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Chapel Down Group plc (GB:CDGP)
LSE:CDGP
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Chapel Down Group plc (CDGP) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CDGP

Chapel Down Group plc

(LSE:CDGP)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
39.00p
▲(5.41% Upside)
Chapel Down Group plc's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its mixed financial performance and weak technical indicators. The company's declining profitability and liquidity issues are significant concerns. Additionally, the stock's bearish trend and unattractive valuation further contribute to the low score.
Positive Factors
Business Model Expansion
The expansion into spirits diversifies revenue streams and leverages brand reputation, enhancing long-term growth potential in the premium beverages market.
Strong Equity Position
A strong equity position provides financial stability and flexibility, supporting future investments and growth opportunities.
Stable Gross Profit Margins
Stable gross profit margins indicate effective cost management and pricing strategies, which are crucial for long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Declining Net Profits
Declining net profits and negative margins can hinder reinvestment in the business and affect long-term financial health.
Rising Debt Levels
Increased debt levels can strain cash flow and limit financial flexibility, posing risks to long-term stability and growth.
Weak Cash Flow Generation
Weak cash flow generation indicates potential liquidity issues, which can impact the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.

Chapel Down Group plc (CDGP) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Chapel Down Group plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChapel Down Group plc (CDGP) is a leading English wine producer based in Kent, specializing in the production of high-quality wines, including sparkling and still varieties. The company is recognized for its commitment to innovation and sustainability in viticulture, producing a range of award-winning wines that reflect the unique terroir of the English countryside. In addition to wine production, Chapel Down operates a brewery, offering craft beers and ciders, and has a strong focus on tourism and hospitality through its vineyard tours and tasting experiences.
How the Company Makes MoneyChapel Down Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its wines, beers, and ciders. The company markets its products directly to consumers via its own retail channels, including online sales, as well as through partnerships with wholesalers and distributors. A significant portion of revenue also comes from on-site experiences, such as tours, tastings, and events held at its vineyards, which attract visitors and wine enthusiasts. Additionally, strategic partnerships with restaurants and retail outlets enhance product visibility and distribution. The company focuses on expanding its brand presence both domestically and internationally, capitalizing on the growing interest in English wines.

Chapel Down Group plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chapel Down Group plc shows a mixed financial performance with stable gross profit margins but declining net profits and negative net margins. The balance sheet is strong with a solid equity position, but rising debt levels are concerning. Cash flow generation is weak, indicating potential liquidity issues.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Chapel Down Group plc has shown fluctuating revenue trends, with a recent decline in revenue from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margin has been relatively stable, but there is a concerning trend of decreasing net profit, leading to negative net margin in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown inconsistency, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's balance sheet indicates a strong equity position with an equity ratio consistently above 50%. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased, pointing toward a higher reliance on debt financing. Return on equity has been inconsistent due to fluctuating profitability, but the overall equity base remains solid.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Chapel Down Group plc has faced challenges in generating positive free cash flow, with a significant decline in free cash flow in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has been negative, indicating struggles in converting earnings into cash flow. This points to potential liquidity issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.16M16.35M17.20M15.00M16.64M13.29M
Gross Profit8.16M7.92M8.91M7.71M7.05M5.15M
EBITDA-841.89K-513.46K2.84M1.62M1.88M1.73M
Net Income-1.98M-1.31M1.53M784.37K1.23M-2.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets58.71M58.37M51.12M46.46M37.80M40.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments450.00K981.96K1.00M5.80M9.22M4.86M
Total Debt21.03M19.95M10.13M9.46M2.83M12.27M
Total Liabilities26.54M25.71M16.79M14.21M6.68M17.45M
Stockholders Equity32.17M32.65M34.33M32.25M31.12M30.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.48M-6.32M-3.73M-2.77M151.62K-2.42M
Operating Cash Flow-1.19M-3.84M-1.91M-646.02K1.26M-1.03M
Investing Cash Flow-2.29M-2.47M-1.76M-2.12M-1.11M-1.39M
Financing Cash Flow2.79M6.23M-1.13M-646.59K4.21M4.70M

Chapel Down Group plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price37.00
Price Trends
50DMA
39.71
Negative
100DMA
41.45
Negative
200DMA
41.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.79
Positive
RSI
31.17
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CDGP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.15, below the 50-day MA of 39.71, and below the 200-day MA of 41.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CDGP.

