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Volution Group Plc (GB:FAN)
LSE:FAN

Volution (FAN) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:FAN

Volution

(LSE:FAN)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
721.00p
▲(12.83% Upside)
Volution's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its score. While technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The company's robust cash flow and strategic growth initiatives support its stability and future prospects.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Conversion
High cash conversion and reduced leverage enhance financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt management.
Sustainability Progress
Focus on low carbon products aligns with global sustainability trends, potentially increasing market share and regulatory compliance.
Negative Factors
Operating Profit Margin Reduction
Margin reduction may signal cost pressures or inefficiencies, potentially affecting profitability if not addressed.
Challenges in Continental Europe
Weak performance in key regions could hinder overall growth and necessitate strategic adjustments to regain market strength.
Increased Financing Costs
Rising finance costs can strain earnings and cash flow, potentially limiting future investment capacity and impacting net income.

Volution (FAN) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Volution Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVolution Group plc (FAN) is a leading manufacturer and supplier of ventilation products and indoor air quality solutions, primarily serving the residential and commercial sectors. The company operates in various markets, including the UK, Europe, and beyond, focusing on energy-efficient ventilation systems, fans, and heat recovery solutions. Volution's core product offerings include axial and centrifugal fans, ventilation grilles, and HVAC systems designed to enhance air quality and energy efficiency in buildings.
How the Company Makes MoneyVolution generates revenue through the sale of its ventilation products, which are marketed to contractors, distributors, and end-users in the construction and building maintenance sectors. Key revenue streams include direct sales of products, installation services, and ongoing maintenance contracts. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with construction firms and HVAC contractors, which help to expand its market reach and customer base. Additionally, Volution invests in research and development to innovate and improve its product offerings, enabling it to capture a larger share of the growing demand for energy-efficient building solutions.

Volution Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 09, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong overall performance with significant revenue growth, successful acquisitions, and strategic geographic expansion. While there were minor challenges such as a slight reduction in profit margins and regional market weaknesses, the positive aspects, particularly the strong cash conversion, geographic diversification, and sustainability progress, outweigh the negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue increased by 20.6%, with a 5.7% organic growth on a constant currency basis. The highest revenue growth was in the U.K. at 9.5%.
Successful Acquisition
The Fantech acquisition contributed significantly to inorganic revenue growth, making it the largest acquisition to date.
Cash Conversion and Leverage
Cash conversion was 109%, and leverage decreased to 1.2x despite significant acquisitions.
Sustainability Progress
Significant progress on ESG metrics, with 77.3% of revenue from low carbon sales and improvements in accident frequency rate.
Geographic Expansion
Increased presence from 4 to 17 countries, with 63% of revenue from non-U.K. customers.
Strong Performance in Australasia
Adjusted operating profit increased by 83.5% in the Australasia region, largely due to the Fantech acquisition.
Negative Updates
Operating Profit Margin Reduction
Adjusted operating profit margin slightly reduced from 22.5% to 22.3% due to Fantech dilution.
Challenges in Continental Europe
The market in Germany and the Nordics remains weak, impacting overall performance in these regions.
OEM Segment Challenges
The OEM segment had been a drag on performance over the last few years but showed signs of improvement.
Increased Financing Costs
Finance costs increased by 40% year-over-year due to borrowings for Fantech and ClimaRad acquisitions.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Volution reported a strong fiscal year 2025, highlighting several key metrics. Revenue increased by 20.6%, or nearly 22% on a constant currency basis, with organic revenue growth at 5.7%. The highest revenue growth was seen in the U.K. at 9.5%, supported by regulatory developments. Despite a slight reduction in adjusted operating profit margin to 22.3% due to the Fantech acquisition, the organic margin expanded by 50 basis points. Cash conversion was robust at 109%, and the company maintained a leverage ratio of 1.2x after significant acquisitions. Return on invested capital stood at 25.2%. The company also made progress in ESG initiatives, with 71.2% of revenue from low carbon sales and an improvement in the accident frequency rate. Looking forward, Volution is optimistic about continued organic and inorganic growth, supported by strategic investments in capacity and operational excellence.

