Chapel Down Group plc (CDGP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £65.18M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 37.59K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.90
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: UK
• Employees: 86
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
• EPS (TTM): >-0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 171,524,320
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 37,218
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 37,587
• PEG Ratio: 0.27
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.97
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.93
• P/FCF Ratio: -10.18
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 54 Neutral
• Price Target: 38.00p ▲(0.00% Upside)

Chapel Down Group plc's overall stock score reflects a challenging financial performance with liquidity concerns and a bearish technical outlook. However, positive corporate events and strategic realignment provide some optimism for future growth.

Positive Factors

Business Model Expansion

The expansion into spirits diversifies revenue streams and leverages brand reputation, enhancing long-term growth potential in the premium beverages market.

Strong Equity Position

A strong equity position provides financial stability and flexibility, supporting future investments and growth opportunities.

Stable Gross Profit Margins

Stable gross profit margins indicate effective cost management and pricing strategies, which are crucial for long-term profitability.

Negative Factors

Declining Net Profits

Declining net profits and negative margins can hinder reinvestment in the business and affect long-term financial health.

Rising Debt Levels

Increased debt levels can strain cash flow and limit financial flexibility, posing risks to long-term stability and growth.

Weak Cash Flow Generation

Weak cash flow generation indicates potential liquidity issues, which can impact the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.

Chapel Down Group plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Chapel Down Group Plc, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of alcoholic beverages in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company offers wines and spirits, including gin, vodka, English Aperitif, and cocktail sets, as well as sparkling, white, rose, still, and mixed case wines; and gifts. It sells its products through its shops, as well as online. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Ashford, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Chapel Down Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its wines, beers, and ciders. The company markets its products directly to consumers via its own retail channels, including online sales, as well as through partnerships with wholesalers and distributors. A significant portion of revenue also comes from on-site experiences, such as tours, tastings, and events held at its vineyards, which attract visitors and wine enthusiasts. Additionally, strategic partnerships with restaurants and retail outlets enhance product visibility and distribution. The company focuses on expanding its brand presence both domestically and internationally, capitalizing on the growing interest in English wines.

Chapel Down Group plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Chapel Down Group plc shows a mixed financial performance with stable gross profit margins but declining net profits and negative net margins. The balance sheet is strong with a solid equity position, but rising debt levels are concerning. Cash flow generation is weak, indicating potential liquidity issues.

Income Statement

Chapel Down Group plc has shown fluctuating revenue trends, with a recent decline in revenue from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margin has been relatively stable, but there is a concerning trend of decreasing net profit, leading to negative net margin in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown inconsistency, reflecting operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet indicates a strong equity position with an equity ratio consistently above 50%. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased, pointing toward a higher reliance on debt financing. Return on equity has been inconsistent due to fluctuating profitability, but the overall equity base remains solid.

Cash Flow

Chapel Down Group plc has faced challenges in generating positive free cash flow, with a significant decline in free cash flow in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has been negative, indicating struggles in converting earnings into cash flow. This points to potential liquidity issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	17.16M	16.35M	17.20M	15.00M	16.64M	13.29M
Gross Profit	8.16M	7.92M	8.91M	7.71M	7.05M	5.15M
EBITDA	-841.89K	-513.46K	2.84M	1.62M	1.88M	1.73M
Net Income	-1.98M	-1.31M	1.53M	784.37K	1.23M	-2.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	58.71M	58.37M	51.12M	46.46M	37.80M	40.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	450.00K	981.96K	1.00M	5.80M	9.22M	4.86M
Total Debt	21.03M	19.95M	10.13M	9.46M	2.83M	12.27M
Total Liabilities	26.54M	25.71M	16.79M	14.21M	6.68M	17.45M
Stockholders Equity	32.17M	32.65M	34.33M	32.25M	31.12M	30.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-3.48M	-6.32M	-3.73M	-2.77M	151.62K	-2.42M
Operating Cash Flow	-1.19M	-3.84M	-1.91M	-646.02K	1.26M	-1.03M
Investing Cash Flow	-2.29M	-2.47M	-1.76M	-2.12M	-1.11M	-1.39M
Financing Cash Flow	2.79M	6.23M	-1.13M	-646.59K	4.21M	4.70M

Chapel Down Group plc Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 38.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CDGP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.58, below the 50-day MA of 38.50, and below the 200-day MA of 41.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:CDGP.

