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NCC Group PLC (GB:NCC)
LSE:NCC

NCC Group plc (NCC) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

NCC Group plc

(LSE:NCC)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
153.00p
▲(8.82%Upside)
The overall score is influenced by strong corporate events that reflect strategic growth initiatives and management confidence. However, financial performance and valuation concerns, along with bearish technical indicators, weigh down the stock's attractiveness.

NCC Group plc (NCC) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

NCC Group plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNCC Group plc engages in the cyber and software resilience business in the United Kingdom, the Asian-Pacific, North America, and Europe. It operates in two segments, Assurance and Software Resilience. The company offers assessment and advisory services, which include risk management, supply chain risk, cloud and infrastructure, application and security software, mobile, managed vulnerability scanning, hardware and embedded systems, and cryptography, as well as calibrator and cyber security review solutions. It also provides detection and response services, including managed detection and response, incident response, and threat intelligence; compliance services, such as data privacy, government security, and payments; and remediation and big bounty services. In addition, the company offers training services for end-users, administrators, tech specialists, and managers. Further, it provides software resilience services, such as cloud software escrow solutions, on-premises software escrow agreements, on-premises software escrow verification, virtual and physical escrow vaults, software security testing, and software risk assessment tools. The company serves customers in various industries that include finance and professional, transport and manufacturing, public, retail, and energy and utilities, as well as technology, media, telecommunications sectors. NCC Group plc was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Manchester, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyNCC Group makes money through a diverse revenue model primarily driven by its Cyber Assurance and Software Resilience divisions. The Cyber Assurance segment generates revenue by providing cybersecurity consulting, testing, and managed services to help organizations identify and mitigate cyber risks. This includes penetration testing, incident response, and compliance assessments. The Software Resilience division earns income by offering software escrow and verification services, ensuring that businesses have access to their software and data in the event of supplier failure. Key revenue streams include consulting fees, subscription-based managed services, and contracts for software escrow arrangements. Additionally, NCC Group benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with technology providers and enterprises, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its market reach.

NCC Group plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NCC Group plc shows a mixed financial performance with solid cash flow management and a stable balance sheet. However, profitability metrics are under pressure due to recent losses, highlighted by a negative EBIT and net profit margin. The company needs to enhance operational efficiency and revenue growth.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
NCC Group plc has shown inconsistent revenue growth, with a decline of 3.19% in the most recent year. The gross profit margin improved to 41.41% from 32.63% the previous year, indicating better cost management. However, the company incurred a negative EBIT margin (-6.63%) and net profit margin (-7.68%) for the latest period, reflecting operational challenges impacting profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37, indicating a conservative capital structure. The equity ratio stands at 54.23%, signifying a stable financial position with more than half of the assets financed by equity. However, the return on equity has turned negative at -10.60%, highlighting the recent losses impacting shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
NCC Group plc's free cash flow remains positive, although it decreased by 10.08% compared to the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at -1.10, reflecting strong cash generation relative to the accounting losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates operational efficiency challenges.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue324.40M335.10M314.80M270.50M263.70M
Gross Profit136.30M109.40M112.90M90.90M80.80M
EBITDA7.58M40.20M54.60M50.70M45.10M
Net Income-24.90M-4.60M23.00M10.00M6.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets433.30M501.40M576.40M432.30M437.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.80M34.10M73.20M116.50M95.00M
Total Debt87.30M113.70M158.20M67.60M137.40M
Total Liabilities198.30M223.20M283.20M166.10M231.30M
Stockholders Equity235.00M278.20M293.20M266.20M205.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.30M24.80M46.60M34.10M33.90M
Operating Cash Flow26.40M32.10M54.80M38.90M39.20M
Investing Cash Flow3.70M-6.30M-161.20M-4.30M-5.30M
Financing Cash Flow-49.40M-67.30M61.80M-6.80M26.20M

NCC Group plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price140.60
Price Trends
50DMA
152.06
Negative
100DMA
143.52
Negative
200DMA
148.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.59
Positive
RSI
34.45
Neutral
STOCH
18.36
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:NCC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 140.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 153.27, below the 50-day MA of 152.06, and below the 200-day MA of 148.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.36 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:NCC.

