tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Central Asia Metals (GB:CAML)
LSE:CAML
Advertisement

Central Asia Metals (CAML) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
97 Followers

Top Page

GB:CAML

Central Asia Metals

(LSE:CAML)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
168.00p
▲(13.06% Upside)
Central Asia Metals' strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary strengths, supported by robust profitability and a high dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum, and operational challenges at the Sasa mine present risks. The failed acquisition also negatively impacted market sentiment.

Central Asia Metals (CAML) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Central Asia Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentral Asia Metals plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a base metals producer. The company produces copper, zinc, silver, and lead. It owns a 100% interest in the Kounrad solvent extraction- electrowinning operation located near the city of Balkhash in central Kazakhstan; and a 100% interest in the Sasa mine located in north eastern Macedonia. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCAML generates revenue primarily through the sale of copper and zinc products. The company operates its mining assets, where it extracts ore and processes it to produce copper cathodes and zinc concentrate. Revenue streams include direct sales to customers and contracts with metal traders and distributors. The pricing of these metals is influenced by global commodity markets, allowing CAML to capitalize on fluctuations in metal prices. Additionally, CAML's efficiency in operations and cost management plays a crucial role in maintaining profitability. Strategic partnerships with local and international stakeholders also contribute to the company's earnings, enabling access to broader markets and enhancing operational capabilities.

Central Asia Metals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 10, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong production performance and robust financial metrics, including shareholder returns and renewable energy success. However, Sasa faced operational challenges with increased costs and variability in the ore body, and the failed acquisition of New World Resources led to a negative market reaction.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Production Performance
Produced 6,218 tonnes of copper, 8,692 tonnes of zinc, and 12,613 tonnes of lead with zero lost time injuries.
Financial Metrics and Shareholder Returns
Generated revenue of $99.5 million and EBITDA of $39.9 million with a 40% margin. Announced a 4.5p dividend and a $10 million share buyback program.
Cost Management at Kounrad
C1 cost base decreased by $0.6 million despite a wage increase, maintaining a 72% margin.
Renewable Energy Success
Solar plant at Kounrad provided 17% of power requirements, peaking at 22% in May.
Cash Position and Balance Sheet
Strong cash flow with $47.7 million in the bank, bolstered by $18.7 million from selling New World Resources shares and a $1.6 million break fee.
Negative Updates
Sasa Operational Challenges
Faced lower grades and variability in ore body at depth, leading to reduced guidance and need for a strategic review.
Increased Operational Costs
Cost of sales increased by 14% due to higher wages, revenue royalties, currency effects, and additional depreciation.
Impact of Exchange Rates
Weaker Kazakh tenge helped reduce costs, but stronger Macedonian denar increased costs at Sasa.
New World Resources Acquisition Failure
Failed to acquire New World Resources due to competition, resulting in negative market reaction.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Central Asia Metals provided guidance for its operations in the first half of 2025. The company reported the production of 6,218 tonnes of copper from its Kounrad operation in Kazakhstan, and 8,692 tonnes of zinc and 12,613 tonnes of lead from the Sasa mine in Macedonia. Financially, the company generated $99.5 million in revenue and an EBITDA of $39.9 million, maintaining a 40% margin. The company announced a dividend of 4.5p and a $10 million share buyback program, ensuring consistent returns to shareholders. The cash position was robust, with $47.7 million in the bank, which will be further supplemented by proceeds from the New World Resources transaction. The company reiterated its CapEx guidance of $18 million to $21 million for the year. Moreover, it highlighted its commitment to safety, achieving 0 lost time injuries at both operations. Despite challenges at the Sasa mine, including lower grades and variable geology, the company remains on track to achieve its production guidance, following strategic reviews and improvements. The solar plant at Kounrad is contributing significantly to energy needs, covering up to 22% of electricity requirements in May. Overall, Central Asia Metals continues to focus on operational efficiency and strategic growth opportunities.

Central Asia Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Central Asia Metals demonstrates strong profitability and financial stability, with impressive margins and low leverage. While revenue growth has been uneven, the company maintains a robust cash flow position, supporting ongoing operations and investments.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Central Asia Metals shows a robust gross profit margin, consistently above 45% over the years, indicating strong cost management. The net profit margin has improved from 19% in 2020 to 24% in 2024, showing enhanced profitability. However, revenue growth has been inconsistent, peaking in 2021, with subsequent fluctuations. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain solid, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company has a very low debt-to-equity ratio, with total debt significantly reduced over the years, enhancing financial stability. The equity ratio is strong, consistently above 75%, indicating a healthy balance sheet with low leverage. ROE has been stable, showing effective use of equity, although slight declines in total assets and stockholders' equity in recent years are areas to watch.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow is solid, supporting high free cash flow, indicative of strong cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow growth has been positive, but fluctuated due to varying capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests efficient cash conversion, though capital expenditures have increased recently, impacting free cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue214.44M195.28M220.85M223.37M160.13M
Gross Profit103.50M99.54M131.79M141.13M85.90M
EBITDA105.99M94.93M131.50M141.22M95.68M
Net Income50.86M37.31M33.81M84.18M43.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets440.29M462.19M443.05M520.59M543.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments67.32M56.83M60.30M55.70M44.23M
Total Debt1.72M1.83M1.70M33.61M81.09M
Total Liabilities88.58M82.13M74.92M111.34M150.72M
Stockholders Equity353.20M381.31M369.44M410.56M394.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.02M38.55M82.45M97.91M58.94M
Operating Cash Flow74.26M66.41M99.84M112.61M67.44M
Investing Cash Flow-22.71M-25.97M-13.69M-14.53M-7.66M
Financing Cash Flow-40.96M-44.00M-81.49M-86.59M-44.24M

