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Goodwin PLC (GB:GDWN)
LSE:GDWN

Goodwin (GDWN) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:GDWN

Goodwin

(LSE:GDWN)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
28,067.00 p
▲(25.86% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/11/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (healthy growth, profitability, low leverage, and improving free cash flow). This is partially offset by weak technical momentum signals (negative MACD and low RSI/Stochastic). Valuation is supportive at a mid-range P/E, though the low dividend yield reduces attractiveness for income-focused investors.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth near 10% indicates durable demand expansion across aerospace and defense end markets. Coupled with exposure to both OEM and aftermarket channels, this supports multi-quarter top-line resilience and continued scale benefits for engineered component production and program wins.
High Profitability
Robust gross and operating margins reflect pricing power and efficient manufacturing of mission-critical components. These durable margins support reinvestment, cushion against cost inflation, and signal structural competitiveness in precision aerospace and defense supply chains over several quarters.
Strong Cash & Low Leverage
Marked FCF improvement with solid cash conversion and a low debt-to-equity ratio provides lasting financial flexibility. This combination supports funding of program investments, working capital cycles, and resilience through aerospace procurement timing without stressing the balance sheet.
Negative Factors
Aerospace Cyclicality
Revenue and order variability are structurally tied to aircraft OEM build-rates, aftermarket cadence, and defense procurement timing. Such end-market cyclicality can produce multi-month swings in bookings and utilization, pressuring production planning and near-term cash flows.
Low Dividend Yield
A sub-1% dividend yield is a persistent shortcoming for yield-seeking shareholders and reduces the steady income component of total returns. Over months, low payout limits investor appeal compared with peers that return more cash to shareholders.
Missing ROE Metric
Absent ROE data creates a durable analytics gap when assessing capital efficiency and shareholder returns. Without this metric, it's harder to benchmark management's effectiveness at deploying equity, complicating multi-quarter comparisons versus peers.

Goodwin (GDWN) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Goodwin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGoodwin PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides mechanical and refractory engineering solutions primarily in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States, the Pacific Basin, and internationally. The company designs, manufactures, and sells dual plate check, axial nozzle check, and axial piston control and isolation valves for large construction projects, including the construction of naval vessels, nuclear waste treatment, nuclear power generation, liquefied natural gas, gas, oil, petrochemical, mining, and water markets; submersible slurry pumps; and radar surveillance systems for defense contractors, civil aviation authorities, and border security agencies. It also provides alloy casting and machining products for use in defence industry, nuclear decommissioning, and the oil and gas industry. In addition, the company designs, manufactures, and sells investment casting powders, injection moulding rubbers, and waxes for jewelry casting, tire mold, and aerospace industries. Further, it produces exfoliated vermiculite that is used in insulation, brake linings, fire protection products, and technical textiles. Additionally, the company is involved in selling consumable refractories to the shell molding casting industry. Goodwin PLC was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Stoke-on-Trent, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoodwin makes money by manufacturing and selling engineered components and systems to customers in the aerospace and defense supply chain. Revenue is primarily generated from (1) sales of precision components and subassemblies (e.g., bearings and other mechanical parts) used in aircraft and related systems, and (2) sales of defense-related products and systems delivered under defense-program demand. The company typically earns revenue when products are shipped/delivered (or as contract terms dictate), with demand influenced by aircraft production rates, aftermarket/maintenance activity, and defense procurement cycles. null

Goodwin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: revenue growth of 9.82%, solid profitability (gross margin 41.70%, net margin 11.18%, EBIT margin 16.94%, EBITDA margin 21.31%), conservative leverage (debt-to-equity 0.23), and markedly improved free cash flow (+62.10%) with good cash conversion (operating cash flow to net income 0.65; free cash flow to net income 0.72).
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Goodwin has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 9.82% increase in the latest year. The company maintains healthy profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 41.70% and a net profit margin of 11.18%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 16.94% and 21.31%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23, reflecting conservative leverage. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a stable capital structure. However, the return on equity is not available for the latest period, which limits a full assessment of profitability from shareholders' perspective.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow, with a growth rate of 62.10%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.65, suggesting good cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.72 indicates strong cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMApr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022Apr 2021Apr 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue248.93M219.71M191.26M185.74M144.11M131.23M
Gross Profit112.80M91.61M77.89M46.22M42.70M39.00M
EBITDA66.41M46.81M37.87M29.04M30.17M25.44M
Net Income39.65M24.57M16.90M15.90M12.98M12.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets298.81M285.87M284.23M262.83M218.98M202.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.89M18.46M32.12M19.66M11.65M15.16M
Total Debt28.33M32.13M75.93M53.98M43.14M34.67M
Total Liabilities192.91M143.66M157.58M133.68M99.24M84.38M
Stockholders Equity101.24M138.16M122.28M124.75M115.31M113.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow50.84M41.90M9.72M8.38M-8.00K7.33M
Operating Cash Flow70.16M58.19M27.12M29.13M17.99M21.21M
Investing Cash Flow-14.74M-16.01M-16.88M-20.52M-18.09M-11.92M
Financing Cash Flow-19.61M-55.92M987.00K-281.00K-3.79M-3.48M

Goodwin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22300.00
Price Trends
50DMA
24992.00
Negative
100DMA
22584.26
Positive
200DMA
16004.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-243.36
Positive
RSI
48.97
Neutral
STOCH
73.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GDWN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22300 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24840.00, below the 50-day MA of 24992.00, and above the 200-day MA of 16004.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -243.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:GDWN.

Goodwin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
£6.56B20.0224.91%1.29%-0.32%-3.96%
71
Outperform
£1.85B15.4333.12%1.01%24.42%103.25%
70
Outperform
£179.65M10.696.13%1.02%14.49%76.33%
67
Neutral
£2.52B23.5716.97%2.04%1.93%-15.07%
64
Neutral
£7.29B29.7413.42%1.26%-1.97%40.55%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
£555.19M28.898.04%4.87%-7.30%-59.71%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:GDWN
Goodwin
24,700.00
18,093.88
273.90%
GB:AVG
Avingtrans
540.00
193.74
55.95%
GB:IMI
IMI plc
2,670.00
722.48
37.10%
GB:MGAM
Morgan Advanced Materials
201.00
-2.95
-1.45%
GB:ROR
Rotork plc
307.20
-12.54
-3.92%
GB:WEIR
Weir Group plc (The)
2,830.00
506.58
21.80%

Goodwin Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Goodwin PLC Reports Strong Half-Year Performance with Doubling Profits
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

Goodwin PLC reported a strong trading performance for the half-year ending October 2025, with trading profits more than doubling compared to the previous year, reaching £37.2 million. The company’s diverse operations, including robust demand in defense and nuclear sectors, and successful projects in radar systems and LNG valves, contributed to this growth. Despite a rise in net debt following a special dividend, the company remains optimistic about its financial position and future profitability, supported by a strong order book and ongoing demand in key markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GDWN) stock is a Buy with a £21910.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Goodwin stock, see the GB:GDWN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 11, 2026