Volution Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Volution demonstrates strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability. Despite increased leverage, the company's cash flow generation remains robust, supporting its financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Volution has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 15.47% increase in the latest year, supported by a solid gross profit margin. The net profit margin is healthy, indicating efficient cost management. However, a slight decline in EBIT suggests potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased, indicating higher leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity remains strong, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio suggests a stable financial structure.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Volution's cash flow performance is robust, with a positive free cash flow growth rate and strong operating cash flow to net income ratio. This indicates good cash generation relative to earnings, although the growth rate has slowed compared to previous years.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue419.11M419.11M347.61M328.01M307.70M272.59M
Gross Profit205.62M205.62M178.27M143.36M127.80M110.16M
EBITDA91.04M91.04M82.76M79.13M73.11M58.38M
Net Income41.53M41.53M42.80M37.37M35.61M20.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets602.45M602.45M430.31M440.65M411.37M383.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.78M18.78M18.24M21.24M14.63M19.96M
Total Debt183.42M183.42M85.99M120.46M108.03M108.32M
Total Liabilities332.47M332.47M184.39M214.40M203.06M198.69M
Stockholders Equity269.99M269.99M245.92M226.25M208.21M185.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow78.41M78.41M68.33M56.83M31.97M45.73M
Operating Cash Flow84.97M84.97M75.71M64.79M38.98M50.43M
Investing Cash Flow-106.85M-115.34M-19.59M-37.48M-24.26M-46.69M
Financing Cash Flow26.75M30.54M-58.83M-17.82M-19.63M-2.40M

Volution Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price639.00
Price Trends
50DMA
632.33
Positive
100DMA
631.94
Positive
200DMA
604.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.00
Negative
RSI
60.21
Neutral
STOCH
53.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:FAN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 639 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 624.35, above the 50-day MA of 632.33, and above the 200-day MA of 604.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:FAN.

Volution Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
£1.26B30.5516.10%1.68%20.57%-3.18%
77
Outperform
16.23%4.27%4.67%93.06%
75
Outperform
£1.31B-23.55-0.94%2.17%-4.34%-220.12%
74
Outperform
£274.34M21.6810.01%3.48%-3.93%41.83%
71
Outperform
£806.64M16.437.68%3.21%5.88%107.36%
70
Neutral
£128.83M17.437.23%3.97%5.51%-33.75%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:FAN
Volution
641.00
97.12
17.86%
GB:EPWN
Epwin Group plc
119.50
26.56
28.58%
GB:ECEL
Eurocell
130.00
-37.66
-22.46%
GB:NXR
Norcros
305.00
61.44
25.23%
GB:GEN
Genuit Group
324.00
-47.99
-12.90%
GB:TPK
Travis Perkins
622.00
-77.86
-11.13%

Volution Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution Group Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

Volution Group plc has announced its total voting rights, with an issued share capital of 200 million ordinary shares, of which 197,987,230 carry voting rights. This update is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s rules, impacting how they manage their interests in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsFinancial Disclosures
Volution Group Reports Strong Financial Performance and Growth Prospects
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

Volution Group plc has reported strong financial performance for the fiscal year ending July 31, 2025, with expectations of adjusted earnings per share slightly exceeding market consensus. The company anticipates over 5% organic revenue growth and more than 20% total revenue growth, partly due to the acquisition of Fantech. The UK market showed robust growth in residential revenue, while Continental Europe and Australasia also performed well. Despite currency translation impacts, Volution expects operating margins to remain stable and cash conversion to exceed targets, supporting future investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Volution Group to Release Pre-Close Trading Update
Neutral
Jul 21, 2025

Volution Group plc announced its intention to release a pre-close trading update for the financial year ending 31 July 2025. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic positioning in the market for energy-efficient indoor air quality solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Volution Group Announces Key Board and Committee Changes
Neutral
Jul 11, 2025

Volution Group plc announced changes to its Board and Committees, appointing Celia Baxter as the new Remuneration Committee Chair and Designated Non-Executive Director for workforce engagement. Claire Tiney will retire from the Board and various committees after nine years of service, with the company expressing gratitude for her significant contributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £690.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution Group Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

Volution Group plc has announced its total voting rights, with an issued share capital of 200,000,000 ordinary shares, of which 197,975,141 carry voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their interest in the company, in compliance with the Financial Conduct Authority’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution Group Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

Volution Group plc has announced its total voting rights, with the company’s issued share capital consisting of 200,000,000 ordinary shares, of which 197,970,539 carry voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their interests in the company under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Volution Group Announces New Director Appointment
Positive
May 22, 2025

Volution Group plc has announced the appointment of Emmanuelle Dubu as a non-executive director of Bodycote plc, effective from June 23, 2025. This strategic move may enhance Volution’s industry positioning by fostering stronger leadership connections and potentially influencing future collaborations or market strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025