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B&M European Value Retail SA (GB:BME)
LSE:BME
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B&M European Value Retail SA (BME) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:BME

B&M European Value Retail SA

(LSE:BME)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
189.00p
▲(1.18% Upside)
B&M European Value Retail SA's overall stock score is driven by its strong valuation and positive earnings call, which highlight solid revenue growth and shareholder returns. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and financial performance shows potential risks due to high leverage and declining free cash flow growth.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's ability to grow revenue by 3.7% YoY, driven by new store openings, indicates effective expansion strategies and market penetration, supporting long-term growth prospects.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation and a high return on capital employed indicate efficient operations and financial health, providing resources for reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Store Expansion
Continued store expansion supports revenue growth and market share increase, enhancing the company's competitive position in the discount retail sector.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, potentially limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, impacting long-term stability.
Declining Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow, due to increased capital expenditures and reduced net income, could constrain liquidity and investment capacity, affecting future growth.
Operating Cost Challenges
Rising operating costs, driven by store expansion and wage hikes, could pressure margins and profitability, challenging cost management and efficiency.

B&M European Value Retail SA (BME) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

B&M European Value Retail SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionB&M European Value Retail SA (BME) is a leading discount retailer based in the United Kingdom, specializing in providing a wide range of general merchandise and groceries at competitive prices. The company operates through its chain of B&M stores, which offer everything from food and drink to household goods, health and beauty products, and seasonal items. With a focus on value for money, B&M caters primarily to price-sensitive customers, leveraging its buying power to offer branded and private label products at significant discounts.
How the Company Makes MoneyB&M European Value Retail SA generates revenue primarily through the sale of a diverse range of products in its retail stores. The company's revenue model is built on a high-volume, low-margin approach, allowing it to attract a large customer base seeking affordable options. Key revenue streams include the sale of grocery items, household goods, and seasonal products, with a significant portion coming from private label products that yield higher margins. Additionally, B&M benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers that enable cost-effective procurement and promotional campaigns. The company's expansion strategy, including the opening of new stores and potential acquisitions, further contributes to its earnings by increasing market presence and customer reach.

B&M European Value Retail SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 04, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted solid revenue growth and strong cash returns to shareholders, despite challenges with like-for-like sales declines and rising operating costs. The company remains optimistic about future growth prospects and strategic actions to address current challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenues reached GBP 5.6 billion, representing a 3.7% year-on-year increase, primarily driven by new store openings across the group.
Cash Returns to Shareholders
Over the last 5 years, GBP 2.1 billion was returned to shareholders, with GBP 1 billion returned in the last 3 years, accounting for over 1/3 of current market capitalization.
Strong Cash Flow and Return on Capital
Cash generation was over GBP 300 million, with a group adjusted return on capital employed at 30.4%.
Increased Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit margin increased from 37.1% to 37.6% in 2025, driven by a higher contribution from B&M U.K.
New Store Openings
A total of 36 net new stores were opened in 2025, with plans for 45 gross new stores in 2026.
Negative Updates
Decline in Like-for-Like Sales
Like-for-like sales decreased by GBP 119 million, a 3.1% decline, with continued negative performance in Q4.
Challenges with Operating Costs
Operating costs increased by 7.2% year-on-year, with significant cost headwinds from increased store estate and minimum wage hikes.
Pressure on Earnings Per Share
Earnings per share decreased from 35.9p to 33.5p due to depreciation from a larger asset base and higher interest rates.
Negative Like-for-Like Performance at Heron Foods
Heron Foods experienced negative like-for-like and total revenue performance following two years of exceptional growth.
Challenges in FMCG Execution
Underperformance in FMCG was attributed to in-store execution issues and general merchandise average selling price deflation.
Company Guidance
In the call, B&M's Group CFO, Mike Schmidt, provided a detailed overview of the company's financial performance and guidance for the fiscal year 2025. B&M reported total revenues of GBP 5.6 billion, reflecting a 3.7% increase year-on-year, despite negative like-for-like sales. The company's group adjusted EBITDA before IFRS 16 was GBP 620 million, up GBP 4 million from the previous year, and the leverage ratio remained healthy at 1.26x on a pre-IFRS 16 basis. A final dividend of 9.7p was proposed, bringing the full-year dividend to 15p per share, a 2% increase compared to 2024. Over the past five years, B&M has returned GBP 2.1 billion to shareholders, with GBP 1 billion returned post-COVID, equivalent to over one-third of its current market capitalization. The group's adjusted return on capital employed was a robust 30.4%, and cash generation was strong, with over GBP 300 million generated or around 10% of the current market capitalization. The call also addressed operating costs, with a 7.2% overall increase year-on-year, primarily driven by an expanded store estate and rising wages. B&M plans to continue its store expansion with 45 new gross stores in 2026 and is optimistic about maintaining its strong financial performance, focusing on sustainable growth and efficient cost management.

