Chapel Down Group plc (CDGP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £64.32M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 37.59K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.67
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: UK
• Employees: 86
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
• EPS (TTM): >-0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 171,524,320
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 37,218
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 37,587
• PEG Ratio: 0.27
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.97
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.93
• P/FCF Ratio: -10.18
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 54 Neutral
• Price Target: 38.00p ▲(0.00% Upside)

Chapel Down Group plc's overall stock score reflects a challenging financial performance with liquidity concerns and a bearish technical outlook. However, positive corporate events and strategic realignment provide some optimism for future growth.

Positive Factors

Business Model Expansion

The expansion into spirits diversifies revenue streams and leverages brand reputation, enhancing long-term growth potential in the premium beverages market.

Strong Equity Position

A strong equity position provides financial stability and flexibility, supporting future investments and growth opportunities.

Stable Gross Profit Margins

Stable gross profit margins indicate effective cost management and pricing strategies, which are crucial for long-term profitability.

Negative Factors

Declining Net Profits

Declining net profits and negative margins can hinder reinvestment in the business and affect long-term financial health.

Rising Debt Levels

Increased debt levels can strain cash flow and limit financial flexibility, posing risks to long-term stability and growth.

Weak Cash Flow Generation

Weak cash flow generation indicates potential liquidity issues, which can impact the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.

Chapel Down Group plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Chapel Down Group Plc, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of alcoholic beverages in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company offers wines and spirits, including gin, vodka, English Aperitif, and cocktail sets, as well as sparkling, white, rose, still, and mixed case wines; and gifts. It sells its products through its shops, as well as online. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Ashford, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Chapel Down Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its wines, beers, and ciders. The company markets its products directly to consumers via its own retail channels, including online sales, as well as through partnerships with wholesalers and distributors. A significant portion of revenue also comes from on-site experiences, such as tours, tastings, and events held at its vineyards, which attract visitors and wine enthusiasts. Additionally, strategic partnerships with restaurants and retail outlets enhance product visibility and distribution. The company focuses on expanding its brand presence both domestically and internationally, capitalizing on the growing interest in English wines.

Chapel Down Group plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Chapel Down Group plc shows a mixed financial performance with stable gross profit margins but declining net profit and negative free cash flow, indicating potential liquidity issues. The balance sheet is strong in equity but increasingly reliant on debt.

Income Statement

Chapel Down Group plc has shown fluctuating revenue trends, with a recent decline in revenue from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margin has been relatively stable, but there is a concerning trend of decreasing net profit, leading to negative net margin in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown inconsistency, reflecting operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet indicates a strong equity position with an equity ratio consistently above 50%. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased, pointing toward a higher reliance on debt financing. Return on equity has been inconsistent due to fluctuating profitability, but the overall equity base remains solid.

Cash Flow

Chapel Down Group plc has faced challenges in generating positive free cash flow, with a significant decline in free cash flow in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has been negative, indicating struggles in converting earnings into cash flow. This points to potential liquidity issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	17.16M	16.35M	17.20M	15.00M	16.64M	13.29M
Gross Profit	8.16M	7.92M	8.91M	7.71M	7.05M	5.15M
EBITDA	-841.89K	-513.46K	2.84M	1.62M	1.88M	1.73M
Net Income	-1.98M	-1.31M	1.53M	784.37K	1.23M	-2.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	58.71M	58.37M	51.12M	46.46M	37.80M	40.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	450.00K	981.96K	1.00M	5.80M	9.22M	4.86M
Total Debt	21.03M	19.95M	10.13M	9.46M	2.83M	12.27M
Total Liabilities	26.54M	25.71M	16.79M	14.21M	6.68M	17.45M
Stockholders Equity	32.17M	32.65M	34.33M	32.25M	31.12M	30.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-3.48M	-6.32M	-3.73M	-2.77M	151.62K	-2.42M
Operating Cash Flow	-1.19M	-3.84M	-1.91M	-646.02K	1.26M	-1.03M
Investing Cash Flow	-2.29M	-2.47M	-1.76M	-2.12M	-1.11M	-1.39M
Financing Cash Flow	2.79M	6.23M	-1.13M	-646.59K	4.21M	4.70M

Chapel Down Group plc Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 38.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CDGP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.42, above the 50-day MA of 36.70, and below the 200-day MA of 41.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CDGP.

Chapel Down Group plc Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FEVR	74 Outperform	$1.01B	41.03	9.97%	2.11%	-6.03%	13.11%
CCR	65 Neutral	£401.48M	23.00	3.72%	4.05%	-2.22%	―
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
VINO	60 Neutral	£30.75M	26.39	5.67%	―	0.03%	-5.67%
CDGP	54 Neutral	£64.32M	-32.61	-6.01%	―	―	―
WINE	54 Neutral	£46.90M	-34.13	-2.30%	―	-15.87%	90.20%

Chapel Down Group plc Corporate Events

Chapel Down Beats 2025 Targets as Sparkling Wine Sales and Market Share Surge

Chapel Down reported a strong unaudited trading performance for 2025, with net sales revenue rising 19% to £19.4m and wine-related sales up 22%, driven chiefly by a 28% surge in Traditional Method sparkling wine. The company dispatched over 1 million bottles of its sparkling wines for the first time and expanded its UK off‑trade market share in English sparkling wine to 36%, while international sales jumped 49% helped by a new US distribution deal with Jackson Family Wines and robust off‑trade growth from new listings and promotions. Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to come in between £4.0m and £4.5m, ahead of market expectations, as improved underlying profitability and a high‑quality, above‑average 2025 harvest increased the fair value of biological assets. Net debt climbed to £12.4m, reflecting investment in 118 acres of new vines and larger maturing stock that management says will underpin future growth, and the group retains significant headroom on its £20m revolving credit facility. Brand metrics continued to strengthen, with awareness rising to 49% and sparkling wine now accounting for 74% of wine revenue, and the board plans a modest increase in marketing spend in 2026 to capitalise on what it sees as a generational shift toward English sparkling wine, support premiumisation and capture further market share while maintaining a focus on profitable growth and disciplined capital allocation.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Sell with a £32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.

Chapel Down Group Sees Increased Stake by IPGL Limited

Chapel Down Group plc announced that IPGL Limited, a person closely associated with Non-Executive Chair Michael Spencer, purchased 10,000 ordinary shares at 37.7 pence each, increasing its stake to 27.2% of the company’s issued share capital. This transaction highlights continued confidence in Chapel Down’s market position and strategic direction, potentially impacting investor sentiment positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Hold with a £39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.

Chapel Down Sees Increased Stake from Key Stakeholder

Chapel Down Group plc announced that IPGL Limited, a company closely associated with its Non-Executive Chair Michael Spencer, purchased 10,000 ordinary shares at 37.3 pence each, increasing its stake to 27.2% of the company’s issued share capital. This transaction underscores the confidence of key stakeholders in Chapel Down’s market position and growth potential, potentially impacting investor sentiment positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Hold with a £39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.