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Cerillion plc (GB:CER)
LSE:CER
UK Market

Cerillion (CER) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CER

Cerillion

(LSE:CER)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
1,484.00p
▲(7.54% Upside)
Cerillion's strong financial performance is the most significant factor, reflecting robust revenue growth, high profitability, and efficient cash management. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which negatively impacts the overall score. The valuation is fair, but not compelling enough to offset the technical weaknesses.
Positive Factors
High profitability margins
Sustained high gross and operating margins signal durable pricing power and efficient cost structure. Such margins support internal R&D, margin-accretive growth investments and cash returns, making earnings resilient across business cycles in software and services.
Strong balance sheet, low leverage
Very low leverage and a strong equity base reduce financial risk and increase strategic optionality. This enables sustained investment in product development, selective M&A or cyclical cushioning without pressure to refinance, preserving long-term operational stability.
Efficient cash generation and conversion
High conversion of earnings into operating and free cash flow demonstrates durable cash generation. Reliable cash conversion supports recurring subscription models, funds customer implementation and product enhancements, and underpins sustainable shareholder returns or reinvestment.
Negative Factors
Modest revenue growth rate
Single-digit revenue growth constrains long-term scale benefits in a competitive software market. Slower top-line expansion limits economies of scale, could pressure future margin expansion and requires higher investment intensity to accelerate market penetration across telecom and utility segments.
Limited organizational scale
A relatively small employee base can constrain capacity for large multi-year enterprise deployments and simultaneous global rollouts. Limited scale may slow product development, professional services delivery and sales coverage versus larger rivals, impacting durable market share gains.
Concentration in telecoms and utilities
Significant exposure to telecom and utility customers concentrates revenue risk to industry-specific cycles, regulation and capex timing. Dependence on these sectors can amplify revenue cyclicality and limit diversification benefits over the medium term.

Cerillion (CER) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Cerillion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCerillion (CER) is a leading provider of billing, charging, and customer relationship management (CRM) solutions for telecommunications and utility companies. The company specializes in delivering software that enables businesses to manage their customer interactions, billing processes, and revenue management efficiently. With a focus on cloud-based solutions, Cerillion serves clients across various sectors, including telecommunications, energy, and finance, offering products that enhance operational efficiency and improve customer experiences.
How the Company Makes MoneyCerillion generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software solutions and services. Its revenue model includes software licensing fees, subscription-based services, and professional services related to implementation and support. Key revenue streams consist of initial software licenses, ongoing subscription fees for cloud services, maintenance contracts, and consulting services. Cerillion also benefits from significant partnerships with telecom operators and utility companies that rely on its technology to streamline their billing and customer management processes. The recurring nature of subscription fees and maintenance contracts provides a stable revenue foundation, while ongoing demand for digital transformation in various industries further contributes to its earnings.

Cerillion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cerillion exhibits strong financial health across income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow metrics. The company showcases impressive revenue and profit growth, high profitability margins, low financial leverage, and strong cash generation capabilities. These factors collectively indicate robust financial stability and growth potential in the software industry.
Income Statement
Cerillion's income statement shows strong performance with significant revenue growth year-over-year, with a 11.68% increase from 2023 to 2024. Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin are robust at 80.47% and 34.88% respectively, indicating high profitability. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet is healthy, with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.06, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The Return on Equity is an impressive 31.47%, reflecting effective utilization of shareholders' equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio is 76.88%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
Cerillion's cash flow statement demonstrates solid cash generation. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is 16.48%, showcasing strong growth in cash generation. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.73, indicating efficient cash conversion from earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.64 reflects substantial free cash flow generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.15M45.36M43.75M39.17M32.73M26.07M
Gross Profit31.63M34.56M35.20M30.81M22.52M20.41M
EBITDA21.01M24.32M21.99M18.83M14.03M10.47M
Net Income14.24M16.62M15.26M12.93M9.34M6.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets67.49M75.27M63.10M52.78M42.63M35.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.21M34.40M29.85M24.74M20.25M13.17M
Total Debt3.74M3.31M2.80M3.16M4.03M4.81M
Total Liabilities15.94M15.66M14.59M15.90M15.90M15.46M
Stockholders Equity51.55M59.61M48.51M36.88M26.73M20.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.53M12.81M9.70M8.32M10.73M8.53M
Operating Cash Flow12.94M13.23M11.21M9.75M12.34M9.80M
Investing Cash Flow-2.08M-2.28M-1.51M-1.43M-1.61M-1.27M
Financing Cash Flow-6.24M-6.40M-4.54M-3.76M-3.76M-3.61M

Cerillion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1380.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1335.80
Positive
100DMA
1391.70
Positive
200DMA
1484.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.54
Negative
RSI
71.16
Negative
STOCH
100.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CER, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1380 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1244.25, above the 50-day MA of 1335.80, and below the 200-day MA of 1484.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.16 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CER.

