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Goodwin PLC (GB:GDWN)
LSE:GDWN

Goodwin (GDWN) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:GDWN

Goodwin

(LSE:GDWN)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
26,091.00p
▲(17.00% Upside)
Goodwin's strong financial performance and positive corporate events significantly bolster its stock score. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, and technical indicators show mixed momentum, tempering the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue growth
Sustained high revenue growth (24% in fundamentals) indicates expanding market share and product adoption across end markets. Over 2-6 months this underpins scalable topline momentum, supports investment in R&D and capacity, and reduces reliance on single-contract outcomes.
Material cash generation
A 62% rise in free cash flow and strong FCF-to-net-income conversion demonstrate durable cash conversion. This supports capex, special dividends or debt reduction, providing financial flexibility to fund strategic projects and weather cyclical downturns without eroding core operations.
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage (D/E ~0.23) signals a conservative capital structure that enhances resilience to cyclical shocks and interest cost rises. Over months this allows prioritising strategic investments or M&A, maintaining liquidity and preserving operational continuity during sector slowdowns.
Negative Factors
Missing ROE metric
Absence of a current ROE limits assessment of how efficiently management is converting equity into returns. Over the medium term this opacity hampers evaluation of shareholder value creation and makes it harder to benchmark operational effectiveness versus peers.
Exposure to cyclical end-markets
Concentration in aerospace, automotive and energy ties revenue to capital spending and macro cycles. Structurally, these sectors exhibit multi-quarter to multi-year swings; such exposure can produce persistent demand volatility and margin pressure through downturns.
Modest dividend yield
A low dividend yield indicates limited near-term income return to shareholders and suggests management may prioritise reinvestment over distributions. Over several months this can reduce appeal to income-focused investors and signal constrained free cash allocation to payouts.

Goodwin (GDWN) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Goodwin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGoodwin PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides mechanical and refractory engineering solutions primarily in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States, the Pacific Basin, and internationally. The company designs, manufactures, and sells dual plate check, axial nozzle check, and axial piston control and isolation valves for large construction projects, including the construction of naval vessels, nuclear waste treatment, nuclear power generation, liquefied natural gas, gas, oil, petrochemical, mining, and water markets; submersible slurry pumps; and radar surveillance systems for defense contractors, civil aviation authorities, and border security agencies. It also provides alloy casting and machining products for use in defence industry, nuclear decommissioning, and the oil and gas industry. In addition, the company designs, manufactures, and sells investment casting powders, injection moulding rubbers, and waxes for jewelry casting, tire mold, and aerospace industries. Further, it produces exfoliated vermiculite that is used in insulation, brake linings, fire protection products, and technical textiles. Additionally, the company is involved in selling consumable refractories to the shell molding casting industry. Goodwin PLC was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Stoke-on-Trent, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoodwin generates revenue through multiple streams including the sale of manufactured products, engineering services, and long-term contracts with key clients in various industries. The company’s primary revenue comes from its manufacturing operations, where it produces precision-engineered components that are sold to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other industrial clients. Additionally, Goodwin has established strategic partnerships with leading firms in the aerospace and energy sectors, enabling it to secure long-term contracts that provide a steady stream of income. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which helps to capture new market opportunities and enhance profitability.

