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Cerillion PLC (GB:CER)
LSE:CER
UK Market

Cerillion (CER) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CER

Cerillion

(LSE:CER)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
1,573.00p
▲(13.99% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/27/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial performance (high margins, low leverage, and solid cash generation). Offsetting this, technicals look overheated (very high RSI/Stoch and price well above moving averages), and valuation is on the expensive side (P/E ~28.95 with a sub-1% yield).
Positive Factors
High Profitability Margins
Cerillion reports very high gross and operating margins, indicating pricing power and efficient operations. Durable margin structure supports reinvestment in product development and sales, providing a buffer through industry cycles and enabling long-term cash returns to shareholders.
Very Low Leverage / Strong Balance Sheet
Extremely low leverage and a high equity ratio give the company financial flexibility to fund growth, absorb shocks, or pursue M&A without stressing cash flow. A strong balance sheet underpins durable investment in cloud offerings and long-term strategic initiatives.
Strong Cash Generation & Conversion
Efficient conversion of earnings into operating and free cash flow signals sustainable cash generation. Predictable cash conversion supports ongoing product investment, customer support, and potential shareholder returns, strengthening resilience over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Modest Revenue Growth
Revenue growth in the mid-single-digit range limits the scale dynamics typical of high-growth software peers. Sustained modest top-line expansion constrains market share gains and may require continued margin excellence or higher investment to achieve faster structural growth.
Material Professional Services Mix
Reliance on professional services and initial license sales increases revenue lumpiness and reduces the recurring revenue share. Services are less scalable and can pressure long-term margin expansion and predictability compared with a pure SaaS subscription model.
Customer / Sector Concentration Risk
Heavy exposure to telecom and utility partners concentrates revenue risk to a few large customers and sector cycles. Industry-specific capex timing, contract renegotiation risk, or regulatory shifts in those sectors could materially affect multi-quarter revenue visibility.

Cerillion (CER) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Cerillion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCerillion (CER) is a leading provider of billing, charging, and customer relationship management (CRM) solutions for telecommunications and utility companies. The company specializes in delivering software that enables businesses to manage their customer interactions, billing processes, and revenue management efficiently. With a focus on cloud-based solutions, Cerillion serves clients across various sectors, including telecommunications, energy, and finance, offering products that enhance operational efficiency and improve customer experiences.
How the Company Makes MoneyCerillion generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software solutions and services. Its revenue model includes software licensing fees, subscription-based services, and professional services related to implementation and support. Key revenue streams consist of initial software licenses, ongoing subscription fees for cloud services, maintenance contracts, and consulting services. Cerillion also benefits from significant partnerships with telecom operators and utility companies that rely on its technology to streamline their billing and customer management processes. The recurring nature of subscription fees and maintenance contracts provides a stable revenue foundation, while ongoing demand for digital transformation in various industries further contributes to its earnings.

Cerillion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals driven by solid revenue growth (+7.61%) and very high profitability (gross margin 76.19%, net margin 36.64%, EBITDA margin 53.61%). Balance sheet risk looks low with minimal leverage (debt-to-equity 0.06) and a strong equity base (equity ratio 79.20%), supported by healthy cash conversion (operating cash flow to net income 1.11) and strong free cash flow relative to earnings (FCF to net income 0.97).
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Cerillion has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 7.61% increase in the latest year. The company maintains high profitability with a gross profit margin of 76.19% and a net profit margin of 36.64%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 48.29% and 53.61%, respectively, indicating efficient operations and strong earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Overall, the income statement reflects a healthy growth trajectory and strong profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06, indicating low leverage and financial risk. The equity ratio stands at 79.20%, reflecting a strong equity base relative to total assets. Although the return on equity (ROE) is not provided for the latest year, previous years indicate a strong ROE, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with low leverage and a strong equity position.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cerillion's cash flow statement reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate of 2.28%, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.11 suggests efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.97, demonstrating strong cash flow relative to net income. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects healthy cash generation and efficient cash management.
BreakdownSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.36M43.75M39.17M32.73M26.07M
Gross Profit34.56M35.20M30.81M22.52M20.41M
EBITDA24.32M21.99M18.83M14.03M10.47M
Net Income16.62M15.26M12.93M9.34M6.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets75.27M63.10M52.78M42.63M35.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.40M29.85M24.74M20.25M13.17M
Total Debt3.31M2.80M3.16M4.03M4.81M
Total Liabilities15.66M14.59M15.90M15.90M15.46M
Stockholders Equity59.61M48.51M36.88M26.73M20.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.81M9.70M8.32M10.73M8.53M
Operating Cash Flow13.23M11.21M9.75M12.34M9.80M
Investing Cash Flow-2.28M-1.51M-1.43M-1.61M-1.27M
Financing Cash Flow-6.40M-4.54M-3.76M-3.76M-3.61M

