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Chapel Down Group plc (GB:CDGP)
LSE:CDGP
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Chapel Down Group plc (CDGP) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CDGP

Chapel Down Group plc

(LSE:CDGP)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
39.00p
▼(-2.50% Downside)
Chapel Down Group plc's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its mixed financial performance and weak technical indicators. The company's declining profitability and liquidity issues are significant concerns. Additionally, the stock's bearish trend and unattractive valuation further contribute to the low score.

Chapel Down Group plc (CDGP) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Chapel Down Group plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChapel Down Group Plc, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of alcoholic beverages in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company offers wines and spirits, including gin, vodka, English Aperitif, and cocktail sets, as well as sparkling, white, rose, still, and mixed case wines; and gifts. It sells its products through its shops, as well as online. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Ashford, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyChapel Down Group plc generates revenue primarily through the sale of its wines and spirits. The company's primary revenue stream comes from its high-quality sparkling and still wines, which are distributed through various retail channels including direct-to-consumer sales, hospitality sectors, and partnerships with retailers and distributors. Additionally, the expansion into spirits provides an additional income stream, leveraging the company's brand reputation in the premium beverages market. Chapel Down also benefits from wine tourism and events held at its vineyards, which serve both as marketing tools and secondary revenue sources.

Chapel Down Group plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chapel Down Group plc exhibits a mixed financial performance with stable equity but challenges in profitability and cash flow. Rising debt levels and inconsistent revenue and profit margins are concerns.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Chapel Down Group plc has shown fluctuating revenue trends, with a recent decline in revenue from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margin has been relatively stable, but there is a concerning trend of decreasing net profit, leading to negative net margin in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown inconsistency, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's balance sheet indicates a strong equity position with an equity ratio consistently above 50%. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased, pointing toward a higher reliance on debt financing. Return on equity has been inconsistent due to fluctuating profitability, but the overall equity base remains solid.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Chapel Down Group plc has faced challenges in generating positive free cash flow, with a significant decline in free cash flow in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has been negative, indicating struggles in converting earnings into cash flow. This points to potential liquidity issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.16M16.35M17.20M15.00M16.64M13.29M
Gross Profit8.16M7.92M8.91M7.71M7.05M5.15M
EBITDA-841.89K-513.46K2.84M1.62M2.09M1.73M
Net Income-1.98M-1.31M1.53M784.37K1.23M-2.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets58.71M58.37M51.12M46.46M37.80M40.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments450.00K981.96K1.00M5.80M9.22M4.86M
Total Debt21.03M19.58M10.13M9.46M2.83M12.27M
Total Liabilities26.54M25.71M16.79M14.21M6.68M17.45M
Stockholders Equity32.17M32.65M34.33M32.25M31.12M30.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.48M-6.32M-3.73M-2.77M151.62K-2.42M
Operating Cash Flow-1.19M-3.84M-1.91M-646.02K1.26M-1.03M
Investing Cash Flow-2.29M-2.47M-1.76M-2.12M-1.11M-1.39M
Financing Cash Flow2.79M6.23M-1.13M-646.59K4.21M4.70M

Chapel Down Group plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price40.00
Price Trends
50DMA
41.76
Negative
100DMA
42.36
Negative
200DMA
40.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.63
Negative
RSI
48.37
Neutral
STOCH
83.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CDGP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 40 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.85, below the 50-day MA of 41.76, and below the 200-day MA of 40.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:CDGP.

Chapel Down Group plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
£25.66M18.475.67%0.03%-5.67%
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
£54.07M-6.61%-13.84%76.47%
€66.89M-33.91-6.01%
£2.80M-1.71-21.36%-25.00%52.94%
£27.61M0.43%15.06%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CDGP
Chapel Down Group plc
40.00
1.00
2.56%
GB:DIS
Distil plc
0.14
-0.05
-26.32%
GB:WINE
Naked Wines plc
75.40
19.50
34.88%
GB:VINO
Virgin Wines UK PLC
49.00
13.00
36.11%
GB:ART
Artisanal Spirits Company PLC
40.50
-1.00
-2.41%
GB:ADB
Adnams plc Class B
1,900.00
-150.00
-7.32%

Chapel Down Group plc Corporate Events

Other
IPGL Limited Increases Stake in Chapel Down Group
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

