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Caspian Sunrise PLC (GB:CASP)
LSE:CASP

Caspian Sunrise (CASP) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CASP

Caspian Sunrise

(LSE:CASP)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
3.00p
▲(17.65% Upside)
Caspian Sunrise's overall stock score reflects a strong technical outlook and a solid valuation, with the stock trading above key moving averages and a low P/E ratio suggesting potential undervaluation. However, financial performance is mixed, with profitability offset by declining revenue and cash flow challenges. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Profitability
A high net profit margin indicates strong profitability, suggesting that the company is efficient in converting revenue into actual profit, which is crucial for long-term sustainability.
Balance Sheet Health
A low debt-to-equity ratio suggests financial stability and a solid capital structure, providing the company with flexibility to invest in growth opportunities without excessive financial risk.
Return on Equity
A strong return on equity indicates effective use of shareholders' funds to generate profits, which can attract investors and support future growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue suggests challenges in maintaining sales levels, which can affect long-term growth prospects and market competitiveness if not addressed.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow growth indicates difficulties in generating cash, which can limit the company's ability to invest in new projects or weather financial downturns.
Decreasing Gross Profit Margin
A declining gross profit margin may reflect rising costs or pricing pressures, which can erode profitability and affect the company's competitive position over time.

Caspian Sunrise (CASP) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Caspian Sunrise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCaspian Sunrise plc engages in the exploration and production of crude oil in Central Asia. The company has a 99% interest in its principal asset, the BNG Contract Area, which covers an area of 1,561 square kilometers located in the Mangistau Oblast in the west of Kazakhstan. The company was formerly known as Roxi Petroleum Plc and changed its name to Caspian Sunrise plc in March 2017. Caspian Sunrise plc was incorporated in 2006 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCaspian Sunrise generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil produced from its operational fields. The company benefits from the rising global oil prices, which directly impact its revenue per barrel sold. Key revenue streams include the sale of oil to refineries and other buyers in both domestic and international markets. Additionally, CASP may engage in contracts for future oil deliveries, providing further financial stability. Significant partnerships with local and international oil trading companies enhance its market reach and sales capabilities, while operational efficiency improvements and cost management strategies help to maximize profit margins.

Caspian Sunrise Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Caspian Sunrise shows a mixed financial performance. The company has a strong net profit margin and return on equity, indicating profitability and effective use of equity. However, declining revenue growth and cash flow management issues present challenges. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, but revenue growth and cash flow generation need improvement for long-term health.
Income Statement
Caspian Sunrise shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has a strong net profit margin of 52.79% for 2024, indicating high profitability. However, the revenue growth rate is negative at -14.14%, suggesting a decline in sales. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly from 56.55% in 2023 to 29.39% in 2024, which could indicate rising costs or pricing pressures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Caspian Sunrise is relatively strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.072, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is robust at 21.59%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the slight increase in debt levels over the years could be a potential risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
Caspian Sunrise's cash flow statement reveals some challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.11, indicating limited cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also low, suggesting potential issues in converting profits into cash. These factors highlight the need for improved cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.51M31.47M36.65M42.95M25.00M14.30M
Gross Profit1.88M9.25M20.73M32.31M19.37M9.43M
EBITDA-11.87K5.62M15.71M12.93M8.49M1.87M
Net Income9.01M16.61M10.59M9.84M-5.55M-3.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets141.19M135.16M134.92M117.15M114.21M125.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments174.00K2.64M447.00K3.68M429.00K329.00K
Total Debt6.81M5.51M6.69M352.00K6.42M5.60M
Total Liabilities75.80M64.67M68.61M62.26M68.57M68.48M
Stockholders Equity72.06M76.96M71.46M60.56M51.44M62.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.98M1.98M-6.56M6.38M-107.00K-6.28M
Operating Cash Flow8.91M17.87M5.66M18.35M7.75M-1.74M
Investing Cash Flow-7.72M-15.89M-13.78M-14.35M-8.25M-4.54M
Financing Cash Flow-2.12M-492.00K4.88M-745.00K600.00K2.55M

Caspian Sunrise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.55
Price Trends
50DMA
2.51
Positive
100DMA
2.33
Positive
200DMA
2.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
42.11
Neutral
STOCH
4.44
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CASP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.79, above the 50-day MA of 2.51, and above the 200-day MA of 2.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:CASP.

Caspian Sunrise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
£93.40M3.3742.05%50.35%48.07%
72
Outperform
£60.09M6.385.26%-58.10%100.00%
67
Neutral
£52.10M6.895.77%-54.53%-64.24%
66
Neutral
£86.22M21.111.91%6.46%-9.43%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
53
Neutral
£52.52M-1.92-50.13%-35.06%-550.00%
49
Neutral
£79.32M-17.75-19.12%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CASP
Caspian Sunrise
2.55
-0.35
-12.07%
GB:ENW
Enwell Energy
16.25
-10.25
-38.68%
GB:ZPHR
Zephyr Energy
2.50
-1.05
-29.58%
GB:AET
Afentra
41.30
-9.70
-19.02%
GB:AEX
Aminex plc
1.78
0.65
57.78%
GB:PHAR
Pharos Energy
20.90
-4.64
-18.16%

Caspian Sunrise Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Caspian Sunrise Wins Major Kazakh Tax Breaks and New Licences at Flagship BNG Field
Positive
Dec 30, 2025

