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Pharos Energy (GB:PHAR)
LSE:PHAR

Pharos Energy (PHAR) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:PHAR

Pharos Energy

(LSE:PHAR)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
22.50p
▲(11.39% Upside)
Pharos Energy's overall score reflects a mixed financial performance with significant strategic achievements highlighted in the earnings call. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which is a concern. The valuation is fair, with an attractive dividend yield. Strategic focus on growth and shareholder returns is a positive aspect.
Positive Factors
Net cash / debt-free balance sheet
A net cash position and absence of debt provides durable financial flexibility: it lowers refinancing risk, funds the announced six‑well Vietnam program from internal resources, supports the sustainable dividend policy and gives room to pursue farm‑ins or absorb cyclical oil price weakness.
Improved fiscal terms and reserve uplift
Improved fiscal terms that materially increased 2P reserves strengthen asset economics and extend production runway. This structural enhancement raises future recoverable volumes and cash generation potential, improving long‑term project returns and attractiveness to partners or buyers.
Operational efficiency and margin improvement
Sustained margin improvement implies better cost control and operational execution across assets. Higher and more stable margins translate into stronger cash conversion from production, enabling reinvestment and dividends while providing resilience against lower commodity price cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline trend
A multi‑period revenue decline undermines durable cash flow expectations and heightens reliance on commodity prices or one‑off receipts. Persistent top‑line weakness limits internal funding capacity for capex and dividends and makes planning around volatile exploration outcomes more challenging.
Large receivables and Egyptian production issues
Material receivables from a counterparty and underperforming Egyptian production create working capital and collection risk. Delayed cash collections can strain liquidity, delay reinvestment or partner payments, and amplify downside if collection or production performance deteriorates long term.
High operational risk from Vietnam drilling campaign
Concentrated capital into technically complex appraisal wells raises execution and geologic risk. Failed or marginal results would reduce expected reserve additions, impair returns and can trigger cost overruns that weaken cash generation and the company's long‑term growth trajectory.

Pharos Energy (PHAR) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Pharos Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPharos Energy (PHAR) is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company based in the United Kingdom. The company primarily operates in the oil and gas sector, focusing on the development of oil and gas assets in Egypt and Vietnam. Pharos Energy aims to deliver sustainable growth through the development and production of oil and gas resources, leveraging its technical expertise and operational efficiency to maximize value for stakeholders.
How the Company Makes MoneyPharos Energy generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of hydrocarbons from its operated assets in Egypt and Vietnam, where it has established production facilities. Additionally, Pharos may engage in joint ventures or partnerships with other companies to share resources and reduce operational costs, which can enhance profitability. The company also benefits from fluctuating oil and gas prices, as higher market prices can significantly increase revenue from its production activities. Operational efficiency, cost management, and strategic asset development are crucial factors contributing to Pharos Energy's earnings.

Pharos Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Pharos Energy demonstrated strong strategic achievements, particularly in securing license extensions and maintaining financial flexibility. However, challenges remain, particularly in Egypt with receivables and production issues, and in the risky nature of upcoming drilling operations. The company is focused on disciplined capital allocation and delivering shareholder returns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
License Extensions in Vietnam and Egypt
Secured license extensions for two producing fields in Vietnam until end of 2027 and successfully agreed new fiscal terms in Egypt, resulting in improved economics and additional time on licenses.
Debt-Free Status and Financial Flexibility
Pharos Energy remains debt-free with a net cash position of $22.6 million, allowing for a fully funded capital investment program from internally generated cash flow.
Committed Shareholder Returns
Announced a 10% increase in the dividend, maintaining the commitment to shareholder returns despite market challenges.
Largest Investment Campaign in Vietnam
Initiated a 6-well drilling campaign in Vietnam, the largest investment since the original development, aimed at delivering additional value and production growth.
Negative Updates
Decline in Cash Flow from Operations
Cash flow from operations decreased to $16.1 million from the previous year's figure, primarily due to the absence of a one-off $10 million payment from EGPC.
Challenging Egyptian Market
Lower than expected production volumes in Egypt and high receivables from EGPC ($33.5 million), although efforts are being made to reduce this balance.
Complex and Risky Drilling Operations
The appraisal wells in Vietnam's drilling campaign are complex and carry significant risk, requiring expertise and careful execution.
Company Guidance
In the recent investor presentation, Pharos Energy plc provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported stable revenue for the first half of 2025 at over $65 million, despite a $12 reduction in Brent prices, thanks to inventory management. Pharos maintains a net cash position of $22.6 million and generated $16.1 million in cash flow from operations, although this is a decrease from 2024 due to the absence of a one-off payment from EGPC. The company has a 26% hedging position for the second half, providing a floor of $60 per barrel. Pharos is focusing its capital investment on a significant 6-well drilling campaign in Vietnam, which marks its largest investment since the original development. The firm's cash flow allows for a fully funded capital program, emphasizing organic growth through asset reinvestment while maintaining a sustainable dividend. Additionally, Pharos has secured improved fiscal terms in Egypt, resulting in a 25% uplift in 2P reserves, and is actively pursuing a farm-in partner for its high-impact frontier exploration in Vietnam's Blocks 125 and 126. These efforts underscore Pharos's strategic focus on operational and financial flexibility to drive future growth.

