Group plc (The) (WEIR) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Weir Group plc (The) Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Weir Group PLC produces and sells highly engineered original equipment worldwide. It operates in two segments, Minerals and ESCO. The Minerals segment offers slurry handling equipment and associated aftermarket support services for abrasive high-wear applications used in the mining and oil sands markets. The ESCO segment provides ground engaging tools for mining machines. This segment also produces smart and rugged cameras that monitor and provide valuable and timely data on equipment performance, faults, payloads, and rock fragmentation. The company offers its products under the Accumin, Aspir, Cavex, Delta Industrial, Enduron, Envirotech, Floway, GEHO, Gemex, Hazleton, Hydrau-Flo, R. Wales, Isodry, Isogate, Lewis, Linatex, Multiflo, Synertrex, Stampede, Trio, Vulco, FusionCast, ESCO, Motion Metrics, and Warman brands. The company was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Glasgow, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyWeir Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its specialized equipment and services to the mining and oil & gas industries. Key revenue streams include the sale of pumps, valves, and other engineered products, as well as aftermarket services that provide maintenance and support for its equipment. The company also benefits from long-term contracts and strategic partnerships with major industry players, which enhances its market position. Additionally, Weir invests in research and development to innovate and improve its product offerings, positioning itself to capture growth opportunities in emerging markets and sectors focused on sustainability.

Weir Group plc (The) Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a strongly positive operational and financial performance: revenue and orders growth, 15% operating profit growth, margin expansion to 20.2%, successful strategic M&A and material emissions reductions. Weaknesses are manageable: temporary working capital build, higher leverage after acquisitions, one-off cash costs and a safety incidence uptick. Management has clear plans to delever, normalize working capital and continue Performance Excellence, so the positives notably outweigh the negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Order Intake
Revenue increased 6% on a constant currency basis to GBP 2.6bn; orders rose 7% to GBP 2.6bn, supported by strong aftermarket demand and acquisitions.
Operating Profit and Margin Expansion
Operating profit grew 15% year-on-year to GBP 518m and operating margin expanded 150 basis points to 20.2%, achieving the 20% margin target one year early.
Aftermarket Strength
Aftermarket orders grew 8% and aftermarket revenue grew 8% (mid-single-digit aftermarket growth for the year was delivered), underpinning recurring high-margin sales and cash generation.
Divisional Performance — Minerals
Minerals orders up 5% (7% ex-large projects), revenue up 6%, operating profit up 11% to GBP 406m and operating margin expanded 100 basis points to 21.9% driven by Performance Excellence and Townley acquisition contribution.
Divisional Performance — ESCO and Software
ESCO operating profit increased 22% to GBP 152m with margins up 260 basis points to 21.4% (including Micromine contribution). Micromine recorded 94% customer retention, recurring revenue at 88% and annualized recurring revenue growth of 24%.
Cash Conversion & Dividend
Free operating cash conversion was 92% (within the 90%–100% target) and full-year dividend increased 4% to 41.7p per share.
Sustainability Progress
Absolute Scope 1 and 2 emissions reduced 31% vs 2019 baseline, surpassing the original 2030 SBTi target of 30% reduction ahead of schedule; retained CDP A score for climate transparency.
Strategic M&A and Product Innovation
Completed self-funded acquisitions (Micromine, Townley, Fast2Mine), integrated Micromine, expanded digital/software capability and launched new hardware (ENDURON VSM) and partnered on CiDRA P29 technology to expand addressable market.
Performance Excellence Delivered and Target Uplifted
Performance Excellence cumulative savings to date GBP 59m; final target increased to GBP 90m with total program costs of GBP 113m (below prior guidance), supporting margin expansion.
Negative Updates
Working Capital and Inventory Build
Working capital as a percentage of sales rose by 170 basis points to 22.4% due to inventory buildup (safety stock related to site moves and tariff impacts); adjusted operating cash decreased by GBP 25m.
Leverage Increase After Acquisitions
Net debt-to-EBITDA increased to 1.9x (toward the top end of target range) following 2025 acquisition activity, with expectation to delever back to 0.5–1.5x in 2026.
Free Cash Flow and One-Off Costs
Free cash flow decreased to GBP 267m driven by higher tax payments, increased finance costs and settlement of derivatives; adjusting items totaled GBP 73m, including GBP 47m exceptional items and GBP 22m of acquisition/integration costs.
Safety Shortfall
Total incident rate increased year-on-year (fell short of the '0 harm' ambition), although recordable incidents reduced in H2 and safety initiatives are being intensified in 2026.
Operational Headwinds and Project Phasing
Original equipment (OE) orders were unchanged year-on-year due to phasing of large greenfield projects; OE revenue modestly pressured by timing of large project deliveries and some phased bucket deliveries.
Asbestos-Related Legacy Exposure and Deconsolidation
U.S. entity holding asbestos-related claims entered Chapter 11 and was deconsolidated; company believes existing provision is sufficient but this required balance sheet actions and accounting adjustments.
Company Guidance
The company guided to another year of revenue and operating profit growth with 50 basis points of operating margin expansion (to roughly 20.7%), supported by mid‑single‑digit aftermarket growth and continued software acceleration (Micromine ARR +24% annualized); financial guidance included net interest cost of ~£90m, capex and lease spend around 1.3x depreciation, exceptional cash costs of £25–30m, an effective tax rate of 28%, and free operating cash conversion of 90–100%; management expects working capital to normalize toward a ~20% of sales target, to delever back to a net debt/EBITDA range of 0.5–1.5x by end‑2026 (from 1.9x post‑acquisitions), and reiterated an upgraded cumulative Performance Excellence savings target of £90m (£59m delivered to date).