Chapel Down Group plc announced that IPGL Limited, closely associated with the company’s Non-Executive Chair Michael Spencer, has purchased 100,000 ordinary shares at 39.0 pence each, increasing its stake to 27.2% of the company’s issued share capital. This transaction highlights significant shareholder interest and confidence in Chapel Down, potentially impacting its market position and signaling strong support from key stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Hold with a £39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Chapel Down Celebrates Exceptional 2025 Harvest
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Chapel Down Group Plc has announced a successful 2025 harvest, with a significant increase in both yield and grape quality, attributed to favorable weather conditions. The company expects this vintage to enhance its production of Traditional Method sparkling wines, aligning with its strategic focus. The harvest results are seen as a step towards achieving the company’s long-term goal of capturing a 1% share of the global Champagne market by 2035, reinforcing its position as a leader in the English wine industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Hold with a £42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Chapel Down Announces Leadership Change with New Chair Appointment
Positive
Sep 24, 2025

Chapel Down Group Plc has announced a change in its board leadership, with Martin Glenn stepping down as Chair and Director, and Michael Spencer taking over the role. This transition is expected to continue the company’s momentum in growth and shareholder value, as Spencer brings a strong track record in these areas. The company remains in a strong position with a clear growth strategy and a committed executive team, ensuring its continued success in the competitive wine industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Hold with a £43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Chapel Down Group Reports Strong H1 Growth and Strategic Realignment
Positive
Sep 24, 2025

Chapel Down Group plc reported an 11% increase in net sales revenue for the first half of 2025, driven by a 14% growth in wine-related sales. The company has decided to optimize its existing winemaking assets rather than investing in a new winery, which aligns with its strategic priorities of enhancing brand value and expanding distribution channels. With a new management team in place, including Michael Spencer as Non-Exec Chair, Chapel Down is poised for its next growth phase, focusing on sustaining profitability and leveraging its strong brand in the English sparkling wine market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Hold with a £43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Chapel Down Group to Release H1 2025 Results and Host Investor Presentation
Neutral
Sep 15, 2025

Chapel Down Group Plc announced that it will release its H1 2025 financial results on 24 September 2025. The company will host a live investor presentation on the same day, led by CEO James Pennefather and CFO Louan Mouton, accessible to current and potential shareholders. This event underscores Chapel Down’s commitment to transparency and engagement with its investors, potentially impacting its market perception and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Hold with a £47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Chapel Down Appoints Former Britvic CEO to Board
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

Chapel Down Group plc has announced the appointment of Simon Litherland to its Board of Directors. Litherland, who previously served as CEO of Britvic plc, brings extensive consumer and leadership experience to Chapel Down. His appointment is expected to bolster the company’s position in the emerging sparkling wine market, as Chapel Down continues to focus on growth and sustainability.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CDGP) stock is a Hold with a £41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chapel Down Group plc stock, see the GB:CDGP Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Chapel Down Grants Long-Term Incentive Options to Executives
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

Chapel Down Group Plc has announced the grant of options under its Long-Term Incentive Plan to its executive directors, totaling 2,315,387 ordinary shares. The options are designed to reward long-term performance and align with shareholder value, with vesting conditions tied to continued employment and performance metrics over a three-year period. This move is likely to strengthen the company’s leadership stability and incentivize performance, potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Chapel Down Announces Leadership Changes to Drive Future Growth
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Chapel Down Group Plc announced significant changes in its board, with Martin Glenn stepping down as Chair and Director, effective September 2025. Michael Spencer, a major shareholder and experienced leader, will succeed him as Chair, while Simon Litherland will join as an Independent Non-Executive Director. These changes are expected to continue the company’s growth momentum, focusing on its premium sparkling wine brand. The leadership transition is seen as a strategic move to strengthen Chapel Down’s market position and drive future growth in the emerging sparkling wine category.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Chapel Down Reports Strong H1 2025 Growth and Expands Market Leadership
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Chapel Down Group plc reported an 11% increase in net sales revenue to £7.9 million for the first half of 2025, driven by strong off-trade performance and new international distribution partnerships. Despite a decline in direct-to-consumer sales, the company maintained its leadership in the English sparkling wine market and expanded its vineyard acreage, setting the stage for future growth. The appointment of a new executive leadership team and favorable growing conditions further support Chapel Down’s optimistic outlook for continued sales growth and profitability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2025