Pharos Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pharos Energy shows mixed financial performance with improved operational efficiency and stable leverage. However, revenue declines and historical volatility in profitability and cash flows pose potential risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Pharos Energy has shown significant volatility in its financial performance. The gross profit margin and EBIT margin have improved in recent years, indicating better cost management and operational efficiency. However, revenue has declined in the latest year, and the company has seen negative net profit margins in some periods, highlighting challenges in maintaining stable profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Pharos Energy is relatively stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting solid financial backing. However, fluctuations in stockholders' equity and total assets over the years suggest potential stability concerns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive but inconsistent trend in free cash flow, with a notable increase in the latest year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash generation relative to reported earnings. Yet, historical volatility in cash flows may pose risks to liquidity management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue128.40M126.80M167.90M184.40M134.10M142.00M
Gross Profit33.30M46.20M56.70M82.30M19.50M18.20M
EBITDA67.20M111.30M36.30M143.10M94.60M-171.10M
Net Income5.50M23.60M-48.80M24.40M-4.70M-215.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets419.70M427.30M457.00M572.90M589.70M549.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.60M16.50M32.60M45.30M27.10M24.60M
Total Debt200.00K200.00K41.00M75.00M80.50M54.10M
Total Liabilities127.90M136.50M183.50M242.30M285.30M255.30M
Stockholders Equity291.80M290.80M273.50M330.60M304.40M293.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.30M35.60M21.70M23.60M-28.80M17.40M
Operating Cash Flow42.20M54.00M44.90M53.40M10.80M56.40M
Investing Cash Flow-27.24M-17.90M-6.60M-14.00M-39.80M-41.30M
Financing Cash Flow-23.23M-51.60M-50.10M-19.80M31.10M-48.50M

Pharos Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price20.20
Price Trends
50DMA
20.43
Positive
100DMA
20.52
Positive
200DMA
20.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.26
Positive
RSI
50.76
Neutral
STOCH
25.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:PHAR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 20.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.21, below the 50-day MA of 20.43, and below the 200-day MA of 20.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:PHAR.

Pharos Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
£129.84M1.0934.81%7.74%
66
Neutral
£88.70M21.721.91%6.46%-9.43%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
£177.09M-10.81-6.29%-32.66%72.67%
56
Neutral
£110.63M-0.69-32.47%-1490.91%
55
Neutral
£167.40M-3.95-11.54%-0.20%-25.68%
44
Neutral
£203.84M-5.57-92.03%-16.87%21.18%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:PHAR
Pharos Energy
21.10
-1.15
-5.18%
GB:GENL
Genel Energy
60.30
-5.80
-8.77%
GB:CNE
Capricorn Energy PLC
255.00
-57.00
-18.27%
GB:SAVE
Savannah Petroleum
7.00
-19.25
-73.33%
GB:TLW
Tullow Oil
7.37
-11.18
-60.27%
GB:KIST
Kistos PLC
245.00
110.00
81.48%

Pharos Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Pharos Energy CEO and CFO Increase Holdings Through Market Share Purchases
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

