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Afentra Plc (GB:AET)
LSE:AET

Afentra (AET) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:AET

Afentra

(LSE:AET)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
44.00p
▲(4.76% Upside)
Afentra's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and attractive valuation, indicating a solid investment potential. However, technical analysis suggests caution due to bearish momentum. The company's strategic initiatives and corporate events further bolster its growth prospects, contributing positively to the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The substantial revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective asset development, positioning Afentra well for future expansion.
Cash Flow Strength
Robust cash flow supports reinvestment and debt management, enhancing financial stability and flexibility for strategic initiatives.
Margin Sustainability
High profit margins reflect efficient cost management and operational efficiency, contributing to sustainable profitability.
Negative Factors
Liability Increase
Rising liabilities could strain financial resources and limit flexibility, posing risks to long-term financial health if not managed carefully.
Leverage Concerns
While currently manageable, leverage levels require ongoing attention to avoid potential financial strain as the company grows.
Employee Count
A small workforce may limit operational capacity and scalability, potentially impacting the ability to manage larger projects or expansions.

Afentra (AET) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Afentra Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAfentra (AET) is an independent oil and gas company focused on acquiring and developing oil and gas assets in Africa. With a strategic emphasis on the exploration and production of hydrocarbons, Afentra operates primarily in the upstream sector, targeting regions with significant growth potential. The company aims to leverage its expertise to increase production and enhance asset value through efficient operational management and strategic partnerships.
How the Company Makes MoneyAfentra generates revenue primarily through the exploration and production of oil and gas. The company makes money by selling crude oil and natural gas that it extracts from its licensed fields. Its revenue model is centered on the successful acquisition of oil and gas assets, followed by the efficient management and development of these assets to maximize production output. Key revenue streams include direct sales of hydrocarbons, potential joint ventures with larger oil companies for resource development, and strategic partnerships that enhance operational capabilities and access to markets. Additionally, Afentra may benefit from favorable commodity pricing, government incentives, and cost efficiencies in its operations, all contributing to its overall earnings.

Afentra Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Afentra's financial performance in 2024 reflects a transformative phase with substantial revenue and profit growth, improved margins, and a strong cash flow position. The company has achieved a sound balance between growth and financial stability. While the increase in liabilities requires attention, the overall outlook is positive, with continued focus on maintaining operational efficiency and managing leverage effectively.
Income Statement
Afentra has shown remarkable growth in total revenue, with a significant increase from $26.39 million in 2023 to $180.86 million in 2024. The company also achieved a strong net profit margin of 28.94% and a gross profit margin of 47.97% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 41.18% and 47.82%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. The transition from losses in previous years to substantial profitability highlights a positive trajectory.
Balance Sheet
Afentra maintains a healthy balance sheet with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.43, indicating manageable leverage levels. The company has strengthened its equity position, with Stockholders' Equity growing to $98.63 million in 2024, and an Equity Ratio of 43.52% suggests a solid capital structure. However, the increase in total liabilities may warrant close monitoring to prevent potential risks.
Cash Flow
The cash flow position of Afentra is strong, with a significant free cash flow of $64.98 million in 2024, growing substantially from $8.96 million in 2023. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.63 indicates efficient cash generation relative to net income. The company has demonstrated strong free cash flow generation, supporting potential reinvestment and debt management strategies.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue161.74M180.86M26.39M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit68.92M86.74M13.82M-3.49K-2.73K-1.22K
EBITDA74.29M86.45M3.57M-8.64M-4.71M-2.17M
Net Income32.10M52.35M-2.71M-9.20M-5.04M-1.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets225.89M226.61M210.63M52.87M60.03M64.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.07M46.88M14.73M20.38M37.73M42.67M
Total Debt37.11M42.20M31.86M337.00K581.00K786.00K
Total Liabilities121.12M127.98M162.66M3.06M1.14M1.03M
Stockholders Equity104.77M98.63M47.97M49.81M58.89M63.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.49M64.98M8.96M-6.86M-4.71M-2.25M
Operating Cash Flow42.80M85.59M12.32M-6.70M-4.50M-2.15M
Investing Cash Flow-26.78M-53.55M-45.90M-10.28M-194.00K224.00K
Financing Cash Flow46.50K93.00K27.95M-225.00K-273.00K-283.00K

Afentra Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price42.00
Price Trends
50DMA
41.64
Negative
100DMA
44.74
Negative
200DMA
44.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
54.71
Neutral
STOCH
47.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:AET, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.57, above the 50-day MA of 41.64, and below the 200-day MA of 44.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:AET.