Cerillion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
£10.26B28.6940.71%1.94%7.76%17.61%
73
Outperform
£195.71M17.5911.31%1.68%6.27%0.83%
72
Outperform
£163.94M37.687.71%1.92%-6.63%-7.88%
70
Outperform
£586.02M68.941.56%1.73%-0.18%11.49%
62
Neutral
£421.86M25.4230.74%1.19%3.67%8.74%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
£197.76M47.359.59%0.80%22.80%-32.13%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CER
Cerillion
1,430.00
-156.58
-9.87%
GB:DOTD
Dotdigital
66.60
-12.90
-16.23%
GB:GBG
GB Group plc
247.50
-74.61
-23.16%
GB:APTD
Aptitude Software Group plc
295.00
-23.77
-7.46%
GB:NET
Netcall
116.00
8.92
8.33%
GB:SGE
Sage Group plc
1,082.50
-165.44
-13.26%

Cerillion Corporate Events

Financial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Cerillion Publishes 2025 Annual Report and Sets Date for Virtual AGM
Neutral
Jan 12, 2026

Cerillion plc has distributed its Annual Report and Accounts for the year ended 30 September 2025, along with the notice of its upcoming Annual General Meeting, to shareholders, and has made both documents available on its website. The AGM is scheduled to be held virtually on 19 February at 9:00 a.m., with shareholders able to access full participation details and the meeting agenda through the notice, underscoring the company’s continued shift towards digital shareholder engagement and governance processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Hold with a £1389.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cerillion Secures Record £42.5m Omantel Deal to Power Oman’s Digital Push
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

Cerillion has secured its largest-ever contract, a roughly £42.5m agreement with Omantel, Oman’s leading integrated telecoms operator, to deploy its full BSS/OSS suite, including hosting, managed services, and ongoing support over a five-year subscription term. The deal, awarded after an extensive tender that weighed Cerillion against larger incumbent vendors, will underpin market forecasts for the 2026 financial year and beyond, enhancing Cerillion’s standing as a competitive full-service provider whose productised model promises lower total cost of ownership and greater operational flexibility for Tier 1 operators pursuing large-scale digital transformation, such as Omantel’s push to become a regional technology powerhouse under Oman Vision 2040.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Hold with a £1389.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cerillion CFO Exercises Share Options and Sells Portion to Cover Tax Liabilities
Neutral
Nov 24, 2025

Cerillion announced that Andrew Dickson, the CFO, exercised options for 7,500 shares under the company’s Long Term Incentive Plan, with the new shares issued from treasury holdings. Dickson sold 4,055 of these shares to cover tax liabilities, reflecting a routine financial maneuver that underscores the company’s adherence to regulatory compliance and financial management practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Hold with a £1604.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cerillion Reports Strong Financial Growth and Strategic Positioning for Future Expansion
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

Cerillion plc reported strong financial results for the year ending 30 September 2025, with a 4% increase in revenue to £45.4 million and a 10% rise in adjusted profit before tax to £21.8 million. The company achieved record highs in key financial metrics, including a 50.9% adjusted EBITDA margin and a 25% increase in new orders to £47.6 million. Cerillion’s strategic investments in R&D, focusing on AI and expanding its operational teams, have positioned it well for future growth. The company enters the new financial year with a robust back-order book and a strong sales pipeline, reflecting its solid market position and potential for continued expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Hold with a £1604.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cerillion to Announce FY2025 Results and Host Investor Presentation
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

Cerillion PLC announced it will release its final results for the fiscal year ending 30 September 2025 on 24 November 2025. An online presentation by CEO Louis Hall and CFO Andrew Dickson will follow on 28 November, where they will discuss the company’s performance and future prospects. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s operational performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Hold with a £1604.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Cerillion Unveils AI-Driven Enhancements with Cerillion 25.2 Launch
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

Cerillion has launched version 25.2 of its software suite, introducing a new Model Context Protocol (MCP) Server and a suite of AI Agents designed to enhance conversational intelligence across communications service providers’ operations. This release, which includes a new AI Billing Agent and other AI-driven tools, aims to transform user interaction with business applications by providing natural language interfaces for complex operations. The update also features a new Service Catalogue and a refreshed Interconnect Manager, enhancing the company’s BSS/OSS suite and accelerating service innovation for communications providers. Cerillion’s commitment to open standards is further demonstrated by achieving its first TM Forum Open Digital Architecture Component Certifications.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Buy with a £1551.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Cerillion PLC Announces Share Transfer to CEO Louis Hall
Neutral
Oct 23, 2025

Cerillion PLC announced that Affinity Trust Limited, a trust for the benefit of CEO Louis Hall, transferred 3,346,887 ordinary shares to him at no cost, leaving his beneficial interest unchanged. This transaction, conducted outside a trading venue, complies with the Market Abuse Regulation, reflecting internal shareholding adjustments without impacting the company’s market position or stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CER) stock is a Buy with a £1665.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cerillion stock, see the GB:CER Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025