Alumasc (ALU) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £88.72M
• Dividend Yield: 4.63%
• Average Volume (3M): 79.09K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.5
• Beta (1Y): -0.01
• Revenue Growth: 12.60%
• EPS Growth: 6.64%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 470
• Sector: Utilities
• Sector Strength: 65
• Industry: Construction
• EPS (TTM): 0.08
• Shares Outstanding: 36,133,560
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 75,767
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 79,088
• PEG Ratio: 1.77
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.35
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.21
• P/FCF Ratio: 13.88
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.29
• Revenue Forecast (FY): £113.60M

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: 313.00 p ▲(20.85% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 12/07/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 12/07/25

Alumasc's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation, despite bearish technical indicators. The company's stable financial position and high dividend yield are significant strengths, while technical analysis suggests caution due to bearish momentum.

Positive Factors

High profitability margins

Sustained gross and net margins near 38% and 8% indicate durable pricing power and a favorable product mix toward specified systems. Strong margins support reinvestment, cover fixed costs in cyclical slowdowns, and underpin consistent cash available for dividends or capex.

Efficient capital returns

ROE above 20% with a near-0.5 debt-to-equity suggests effective use of shareholder capital and a solid equity buffer. This combination gives management flexibility to fund growth or return cash while retaining capacity for targeted acquisitions or investment in manufacturing.

Strong operating cash conversion

Operating cash generation exceeding reported earnings demonstrates high cash quality and working-capital control. Reliable cash conversion supports routine capex, dividend payments and working-capital needs without immediate reliance on external financing in normal cycles.

Negative Factors

Earnings contraction

A >20% decline in EPS highlights pressures on profitability from volume, mix or cost increases. Persistent EPS weakness limits scope for long-term shareholder returns and reduces margin of safety for reinvestment or absorbing further cost inflation.

Free cash flow deterioration

A c.15% drop in free cash flow growth constrains the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends or reduce debt. Over multiple quarters this reduces strategic optionality and increases sensitivity to capital allocation mistakes or unexpected cash needs.

Rising debt trend risk

Although current leverage is moderate, an upward trend in total debt raises refinancing and interest-rate exposure. In a construction slowdown higher debt can strain liquidity and limit capacity for strategic investment or shareholder distributions.

Alumasc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Alumasc Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells building products, systems, and solutions in Europe, North America, the Middle East, the Far East, and internationally. The company operates through Water Management, Building Envelope, and Housebuilding Products segments. It offers water management solutions for urban water management in the areas of gutters and downpipes, building drainage, drainage and access covers, and fascia soffit copings under the Alumasc, Skyline, Rainwater, Harmer, Wade, and Gatic brands; building envelope solutions, such as roof waterproofing systems, green and landscaped garden roofing, architectural screening, ventilation louvres, solar shading, and off-site constructed modular balconies under the Roof-Pro, Alumasc, and Levolux brands; and housebuilding products under the timloc brand. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Kettering, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Alumasc generates revenue through the sale of its building products and systems across various sectors, including residential, commercial, and infrastructure projects. The company's revenue model is primarily based on direct sales to contractors, builders, and distributors, as well as through partnerships with construction firms. Key revenue streams include the sale of roofing systems, drainage products, and external wall insulation, where Alumasc emphasizes innovation and sustainability to meet the evolving needs of the construction industry. Additionally, Alumasc benefits from long-term relationships with major clients and strategic partnerships that enhance its market reach and contribute to consistent earnings.

Alumasc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Alumasc shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable, though increasing debt levels warrant attention. Cash flow generation is adequate, but the recent decline in free cash flow growth could be a concern.

Income Statement

Alumasc has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase of 2.85% in the latest period. The company maintains strong profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 37.95% and a net profit margin of 8.23%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47, showing a manageable level of leverage. Return on equity is robust at 22.79%, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 44.57%, suggesting a solid equity base. However, the increase in total debt over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 14.78%, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.33, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.80 suggests that a significant portion of earnings is not translating into free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021	Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	106.44M	113.41M	100.72M	89.14M	89.38M	77.81M
Gross Profit	39.47M	43.04M	38.28M	32.66M	33.30M	29.37M
EBITDA	16.79M	19.60M	16.14M	14.40M	15.41M	12.30M
Net Income	7.52M	9.34M	8.75M	6.60M	-7.05M	7.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	87.93M	91.96M	82.41M	68.22M	73.33M	77.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	5.04M	6.41M	6.41M	6.00M	8.28M	5.00M
Total Debt	25.84M	19.14M	19.51M	14.08M	18.13M	11.54M
Total Liabilities	45.48M	50.97M	48.88M	42.47M	47.60M	41.49M
Stockholders Equity	42.44M	40.99M	33.54M	25.75M	25.73M	36.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	5.10M	9.91M	10.49M	8.02M	944.00K	6.17M
Operating Cash Flow	6.76M	12.39M	14.12M	10.76M	3.52M	8.17M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.98M	-3.35M	-12.13M	-4.46M	-2.55M	-1.95M
Financing Cash Flow	-6.14M	-8.86M	-1.54M	-8.57M	1.80M	-17.02M

Alumasc Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 259.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ALU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 259 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 264.83, above the 50-day MA of 257.35, and below the 200-day MA of 299.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:ALU.

