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B&M European Value Retail SA (GB:BME)
LSE:BME
UK Market

B&M European Value Retail SA (BME) AI Stock Analysis

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B&M European Value Retail SA

(LSE:BME)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
B&M European Value Retail SA shows robust financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow. However, high debt levels and bearish technical indicators present risks. Despite these challenges, the stock's undervaluation and attractive dividend yield provide potential upside. Earnings call and corporate events highlight strategic growth plans and share buybacks, suggesting future opportunities.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
FY EBITDA (pre-IFRS16) is now expected to be above the midpoint of the £605-£625m guidance range.
Leadership
B&M has announced the appointment of Tjeerd Jegen as its new CEO, who brings extensive international retail experience.
Stock Valuation
The shares are trading at a marked price-to-earnings discount, which might appeal to value investors.
Negative Factors
Leadership Uncertainty
CEO Alex Russo intends to retire at the end of April, creating uncertainty about the company's future leadership.
Operational Challenges
There is an unexplained weakness in like-for-like sales, which raises concerns about the company's performance.
Sales Performance
The anticipated Q4 like-for-like sales acceleration did not materialize, leading to the guidance cut.

B&M European Value Retail SA (BME) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

B&M European Value Retail SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionB&M European Value Retail SA (BME) is a leading variety retailer primarily operating in the United Kingdom and France. The company specializes in providing a wide range of products at competitive prices, including grocery items, household goods, homeware, DIY products, toys, electrical goods, and seasonal items. B&M aims to offer exceptional value for money by sourcing products efficiently and selling them through its extensive network of large-format stores.
How the Company Makes MoneyB&M European Value Retail SA generates revenue primarily through the sale of a diverse range of consumer products in its stores. The company's revenue model is based on high-volume, low-margin sales, leveraging its large buying power to secure favorable terms with suppliers and passing those savings onto customers. B&M's key revenue streams include in-store sales from its core B&M Bargains and Heron Foods brands. The company also benefits from its ability to rapidly adapt its product mix in response to consumer demand and seasonal trends. Additionally, B&M's strategic locations and large store formats contribute to high foot traffic and efficient operations. The business does not heavily rely on online sales, which is a differentiating factor from many other retailers. Its profitability is further supported by cost-effective supply chain management and a focus on operational efficiency.

B&M European Value Retail SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 04, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -21.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed picture with robust revenue growth and resilient profit delivery despite challenges. While the company achieved significant milestones in cash generation and gross profit margin, it faced considerable obstacles in like-for-like sales and FMCG execution. The overall sentiment is balanced, considering the positive financial outcomes against operational challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenues reached GBP 5.6 billion, up 3.7% year-on-year. This growth was primarily driven by new stores across the group.
Resilient Profit Delivery
Operating profit measure of group adjusted EBITDA before IFRS 16 was GBP 620 million, up GBP 4 million from the prior year.
Strong Cash Generation
Cash generation was over GBP 300 million, representing around 10% of the current market capitalization.
Strong Return on Capital
Group adjusted return on capital employed stood at a strong 30.4%.
Dividend Increase
Proposing a final dividend of 9.7p, bringing the full year dividend up to 15p per share, which is an increase of 2% versus 2024.
Gross Profit Margin Resilience
Gross profit margin increased from 37.1% to 37.6% in 2025.
B&M France Revenue Growth
B&M France added GBP 40 million of revenues.
Growth in New Store Openings
Opened 45 gross new stores, translating into 36 net new stores in 2025.
Supply Chain Enhancements
Opened a new import center at Ellesmere Port, enhancing stockholding capacity and network efficiency.
Negative Updates
Like-for-Like Sales Decline
Like-for-like sales decreased by GBP 119 million, a 3.1% decline for the full year.
Challenges in FMCG Execution
Negative like-for-like performance in FMCG categories attributed to in-store execution issues such as space allocation and presentation.
Decline in Heron Foods Performance
Heron Foods experienced a decrease in adjusted EBITDA from GBP 35 million to GBP 30 million, resulting from lower revenues.
Increased Operating Costs
Operating costs increased by 7.2% year-on-year, with B&M U.K. costs up by 8% to GBP 1.1 billion.
Earnings Per Share Decline
Earnings per share decreased to 33.5p from 35.9p last year due to depreciation and higher interest rates.
Negative Impact of External Conditions
Market headwinds from wet spring weather and Easter timing affected performance.
Company Guidance
In the 2025 fiscal year, B&M reported resilient financial performance despite facing challenges, with revenues increasing by 3.7% year-on-year to GBP 5.6 billion. This growth was driven by new store contributions, despite a like-for-like sales decrease of 3.1%. The group's adjusted EBITDA before IFRS 16 was GBP 620 million, up GBP 4 million from the previous year, maintaining a healthy leverage ratio of 1.26x pre-IFRS 16. The final dividend proposed was 9.7p, bringing the full-year dividend to 15p per share, a 2% increase from 2024. Cash generation was robust, with over GBP 300 million generated, contributing to a return of GBP 2.1 billion to shareholders over five years. The group's gross profit margin increased to 37.6%, with contributions from B&M U.K., while operating costs rose by 7.2% year-on-year. Investments in supply chain efficiencies and store expansions were highlighted, with plans for 45 new stores in 2026, underpinning their strategy for sustainable growth and shareholder value creation.

