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Volution Group Plc (GB:FAN)
LSE:FAN

Volution (FAN) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:FAN

Volution

(LSE:FAN)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
785.00p
▲(18.05% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:12/11/25
Volution's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its score. While technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The company's robust cash flow and strategic growth initiatives support its stability and future prospects.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line expansion (20.6% total, 5.7% organic) signals durable demand for ventilation and energy‑efficient products. Organic growth shows core markets are expanding independent of M&A, providing a repeatable base for reinvestment in capacity, R&D and margin improvement.
Cash Generation
Very strong cash conversion (109%) and manageable leverage (1.2x) after sizable acquisitions demonstrate resilient free cash flow and prudent balance sheet management. This supports capex, integration of acquisitions and dividend or debt paydown without stressing operations.
Market Diversification & ESG
Broader geographic footprint (4→17 countries) and high share of low‑carbon sales position the business against regional cycles and regulatory tailwinds for energy efficiency. Diversification and ESG-aligned products reduce concentration risk and support structural demand growth.
Negative Factors
Higher Leverage
Rising debt-to-equity signals greater financial leverage which increases vulnerability to interest rate moves or profit volatility. Even with current leverage modest, continued M&A-funded debt could constrain strategic flexibility and raise refinancing or covenant risk over time.
Margin Dilution from M&A
Acquisition-driven margin dilution (small drop in adjusted operating margin) suggests integration or product-mix effects can compress profitability. If future deals are similar, sustaining prior margins will require focused synergies, pricing power or operational fixes over the medium term.
Regional Exposure Risk
Persistent weakness in Continental Europe (Germany, Nordics) creates cyclical and structural revenue risk in sizable markets. Prolonged soft demand or competitive pressure there can offset gains elsewhere and requires targeted commercial or product strategies to restore growth sustainably.

Volution (FAN) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Volution Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVolution Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies ventilation products to residential and commercial construction markets in the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, Australasia, and internationally. The company offers unitary extractor fans for use in bathrooms and kitchens; MVHR and MEV systems; rigid, semi-rigid, and flexible ducting products and accessories; mechanical heat recovery units; air handling units, fan coils, and hybrid ventilation products; underfloor heating, heated towel rails, radiators, and storage and panel heaters; wall, box, and tower fans, as well as portable air conditioners; hand dryers and insect killers; and sensors, controllers, and ducting products. It also manufactures blowers and motors for the heating and ventilation industry, such as direct and belt-drive fans, fandecks, double inlet centrifugal blowers, motorized impellers, and combustion blowers. The company sells its products principally under the Vent-Axia, Manrose, Diffusion, Airtech, National Ventilation, Breathing Buildings, Torin-Sifan, Fresh, PAX, VoltAir, Kair, Air Connection, inVENTer, Ventilair, ClimaRad, ERI, Rtek, Simx, and Ventair brands. Volution Group plc was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Crawley, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyVolution generates revenue through the sale of its ventilation products, which are marketed to contractors, distributors, and end-users in the construction and building maintenance sectors. Key revenue streams include direct sales of products, installation services, and ongoing maintenance contracts. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with construction firms and HVAC contractors, which help to expand its market reach and customer base. Additionally, Volution invests in research and development to innovate and improve its product offerings, enabling it to capture a larger share of the growing demand for energy-efficient building solutions.