Weir Group plc (The) Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Weir Group plc demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet is stable, though it suggests careful leverage management. The cash flow statement highlights effective capital management and cash generation. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the industrial machinery sector with a solid financial foundation, but it must continue monitoring leverage and cash flow to sustain growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The Weir Group plc has shown a consistent revenue growth trajectory over the last few years, with a slight dip in the most recent year. The gross profit margin has been stable, indicating efficient production processes. The net profit margin has also improved significantly, demonstrating effective cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, reflecting robust operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement indicates a healthy growth trend with strong profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of The Weir Group plc reflects a stable equity position with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a balanced approach to leverage. The return on equity has improved, showcasing better utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio indicates a solid foundation of assets being financed by equity. However, the total liabilities remain significant, hinting at potential leverage risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Weir Group's cash flow analysis shows a positive trend in free cash flow growth, reflecting effective capital expenditure management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting good cash generation relative to reported profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio also indicates efficient conversion of earnings into free cash. While the cash flow metrics are positive, careful management is required to maintain this trajectory.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.56B2.51B2.64B2.47B1.93B1.96B
Gross Profit1.04B1.02B994.90M909.70M692.10M687.10M
EBITDA546.90M519.00M489.50M420.70M362.80M334.50M
Net Income246.90M312.20M227.90M213.40M153.30M-154.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.54B3.79B3.89B4.06B3.50B3.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments509.00M556.40M707.20M691.20M564.40M351.70M
Total Debt1.78B1.09B1.40B1.49B1.34B1.36B
Total Liabilities2.62B1.93B2.19B2.32B2.04B2.24B
Stockholders Equity1.91B1.84B1.69B1.73B1.44B1.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow286.90M377.40M307.60M215.50M61.00M152.30M
Operating Cash Flow346.90M449.90M394.30M278.20M113.80M224.00M
Investing Cash Flow-863.30M-52.80M-70.60M-75.60M191.90M-69.00M
Financing Cash Flow549.20M-301.90M-322.50M-253.90M-171.70M-37.80M

Weir Group plc (The) Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3040.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3218.04
Negative
100DMA
3034.36
Positive
200DMA
2785.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
33.96
Positive
RSI
27.47
Positive
STOCH
26.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:WEIR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3040 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3451.30, below the 50-day MA of 3218.04, and above the 200-day MA of 2785.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 33.96 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.47 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:WEIR.

Weir Group plc (The) Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
£8.76B14.3417.68%1.26%-1.97%40.55%
75
Outperform
£6.76B22.9123.79%1.29%-0.32%-3.96%
73
Outperform
£1.83B15.4335.23%1.01%24.42%103.25%
72
Outperform
£5.52B17.5614.19%2.46%0.10%-15.33%
66
Neutral
£3.05B14.3416.97%2.04%1.93%-15.07%
66
Neutral
£8.20B29.1712.85%1.93%-6.93%18.57%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:WEIR
Weir Group plc (The)
3,040.00
641.88
26.77%
GB:GDWN
Goodwin
24,400.00
17,965.72
279.22%
GB:IMI
IMI plc
2,798.00
788.49
39.24%
GB:ROR
Rotork plc
371.80
56.94
18.08%
GB:SMIN
Smiths Group plc
2,674.00
705.54
35.84%
GB:SPX
Spirax Group
7,545.00
489.17
6.93%

Weir Group plc (The) Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Weir Group Retains Top CDP Climate Score and Updates Net Zero Transition Plan
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

Weir Group has received an ‘A’ score for climate transparency from CDP for the fourth consecutive year, underscoring its leadership in emissions reduction, climate risk management, and governance as it supports mining customers in scaling production while cutting environmental impact. Alongside this recognition, the company has published an updated climate transition plan setting out its high-level pathway to align with a net zero world through 2030 and 2050, detailing progress toward Science Based Targets for Scope 1 and 2 emissions, advances in energy- and emissions-saving technologies such as high pressure grinding rolls and vertical stirred mills, and strategic work on water stewardship. Weir is also using its position to advocate for stronger, more practical climate frameworks, welcoming recent revisions to the Science Based Targets initiative’s Corporate Net Zero Standard while calling for further reforms to better engage hard-to-abate sectors like mining, reinforcing its role at the centre of the industry’s decarbonisation efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WEIR) stock is a Buy with a £3639.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weir Group plc (The) stock, see the GB:WEIR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Weir and Olayan Seal Joint Venture to Target Saudi Arabia’s Expanding Mining Sector
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