Afentra Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
£93.40M3.3742.05%50.35%48.07%
72
Outperform
£60.09M6.385.26%-58.10%100.00%
66
Neutral
£86.22M21.111.91%6.46%-9.43%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
53
Neutral
£95.73M-0.61-32.47%-1490.91%
49
Neutral
£79.32M-17.75-19.12%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:AET
Afentra
41.30
-9.70
-19.02%
GB:BOR
Borders & Southern Petroleum
9.60
6.15
178.26%
GB:CASP
Caspian Sunrise
2.55
-0.35
-12.07%
GB:TLW
Tullow Oil
6.49
-17.23
-72.64%
GB:AEX
Aminex plc
1.78
0.65
57.78%
GB:PHAR
Pharos Energy
20.90
-4.64
-18.16%

Afentra Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Afentra exits Somaliland’s Odewayne Block to refocus on core Angolan assets
Neutral
Dec 18, 2025

Afentra plc has completed the divestment of its 34% non-operated participating interest in the high-risk frontier Odewayne Block in Somaliland to Petrosoma Limited, following formal approval from Somaliland’s Ministry of Energy and Minerals. As part of the transaction, Petrosoma assumes all past and future liabilities under the production sharing agreement, including environmental and decommissioning obligations, while Afentra has exited the asset entirely and will record a write-down of the US$21.5 million carrying value. Afentra has also received US$1.97 million from operator Genel Energy Somaliland Limited in settlement of carry obligations related to the interest, but no consideration from Petrosoma, underscoring that the move is driven by strategic portfolio rationalisation rather than immediate sale proceeds. The disposal removes a non-core, legacy exploration exposure that had generated no profit and allows management to sharpen its focus and capital allocation on core Angolan production and development assets, in line with the company’s disciplined approach to portfolio management and Africa-focused growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AET) stock is a Buy with a £44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Afentra stock, see the GB:AET Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Afentra Reports Strategic Progress and Financial Stability in 2025 Update
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

Afentra plc has announced several operational and financial updates, including the award of the Block 3/24 license with a 40% interest, and progress in the acquisition of Etu Energias, expected to complete in early 2026. The company reported stable production and significant revenue from crude oil sales, alongside strategic investments in infrastructure and drilling preparations. The updates indicate Afentra’s commitment to enhancing its production profile and presence in Angola, with plans for increased recovery and production growth. The appointment of Andrew Osborne as a Non-Executive Director and Chair of the Audit Committee further strengthens the company’s governance framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AET) stock is a Hold with a £47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Afentra stock, see the GB:AET Stock Forecast page.

Other
Afentra Announces Director-Related Share Purchase
Neutral
Nov 11, 2025

Afentra plc announced a transaction involving the purchase of 225,000 ordinary shares by Acorn Investment Management, a person closely associated with Andrew Osborne, a Non-Executive Director of the company. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange AIM market, reflects internal dealings that may impact investor perceptions and stakeholder confidence in the company’s governance and market activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AET) stock is a Hold with a £47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Afentra stock, see the GB:AET Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Afentra Strengthens Leadership with New Audit Chair Appointment
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Afentra plc has appointed Andrew Osborne as an Independent Non-Executive Director and Chair of the Audit Committee, effective November 10, 2025. Osborne, with over 30 years of experience in the oil and gas sector, brings significant financial and governance expertise, which is expected to enhance Afentra’s governance framework and support its strategic focus on value-accretive opportunities in Africa.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AET) stock is a Hold with a £47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Afentra stock, see the GB:AET Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Afentra Secures Operatorship of Offshore Block 3/24 in Angola
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

Afentra plc has received formal approval for the Risk Service Contract for offshore Block 3/24 in Angola, marking its first offshore operatorship. The block, adjacent to Afentra’s existing interests, contains five established discoveries and offers significant development and exploration potential. Afentra will operate with a 40% interest, alongside partners Maurel & Prom Angola S.A.S. and Sonangol E&P. This development aligns with Afentra’s strategy to expand its production business in Angola, leveraging existing infrastructure for low-cost, short-cycle developments.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AET) stock is a Buy with a £54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Afentra stock, see the GB:AET Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025