Goodwin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Goodwin exhibits strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, and cash flow metrics highlight efficient cash management. The company is well-positioned for future growth, although monitoring of return on equity is suggested for a comprehensive view of shareholder returns.
Income Statement
Goodwin has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 9.82% increase in the latest year. The company maintains healthy profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 41.70% and a net profit margin of 11.18%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 16.94% and 21.31%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23, reflecting conservative leverage. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a stable capital structure. However, the return on equity is not available for the latest period, which limits a full assessment of profitability from shareholders' perspective.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow, with a growth rate of 62.10%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.65, suggesting good cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.72 indicates strong cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue248.93M219.71M191.26M185.74M144.11M131.23M
Gross Profit112.80M91.61M77.89M46.22M42.70M39.00M
EBITDA66.41M46.81M37.87M29.04M30.17M25.44M
Net Income39.65M24.57M16.90M15.90M12.98M12.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets298.81M285.87M284.23M262.83M218.98M202.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.89M18.46M32.12M19.66M11.65M15.16M
Total Debt28.33M32.13M75.93M53.98M43.14M34.67M
Total Liabilities192.91M143.66M157.58M133.68M99.24M84.38M
Stockholders Equity101.24M138.16M122.28M124.75M115.31M113.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow50.84M41.90M9.72M8.38M-8.00K7.33M
Operating Cash Flow70.16M58.19M27.12M29.13M17.99M21.21M
Investing Cash Flow-14.74M-16.01M-16.88M-20.52M-18.09M-11.92M
Financing Cash Flow-19.61M-55.92M987.00K-281.00K-3.79M-3.48M

Goodwin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22300.00
Price Trends
50DMA
20759.58
Positive
100DMA
16417.18
Positive
200DMA
11793.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
879.00
Negative
RSI
66.29
Neutral
STOCH
85.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GDWN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22300 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20945.00, above the 50-day MA of 20759.58, and above the 200-day MA of 11793.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 879.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:GDWN.

Goodwin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
£6.48B28.1023.79%1.29%-0.32%-3.96%
75
Outperform
£7.73B25.2417.68%1.26%-1.97%40.55%
73
Outperform
£1.75B44.1335.23%1.01%24.42%103.25%
70
Outperform
£170.62M25.985.87%1.02%14.49%76.33%
67
Neutral
£638.20M23.338.04%4.87%-7.30%-59.71%
66
Neutral
£2.81B28.9016.97%2.04%1.93%-15.07%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:GDWN
Goodwin
23,300.00
16,140.19
225.43%
GB:AVG
Avingtrans
515.00
129.16
33.48%
GB:IMI
IMI plc
2,630.00
830.10
46.12%
GB:MGAM
Morgan Advanced Materials
231.00
-3.90
-1.66%
GB:ROR
Rotork plc
340.40
38.99
12.94%
GB:WEIR
Weir Group plc (The)
3,000.00
845.63
39.25%

Goodwin Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Goodwin PLC Reports Strong Half-Year Performance with Doubling Profits
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

Goodwin PLC reported a strong trading performance for the half-year ending October 2025, with trading profits more than doubling compared to the previous year, reaching £37.2 million. The company’s diverse operations, including robust demand in defense and nuclear sectors, and successful projects in radar systems and LNG valves, contributed to this growth. Despite a rise in net debt following a special dividend, the company remains optimistic about its financial position and future profitability, supported by a strong order book and ongoing demand in key markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GDWN) stock is a Buy with a £21910.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Goodwin stock, see the GB:GDWN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Goodwin PLC Directors Consolidate Shareholdings
Neutral
Nov 18, 2025

Goodwin PLC announced a series of share transactions involving its executive and former executive directors, including members of the Goodwin family. These transactions have resulted in the Goodwin Concert Party, which includes both current and former directors and their wider family members, holding a total of 53.73% of the company’s share capital. This consolidation of shares among the Goodwin family members may impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially influencing its strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GDWN) stock is a Hold with a £24960.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Goodwin stock, see the GB:GDWN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Goodwin PLC Reports Doubling of Profitability and Announces Special Dividend
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

Goodwin PLC has announced a significant increase in profitability, expecting trading profit before tax to exceed £71 million for the financial year ending April 2026, doubling from the previous year. This growth is supported by strong performance across all divisions, a solid order book, and enhanced visibility in key programs. The company has declared a special interim dividend of 532 pence per share to reward shareholders, reflecting its strong financial position and cash generation capabilities. Additionally, the appointments of Adam Deeth as Finance Director and Anthony Thomas as Director strengthen the Board as the company continues to pursue its strategic objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GDWN) stock is a Buy with a £16502.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Goodwin stock, see the GB:GDWN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025