The Weir Group PLC and Olayan Saudi Holding Company have signed a shareholders’ agreement to create a joint venture in Saudi Arabia to supply advanced mining technology and integrated solutions to the kingdom’s fast-growing mining sector. Announced at the Future Minerals Forum in Riyadh, the venture is expected to be operational by the end of the first quarter of 2026, subject to government approvals, and is designed to combine Weir’s global mining technology leadership with Olayan’s local market expertise to build a localized mining value chain, strengthen service to regional customers and support Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 economic diversification and industrial development goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WEIR) stock is a Buy with a £3350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weir Group plc (The) stock, see the GB:WEIR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Weir Group Announces New Non-Executive Director Appointment
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

The Weir Group PLC has announced the appointment of Penelope Freer as a Non-Executive Director at Mercia Asset Management PLC, effective December 15, 2025. This appointment reflects Weir Group’s strategic focus on strengthening its leadership team and potentially enhancing its influence and connections within the asset management sector, which could have positive implications for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WEIR) stock is a Buy with a £32.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weir Group plc (The) stock, see the GB:WEIR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Weir Group Acquires Full Control of Chilean Joint Venture ESEL
Positive
Dec 12, 2025

Weir Group PLC has announced its acquisition of the remaining 50% share in its Chile-based joint venture, ESCO Elecmetal Fundición Limitada (ESEL), for £56 million. This strategic move is set to enhance Weir’s manufacturing capabilities and market presence in South America, particularly in the mining sector. The acquisition aligns with Weir’s go-direct strategy, allowing the company to transition to a direct-to-customer model in Chile, thereby expanding its foundry capacity and optimizing its global manufacturing footprint. The transaction is expected to complete in Q1 2026 and will be financed from existing debt facilities, with no impact on Weir’s net debt guidance for 2025 and 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WEIR) stock is a Buy with a £3240.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weir Group plc (The) stock, see the GB:WEIR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Weir Group Announces Board Change
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

The Weir Group PLC announced a change in its board of directors, with Nick Anderson stepping down as a non-executive director of Spectris Plc. This change may have implications for the company’s governance and strategic direction, potentially affecting its industry positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WEIR) stock is a Buy with a £32.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weir Group plc (The) stock, see the GB:WEIR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Weir Group Highlights Growth and Digital Strategy at Capital Markets Event
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

The Weir Group PLC is hosting a Capital Markets Event via webcast to highlight its growth and digital strategy, particularly focusing on how its software strategy enhances customer value and creates opportunities. The company maintains its full-year guidance for growth in constant currency revenue and operating profit, with operating margins around 20% and free operating cash conversion between 90% and 100%. This event underscores Weir’s commitment to leveraging digital solutions to strengthen its market position and drive sustainable growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WEIR) stock is a Buy with a £3140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weir Group plc (The) stock, see the GB:WEIR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Weir Group Director Nicholas Anderson to Join Hill & Smith Plc
Neutral
Nov 19, 2025

The Weir Group Plc has announced that Nicholas Anderson, a non-executive director, will join Hill & Smith Plc as a non-executive director starting March 2026. He will also take on the roles of Chair of the Board and Nomination Committee at Hill & Smith Plc in May 2026, a move that could enhance collaboration and strategic alignment between the companies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WEIR) stock is a Buy with a £3140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weir Group plc (The) stock, see the GB:WEIR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Weir Group Expands Mining Software Capabilities with Fast2Mine Acquisition
Positive
Nov 11, 2025

Weir Group PLC has completed its acquisition of Fast2Mine, a Brazilian software provider specializing in mine management solutions. This acquisition enhances Weir’s Micromine portfolio, particularly in open pit and underground mine management, and strengthens its presence in the South American mining software market. The integration of Fast2Mine into Weir’s ESCO division is expected to accelerate the company’s growth in the international mining software sector without impacting its financial guidance for the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WEIR) stock is a Buy with a £3450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weir Group plc (The) stock, see the GB:WEIR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Weir Group Executives Acquire Shares, Signaling Confidence in Future
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

The Weir Group PLC announced that several of its key executives, including the CEO and CFO, have acquired ordinary shares in the company through a dividend reinvestment plan. This move, compliant with the UK Market Abuse Regulation, reflects a significant investment in the company’s future by its leadership, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s strategic direction and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WEIR) stock is a Buy with a £3160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weir Group plc (The) stock, see the GB:WEIR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Weir Group Reports Strategic Growth and Strong Q3 Performance
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

In its third-quarter trading update, Weir Group PLC reported a 2% increase in group orders, driven by strategic acquisitions and strong demand in core mining markets. The company highlighted significant growth in original equipment and aftermarket orders, particularly in the ESCO division, and announced further strategic investments, including the acquisition of Fast2Mine, to bolster its digital offerings. Despite challenges in the mining industry, Weir remains committed to its growth strategy, reiterating its 2025 guidance for revenue and profit growth, operating margins, and cash conversion targets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WEIR) stock is a Buy with a £3200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Weir Group plc (The) stock, see the GB:WEIR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025