B&M European Value Retail SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
B&M European Value Retail SA demonstrates solid revenue growth and profitability in a competitive retail sector. The company shows strong cash flow generation and profitability, with room for improvement in operational efficiency. However, high debt levels pose a financial leverage risk despite recent equity improvements.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company shows a strong gross profit margin of 37.1% and a net profit margin of 6.7% for the most recent year, indicating effective cost management and profitability. Revenue growth rate of 10.1% from the previous year highlights positive momentum in sales. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, at 11.1% and 15.9% respectively, suggest room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio is high due to significant total debt compared to stockholders' equity, indicating potential financial leverage risks. Return on equity is not calculable due to negative equity in the previous year, but recent positive equity is a positive sign. The equity ratio of 25.6% suggests moderate reliance on equity financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow growth rate shows a slight decline of 9.4%, but the company maintains strong operating cash flow and a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.69, indicating good cash generation and efficiency in converting earnings to cash.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.24B5.48B4.98B4.67B4.80B4.75B
Gross Profit
2.71B2.04B1.80B1.75B1.77B1.61B
EBIT
734.55M608.00M536.00M610.00M613.00M414.84M
EBITDA
842.62M872.00M777.00M838.00M824.00M469.77M
Net Income Common Stockholders
420.69M367.00M348.00M422.00M428.00M112.22M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
247.47M182.00M237.00M173.00M218.00M533.74M
Total Assets
5.20B3.63B3.56B3.64B3.36B4.45B
Total Debt
3.13B2.27B2.25B2.27B2.03B2.58B
Net Debt
2.89B2.08B2.02B2.09B1.81B2.04B
Total Liabilities
4.21B4.36B4.28B2.89B2.63B3.37B
Stockholders Equity
992.54M926.22M-720.00M746.00M733.00M1.08B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
694.14M620.00M684.00M391.00M739.00M531.40M
Operating Cash Flow
894.08M746.00M782.00M491.00M827.00M685.05M
Investing Cash Flow
-165.84M-118.00M-87.00M-85.00M-70.00M37.01M
Financing Cash Flow
-770.77M-680.00M-634.00M-450.00M-969.00M-291.40M

B&M European Value Retail SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price261.40
Price Trends
50DMA
314.12
Negative
100DMA
303.04
Negative
200DMA
333.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-15.60
Positive
RSI
23.73
Positive
STOCH
4.62
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BME, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 261.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 316.50, below the 50-day MA of 314.12, and below the 200-day MA of 333.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -15.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.73 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.62 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:BME.

B&M European Value Retail SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
£25.35B15.9710.18%4.91%
77
Outperform
£6.44B18.936.21%6.87%0.34%153.91%
GBWIL
73
Outperform
£311.67M8.5314.26%3.23%-8.18%90.18%
GBMKS
71
Outperform
£7.53B25.5410.25%1.42%6.87%22.36%
GBBME
70
Outperform
£2.64B8.2642.93%4.04%6.82%-8.24%
63
Neutral
$6.94B11.342.80%4.26%2.68%-24.70%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BME
B&M European Value Retail SA
261.40
-165.57
-38.78%
GB:WIL
Wilmington
346.00
-18.31
-5.03%
GB:MKS
Marks and Spencer
370.80
76.69
26.08%
GB:TSCO
Tesco plc
391.60
100.30
34.43%
GB:SBRY
J Sainsbury plc
283.80
38.41
15.65%

B&M European Value Retail SA Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
B&M European Value Retail Reports Revenue Growth and Expansion Plans for FY25
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. reported a 3.7% increase in group revenues for FY25, reaching £5.6 billion, driven by new store performance and positive sales in France, despite a decline in like-for-like sales in the UK and Heron Foods. The company opened 45 new stores in the UK and continues to expand in France and Heron Foods, with a robust pipeline for future openings. The group’s adjusted EBITDA is expected to exceed the midpoint of its guidance range, and the company is progressing with a redomicile process to enhance shareholder returns.

Spark’s Take on GB:BME Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:BME is a Neutral.

