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Chapel Down Group plc (GB:CDGP)
LSE:CDGP
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Chapel Down Group plc (CDGP) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CDGP

Chapel Down Group plc

(LSE:CDGP)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
37.00 p
▼(-2.63% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/01/26
The score is primarily held back by weak cash generation and higher leverage, despite the 2025 revenue rebound and return to modest profitability. Technicals add further caution with price below key moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation is difficult to support with a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Vertical integration & multi-channel distribution
Owning or controlling vineyards through to bottling and branded sales strengthens margin capture and quality control, enabling premium positioning. Multi-channel routes (direct-to-consumer plus trade) diversify revenue sources and reduce dependence on any single retail partner, supporting steady long-term demand and brand resilience.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow implies the business has not reliably converted earnings to cash, forcing reliance on external funding. Over time this raises refinancing and liquidity risk, constrains strategic investment in vineyards, aging capacity and marketing, and increases execution risk if profitability does not sustainably turn into cash.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Vertical integration & multi-channel distribution
Owning or controlling vineyards through to bottling and branded sales strengthens margin capture and quality control, enabling premium positioning. Multi-channel routes (direct-to-consumer plus trade) diversify revenue sources and reduce dependence on any single retail partner, supporting steady long-term demand and brand resilience.
Read all positive factors

Chapel Down Group plc (CDGP) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Chapel Down Group plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Chapel Down Group Plc, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of alcoholic beverages in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company offers wines and spirits, including gin, vodka, English Aperitif, and cocktail sets, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Chapel Down Group plc primarily makes money by producing and selling branded English wine (notably sparkling wine) and related products through multiple routes to market. The main revenue stream is the sale of finished bottled wine to customers: (...

Chapel Down Group plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows a 2025 revenue rebound and return to a small net profit, but profitability has been volatile and thin. Balance sheet risk has increased as debt rose materially (about £10.1m in 2023 to ~£22.6m in 2025) with relatively flat equity. Cash flow is the key weakness: operating cash flow has been negative in most years and free cash flow is consistently negative and worsened in 2025, implying ongoing funding needs.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.44M16.35M17.20M15.00M16.64M
Gross Profit9.16M7.92M8.91M7.71M7.05M
EBITDA1.29M-513.46K2.84M1.62M1.88M
Net Income230.00K-1.31M1.53M784.37K1.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets63.38M58.37M51.12M46.46M37.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments262.00K981.96K1.00M5.80M9.22M
Total Debt22.63M19.95M10.13M9.46M2.83M
Total Liabilities30.32M25.71M16.79M14.21M6.68M
Stockholders Equity33.05M32.65M34.33M32.25M31.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.40M-6.32M-3.73M-2.77M151.62K
Operating Cash Flow8.00K-3.84M-1.91M-646.02K1.26M
Investing Cash Flow-1.41M-2.47M-1.76M-2.12M-1.11M
Financing Cash Flow683.00K6.23M-1.13M-646.59K4.21M

Chapel Down Group plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.00
Price Trends
50DMA
33.55
Positive
100DMA
34.88
Positive
200DMA
37.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.03
Negative
RSI
78.69
Negative
STOCH
82.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CDGP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.95, above the 50-day MA of 33.55, and above the 200-day MA of 37.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.69 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CDGP.

Chapel Down Group plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
£401.48M9.363.73%4.05%-3.68%-77.33%
60
Neutral
£18.79M-34.285.67%1.50%-91.42%
57
Neutral
£883.13M16.719.32%2.11%-11.80%-8.61%
54
Neutral
£50.78M-4.50-2.23%-15.87%90.20%
45
Neutral
£65.18M20.21-6.01%18.91%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CDGP
Chapel Down Group plc
38.00
-6.50
-14.61%
GB:FEVR
Fevertree Drinks
766.50
-105.63
-12.11%
GB:WINE
Naked Wines plc
75.00
-4.20
-5.30%
GB:CCR
C&C Group Plc
114.80
-37.52
-24.63%
GB:VINO
Virgin Wines UK PLC
39.00
-14.00
-26.42%
GB:ADB
Adnams plc Class B
1,750.00
425.00
32.08%

Chapel Down Group plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Chapel Down lifts sales and returns to profit as premium strategy and brand push pay off
Positive
Apr 29, 2026
Chapel Down reported strong 2025 results, with net sales revenue up 19% to £19.4m and adjusted EBITDA (excluding biological fair value movements) up 25% to £3.7m, driven by double-digit wine-related sales growth across Off-Trade, On-Trad...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Chapel Down sets 29 April date for 2025 results and investor briefing
Neutral
Apr 21, 2026
Chapel Down Group plc will publish its annual results for the year ended 31 December 2025 on 29 April 2026, marking a key update for shareholders in the AIM‑listed English winemaker. Management will host a live online presentation that day v...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2026