Chapel Down Group plc Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
VINO	72 Outperform	£27.29M	23.07	5.67%	―	0.03%	-5.67%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
CDGP	54 Neutral	£65.18M	-33.04	-6.01%	―	―	―
WINE	54 Neutral	£47.62M	-33.17	-2.30%	―	-15.87%	90.20%
DIS	48 Neutral	£2.34M	-1.38	-21.36%	―	-25.00%	52.94%
ART	47 Neutral	£23.72M	-7.16	―	―	0.43%	15.06%

Chapel Down Group plc Corporate Events

Chapel Down Group Sees Increased Stake by IPGL Limited

Chapel Down Group plc announced that IPGL Limited, a person closely associated with Non-Executive Chair Michael Spencer, purchased 10,000 ordinary shares at 37.7 pence each, increasing its stake to 27.2% of the company’s issued share capital. This transaction highlights continued confidence in Chapel Down’s market position and strategic direction, potentially impacting investor sentiment positively.

Chapel Down Sees Increased Stake from Key Stakeholder

Chapel Down Group plc announced that IPGL Limited, a company closely associated with its Non-Executive Chair Michael Spencer, purchased 10,000 ordinary shares at 37.3 pence each, increasing its stake to 27.2% of the company’s issued share capital. This transaction underscores the confidence of key stakeholders in Chapel Down’s market position and growth potential, potentially impacting investor sentiment positively.

IPGL Limited Increases Stake in Chapel Down Group

Chapel Down Group plc announced that IPGL Limited, closely associated with the company’s Non-Executive Chair Michael Spencer, has purchased 100,000 ordinary shares at 39.0 pence each, increasing its stake to 27.2% of the company’s issued share capital. This transaction highlights significant shareholder interest and confidence in Chapel Down, potentially impacting its market position and signaling strong support from key stakeholders.

Chapel Down Celebrates Exceptional 2025 Harvest

Chapel Down Group Plc has announced a successful 2025 harvest, with a significant increase in both yield and grape quality, attributed to favorable weather conditions. The company expects this vintage to enhance its production of Traditional Method sparkling wines, aligning with its strategic focus. The harvest results are seen as a step towards achieving the company’s long-term goal of capturing a 1% share of the global Champagne market by 2035, reinforcing its position as a leader in the English wine industry.

Chapel Down Announces Leadership Change with New Chair Appointment

Chapel Down Group Plc has announced a change in its board leadership, with Martin Glenn stepping down as Chair and Director, and Michael Spencer taking over the role. This transition is expected to continue the company’s momentum in growth and shareholder value, as Spencer brings a strong track record in these areas. The company remains in a strong position with a clear growth strategy and a committed executive team, ensuring its continued success in the competitive wine industry.

Chapel Down Group Reports Strong H1 Growth and Strategic Realignment

Chapel Down Group plc reported an 11% increase in net sales revenue for the first half of 2025, driven by a 14% growth in wine-related sales. The company has decided to optimize its existing winemaking assets rather than investing in a new winery, which aligns with its strategic priorities of enhancing brand value and expanding distribution channels. With a new management team in place, including Michael Spencer as Non-Exec Chair, Chapel Down is poised for its next growth phase, focusing on sustaining profitability and leveraging its strong brand in the English sparkling wine market.

Chapel Down Group to Release H1 2025 Results and Host Investor Presentation

Chapel Down Group Plc announced that it will release its H1 2025 financial results on 24 September 2025. The company will host a live investor presentation on the same day, led by CEO James Pennefather and CFO Louan Mouton, accessible to current and potential shareholders. This event underscores Chapel Down’s commitment to transparency and engagement with its investors, potentially impacting its market perception and investor relations.