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Caspian Sunrise PLC (GB:CASP)
LSE:CASP
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Caspian Sunrise (CASP) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CASP

Caspian Sunrise

(LSE:CASP)

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Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
3.00 p
▲(57.89% Upside)
Action:N/A
Date:12/11/25
The overall score reflects a combination of strong current profitability and a very conservative balance sheet, which significantly de‑risk the business, offset by revenue contraction, margin compression, and uneven free cash flow that temper the quality of the growth story. Technicals are supportive, with the price in a firm uptrend, but overbought momentum indicators introduce higher near‑term downside risk. A low P/E ratio further boosts the score by suggesting an undemanding valuation relative to current earnings, even though the lack of dividends and cash flow volatility require some caution.
Positive Factors
Profitability
A high net profit margin indicates strong profitability, suggesting that the company is efficient in converting revenue into actual profit, which is crucial for long-term sustainability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue suggests challenges in maintaining sales levels, which can affect long-term growth prospects and market competitiveness if not addressed.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability
A high net profit margin indicates strong profitability, suggesting that the company is efficient in converting revenue into actual profit, which is crucial for long-term sustainability.
Read all positive factors

Caspian Sunrise (CASP) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Caspian Sunrise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Caspian Sunrise plc is an entity focused on the exploration for and extraction of crude oil across Central Asia. Its principal asset comprises a 99% ownership interest in the BNG Contract Area, a substantial territory spanning 1,561 square kilomet...
How the Company Makes Money
Caspian Sunrise generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil produced from its operational fields. The company benefits from the rising global oil prices, which directly impact its revenue per barrel sold. Key revenue streams include ...

Caspian Sunrise Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is solid overall, supported by very low leverage (debt-to-equity near 0.07) and strong profitability and ROE (around 21.6%), which indicate a resilient and efficiently financed business. However, two consecutive years of revenue decline and significant gross margin compression from above 75% to roughly 29% weaken the growth profile, while volatile and relatively weak free cash flow versus net income adds risk to the sustainability of current earnings.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.47M36.65M42.95M25.00M14.30M
Gross Profit9.25M20.73M32.31M19.37M9.43M
EBITDA5.62M-1.14M12.93M8.49M1.05M
Net Income16.61M10.59M9.84M-5.55M-3.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets135.16M134.92M117.15M114.21M125.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.64M447.00K3.68M429.00K329.00K
Total Debt5.51M6.69M352.00K6.42M5.60M
Total Liabilities64.67M68.61M62.26M68.57M68.48M
Stockholders Equity76.96M71.46M60.56M51.44M62.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.98M-6.56M6.38M-107.00K-6.28M
Operating Cash Flow17.87M5.66M18.35M7.75M-1.74M
Investing Cash Flow-15.89M-13.78M-14.35M-8.25M-4.54M
Financing Cash Flow-492.00K4.88M-745.00K600.00K2.55M

Caspian Sunrise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.90
Price Trends
50DMA
1.94
Negative
100DMA
2.09
Negative
200DMA
2.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
34.82
Neutral
STOCH
50.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CASP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.90, below the 50-day MA of 1.94, and below the 200-day MA of 2.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CASP.

Caspian Sunrise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
£44.77M3.4722.39%
74
Outperform
£124.17M-25.13-2.30%4.21%-18.06%-127.50%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
£192.26M-1,200.47-0.15%-38.66%-105.50%
48
Neutral
£40.88M-12.06-2.71%
47
Neutral
£65.12M-6.66-20.06%-44.60%43.68%
43
Neutral
£58.18M-14.65-18.36%21.14%10.00%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CASP
Caspian Sunrise
1.90
-0.25
-11.63%
GB:ENW
Enwell Energy
12.75
-6.25
-32.89%
GB:ZPHR
Zephyr Energy
3.10
0.00
0.00%
GB:AET
Afentra
71.00
24.20
51.71%
GB:AEX
Aminex plc
1.30
-0.65
-33.33%
GB:PHAR
Pharos Energy
30.10
9.38
45.24%

Caspian Sunrise Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Caspian Sunrise Spuds Key Deep Well and Prepares Board Changes
Positive
Jul 8, 2026
Caspian Sunrise PLC is an oil and gas exploration and production group focused on deep reservoir development in Kazakhstan’s BNG Contract Area, where it is working to convert appraisal licences into long-term production rights. The company&#...
Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Caspian Sunrise Faces AIM Trading Suspension Over Delayed 2025 Results
Negative
Jun 26, 2026
Caspian Sunrise has warned of a delay to publishing its audited results for the year ended 31 December 2025 after the buyer of its MJF and South Yelemes assets, sold in July 2025 for $88 million, refused to grant access to the financial records no...
Business Operations and Strategy
Caspian Sunrise accelerates Kazakhstan drilling as Yelemes oil estimates rise
Positive
Jun 25, 2026
Caspian Sunrise has accelerated and broadened its drilling programme at the Yelemes Deep structure in Kazakhstan’s BNG Contract Area after encouraging progress at Deep Well 803, which has been extended into the Lower Permian section and is b...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Caspian Sunrise accelerates Kazakh drilling and advances minerals diversification
Positive
May 18, 2026
Caspian Sunrise has secured Kazakh regulatory approval to drill four additional wells at its BNG Contract Area, prioritising the Yelemes Deep structure to meet appraisal licence obligations and unlock deeper Permian and Triassic targets. The in-ho...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025