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Forterra plc (GB:FORT)
:FORT

Forterra (FORT) AI Stock Analysis

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Forterra

(LSE:FORT)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
208.00p
▲(7.33%Upside)
Forterra's stock score reflects strong corporate event outcomes and positive technical momentum, offset by financial performance concerns and a relatively high valuation. The company's strategic actions and market positioning offer potential for future growth, though profitability and leverage remain areas to watch.

Forterra (FORT) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Forterra Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionForterra (FORT) is a leading manufacturer of water and drainage infrastructure products in the United States. The company operates in the building materials sector, providing essential products for water-related infrastructure, including pipes, precast products, and other drainage solutions. Forterra serves a variety of end markets, including residential, non-residential, and infrastructure projects, leveraging its extensive distribution network and manufacturing capabilities to meet the diverse needs of its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyForterra makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling water and drainage infrastructure products. Its revenue model is based on the sale of pipes, precast concrete, and related products used in construction and infrastructure projects. Key revenue streams include sales to residential construction, non-residential construction, and infrastructure sectors. The company benefits from a broad distribution network and strategic manufacturing locations that help minimize transportation costs and improve delivery times. Forterra's earnings are also influenced by construction market trends, government infrastructure spending, and partnerships with contractors and distributors who integrate Forterra's products into their projects.

Forterra Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Forterra shows a mixed financial performance with stable equity and improved cash generation. However, profitability is under pressure and increased leverage poses a risk.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Forterra's income statement reveals a volatile revenue trend with a notable decline from 2022 to 2024 after a peak in 2022. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable, but the net profit margin and EBIT margin show a downward trend, indicating pressure on profitability. Despite this, the company managed to achieve a moderate net income growth in 2024 compared to 2023, reflecting some resilience.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy equity base with a consistent increase in stockholders' equity over the years, suggesting strong shareholder value. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has risen, indicating increased leverage which may pose future risks. The equity ratio remains robust, highlighting a stable asset base supported by equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Forterra's cash flow statements demonstrate improvement in operating cash flow in 2024, recovering from a negative flow in 2023. Nevertheless, free cash flow has been inconsistent, showing negative growth in previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates effective cash generation relative to earnings, although free cash flow to net income is less stable.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
344.30M346.40M455.50M370.40M291.90M
Gross Profit
103.00M100.70M160.70M128.40M64.70M
EBIT
33.90M24.10M69.00M45.00M20.40M
EBITDA
54.70M44.10M85.50M61.40M15.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
17.50M12.80M58.80M45.50M-5.60M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
15.20M16.00M34.30M41.50M31.50M
Total Assets
442.40M444.70M397.60M350.00M307.90M
Total Debt
121.00M133.40M58.00M16.50M24.40M
Net Debt
105.80M117.40M23.70M-25.00M-7.10M
Total Liabilities
217.50M236.90M177.10M115.20M103.80M
Stockholders Equity
224.90M207.80M220.50M234.80M204.10M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
16.60M-54.10M31.50M33.30M15.40M
Operating Cash Flow
42.20M-20.00M75.60M68.20M40.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-25.60M-33.80M-41.20M-20.00M-24.90M
Financing Cash Flow
-17.40M35.50M-41.60M-38.20M-10.50M

Forterra Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price193.80
Price Trends
50DMA
183.84
Positive
100DMA
171.34
Positive
200DMA
172.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.01
Positive
RSI
55.88
Neutral
STOCH
32.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:FORT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 193.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 192.62, above the 50-day MA of 183.84, and above the 200-day MA of 172.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:FORT.

Forterra Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBMBH
78
Outperform
£106.10M17.456.47%5.22%-9.35%-35.39%
76
Outperform
£1.51B15.558.44%4.58%5.97%-9.81%
GBSRC
73
Outperform
£1.18B50.533.68%65.87%3.47%
69
Neutral
£408.17M23.328.09%2.06%-0.61%34.19%
65
Neutral
£675.76M21.904.76%4.02%-7.75%66.58%
58
Neutral
£622.77M41.093.80%3.17%-9.77%-28.49%
51
Neutral
$2.03B-1.27-21.09%3.98%2.91%-30.50%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:FORT
Forterra
193.80
36.53
23.23%
GB:IBST
Ibstock
158.40
2.97
1.91%
GB:BREE
Breedon
436.20
62.81
16.82%
GB:SRC
SigmaRoc
107.60
40.90
61.32%
GB:MSLH
Marshalls
268.50
-23.50
-8.05%
GB:MBH
Michelmersh Brick Holdings
115.50
22.47
24.15%

Forterra Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsDividends
Forterra plc Annual General Meeting 2025: All Resolutions Passed
Positive
May 20, 2025