Cerillion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1380.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1496.49
Negative
100DMA
1438.03
Negative
200DMA
1482.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-16.45
Positive
RSI
30.58
Neutral
STOCH
12.50
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CER, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1380 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1575.25, below the 50-day MA of 1496.49, and below the 200-day MA of 1482.45, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -16.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.50 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CER.

Cerillion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
£7.89B29.1540.71%1.94%7.76%17.61%
73
Outperform
£171.64M11.8211.31%1.68%6.27%0.83%
72
Outperform
£130.47M33.607.71%1.92%-6.63%-7.88%
70
Outperform
£415.04M26.8530.74%1.19%3.67%8.74%
70
Outperform
£466.80M71.101.56%1.73%-0.18%11.49%
68
Neutral
£175.60M46.999.59%0.80%22.80%-32.13%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CER
Cerillion
1,405.00
-60.66
-4.14%
GB:DOTD
Dotdigital
56.60
-18.31
-24.45%
GB:GBG
GB Group plc
202.50
-104.49
-34.04%
GB:APTD
Aptitude Software Group plc
233.50
-66.64
-22.20%
GB:NET
Netcall
102.00
-11.53
-10.16%
GB:SGE
Sage Group plc
833.40
-397.87
-32.31%

Cerillion Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsShareholder Meetings
Cerillion Secures Full Shareholder Backing at Virtual AGM
Positive
Feb 19, 2026

Cerillion plc reported that all resolutions at its virtually held annual general meeting on 19 February 2026 were approved by shareholders, including the adoption of accounts, the directors’ remuneration report, a dividend declaration and the re-election of key board members. Investors also backed the reappointment of auditors, authorities to allot shares and equity securities, disapply pre-emption rights, authorise political expenditure and permit market purchases of the company’s own shares, reinforcing management’s financial flexibility and corporate governance framework.

The strong voting support across both ordinary and special resolutions indicates continued shareholder confidence in Cerillion’s strategy and leadership, with high approval levels for most items despite some dissent on political expenditure and one director’s re-election. The renewed authorities over capital issuance and share buybacks provide the board with tools to manage the capital structure and pursue future strategic initiatives, which may influence the company’s growth trajectory and its positioning in the competitive telecoms software market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Buy with a £1881.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cerillion updates voting share capital after employee option exercise
Neutral
Feb 13, 2026

Cerillion plc has issued 5,499 ordinary shares following the exercise of employee options under its Save-As-You-Earn scheme, with the shares being allotted from treasury rather than newly created stock. As a result, the company now has 29,540,347 ordinary shares carrying voting rights, a figure that shareholders must use when assessing disclosure obligations under the Financial Conduct Authority’s transparency rules.