Central Asia Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price148.60
Price Trends
50DMA
152.26
Negative
100DMA
152.93
Negative
200DMA
148.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.92
Negative
RSI
47.63
Neutral
STOCH
46.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CAML, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 148.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 151.88, below the 50-day MA of 152.26, and below the 200-day MA of 148.66, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CAML.

Central Asia Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
840.33M13.3713.04%0.64%21.25%108.30%
74
Outperform
£258.36M9.229.97%6.41%5.70%-9.60%
64
Neutral
379.05M-12.3319.22%26.71%-119.70%
56
Neutral
326.84M50.004.16%-32.18%-58.29%
49
Neutral
228.48M-33.56-25.98%129.53%70.68%
41
Neutral
92.23M-13.59-36.74%220.69%-21.05%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CAML
Central Asia Metals
148.60
-30.99
-17.26%
GB:AAZ
Anglo Asian Mining
200.00
112.50
128.57%
GB:ATYM
Atalaya Mining
597.00
198.71
49.89%
GB:EUA
Eurasia Mining
3.12
0.94
43.12%
GB:GFM
Griffin Mining
185.00
18.00
10.78%
GB:MTL
Metals Exploration
12.95
7.80
151.46%

Central Asia Metals Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDelistings and Listing Changes
Central Asia Metals Executes Share Buyback Program
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

Central Asia Metals PLC has executed a share buyback program, purchasing 150,000 of its ordinary shares, which will be canceled and delisted from the AIM market of the London Stock Exchange. This move reduces the total number of shares in circulation, potentially increasing shareholder value and reflecting the company’s confidence in its financial stability and future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CAML) stock is a Buy with a £195.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Asia Metals stock, see the GB:CAML Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Central Asia Metals Launches $10 Million Share Buyback Program
Neutral
Sep 10, 2025

Central Asia Metals has announced a US$10 million share buyback program aimed at reducing its share capital and returning capital to shareholders. The buyback will be conducted on the London Stock Exchange and managed by Peel Hunt LLP, with shares purchased to be cancelled. This move could impact the company’s liquidity due to limited trading volumes, potentially representing a significant portion of daily trading activity.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CAML) stock is a Buy with a £173.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Asia Metals stock, see the GB:CAML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Central Asia Metals PLC Reports H1 2025 Results and Strategic Initiatives
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

Central Asia Metals PLC reported its interim results for the first half of 2025, highlighting a stable financial position despite a slight decrease in revenue and EBITDA compared to the previous year. The company achieved zero lost-time injuries, completed significant capital projects at Sasa, and maintained profitable operations at Kounrad. A share buy-back program and a revised dividend policy were announced to align with free cash flow distribution goals. The company remains focused on growth, exploring new opportunities and investments, and addressing challenges in orebody variability at Sasa with external consultant recommendations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CAML) stock is a Buy with a £173.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Asia Metals stock, see the GB:CAML Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Central Asia Metals Appoints Alison Baker as New Audit Committee Chair
Neutral
Aug 21, 2025

Central Asia Metals PLC announced the appointment of Alison Baker as an Independent Non-Executive Director and Audit Committee Chair, effective September 3, 2025. With over 25 years of experience in the energy and mining sectors, Baker’s expertise is expected to significantly benefit the company’s operations and future business development. This change follows the departure of David Swan, who served as a Non-Executive Director and Audit Committee Chair for eleven years, marking a strategic shift in the company’s board composition.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CAML) stock is a Buy with a £173.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Asia Metals stock, see the GB:CAML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Central Asia Metals to Release Interim Results and Host Investor Presentations
Positive
Aug 21, 2025

Central Asia Metals PLC announced the release of its Interim Results for the period ending 30 June 2025, scheduled for 10 September 2025. The company will host multiple presentations and calls for analysts and investors, providing opportunities for stakeholders to engage with the management team. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to transparency and investor relations, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder engagement positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CAML) stock is a Buy with a £173.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Asia Metals stock, see the GB:CAML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Central Asia Metals Withdraws Bid for New World Resources
Negative
Jul 21, 2025

Central Asia Metals PLC (CAML) has decided not to counter Kinterra’s increased offer for New World Resources (NWR), leading NWR’s board to recommend Kinterra’s offer to its shareholders. As a result, CAML and NWR plan to terminate their Bid Implementation Deed, with a break fee payable to CAML, marking a significant shift in CAML’s acquisition strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CAML) stock is a Buy with a £230.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Asia Metals stock, see the GB:CAML Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2025