Want to see GB:CDGP full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Chapel Down Group plc
(LSE:CDGP)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
43.00 p
▼(-3.37% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/30/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash generation (consistently negative free cash flow) and rising leverage, despite improving revenue and a return to modest profitability. Technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend, but momentum is overstretched, and valuation is a key headwind due to an exceptionally high P/E with no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Revenue Recovery & Return to Profit
A rebound in revenue and a return to modest net profit in 2025 indicates underlying demand resilience for Chapel Down’s branded wines. Over the next 2–6 months this strengthens the company's ability to sustain core operations, supports margin recovery efforts, and provides a firmer base for converting sales into future cash flows if maintained.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Free Cash Flow
Consistently negative free cash flow is a material structural weakness: it forces reliance on external financing to fund operations and ageing inventory, limits the ability to self-fund growth or weather vintages, and raises execution risk if profitability improvements fail to translate into durable cash generation over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Recovery & Return to Profit
A rebound in revenue and a return to modest net profit in 2025 indicates underlying demand resilience for Chapel Down’s branded wines. Over the next 2–6 months this strengthens the company's ability to sustain core operations, supports margin recovery efforts, and provides a firmer base for converting sales into future cash flows if maintained.
Read all positive factors
Chapel Down Group plc (CDGP) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£73.76M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)37.59K
Price to Earnings (P/E)330.8
Beta (1Y)0.57
Revenue Growth18.91%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUK
Employees97
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryBeverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)<0.01
Shares Outstanding171,524,320
10 Day Avg. Volume37,218
30 Day Avg. Volume37,587
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-2.50
Price to Book (P/B)1.97
Price to Sales (P/S)3.35
P/FCF Ratio-46.46
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)<0.01
Revenue Forecast (FY)£22.09M
Chapel Down Group plc Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Chapel Down Group Plc, through its associated entities, is engaged in the creation and distribution of alcoholic drinks for consumers in the United Kingdom and across global markets. The company's diverse portfolio includes an array of spirits, su...
How the Company Makes Money
Chapel Down Group plc primarily makes money by producing and selling branded English wine (notably sparkling wine) and related products through multiple routes to market. The main revenue stream is the sale of finished bottled wine to customers: (...
Chapel Down Group plc Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 19.44M | 16.35M | 17.20M | 15.00M | 16.64M |
| Gross Profit | 9.16M | 7.92M | 8.91M | 7.71M | 7.05M |
| EBITDA | 1.29M | -513.46K | 2.84M | 1.62M | 1.88M |
| Net Income | 230.00K | -1.31M | 1.53M | 784.37K | 1.23M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 63.38M | 58.37M | 51.12M | 46.46M | 37.80M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 262.00K | 981.96K | 1.00M | 5.80M | 9.22M |
| Total Debt | 22.63M | 19.95M | 10.13M | 9.46M | 2.83M |
| Total Liabilities | 30.32M | 25.71M | 16.79M | 14.21M | 6.68M |
| Stockholders Equity | 33.05M | 32.65M | 34.33M | 32.25M | 31.12M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -1.40M | -6.32M | -3.73M | -2.77M | 151.62K |
| Operating Cash Flow | 8.00K | -3.84M | -1.91M | -646.02K | 1.26M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.41M | -2.47M | -1.76M | -2.12M | -1.11M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 683.00K | 6.23M | -1.13M | -646.59K | 4.21M |
Chapel Down Group plc Technical Analysis
Positive
44.50
Price Trends
44.21
Positive
39.20
Positive
38.05
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.04
Positive
61.15
Neutral
37.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CDGP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.02, above the 50-day MA of 44.21, and above the 200-day MA of 38.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CDGP.
Chapel Down Group plc Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
64 Neutral | £967.72M | 45.78 | 9.32% | 2.11% | -11.80% | -8.61% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
59 Neutral | £48.29M | -7.93 | -10.61% | ― | -20.43% | -36.90% | |
56 Neutral | £12.85M | 117.39 | 0.68% | ― | 1.50% | -91.42% | |
49 Neutral | £73.76M | 330.77 | 0.71% | ― | 18.91% | ― | |
42 Neutral | £374.96M | 143.38 | 0.62% | 4.80% | -3.68% | -76.00% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
GB:CDGP
Chapel Down Group plc
45.00
0.00
0.00%
GB:FEVR
Fevertree Drinks
877.50
-66.10
-7.00%
GB:WINE
Naked Wines plc
75.00
-2.00
-2.60%
GB:CCR
C&C Group Plc
99.10
-68.69
-40.94%
GB:VINO
Virgin Wines UK PLC
26.50
-39.00
-59.54%
GB:ADB
Adnams plc Class B
1,600.00
-650.00
-28.89%
Chapel Down Group plc Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Chapel Down posts double‑digit H1 growth and strengthens leadership in English sparkling wine
Positive
Jul 29, 2026
Chapel Down reported strong H1 2026 trading, with net sales revenue up 19% to £9.4m driven by broad‑based growth across off‑trade, on‑trade, international and direct‑to‑consumer channels. The group deepened its c...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Chapel Down Grants Long-Term Share Options to Executive Directors
Positive
Jun 29, 2026
Chapel Down Group plc, England’s leading and most recognised winemaker, has granted long‑term incentive plan options over 675,938 ordinary shares to its chief executive officer and chief financial officer at an exercise price of 26p. T...
Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Chapel Down Wins Full Shareholder Backing at AGM
Positive
Jun 17, 2026
Chapel Down Group plc, England’s leading and most high-profile winemaker, produces internationally awarded sparkling and still wines from extensive vineyards in Kent and holds a prominent position in the emerging English wine sector. Listed ...
Financial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Chapel Down Publishes 2025 Annual Report and Schedules June AGM
Neutral
May 20, 2026
Chapel Down Group plc, a leading English wine producer listed on AIM, operates more than 1,000 acres of vineyards and has built a strong brand through award-winning wines, prominent sports and cultural partnerships, and a visitor-focused winery in...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.