The updated voting share total slightly alters existing investors’ percentage holdings and may trigger notification requirements for some shareholders under UK market regulations. The transaction underscores ongoing employee participation in the company’s equity while leaving overall issued share capital broadly unchanged, given that the shares were reallocated from treasury holdings rather than increasing the total share count.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Buy with a £1881.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Cerillion Updates Voting Share Capital After Employee Option Exercise
Neutral
Feb 6, 2026

Cerillion has announced that employees have exercised options over 5,326 ordinary shares under the company’s Save-As-You-Earn option plan, with the shares being issued from treasury stock. Following this transaction, the total number of voting shares stands at 29,534,848, a figure that investors should now use when assessing disclosure thresholds under UK transparency rules, and the company confirmed that all securities available under the relevant block listing for the SAYE scheme have now been allotted.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Buy with a £1881.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Cerillion Issues New Shares After Employee Option Exercises, Updates Voting Rights
Neutral
Feb 2, 2026

Cerillion plc has issued 14,230 new ordinary shares following the exercise of options by employees and several senior managers under its Save-As-You-Earn scheme, with Product Director Brian Coombs, Account Development Director Amit McCann, Chief Operating Officer Mark Nicholls and Marketing Director Andrew Smith among the participants. As a result of these option exercises, the company’s total shares in issue now stand at 29,529,522, of which 17,036 are held in treasury, a change that slightly alters the denominator used by shareholders for calculating notifiable interests under UK disclosure and transparency rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Buy with a £1881.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Cerillion Announces CFO Transition as Growth Phase Continues
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

Cerillion has announced a planned transition in its finance leadership, with Chief Financial Officer Andrew Dickson stepping down from the board on 1 March 2026 to pursue new career opportunities after four years in the role, during which the company’s revenues grew by nearly 75% and adjusted EBITDA by more than 120%. He will remain for a handover period to incoming CFO Greg Price, a seasoned finance executive with extensive technology sector and corporate experience from roles at essensys, Checkit and several major UK and international businesses, whose appointment to the board is expected by 1 May 2026 subject to standard regulatory due diligence, signalling an orderly succession designed to support Cerillion’s continued growth and operational stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Buy with a £1881.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cerillion Executives Exercise Options as Company Replenishes Treasury Shares
Neutral
Jan 14, 2026

Cerillion has disclosed that four senior managers have exercised options over 22,500 ordinary shares under its Long Term Incentive Plan, with a portion of these shares subsequently sold on the London Stock Exchange at prices between £14.40 and £14.60. The shares used to satisfy the option exercises were drawn from treasury, and the company has since repurchased 15,682 shares at an average price of £14.78 to replenish treasury stock for future employee option schemes, leaving 31,266 shares held in treasury and 29,515,292 voting shares in issue, a figure that will guide investors’ regulatory disclosure calculations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Hold with a £1389.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Cerillion Publishes 2025 Annual Report and Sets Date for Virtual AGM
Neutral
Jan 12, 2026

Cerillion plc has distributed its Annual Report and Accounts for the year ended 30 September 2025, along with the notice of its upcoming Annual General Meeting, to shareholders, and has made both documents available on its website. The AGM is scheduled to be held virtually on 19 February at 9:00 a.m., with shareholders able to access full participation details and the meeting agenda through the notice, underscoring the company’s continued shift towards digital shareholder engagement and governance processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Hold with a £1389.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cerillion Secures Record £42.5m Omantel Deal to Power Oman’s Digital Push
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

Cerillion has secured its largest-ever contract, a roughly £42.5m agreement with Omantel, Oman’s leading integrated telecoms operator, to deploy its full BSS/OSS suite, including hosting, managed services, and ongoing support over a five-year subscription term. The deal, awarded after an extensive tender that weighed Cerillion against larger incumbent vendors, will underpin market forecasts for the 2026 financial year and beyond, enhancing Cerillion’s standing as a competitive full-service provider whose productised model promises lower total cost of ownership and greater operational flexibility for Tier 1 operators pursuing large-scale digital transformation, such as Omantel’s push to become a regional technology powerhouse under Oman Vision 2040.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Hold with a £1389.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026