Tribal Group plc (TRB) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £95.47M
• Dividend Yield: 255.37%
• Average Volume (3M): 559.13K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 17.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.61
• Revenue Growth: 4.97%
• EPS Growth: 3.63%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 867
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 93
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): 0.02
• Shares Outstanding: 214,180,980
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 816,757
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 559,131
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.85
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.78
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £46.00
• Price Target Upside: 3.84% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: 49.00p ▲(10.61%Upside)

Tribal Group plc's strong financial performance and technical indicators drive its favorable stock score, supported by positive corporate events. The company's fair valuation and solid financial stability position it well for sustainable growth, despite minor operational efficiency and liquidity challenges.

Tribal Group plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tribal Group plc (TRB) is a UK-based provider of software and services to the education management sector. The company offers a range of products and solutions designed to support the operational and strategic needs of institutions in higher education, further education, and vocational training. Tribal Group's core offerings include student information systems, performance analytics, and quality assurance services, which help educational institutions enhance efficiency, improve student outcomes, and manage resources effectively.

How the Company Makes Money

Tribal Group plc generates revenue primarily through the sale and licensing of its software solutions and services to educational institutions. The company's key revenue streams include subscription fees for its cloud-based software, implementation and consulting services, and ongoing support and maintenance contracts. Tribal Group also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with educational bodies and technology providers to expand its reach and enhance its service offerings. Additionally, the company may derive income from bespoke development projects and training services tailored to specific client needs.

Tribal Group plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Tribal Group plc exhibits a solid financial performance with consistent revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. The company's low leverage and solid equity base contribute to its financial stability. However, slightly declining EBIT margins and reduced cash reserves highlight areas for improvement.

Income Statement

Tribal Group plc has shown a consistent increase in revenue over the past years, with a revenue growth rate of 4.97% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin stands at 48.33% for 2024, reflecting effective cost management. The net profit margin improved to 6.10%, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin decreased slightly to 7.66%, suggesting a slight dip in operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 in 2024 signifies a low level of leverage, which is a positive sign of financial stability. The return on equity (ROE) is 10.66%, showcasing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is 45.52%, indicating a solid equity base. However, the decrease in cash and cash equivalents may pose liquidity challenges.

Cash Flow

The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.32, demonstrating robust cash generation relative to profits. The free cash flow growth rate is noteworthy, turning positive in 2024, which signals improved financial health and potential for reinvestment. However, the substantial capital expenditures in previous years could impact future cash flows.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	90.01M	85.75M	83.58M	81.15M	72.95M
Gross Profit	42.53M	41.39M	31.34M	41.81M	38.63M
EBITDA	11.22M	11.24M	4.78M	12.45M	12.93M
Net Income	5.49M	5.29M	-510.00K	6.99M	6.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	113.07M	113.64M	103.07M	97.35M	85.03M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	5.29M	6.80M	2.89M	5.92M	9.52M
Total Debt	9.61M	16.03M	7.73M	2.33M	3.57M
Total Liabilities	61.60M	65.16M	58.25M	51.01M	46.81M
Stockholders Equity	51.47M	48.48M	44.82M	46.34M	38.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	8.01M	-1.35M	-4.98M	3.10M	-2.02M
Operating Cash Flow	12.71M	7.51M	6.11M	13.89M	5.46M
Investing Cash Flow	-4.68M	-8.71M	-12.03M	-16.91M	-9.17M
Financing Cash Flow	-9.22M	5.35M	2.85M	-406.00K	-3.27M

Tribal Group plc Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 44.30
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:TRB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.67, above the 50-day MA of 42.00, and above the 200-day MA of 42.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:TRB.

Tribal Group plc Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TRB	77 Outperform	£95.47M	17.35	10.98%	255.37%	4.97%	3.63%
ELCO	77 Outperform	£151.06M	44.69	11.59%	0.55%	15.67%	25.62%
SPA	64 Neutral	£52.87M	316.67	0.88%	―	3.30%	-85.85%
AOM	64 Neutral	£130.24M	117.74	11.82%	―	―	―
Sector *	57 Neutral	HK$14.24B	5.10	-5.75%	5.29%	9.34%	-42.23%
OMG	51 Neutral	£55.44M	99.66	-0.90%	684.21%	-18.13%	-151.19%
RM	50 Neutral	£82.29M	―	-3.40%	―	-14.23%	97.27%

Tribal Group plc Corporate Events

Harwood Capital Increases Stake in Tribal Group PLC

Tribal Group PLC has announced a change in major holdings as Harwood Capital LLP has increased its voting rights in the company to 12.6995%, up from a previous 10.0456%. This acquisition of voting rights could potentially influence the company’s strategic decisions and impact its market positioning, reflecting Harwood’s increased interest and confidence in Tribal Group’s future prospects.

Tribal Group plc Corrects Issued Share Capital Figures

Tribal Group plc announced a correction to its issued share capital, clarifying that as of May 31, 2025, the company has 214,180,982 ordinary shares with voting rights, not the previously stated 214,308,482. This update is crucial for shareholders to accurately assess their interests in the company under the Financial Conduct Authority’s rules.

Tribal Group Updates Share Capital Details

Tribal Group plc announced that its issued share capital consists of 214,308,482 ordinary shares, each with one voting right. This update is crucial for shareholders to calculate their interests in the company under the UK Financial Conduct Authority’s rules, impacting how they manage their investments.

Tribal Group plc Secures Unanimous Shareholder Support at AGM

Tribal Group plc announced that all resolutions proposed at its recent Annual General Meeting were passed, reflecting strong shareholder support. This outcome indicates stability and confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction, potentially reinforcing its position in the education software industry.

Tribal Group Updates Dividend Payment Schedule

Tribal Group plc announced an update to its dividend payment due to an administrative oversight. The final dividend, previously omitted from the AGM notice, will now be paid as an interim dividend, with all other details remaining unchanged. The dividend of 0.65p per share is scheduled for payment on 24 July 2025, with a record date of 27 June 2025 and an ex-dividend date of 26 June 2025. This update ensures that stakeholders receive their expected dividends, maintaining the company’s commitment to its shareholders.

Tribal Group plc Issues New Shares Following Option Exercise

Tribal Group plc has announced the issuance of 278,784 new ordinary shares following the exercise of options by senior management under the company’s 2022 Long Term Incentive Plan. This move will increase the company’s total issued share capital to 214,133,482 ordinary shares, with the new shares expected to commence trading on AIM on 9 May 2025. The exercise and subsequent sale of shares by PDMRs Mark Pickett and Diane McIntyre are partly to cover tax obligations, with implications for their beneficial interests in the company.