Alumasc Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FAN	77 Outperform	£1.15B	11.05	15.97%	1.68%	20.57%	-3.18%
NXR	74 Outperform	£282.44M	117.95	6.14%	3.48%	-3.93%	41.83%
ECEL	70 Neutral	£109.88M	13.87	7.28%	3.97%	5.51%	-33.75%
ALU	66 Neutral	£88.72M	7.45	18.04%	4.63%	12.60%	6.64%
Sector *	66 Neutral	$17.65B	18.10	5.60%	3.62%	6.62%	11.55%
GEN	60 Neutral	£734.34M	18.00	7.59%	3.19%	5.88%	107.36%
SRAD	57 Neutral	£163.01M	10.42	1.61%	4.39%	-3.51%	-67.38%

Alumasc Corporate Events

Alumasc to Brief Investors at MelloMonday Webinar

Alumasc Group plc, the sustainable building products, systems and solutions specialist, serves the UK construction market through its Water Management, Building Envelope and Housebuilding Products segments. Its portfolio is largely specified by architects and structural engineers, reflecting the regulatory and performance-led demand for its premium solutions.

The company has announced that its senior management will present at the MelloMonday investor webinar on 9 February 2026, offering shareholders and prospective investors an opportunity to hear directly from the CEO and Group Finance Director. The virtual event, which will include a Q&A session and a subsequent recording for registrants, underlines Alumasc’s efforts to engage actively with the investment community and increase transparency around its strategy and performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ALU) stock is a Hold with a £263.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alumasc stock, see the GB:ALU Stock Forecast page.

Alumasc Holds Dividend as Order Book Grows Despite Revenue Dip

Alumasc reported a resilient first-half performance for the six months to 31 December 2025 despite softer UK construction markets and project delays linked to the Building Safety Act and affordability pressures. Group revenue fell 12% year-on-year to £50.4m, largely due to the absence of prior-period revenue from the Chek Lap Kok airport project in Hong Kong, while underlying operating margin narrowed to 8.9% and underlying profit declined to £4.0m, reflecting a heavier weighting of earnings to the second half. The company responded with £1.1m of annualised cost savings, maintained its interim dividend at 3.5p, and continued to strengthen its balance sheet, with net debt at £7.7m and a significantly improved pension surplus that will reduce annual contributions. Management highlighted strong growth in the order book—up 27% year-on-year excluding Chek Lap Kok and 50% higher than December 2023—bolstered by a £2m initial order for work at Changi Airport in Singapore and an expanding international pipeline beyond its traditional Asian and Middle Eastern markets. With leadership transition underway as a new CEO designate joins in March, Alumasc says it remains on track to meet full-year expectations and is strategically positioned to benefit from anticipated improvements in UK demand, infrastructure spending and the broader move toward sustainable and green buildings, supporting its aim of delivering higher margins and long-term shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ALU) stock is a Hold with a £262.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alumasc stock, see the GB:ALU Stock Forecast page.

Alumasc Names Pamela Bingham as New Chief Executive to Lead Next Growth Phase

Alumasc has appointed experienced industrial executive Pamela Bingham as its next Chief Executive Officer, succeeding long-serving CEO Paul Hooper, who will retire on 31 March 2026 after 25 years with the group. Bingham, who joins the board on 2 March 2026 as CEO designate, brings over two decades of leadership experience at international manufacturing and industrial services businesses, including roles as CEO of Eriks UK & Ireland and Glen Dimplex Heating and Ventilation, and is expected to steer Alumasc through its next growth phase by leveraging her track record in value creation, digital transformation and customer-focused expansion as the company seeks to capitalise on opportunities in sustainable building products and decarbonisation-focused construction markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ALU) stock is a Hold with a £284.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alumasc stock, see the GB:ALU Stock Forecast page.

Alumasc Group PLC to Announce Interim Results and Host Investor Presentations

Alumasc Group PLC has announced that it will release its interim results for the six months ending 31 December 2025 on 3 February 2026. The company will host presentations for analysts and investors to discuss these results, offering both in-person and virtual attendance options. This announcement highlights Alumasc’s commitment to transparency and engagement with its stakeholders, providing insights into its financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ALU) stock is a Hold with a £284.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alumasc stock, see the GB:ALU Stock Forecast page.

Alumasc Group Announces Share Option Transactions by Key Personnel

The Alumasc Group PLC announced transactions involving the exercise and sale of share options by individuals closely associated with company executives. Mrs. Luan Leaf, associated with Executive Director Michael Leaf, and Helen Ashton, a PDMR of the company, both exercised options under the 2022 Alumasc Employee Option Scheme. These transactions did not alter the total shareholding of Michael Leaf but resulted in Helen Ashton retaining a portion of her shares. The transactions were settled using shares from the Employee Benefit Trust, reflecting ongoing internal financial activities and share management within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ALU) stock is a Hold with a £309.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alumasc stock, see the GB:ALU Stock Forecast page.