B&M European Value Retail SA shows robust financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow. However, the high debt level and current bearish technical indicators present risks. The stock’s undervaluation and attractive dividend yield provide potential upside. While the earnings call reflects balanced sentiment, strategic growth plans and share buybacks suggest future opportunities.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:BME stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M Retail Sees Major Stake Reduction by GIC
Neutral
Apr 11, 2025

B&M European Value Retail SA has announced a change in its major holdings, with GIC Private Limited reducing its stake to less than 5% of voting rights. This shift in shareholding structure may impact the company’s governance and influence within the retail sector, as it reflects a significant reduction from the previous holding of nearly 6%.

Spark’s Take on GB:BME Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:BME is a Neutral.

B&M European Value Retail SA shows robust financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow. However, the high debt level and current bearish technical indicators present risks. The stock’s undervaluation and attractive dividend yield provide potential upside. While the earnings call reflects balanced sentiment, strategic growth plans and share buybacks suggest future opportunities.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:BME stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Capital Group Adjusts Voting Rights in B&M European Value Retail
Neutral
Apr 8, 2025

The Capital Group Companies, Inc. has adjusted its voting rights in B&M European Value Retail S.A., reducing its stake from 10.038206% to 9.786876%. This change, reported due to a clarification on the total voting rights (TVR) by the issuer, reflects an updated TVR of 1,003,821,871. The adjustment in voting rights indicates a slight shift in the investment strategy of The Capital Group Companies, which could influence stakeholder perceptions and market dynamics.

Spark’s Take on GB:BME Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:BME is a Neutral.

B&M European Value Retail SA shows robust financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow. However, the high debt level and current bearish technical indicators present risks. The stock’s undervaluation and attractive dividend yield provide potential upside. While the earnings call reflects balanced sentiment, strategic growth plans and share buybacks suggest future opportunities.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:BME stock, click here.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M European Value Retail Corrects Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Apr 3, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. has issued a correction regarding its share capital and voting rights as of March 31, 2025. The company confirmed that it has over one billion ordinary shares in issue, with voting rights attached to each share. However, voting rights for a small number of shares are suspended due to dematerialization issues. This announcement ensures transparency and compliance with regulatory requirements, impacting shareholders’ calculations for notifying interest changes.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M European Value Retail Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. has announced its total voting rights as of March 31, 2025, with an issued share capital consisting of over one billion ordinary shares. The voting rights for a small number of shares are currently suspended due to non-dematerialization by their owners, impacting the total number of voting rights available. This update is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M European Value Retail Announces Change in Voting Rights
Neutral
Mar 27, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. has announced a change in its voting rights structure following a recent acquisition or disposal by the Allan & Gill Gray Foundation. The foundation’s voting rights in the company have decreased slightly from 5.0325% to 4.9812%, which may impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes. This adjustment reflects the dynamic nature of shareholder positions and could influence future strategic directions and stakeholder interests.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
B&M European Value Retail to Release FY25 Trading Update
Neutral
Mar 24, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced it will release its post close trading update for the fiscal year ending 29 March 2025 on 15 April 2025. This announcement is significant as it will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and operational strategies, potentially impacting investor perceptions and market positioning.

Other
B&M Retail Executives Increase Shareholdings, Signaling Confidence
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced that Tiffany Hall, the Non-Executive Chair of the Board, and Oliver Tant, the Senior Independent Non-Executive Director, have purchased ordinary shares in the company. These transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, signify confidence in the company’s market position and potential growth, reflecting positively on stakeholder sentiment.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
B&M European Value Retail Announces CEO Retirement and Updates FY25 Guidance
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced that its Group Chief Executive, Alex Russo, will retire effective April 30, 2025, and the company is in the process of selecting a new CEO. Additionally, B&M has updated its FY25 profit guidance, expecting Group adjusted EBITDA to be between £605m and £625m, reflecting current trading conditions and economic uncertainties. This transition in leadership and financial guidance is crucial for the company’s strategic direction, impacting stakeholders and potentially influencing market dynamics.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M European Value Retail: Change in Voting Rights Structure
Neutral
Feb 19, 2025

B&M European Value Retail SA announced a change in its voting rights structure due to security lending activities. GIC Private Limited, based in Singapore, has increased its voting rights in the company to 5.998025%, enhancing its influence and potential decision-making power within the company. This change in holdings could impact the company’s governance and its strategic decisions moving forward.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M Retail’s Voting Rights Update: Capital Group Increases Stake
Neutral
Feb 7, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced an update on its major holdings as The Capital Group Companies, Inc., a U.S.-based investment management firm, increased its voting rights to 10.038206% in the company as of January 31, 2025. This acquisition, which was notified on February 3, 2025, signifies a strategic move by The Capital Group to strengthen its influence within B&M’s operations, potentially impacting the company’s future governance and strategic decisions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.