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Idox PLC (GB:IDOX)
LSE:IDOX

Idox plc (IDOX) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:IDOX

Idox plc

(LSE:IDOX)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
76.00p
▲(10.14% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/21/26
The score is primarily supported by improving financial performance (revenue growth, better operating profitability, and a de-risked balance sheet), partially offset by uneven free-cash-flow progression. Technicals are neutral with constructive longer-term trend but muted momentum, while valuation is a key drag due to a high P/E and only modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Steady revenue expansion
Sustained top-line growth through 2025 indicates improving product-market fit and demand for Idox's software among core customers. Over 2–6 months this supports predictable renewal pipelines and stronger pricing leverage for license and subscription revenue, reinforcing long-term revenue durability.
Improved balance sheet
Material reduction in leverage enhances financial flexibility and lowers refinancing risk. A de‑risked balance sheet supports continued investment in product development, funded acquisitions or larger public-sector bids, and provides resilience against budget volatility in customers over the medium term.
Consistent cash generation
Repeatable positive operating cash flow and strengthened cash conversion underpin sustainable funding for maintenance, R&D and services delivery. Reliable cash generation improves self-funding capacity for projects and reduces dependence on external financing over the coming months.
Negative Factors
Choppy free cash flow
Irregular free cash flow growth and episodic declines point to working-capital swings and timing of services receipts. That variability makes capital allocation, dividend predictability and reinvestment plans harder to manage, reducing operational predictability over the medium term.
Net margin volatility
Volatile net margins suggest earnings remain sensitive to non-operating items, cost swings or one-off effects despite improving operating profitability. This limits long-term earnings visibility and could constrain consistent margin expansion typical of scalable software models.
Public-sector concentration
High exposure to public-sector customers brings structural risks from budget cycles, procurement delays and policy shifts. Reliance on tenders and renewals can produce lumpy revenue and slower decision cycles, weighing on sustained growth and contract lead times over the medium term.

Idox plc (IDOX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Idox plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIDOX plc, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services for the management of local government and other organizations. The company operates in two segments, Public Sector Software and Engineering Information Management. It offers on-premise and cloud software solutions for the management of planning, building control, land charges and gazetteer managements, estates, street numbering, environmental health, trading standards, licensing, address management, and other geospatial information services. The company also provides specialist software to support inspection and enforcement of standards, including environmental health, licensing, trading standards, public sector housing, elections, management of sexual health clinics, social directory services, grants funding, management of municipal transport, facilities management, assets and records management, and management of education, health, and care plans. In addition, it engages in the provision of online information, advice and guidance, information portals, and self-service tools to support delivery of adult social care, children's services, and special educational needs and disabilities services; and in delivery of online funding information and advice services. Further, the company offers computer aided facilities management solution that enables property directors to manage property portfolios; command and control traffic management systems; real-time passenger information systems; fleet management systems; and electoral registration and management systems, including postal vote checking, tablet canvassing, election count reporting and boundary management. It has operations primarily in the United Kingdom, the United States, Europe, and Australia. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Reading, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyIdox generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses, subscription services, and maintenance contracts. Its key revenue streams include the sale of its proprietary software products, which are often offered under a Software as a Service (SaaS) model, allowing for recurring revenue through subscriptions. Additionally, Idox earns income from consultancy and support services that help clients implement and optimize their software solutions. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with public sector organizations, which can lead to long-term contracts and a steady flow of income. Overall, Idox's ability to cater to the specific needs of the public sector and its focus on developing innovative solutions contribute significantly to its revenue generation.