Volution Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 09, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong overall performance with significant revenue growth, successful acquisitions, and strategic geographic expansion. While there were minor challenges such as a slight reduction in profit margins and regional market weaknesses, the positive aspects, particularly the strong cash conversion, geographic diversification, and sustainability progress, outweigh the negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue increased by 20.6%, with a 5.7% organic growth on a constant currency basis. The highest revenue growth was in the U.K. at 9.5%.
Successful Acquisition
The Fantech acquisition contributed significantly to inorganic revenue growth, making it the largest acquisition to date.
Cash Conversion and Leverage
Cash conversion was 109%, and leverage decreased to 1.2x despite significant acquisitions.
Sustainability Progress
Significant progress on ESG metrics, with 77.3% of revenue from low carbon sales and improvements in accident frequency rate.
Geographic Expansion
Increased presence from 4 to 17 countries, with 63% of revenue from non-U.K. customers.
Strong Performance in Australasia
Adjusted operating profit increased by 83.5% in the Australasia region, largely due to the Fantech acquisition.
Negative Updates
Operating Profit Margin Reduction
Adjusted operating profit margin slightly reduced from 22.5% to 22.3% due to Fantech dilution.
Challenges in Continental Europe
The market in Germany and the Nordics remains weak, impacting overall performance in these regions.
OEM Segment Challenges
The OEM segment had been a drag on performance over the last few years but showed signs of improvement.
Increased Financing Costs
Finance costs increased by 40% year-over-year due to borrowings for Fantech and ClimaRad acquisitions.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Volution reported a strong fiscal year 2025, highlighting several key metrics. Revenue increased by 20.6%, or nearly 22% on a constant currency basis, with organic revenue growth at 5.7%. The highest revenue growth was seen in the U.K. at 9.5%, supported by regulatory developments. Despite a slight reduction in adjusted operating profit margin to 22.3% due to the Fantech acquisition, the organic margin expanded by 50 basis points. Cash conversion was robust at 109%, and the company maintained a leverage ratio of 1.2x after significant acquisitions. Return on invested capital stood at 25.2%. The company also made progress in ESG initiatives, with 71.2% of revenue from low carbon sales and an improvement in the accident frequency rate. Looking forward, Volution is optimistic about continued organic and inorganic growth, supported by strategic investments in capacity and operational excellence.

Volution Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Volution demonstrates strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability. Despite increased leverage, the company's cash flow generation remains robust, supporting its financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Volution has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 15.47% increase in the latest year, supported by a solid gross profit margin. The net profit margin is healthy, indicating efficient cost management. However, a slight decline in EBIT suggests potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased, indicating higher leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity remains strong, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio suggests a stable financial structure.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Volution's cash flow performance is robust, with a positive free cash flow growth rate and strong operating cash flow to net income ratio. This indicates good cash generation relative to earnings, although the growth rate has slowed compared to previous years.
BreakdownJul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue419.11M347.61M328.01M307.70M272.59M
Gross Profit205.62M178.27M143.36M127.80M110.16M
EBITDA91.04M82.76M79.13M73.11M58.38M
Net Income41.53M42.80M37.37M35.61M20.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets602.45M430.31M440.65M411.37M383.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.78M18.24M21.24M14.63M19.96M
Total Debt183.42M85.99M120.46M108.03M108.32M
Total Liabilities332.47M184.39M214.40M203.06M198.69M
Stockholders Equity269.99M245.92M226.25M208.21M185.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow78.41M68.33M56.83M31.97M45.73M
Operating Cash Flow84.97M75.71M64.79M38.98M50.43M
Investing Cash Flow-115.34M-19.59M-37.48M-24.26M-46.69M
Financing Cash Flow30.54M-58.83M-17.82M-19.63M-2.40M

Volution Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price665.00
Price Trends
50DMA
661.68
Positive
100DMA
647.26
Positive
200DMA
633.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.49
Positive
RSI
44.77
Neutral
STOCH
47.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:FAN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 665 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 686.10, above the 50-day MA of 661.68, and above the 200-day MA of 633.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 8.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:FAN.

Volution Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
£1.31B32.3716.10%1.68%20.57%-3.18%
74
Outperform
£297.73M117.9510.01%3.48%-3.93%41.83%
71
Outperform
£878.70M10.367.68%3.19%5.88%107.36%
66
Neutral
£91.22M7.4525.06%4.63%12.60%6.64%
65
Neutral
£169.38M-14.939.50%4.39%-3.51%-67.38%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
£10.12M36.16-11.61%-27.62%-228.90%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:FAN
Volution
662.00
155.43
30.68%
GB:ALU
Alumasc
255.00
-59.11
-18.82%
GB:NXR
Norcros
331.00
120.18
57.00%
GB:GEN
Genuit Group
350.00
8.44
2.47%
GB:TON
Titon Holdings
90.00
15.00
20.00%
GB:SRAD
Stelrad Group Plc
133.00
1.77
1.35%

Volution Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution Updates Market on Total Voting Rights and Share Capital
Neutral
Mar 2, 2026

Volution Group plc has confirmed that its issued share capital comprises 200,000,000 ordinary shares of 1 pence each, of which 1,584,751 are held in treasury, resulting in 198,415,249 voting rights currently in issue. The disclosure, made under the UK Financial Conduct Authority’s transparency rules, provides investors with the denominator needed to assess whether they must report holdings or changes in their interest in the company, underscoring Volution’s ongoing compliance with market disclosure requirements.