Forterra plc successfully held its Annual General Meeting on May 20, 2025, where all proposed resolutions were passed by shareholders. Key resolutions included the adoption of the annual report, reappointment of auditors, approval of a final dividend, and the election and re-election of directors. The approval of these resolutions reflects strong shareholder support and positions the company for continued stability and growth in the construction materials market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FORT) stock is a Hold with a £170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Forterra stock, see the GB:FORT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Forterra Reports Strong Revenue Growth Amid Housebuilding Surge
Positive
May 20, 2025

Forterra plc has reported a 22% year-over-year increase in revenue for the first four months of FY25, driven by strong performances in its divisions and an uplift in housebuilding. Despite the positive start, the company maintains conservative expectations for the year, with potential for upgrades if current momentum continues.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FORT) stock is a Hold with a £170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Forterra stock, see the GB:FORT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Forterra Reports Strong Start to 2025 with Increased Revenue
Positive
May 20, 2025

Forterra plc reported a strong start to 2025 with a 22% increase in revenue, driven by improved demand in the housebuilding sector. The company is ramping up production capacity, including at its Desford and Wilnecote facilities, to meet demand and is strategically positioned to benefit from market recovery, despite global economic uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FORT) stock is a Hold with a £170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Forterra stock, see the GB:FORT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Cobas Asset Management Adjusts Stake in Forterra plc
Neutral
May 13, 2025

Cobas Asset Management, a Madrid-based investment firm, has adjusted its holdings in Forterra plc, reducing its voting rights from 6.162132% to 5.994181%. This change reflects a minor adjustment in Cobas’s investment strategy, potentially impacting Forterra’s shareholder dynamics and indicating a shift in investor confidence or strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FORT) stock is a Hold with a £170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Forterra stock, see the GB:FORT Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Forterra CFO and Spouse Adjust Shareholdings
Neutral
Apr 11, 2025

Forterra plc announced share transactions involving its Chief Financial Officer, Ben Guyatt, and his spouse, Wendy Guyatt. Ben Guyatt sold 37,622 shares and purchased 23,520 shares, while Wendy Guyatt purchased 12,433 shares. These transactions were made to fully utilize their ISA allowances, and Ben Guyatt’s total beneficial interest now stands at 148,029 shares. This notification fulfills Forterra’s obligations under the Market Abuse Regulations.

Other
Forterra Director Increases Stake with Share Purchase
Positive
Apr 2, 2025

Forterra plc announced that Katherine Innes Ker, the Senior Independent Director, has purchased 2,600 Ordinary Shares of the company at a price of £1.73 per share, increasing her total beneficial interest to 6,164 shares. This transaction, disclosed under the Market Abuse Regulations, reflects confidence in the company’s market position and may influence stakeholder perceptions positively.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Forterra Publishes 2024 Annual Report and Announces 2025 AGM
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

Forterra plc has released its Annual Report and Accounts for 2024 and announced the Notice of its Annual General Meeting to be held in May 2025. The documents are available electronically and will be distributed to shareholders who requested hard copies. This release ensures transparency and compliance with UK financial regulations, reinforcing Forterra’s commitment to maintaining strong corporate governance and engaging with its stakeholders.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Forterra Announces Executive Share Option Vesting
Neutral
Mar 25, 2025

Forterra plc announced the vesting of share options for its Executive Directors under the 2022 Deferred Annual Bonus Plan. The Chief Financial Officer, Ben Guyatt, exercised options and sold a portion of shares to cover tax liabilities, retaining the remainder. This transaction did not involve the issuance of new shares, as shares were transferred from the Forterra Employee Benefit Trust. The notification fulfills the company’s obligations under the Market Abuse Regulations.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Forterra plc Grants Performance-Based Share Awards to Key Executives
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Forterra plc has announced the granting of awards over ordinary shares to certain directors and key personnel under its Performance Share Plan. These awards, totaling 1,965,064 shares, are subject to performance conditions related to earnings per share growth, total shareholder return, and reductions in carbon emissions and plastic packaging intensity. The awards are set to vest in March 2028, contingent on meeting these conditions, reflecting Forterra’s strategic focus on sustainability and financial performance, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder value.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Forterra Announces Change in Major Holdings by GLG Partners
Neutral
Mar 18, 2025

Forterra plc has announced a change in its major holdings, with GLG Partners LP crossing a significant threshold in their voting rights. This development indicates a shift in the financial instruments associated with Forterra, potentially impacting the company’s governance and stakeholder dynamics. The notification highlights a less than 5% change in voting rights, reflecting a strategic adjustment by GLG Partners LP, which could influence Forterra’s market positioning and investor relations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.