Caspian Sunrise has secured significant tax concessions from Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Energy for its flagship BNG Contract Area, prompting the re-issue of licences covering the deep Airshagyl and Yelemes structures. The new regime replaces several existing levies with an Alternative Subsoil Use Tax and grants a temporary exemption from export customs duties on crude oil, while imposing clear work commitments: a three-year appraisal licence at Airshagyl leading to a 25-year production licence contingent on further deep drilling, and a two-year appraisal licence at Yelemes Deep requiring three additional deep wells to qualify for a similar long-term production permit. During the appraisal periods, all production from these deep structures must be sold domestically at local prices, but management views the concessions as a major step that recognises the strategic importance and potential of BNG and could materially enhance the project’s economics and long-term value for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CASP) stock is a Buy with a £3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caspian Sunrise stock, see the GB:CASP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Caspian Sunrise Makes First Move Into Minerals With Tau-Cen Acquisition
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

Caspian Sunrise has agreed to acquire Kazakh limited liability partnership Tau-Cen LLP, its first non-oil and gas minerals investment, for a total consideration of $0.7 million, split equally between cash and new shares issued at 5p per share. The Tau-Cen licences cover 235.8 sq km in Kazakhstan’s Pavlodar region and are focused on titanium, zirconium, gold and rare earth elements contained within zirconium concentrates, with an approved exploration programme already under way and six-year exploration licences running to 2031; on completion, which remains subject to Kazakh regulatory approval, the company’s enlarged share capital will rise to 2,361,529,923 shares and the Oraziman Family Concert Party’s stake will edge up to 50.63%, underscoring both the modest financial outlay and the potential strategic upside from diversifying into commercially attractive minerals.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CASP) stock is a Buy with a £3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caspian Sunrise stock, see the GB:CASP Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Caspian Sunrise Releases 2024 Annual Report
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

Caspian Sunrise PLC has announced the posting of its Annual Report & Accounts for the year ending December 31, 2024, to its shareholders. This release is a routine update that provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Caspian Sunrise Gains Tax Relief for BNG Development
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

Caspian Sunrise PLC announced a significant development as the Government of Kazakhstan’s Investment Committee has agreed to transition the BNG deep structures to a typical contract, reducing certain tax obligations, including Historical Costs payments. This change is expected to accelerate the development of the BNG Contract Area, benefiting all stakeholders, including the Kazakh state, and enhancing the company’s operational efficiency and industry positioning.

Business Operations and Strategy
Caspian Sunrise Secures Yelemes Deep Licence Extension
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

Caspian Sunrise has announced an extension of the Yelemes Deep licence at the BNG Contract Area, allowing the company to resume development work at Deep Well 803. This extension represents a significant advancement for the company, enabling further exploration and potential production increases, thereby strengthening its position in the oil industry.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Caspian Sunrise Issues New Shares for Bonus Payments
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

Caspian Sunrise PLC has announced the issuance of 2,121,210 new ordinary shares as bonus payments to non-board members, priced at 5p per share. These shares will be admitted to trading on AIM, increasing the company’s total share capital to 2,356,306,042 ordinary shares, which will impact shareholders’ voting rights and transparency obligations.

Delistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Caspian Sunrise Issues New Shares to Non-Board Members
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

Caspian Sunrise has issued 2,121,210 new ordinary shares as bonus payments to non-board members, with each share priced at 5p. These shares will soon be admitted to trading on AIM, increasing the company’s total issued share capital to over 2.35 billion shares, which will affect shareholder voting rights and transparency obligations.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Caspian Sunrise PLC Shifts Focus Amidst Declining Revenues and Strategic Asset Sales
Negative
Dec 1, 2025

Caspian Sunrise PLC reported its unaudited interim results for the first half of 2025, highlighting a significant decline in revenue and profit compared to the previous year, largely due to the sale of its shallow structures at the BNG Contract Area for $88 million. The company is now focusing on developing its remaining assets, including the West Shalva Contract Area and deep structures at BNG, while awaiting regulatory approvals for further drilling and production licenses. The sale has impacted their operational strategy, shifting focus to new acquisitions and existing deep structures, which are expected to enhance future production capabilities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Caspian Sunrise Reports Interim 2025 Results Amid Strategic Asset Sales
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

Caspian Sunrise reported unaudited interim results for the first half of 2025, highlighting a significant $88 million sale of its shallow MJF and South Yelemes structures, which impacted its revenue and production figures. The company is focusing on developing existing assets and new acquisitions, including the West Shalva Contract Area, while facing challenges in oil trading due to decreased production volumes from asset sales.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Caspian Sunrise Reports 2024 Financial Results and Strategic Developments
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

Caspian Sunrise PLC reported its financial and operational results for 2024, highlighting total revenues of $52.3 million, with significant contributions from oil trading and services. The company completed the sale of its shallow structures at the BNG Contract Area for $88 million, which impacted its production strategy. Despite regulatory delays and declining production volumes, the company increased its revenues and profits. The acquisition of the West Shalva Contract Area and the award of a 25-year production license on the Airshagyl structure are expected to bolster future operations. The company is focused on developing its existing assets and exploring new mineral acquisitions.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Caspian Sunrise Begins Drilling at West Shalva
Positive
Oct 3, 2025

Caspian Sunrise PLC has announced the commencement of drilling its first well in the West Shalva Contract Area, acquired earlier in 2025. The drilling targets Jurassic sandstone and Triassic limestone formations, with the well expected to reach a depth of 3,000 meters over two months. This development marks a significant step in the company’s expansion efforts, potentially increasing its oil production capabilities and impacting its market position.

Delistings and Listing ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Caspian Sunrise Delays 2024 Annual Report and Interim Results
Negative
Sep 30, 2025

Caspian Sunrise PLC announced a delay in publishing its 2024 annual report and interim results for 2025, which has affected the trading of its shares. The company aims to release both the audited 2024 accounts and the unaudited interim results by the second half of October, after which it expects the suspension of its share trading to be lifted.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025