Idox plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (78) reflects steady revenue expansion and improving operating profitability, while the balance sheet (76) shows meaningfully reduced leverage and manageable risk. Cash flow (70) is consistently positive, but free cash flow growth has been uneven, tempering overall quality and predictability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has expanded steadily from 2022–2025, with a notable acceleration in 2025. Profitability is solid for an application software model, with gross margin consistently strong and operating profitability improving into 2024–2025. The main weakness is net margin volatility over the period (notably weaker in 2020 and lower than 2021 peaks), suggesting earnings are still somewhat sensitive to non-operating items or cost swings despite better operating performance recently.
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Leverage has improved meaningfully versus 2020–2021, with debt levels now modest relative to equity and equity building over time, which supports financial flexibility. Returns on equity are steady and healthy for the sector but not exceptional, and total assets have grown without a corresponding step-change in returns. Overall balance sheet risk looks manageable, though the company has a history of higher leverage that investors should keep in mind.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The business generates consistently positive operating cash flow and free cash flow across the period, and cash conversion has strengthened, with free cash flow in 2025 roughly in line with reported earnings. However, free cash flow growth is choppy (including declines in 2022 and 2025), and operating cash flow relative to revenue remains moderate, pointing to working-capital variability and less predictable year-to-year cash progression than profits.
BreakdownOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue89.83M87.60M73.28M66.18M62.19M
Gross Profit65.28M63.08M57.24M51.13M45.05M
EBITDA24.94M22.04M20.31M18.61M18.54M
Net Income6.16M5.26M5.58M5.04M6.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets154.36M146.48M151.47M130.03M133.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.27M11.66M14.82M13.86M18.28M
Total Debt24.36M23.51M30.68M22.34M28.87M
Total Liabilities71.48M68.20M78.20M62.61M72.76M
Stockholders Equity82.87M78.28M73.28M67.42M60.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.86M12.44M10.08M8.09M10.81M
Operating Cash Flow18.54M21.11M18.60M15.65M16.55M
Investing Cash Flow-17.02M-11.00M-22.55M-9.84M-5.54M
Financing Cash Flow-5.19M-13.63M4.71M-10.62M-23.08M

Idox plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price69.00
Price Trends
50DMA
70.13
Positive
100DMA
67.69
Positive
200DMA
63.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
48.61
Neutral
STOCH
36.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:IDOX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.80, below the 50-day MA of 70.13, and above the 200-day MA of 63.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:IDOX.

Idox plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
£441.96M52.481.56%1.73%-0.18%11.49%
70
Outperform
£152.12M18.8315.34%1.71%3.48%318.89%
68
Neutral
£202.88M48.579.59%0.80%22.80%-32.13%
65
Neutral
£321.93M52.308.06%1.04%10.93%12.30%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
£80.44M2,400.000.15%5.35%-97.78%
46
Neutral
£95.95M-66.01-3.40%-14.23%97.27%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:IDOX
Idox plc
70.60
14.69
26.27%
GB:SPA
1Spatial
72.00
8.50
13.39%
GB:GBG
GB Group plc
201.00
-116.98
-36.79%
GB:NET
Netcall
115.50
-0.01
-0.01%
GB:TRB
Tribal Group plc
65.00
22.47
52.82%
GB:RM
RM
101.00
-5.00
-4.72%

Idox plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Idox posts record recurring revenue and order intake as takeover bid advances
Positive
Feb 17, 2026

Idox reported its seventh consecutive year of revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth for FY25, with revenue up 3% to £89.8m and adjusted EBITDA rising 4% to £27.0m, as recurring revenue grew 10% and a record £108m order intake strengthened visibility into FY26 despite weaker non‑recurring election‑related sales. The group expanded its health and social care footprint with the Plianz acquisition and Ayup asset purchase and continued to invest in its India Global Capability Centre, while net debt rose due to M&A and the board withheld an FY25 dividend amid an ongoing recommended cash takeover offer from Long Path Partners’ vehicle Frankel UK Bidco, which is seeking majority control via a contractual offer running into March 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:IDOX) stock is a Buy with a £78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Idox plc stock, see the GB:IDOX Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Idox plc Adjourns Meetings for Shareholder Discussions on Acquisition
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

Idox plc has announced an adjournment of its Court Meeting and General Meeting regarding the recommended cash acquisition by Frankel UK Bidco Limited, a company indirectly owned by Long Path investment funds. The adjournment, intended to allow more time for discussions with shareholders, reschedules the meetings to January 6, 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to ensuring shareholder engagement and consideration of the acquisition terms.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:IDOX) stock is a Hold with a £76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Idox plc stock, see the GB:IDOX Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Idox plc Announces Recommended Cash Acquisition by Frankel UK Bidco Limited
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

Idox plc, a company involved in providing software solutions, has announced a recommended cash acquisition by Frankel UK Bidco Limited, which is indirectly owned by Long Path Co-Investment Fund and its affiliates. The acquisition will be conducted through a court-sanctioned scheme of arrangement, with Idox shareholders being advised to vote in favor of the scheme. The Court Meeting and General Meeting, initially scheduled for December 15, 2025, have been adjourned to January 6, 2026, to allow more time for discussions with shareholders. The Idox directors unanimously recommend the acquisition terms, considering them fair and reasonable, and emphasize the importance of shareholder participation in the voting process.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:IDOX) stock is a Hold with a £76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Idox plc stock, see the GB:IDOX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026