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BP plc (GB:BP.A)
LSE:BP.A
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BP plc (BP.A) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:BP.A

BP plc

(LSE:BP.A)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
157.00p
▲(5.72% Upside)
BP's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with significant leverage and moderate cash flow generation. The earnings call provided positive insights into operational and strategic achievements, which are offset by ongoing challenges in diesel margins and impairments. The technical analysis suggests a neutral trend, while the attractive dividend yield supports the valuation score.

BP plc (BP.A) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

BP plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBP plc is a British multinational oil and gas company headquartered in London, England. It operates in all areas of the oil and gas industry, including exploration, production, refining, distribution, and marketing. BP is also involved in renewable energy sectors, including biofuels, wind power, and solar energy. The company serves a global customer base and is recognized for its efforts in transitioning towards more sustainable energy solutions while maintaining a significant presence in traditional fossil fuel markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyBP generates revenue primarily through the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, which involves extracting resources from various fields and selling them in the global market. The company also earns significant revenue from refining crude oil into petroleum products, such as gasoline and diesel, which are sold through its extensive network of retail service stations. Additionally, BP's marketing division plays a crucial role in its revenue model by selling fuels and lubricants to commercial and industrial customers. The company has entered into various strategic partnerships and joint ventures, particularly in the renewable energy sector, which contribute to its earnings by diversifying its energy portfolio. Furthermore, fluctuations in global oil prices, geopolitical factors, and advancements in technology significantly impact BP’s financial performance.

BP plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
BP's Q2 2025 earnings call highlighted strong operational and financial performance, including significant exploration successes and increased earnings in the customers' business. However, challenges remain with diesel margins and impairments, as well as a notable working capital build. Overall, the positives, particularly in exploration and earnings growth, outweigh the negatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operational Performance
BP achieved reliability across upstream and downstream operations greater than 96%. Year-to-date, they brought 5 new oil and gas major projects on stream and sanctioned 4 more, making 10 exploration discoveries, including significant finds in Brazil and Namibia.
Financial Growth
Underlying earnings in the customers' business increased by around 50% compared to the previous year. Additionally, BP has delivered $1.7 billion of structural cost reductions since early 2024.
Dividend and Share Buyback
BP announced a dividend per ordinary share of $0.0832, an increase of 4%, and a further $750 million share buyback for the second quarter.
Exploration Success
The year marked the best in a decade for exploration with 10 commercial discoveries. Notable discoveries include the Bumerangue Block in Brazil and the Capricornus well in Namibia.
Record Convenience and Mobility Performance
BP's M&C segment saw a 50% increase in profitability in H1 2025 versus H1 2024, marking the best second quarter since 2012.
Negative Updates
Diesel Margin Challenges
BP's TravelCenters of America is experiencing tight diesel margins, impacting profitability. The company is focusing on improving diesel margins and increasing customer inflow.
Impairments
BP recorded $1.2 billion in impairments this quarter, including assets in the customer and products space related to hydrogen and biofuels in Australia and gas and low carbon space.
Working Capital Build
BP experienced a working capital build of $4.7 billion in the first half of 2025. They expect some of this to unwind in the second half of the year.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, BP showcased a robust operational and strategic performance, with reliability across both upstream and downstream sectors exceeding 96%. The company brought five new major oil and gas projects online, sanctioned four more, and achieved ten exploration discoveries, including a notable find in Brazil's Bumerangue Block. BP reported a 50% increase in underlying earnings in its customer business compared to the previous year and announced divestment proceeds of around $3 billion. The company realized $1.7 billion in structural cost reductions since early 2024 and declared a $0.0832 dividend per ordinary share, marking a 4% increase. Additionally, BP announced a $750 million share buyback for the second quarter. This marks the completion of two quarters in a 12-quarter plan, with ongoing efforts to enhance digital and technology initiatives across the upstream and downstream sectors.

BP plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BP plc demonstrates solid operational efficiency and stable financial structuring, with strong cash flows supporting its operations. However, volatility in net income and recent revenue declines pose potential risks. The company needs to address these challenges to maintain its financial health and growth trajectory.
Income Statement
68
Positive
The income statement shows solid gross profit margins, though there is volatility in net income with recent negative net income in TTM and 2022. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a notable decline in the latest TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, indicating operational efficiency despite challenges.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting balanced leverage. Equity ratio is stable, indicating a sound financial structure. However, fluctuations in stockholders' equity and liabilities need monitoring for future stability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong operational cash flows with a healthy free cash flow, despite recent declines. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, reflecting efficient cash conversion. However, the decline in free cash flow growth in the TTM period raises concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue185.45B185.23B213.67B240.86B154.71B112.38B
Gross Profit29.99B28.11B47.39B54.05B21.65B-534.61M
EBITDA28.62B25.11B42.89B29.37B27.82B-7.46B
Net Income609.55M382.83M15.50B-2.48B7.42B-21.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets284.74B282.23B280.29B288.12B287.27B267.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.31B34.52B28.59B29.77B30.96B29.53B
Total Debt74.98B71.55B63.08B55.49B69.79B81.93B
Total Liabilities204.96B203.91B194.80B205.13B196.83B182.09B
Stockholders Equity59.24B59.25B70.28B67.55B75.46B71.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.59B12.00B17.75B28.86B12.72B-144.00M
Operating Cash Flow23.29B27.30B32.04B40.93B23.61B12.16B
Investing Cash Flow-12.18B-13.25B-14.87B-13.71B-5.69B-7.86B
Financing Cash Flow-10.93B-7.30B-13.36B-28.02B-18.08B3.96B

BP plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price148.50
Price Trends
50DMA
148.99
Negative
100DMA
146.29
Positive
200DMA
139.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
50.69
Neutral
STOCH
30.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BP.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 148.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 148.38, below the 50-day MA of 148.99, and above the 200-day MA of 139.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:BP.A.

BP plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
£1.52B13.997.92%3.76%118.04%65.66%
78
Outperform
£158.89B15.807.54%4.11%-8.55%-22.62%
71
Outperform
£3.80B21.62-11.32%7.73%123.03%
70
Outperform
£3.11B15.84-7.04%14.06%31.96%-159.27%
67
Neutral
£1.70B11.5117.50%5.68%-9.80%-1.98%
66
Neutral
$15.26B7.303.22%5.27%4.16%-60.82%
61
Neutral
£65.97B0.64%5.39%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BP.A
BP plc
148.50
2.30
1.57%
GB:HBR
Harbour Energy
224.20
-19.13
-7.86%
GB:SHEL
Shell (UK)
2,627.50
185.25
7.59%
GB:SEPL
SEPLAT Petroleum Development
252.50
82.13
48.21%
GB:ENOG
Energean
892.50
74.42
9.10%
GB:ITH
Ithaca Energy PLC
185.60
96.29
107.82%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2025