The clarification of total voting rights helps ensure accurate monitoring of significant shareholdings and supports transparency for institutional and retail shareholders. While the announcement is largely technical, it may influence how investors evaluate their reporting obligations and positions in Volution’s shares, particularly in the context of regulatory thresholds for stake disclosures in the UK market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £794.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Volution Sets Date for Half-Year Results and Analyst Briefing
Neutral
Feb 24, 2026

Volution Group plc will publish its half-year results for the six months to 31 January 2026 on 12 March, with management hosting an analyst presentation in London and via live stream. The scheduled update underscores the group’s continued engagement with the investment community and will offer investors and analysts fresh insight into trading performance and strategic progress in the energy-efficient air quality sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £779.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution Updates Total Voting Rights Following Treasury Share Position
Neutral
Feb 2, 2026

Volution Group plc has confirmed that its issued share capital comprises 200,000,000 ordinary shares of 1 pence each, of which 1,589,751 are held in treasury, leaving 198,410,249 shares carrying voting rights. The updated voting rights figure provides a new denominator for investors assessing disclosure thresholds under UK transparency rules, ensuring shareholders and the market have clarity on Volution’s capital base and facilitating accurate reporting of significant shareholdings in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Volution Completes Acquisition of Australia’s AC Industries to Deepen Australasian Reach
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

Volution Group plc has completed the acquisition of AC Industries in Australia, a provider of ducting solutions for copper and gold mines, strengthening its presence in the Australasian market. The deal expands Volution’s product offering into specialised mining ventilation infrastructure and further broadens its regional footprint, underlining the group’s strategy of building scale in key geographies and adjacent air-movement applications ahead of its forthcoming half-year results in March 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution CFO Transfers 271,186 Company Shares to Spouse
Neutral
Jan 26, 2026

Volution Group plc has disclosed that its Chief Financial Officer, Andy O’Brien, has transferred 271,186 ordinary shares in the company to his spouse, Rowenna O’Brien, for nil consideration, in a transaction carried out outside the main market on 26 January 2026. The move, formally notified under market abuse regulations, represents an internal reallocation of share ownership within the director’s family rather than a disposal into the market, and therefore does not immediately alter the company’s overall share capital or free float but is relevant for transparency around insider holdings and governance reporting.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution Confirms Updated Total Voting Rights of 198.4 Million Shares
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

Volution Group plc has confirmed that its issued share capital consists of 200 million ordinary shares of 1 pence each, of which 1,589,905 shares are held in treasury, leaving 198,410,095 voting rights currently in issue. The disclosure, made in line with UK Financial Conduct Authority transparency rules, provides investors with the reference figure needed to assess whether they must notify the company and regulators about holdings or changes in holdings, thereby supporting clear oversight of Volution’s shareholder base and voting structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Volution Group Passes AGM Resolutions Amid Shareholder Concerns
Neutral
Dec 10, 2025

Volution Group plc announced that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting were passed, including those related to directors’ re-elections and financial matters. However, the resolution concerning the disapplication of pre-emption rights received significant opposition, with over 20% of votes against it. The board plans to engage with shareholders to understand their concerns and will provide an update within six months. This outcome highlights potential shareholder concerns regarding governance practices, which the company aims to address.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £820.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Volution Group Expands with Strategic Acquisition of AC Industries
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

Volution Group plc has announced the acquisition of AC Industries, a specialist in ventilation ducting solutions for underground mines, for up to AUD$178.9 million. This strategic acquisition aligns with Volution’s commitment to energy efficiency and healthy air, expanding their presence in the Australasian market. The deal is expected to enhance Volution’s capabilities in serving mining applications and is projected to be immediately earnings accretive, strengthening their market position and offering significant growth potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £820.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Volution Group Reports Strong Revenue Growth and Announces Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

Volution Group plc reported a strong start to FY 2026 with a 5% organic revenue growth at constant currency, complemented by a 25% inorganic growth from the previous year’s acquisition of Fantech, resulting in a total revenue growth of over 30% for the first four months. The company also announced the acquisition of AC Industries in Sydney, Australia, for AUD$150 million, which is expected to be immediately earnings accretive, further enhancing Volution’s market presence and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £820.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025