Caspian Sunrise (CASP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £64.80M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 0.00
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.9
• Beta (1Y): 1.05
• Revenue Growth: -58.10%
• EPS Growth: 100.00%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 296
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): >-0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 2,356,306,200
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 0
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 0
• PEG Ratio: 0.09
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.12
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.73
• P/FCF Ratio: 43.34
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: 3.00p ▲(9.09% Upside)

Caspian Sunrise's overall stock score reflects a strong technical outlook and a solid valuation, with the stock trading above key moving averages and a low P/E ratio suggesting potential undervaluation. However, financial performance is mixed, with profitability offset by declining revenue and cash flow challenges. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.

Positive Factors

Profitability

A high net profit margin indicates strong profitability, suggesting that the company is efficient in converting revenue into actual profit, which is crucial for long-term sustainability.

Balance Sheet Health

A low debt-to-equity ratio suggests financial stability and a solid capital structure, providing the company with flexibility to invest in growth opportunities without excessive financial risk.

Return on Equity

A strong return on equity indicates effective use of shareholders' funds to generate profits, which can attract investors and support future growth initiatives.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

Declining revenue suggests challenges in maintaining sales levels, which can affect long-term growth prospects and market competitiveness if not addressed.

Cash Flow Challenges

Negative free cash flow growth indicates difficulties in generating cash, which can limit the company's ability to invest in new projects or weather financial downturns.

Decreasing Gross Profit Margin

A declining gross profit margin may reflect rising costs or pricing pressures, which can erode profitability and affect the company's competitive position over time.

Caspian Sunrise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Caspian Sunrise (CASP) is an oil and gas exploration and production company focused on developing oil assets in the Caspian Sea region, specifically in Kazakhstan. The company operates primarily in the upstream sector of the energy industry, engaging in the exploration, extraction, and production of crude oil. CASP's core services include drilling operations, oil field development, and production optimization, aimed at maximizing the efficiency and output of its oil reserves.

How the Company Makes Money

Caspian Sunrise generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil produced from its operational fields. The company benefits from the rising global oil prices, which directly impact its revenue per barrel sold. Key revenue streams include the sale of oil to refineries and other buyers in both domestic and international markets. Additionally, CASP may engage in contracts for future oil deliveries, providing further financial stability. Significant partnerships with local and international oil trading companies enhance its market reach and sales capabilities, while operational efficiency improvements and cost management strategies help to maximize profit margins.

Caspian Sunrise Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Caspian Sunrise shows a mixed financial performance. The company has a strong net profit margin and return on equity, indicating profitability and effective use of equity. However, declining revenue growth and cash flow management issues present challenges. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, but revenue growth and cash flow generation need improvement for long-term health.

Income Statement

Caspian Sunrise shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has a strong net profit margin of 52.79% for 2024, indicating high profitability. However, the revenue growth rate is negative at -14.14%, suggesting a decline in sales. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly from 56.55% in 2023 to 29.39% in 2024, which could indicate rising costs or pricing pressures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting reduced operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Caspian Sunrise is relatively strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.072, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is robust at 21.59%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the slight increase in debt levels over the years could be a potential risk if not managed properly.

Cash Flow

Caspian Sunrise's cash flow statement reveals some challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.11, indicating limited cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also low, suggesting potential issues in converting profits into cash. These factors highlight the need for improved cash flow management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	37.42M	31.47M	36.65M	42.95M	25.00M	14.30M
Gross Profit	16.05M	9.25M	20.73M	32.31M	19.37M	9.43M
EBITDA	5.36M	5.62M	15.71M	12.93M	8.49M	1.87M
Net Income	2.49M	16.61M	10.59M	9.84M	-5.55M	-3.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	140.65M	135.16M	134.92M	117.15M	114.21M	125.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	674.00K	2.64M	447.00K	3.68M	429.00K	329.00K
Total Debt	11.68M	5.51M	6.69M	352.00K	6.42M	5.60M
Total Liabilities	75.69M	64.67M	68.61M	62.26M	68.57M	68.48M
Stockholders Equity	69.67M	76.96M	71.46M	60.56M	51.44M	62.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	974.70K	1.98M	-6.56M	6.38M	-107.00K	-6.28M
Operating Cash Flow	6.25M	17.87M	5.66M	18.35M	7.75M	-1.74M
Investing Cash Flow	―	-15.89M	-13.78M	-14.35M	-8.25M	-4.54M
Financing Cash Flow	3.82M	-492.00K	4.88M	-745.00K	600.00K	2.55M

Caspian Sunrise Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 2.75
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CASP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.53, above the 50-day MA of 2.30, and above the 200-day MA of 2.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CASP.

Caspian Sunrise Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CASP	72 Outperform	£64.80M	6.88	5.26%	―	-58.10%	100.00%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
ZPHR	53 Neutral	£53.57M	-1.96	-50.13%	―	-35.06%	-550.00%