NCC Group plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
£909.89M26.3024.12%14.92%-4.13%23.09%
73
Outperform
£298.21M47.748.06%1.07%10.93%12.30%
GBSGE
73
Outperform
£11.85B35.3136.78%0.87%7.69%32.91%
63
Neutral
£569.62M24.58-6.00%2.45%3.52%-29.29%
61
Neutral
£976.06M211.8212.00%16.23%-17.91%
GBNCC
59
Neutral
£456.04M-10.60%2.07%
GBGBG
57
Neutral
£581.71M68.771.40%1.88%1.63%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:NCC
NCC Group plc
140.60
-7.74
-5.22%
GB:GBG
GB Group plc
230.00
-118.43
-33.99%
GB:IDOX
Idox plc
66.00
4.75
7.76%
GB:KNOS
Kainos Group plc
724.00
-310.58
-30.02%
GB:SGE
Sage Group plc
1,204.50
144.12
13.59%
GB:TRST
Trustpilot Group Plc
233.00
3.00
1.30%

NCC Group plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Sees Major Shareholding Shift as Richard Griffiths Increases Stake
Neutral
Jun 24, 2025

NCC Group plc, a company involved in the cybersecurity and risk mitigation industry, has announced a significant change in its shareholder structure. Richard Griffiths has increased his voting rights in the company to 13.05% following an acquisition, indicating a potential shift in influence within the company’s governance. This development could impact NCC Group’s strategic decisions and stakeholder interests moving forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NCC) stock is a Buy with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NCC Group plc stock, see the GB:NCC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Executives Participate in Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Jun 19, 2025

NCC Group plc has announced the monthly purchase of ordinary shares by its senior management team, including the CEO, CFO, CMO, COO, and Managing Director of Escode, under the UK Share Incentive Plan. This move reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning the interests of its leadership with those of shareholders, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence and reinforcing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NCC) stock is a Buy with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NCC Group plc stock, see the GB:NCC Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NCC Group Reports Strong Profit Growth Amid Strategic Shift
Positive
Jun 19, 2025

NCC Group plc reported a significant increase in pre-tax profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to the sale of its Fox Crypto business, which eliminated the company’s net debt. The Cyber Security division is shifting towards strategic client relationships, despite a decline in revenue from high-volume, lower-value engagements. The company is exploring the sale of its Escode business, which has shown consistent revenue growth, to potentially return capital to shareholders and invest further in Cyber Security. The financial results reflect a strategic pivot and operational efficiencies, positioning NCC Group for future growth and value-enhancing acquisitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NCC) stock is a Buy with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NCC Group plc stock, see the GB:NCC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Announces Change in Major Shareholdings
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

NCC Group plc has announced a change in its major holdings, with Richard Griffiths increasing his voting rights to 11.34% as of May 29, 2025. This adjustment in shareholding reflects a strategic move that could influence the company’s governance and future decisions, potentially impacting stakeholders and the company’s market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NCC) stock is a Buy with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NCC Group plc stock, see the GB:NCC Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
NCC Group Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
May 30, 2025

NCC Group plc has announced that its total issued ordinary share capital comprises 314,944,464 shares, each with a nominal value of 1 pence. This update is crucial for shareholders as it affects the calculations needed to determine any changes in their interest in the company’s share capital, in accordance with the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NCC) stock is a Buy with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NCC Group plc stock, see the GB:NCC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Executives Purchase Shares Under Incentive Plan
Positive
May 20, 2025

NCC Group plc announced the monthly purchase of ordinary shares by several of its top executives, including the CEO, CFO, CMO, COO, and Managing Director, under the UK Share Incentive Plan. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning the interests of its leadership with those of its shareholders, potentially strengthening stakeholder confidence in its governance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NCC) stock is a Buy with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NCC Group plc stock, see the GB:NCC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NCC Group Announces Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
May 1, 2025

NCC Group plc has announced a change in its major holdings, with Richard Griffiths increasing his voting rights to 10.31% as of April 29, 2025. This adjustment in holdings could impact NCC Group’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially influencing its strategic direction and affecting stakeholders.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Explores Options for Escode Business Amid Acquisition Speculation
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

NCC Group plc has acknowledged recent media speculation about potential interest in acquiring its Escode business. The company is exploring various options, including a possible sale, but emphasizes that discussions are in the preliminary stages with no formal proposals received yet. Stakeholders will be informed of any significant developments.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Secures £120m Credit Facility for Strategic Growth
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

NCC Group plc has secured a new four-year £120 million multi-currency revolving credit facility to support its strategic growth plans. This new facility, which includes a £50 million uncommitted accordion option, replaces the previous £162.5 million facility and provides the company with the financial flexibility to pursue its objectives beyond 2025.

Business Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Announces Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
Apr 25, 2025

NCC Group plc has announced a change in its major holdings, with Richard Griffiths now holding a 9.26% stake in the company, up from a previous position of 8.06%. This increase in holdings indicates a significant shift in the ownership structure, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

Business Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Executives Participate in Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Apr 22, 2025

NCC Group plc has announced the monthly purchase of its ordinary shares by key executives under the UK Share Incentive Plan. This move, involving the CEO, CFO, CMO, COO, and Managing Director of Escode, reflects a commitment to align management interests with shareholder value, potentially strengthening stakeholder confidence and enhancing the company’s market positioning.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Executives Reinvest Dividends in Company Shares
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

NCC Group plc announced transactions involving its senior management, including the CEO, CFO, COO, and CMO, who have reinvested dividends to purchase ordinary shares of the company. These transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflect the executives’ confidence in the company’s future performance and align their interests with those of shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 20, 2025