Chapel Down Group plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
£25.40M21.035.67%0.03%-5.67%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
56
Neutral
£51.78M-6.61%-13.84%76.47%
49
Neutral
€67.75M-34.35-6.01%
48
Neutral
£2.69M-1.65-21.36%-25.00%52.94%
42
Neutral
£29.03M-8.760.43%15.06%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CDGP
Chapel Down Group plc
37.00
2.00
5.71%
GB:DIS
Distil plc
0.12
-0.02
-13.33%
GB:WINE
Naked Wines plc
71.40
20.70
40.83%
GB:VINO
Virgin Wines UK PLC
49.50
14.00
39.44%
GB:ART
Artisanal Spirits Company PLC
32.50
-8.50
-20.73%
GB:ADB
Adnams plc Class B
1,900.00
0.00
0.00%

Chapel Down Group plc Corporate Events

Other
IPGL Limited Increases Stake in Chapel Down Group
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

Chapel Down Group plc announced that IPGL Limited, closely associated with the company’s Non-Executive Chair Michael Spencer, has purchased 100,000 ordinary shares at 39.0 pence each, increasing its stake to 27.2% of the company’s issued share capital. This transaction highlights significant shareholder interest and confidence in Chapel Down, potentially impacting its market position and signaling strong support from key stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Hold with a £39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Chapel Down Celebrates Exceptional 2025 Harvest
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Chapel Down Group Plc has announced a successful 2025 harvest, with a significant increase in both yield and grape quality, attributed to favorable weather conditions. The company expects this vintage to enhance its production of Traditional Method sparkling wines, aligning with its strategic focus. The harvest results are seen as a step towards achieving the company’s long-term goal of capturing a 1% share of the global Champagne market by 2035, reinforcing its position as a leader in the English wine industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Hold with a £42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Chapel Down Announces Leadership Change with New Chair Appointment
Positive
Sep 24, 2025

Chapel Down Group Plc has announced a change in its board leadership, with Martin Glenn stepping down as Chair and Director, and Michael Spencer taking over the role. This transition is expected to continue the company’s momentum in growth and shareholder value, as Spencer brings a strong track record in these areas. The company remains in a strong position with a clear growth strategy and a committed executive team, ensuring its continued success in the competitive wine industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Hold with a £43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Chapel Down Group Reports Strong H1 Growth and Strategic Realignment
Positive
Sep 24, 2025

Chapel Down Group plc reported an 11% increase in net sales revenue for the first half of 2025, driven by a 14% growth in wine-related sales. The company has decided to optimize its existing winemaking assets rather than investing in a new winery, which aligns with its strategic priorities of enhancing brand value and expanding distribution channels. With a new management team in place, including Michael Spencer as Non-Exec Chair, Chapel Down is poised for its next growth phase, focusing on sustaining profitability and leveraging its strong brand in the English sparkling wine market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Hold with a £43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Chapel Down Group to Release H1 2025 Results and Host Investor Presentation
Neutral
Sep 15, 2025

Chapel Down Group Plc announced that it will release its H1 2025 financial results on 24 September 2025. The company will host a live investor presentation on the same day, led by CEO James Pennefather and CFO Louan Mouton, accessible to current and potential shareholders. This event underscores Chapel Down’s commitment to transparency and engagement with its investors, potentially impacting its market perception and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Hold with a £47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Chapel Down Appoints Former Britvic CEO to Board
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

Chapel Down Group plc has announced the appointment of Simon Litherland to its Board of Directors. Litherland, who previously served as CEO of Britvic plc, brings extensive consumer and leadership experience to Chapel Down. His appointment is expected to bolster the company’s position in the emerging sparkling wine market, as Chapel Down continues to focus on growth and sustainability.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Hold with a £41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Chapel Down Grants Long-Term Incentive Options to Executives
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

Chapel Down Group Plc has announced the grant of options under its Long-Term Incentive Plan to its executive directors, totaling 2,315,387 ordinary shares. The options are designed to reward long-term performance and align with shareholder value, with vesting conditions tied to continued employment and performance metrics over a three-year period. This move is likely to strengthen the company’s leadership stability and incentivize performance, potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Chapel Down Announces Leadership Changes to Drive Future Growth
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Chapel Down Group Plc announced significant changes in its board, with Martin Glenn stepping down as Chair and Director, effective September 2025. Michael Spencer, a major shareholder and experienced leader, will succeed him as Chair, while Simon Litherland will join as an Independent Non-Executive Director. These changes are expected to continue the company’s growth momentum, focusing on its premium sparkling wine brand. The leadership transition is seen as a strategic move to strengthen Chapel Down’s market position and drive future growth in the emerging sparkling wine category.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Chapel Down Reports Strong H1 2025 Growth and Expands Market Leadership
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Chapel Down Group plc reported an 11% increase in net sales revenue to £7.9 million for the first half of 2025, driven by strong off-trade performance and new international distribution partnerships. Despite a decline in direct-to-consumer sales, the company maintained its leadership in the English sparkling wine market and expanded its vineyard acreage, setting the stage for future growth. The appointment of a new executive leadership team and favorable growing conditions further support Chapel Down’s optimistic outlook for continued sales growth and profitability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2025