Pharos Energy has disclosed that its Chief Executive Officer, Katherine Roe, and Chief Financial Officer, Sue Rivett, have purchased additional ordinary shares in the company on the open market under pre-arranged trading plans. Roe acquired 6,764 shares, bringing her holding to 113,082 shares, while Rivett bought 4,479 shares, increasing her stake to 1,833,532 shares, representing 0.027% and 0.440% of the company’s issued share capital (excluding treasury shares), respectively. The insider purchases, though modest in size, signal ongoing alignment of senior management’s interests with those of shareholders at a time when the company is emphasising its cash-generative profile and growth platform in Vietnam and Egypt.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHAR) stock is a Hold with a £23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pharos Energy stock, see the GB:PHAR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Pharos Energy Lifts 2026 Production Guidance on Vietnam Drilling Progress and Strong Cash Position
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

Pharos Energy reported 2025 working interest production of 5,398 boepd, broadly split between Vietnam (4,095 boepd) and Egypt (1,303 bopd), delivering estimated revenue of about $115m, maintaining a debt-free balance sheet and closing the year with roughly $40m in cash after a $20m receivables payment from Egypt’s EGPC. Operationally, the company advanced a fully funded six‑well offshore drilling programme on its TGT and CNV fields in Vietnam, achieved a two‑year exploration extension on Blocks 125 & 126, secured improved fiscal terms through a consolidated concession agreement in Egypt, and completed 3D seismic work on North Beni Suef, while continuing to return cash to investors with $6.5m of dividends in 2025 and confirming an interim payout for the 2025 financial year. Looking to 2026, Pharos has raised production guidance to 5,200–6,400 boepd, is set to complete its Vietnam drilling campaign—where appraisal success could lift Vietnamese output by up to 20% and derisk further developments—and will launch a six‑well drilling programme in Egypt, underpinned by a planned $50m capex budget that balances growth investment with sustained shareholder distributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHAR) stock is a Hold with a £22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pharos Energy stock, see the GB:PHAR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pharos Energy Cuts Egyptian Receivables After $20m EGPC Payment
Positive
Dec 31, 2025

Pharos Energy has received a $20 million payment from the Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation, significantly reducing its outstanding receivables in Egypt to $7.4 million, the lowest level since 2021. Management highlighted that the improved receivables position, combined with recently enhanced fiscal terms on its consolidated concession agreement, strengthens the investment case for its Egyptian portfolio and supports the planned drilling campaign with partner IPR to lift production, in alignment with Egypt’s national production targets and long‑term value creation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHAR) stock is a Hold with a £21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pharos Energy stock, see the GB:PHAR Stock Forecast page.

Other
Pharos Energy CEO and CFO Boost Stakes in the Company
Positive
Dec 31, 2025

Pharos Energy’s chief executive officer, Katherine Roe, and chief financial officer, Sue Rivett, have increased their holdings in the company by purchasing ordinary shares on the open market at £0.195 per share under pre-arranged trading plans. Following the transactions, Roe holds 106,318 shares and Rivett 1,829,053 shares, representing 0.026% and 0.439% of the company’s issued share capital respectively, reinforcing senior management’s financial commitment to the business and providing a modest signal of confidence to investors in the group’s strategy and outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHAR) stock is a Hold with a £21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pharos Energy stock, see the GB:PHAR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pharos Energy Advances Drilling Operations in Vietnam and Egypt
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

Pharos Energy plc has been actively advancing its operations in Vietnam and Egypt, with a significant six-well drilling program underway in Vietnam, marking the most substantial investment in these assets since their development. The initial performance of the first well on the TGT Field has exceeded expectations, contributing positively to the company’s production rates. In Egypt, Pharos has secured a consolidated Concession Agreement with improved fiscal terms, setting the stage for further drilling activities. The company remains in a strong financial position, maintaining a debt-free status and a stable cash balance, which supports ongoing capital investments and sustainable shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHAR) stock is a Hold with a £21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pharos Energy stock, see the GB:PHAR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Pharos Energy Executives Increase Shareholdings, Signaling Confidence in Future Growth
Positive
Nov 28, 2025

Pharos Energy announced that its CEO, Katherine Roe, and CFO, Sue Rivett, have purchased additional shares in the company, reflecting their confidence in its future prospects. The share purchases, executed under pre-established trading plans, signify a commitment to the company’s growth strategy and may positively influence stakeholder perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHAR) stock is a Hold with a £22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pharos Energy stock, see the GB:PHAR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025