B&M European Value Retail SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
B&M European Value Retail SA shows steady revenue growth and strong operating efficiency, with healthy margins. However, net income fluctuation and high leverage introduce potential risks. The company's ability to generate cash remains robust, but declining free cash flow growth could pressure future financial flexibility. Overall, the financial position is stable but requires careful debt and expense management to sustain profitability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement reveals steady revenue growth, with recent figures showing a 1.59% increase from the previous year. Gross profit margin is robust, consistently around 37% over the years, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has shown some volatility, decreasing to 5.73% in the latest year from 6.69% the previous year, reflecting pressures on the bottom line. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong at 10.16% and 15.15% respectively, although EBIT margin has slightly decreased.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a high debt-to-equity ratio due to significant liabilities, with a debt-to-equity ratio reaching 3.41 in the latest report. While stockholders' equity has declined, the company maintains a healthy return on equity at 42.39% for the latest period, suggesting good profitability with existing equity. The equity ratio is moderate at 18.77%, reflecting a leveraged position that could pose risks if cash flows decline.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows positive trends with operating cash flow consistently exceeding net income, resulting in an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.12, indicating strong cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable at 1.70. However, free cash flow has decreased by 12.58% year-over-year, reflecting increased capital expenditures and reduced net income, which could impact future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.57B5.57B5.48B4.98B4.67B4.80B
Gross Profit2.09B2.09B2.04B1.80B1.75B1.76B
EBITDA839.00M839.00M866.00M778.00M837.00M821.25M
Net Income319.00M319.00M367.00M348.00M422.00M428.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.01B4.01B3.63B3.56B3.64B3.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments217.00M217.00M182.00M237.00M173.00M218.00M
Total Debt2.57B2.57B2.27B2.25B2.27B2.03B
Total Liabilities3.25B3.25B4.36B4.28B2.89B2.63B
Stockholders Equity752.00M752.00M926.22M-720.00M746.00M733.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow544.00M544.00M623.00M689.00M395.00M740.00M
Operating Cash Flow675.00M675.00M746.00M782.00M491.00M827.00M
Investing Cash Flow-254.00M-254.00M-118.00M-87.00M-85.00M-70.00M
Financing Cash Flow-384.00M-384.00M-680.00M-634.00M-450.00M-969.00M

B&M European Value Retail SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price186.80
Price Trends
50DMA
232.90
Negative
100DMA
239.09
Negative
200DMA
266.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-16.83
Positive
RSI
31.60
Neutral
STOCH
41.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BME, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 186.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 212.87, below the 50-day MA of 232.90, and below the 200-day MA of 266.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -16.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:BME.

B&M European Value Retail SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
£1.52B14.405.01%1.04%2.71%-34.19%
£8.13B27.5610.25%0.89%5.96%-33.04%
£1.88B5.9542.93%16.06%1.59%-13.17%
£2.35B14.97121.78%1.44%3.78%3.29%
£5.37B29.842.86%3.98%-0.13%-43.71%
2.57%-136.83%
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BME
B&M European Value Retail SA
186.80
-164.07
-46.76%
GB:DNLM
Dunelm Group
1,166.00
113.59
10.79%
GB:KGF
Kingfisher
313.10
32.35
11.52%
GB:MKS
Marks and Spencer
406.30
34.04
9.14%
GB:CURY
Currys plc
143.80
62.41
76.68%
GB:ROO
Deliveroo plc Class A
179.80
42.00
30.48%

B&M European Value Retail SA Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
B&M Revises FY26 Outlook and Announces CFO Departure
Negative
Oct 20, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. has revised its financial outlook for FY26 due to an error in recognizing £7m of overseas freight costs, resulting in a lowered Group Adjusted EBITDA forecast to £470m – £520m from the previous £510m – £560m. Additionally, CFO Mike Schmidt plans to step down, with a search for his successor underway, and the company will commission a third-party review of the financial oversight issue.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BME) stock is a Hold with a £260.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&M European Value Retail SA stock, see the GB:BME Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
B&M European Value Retail S.A. Announces Migration to Jersey Incorporation
Neutral
Oct 13, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced its statutory migration to become B&M European Value Retail plc, a public limited company under Jersey law, moving from its current incorporation in Luxembourg. This migration is expected to have minimal impact on existing shareholders, who will continue to hold their shares and receive dividends as before. The company is also preparing for its shares to be listed on the London Stock Exchange, with a new ISIN issued for the B&M Jersey shares. This strategic move is anticipated to streamline operations and potentially enhance market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BME) stock is a Hold with a £260.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&M European Value Retail SA stock, see the GB:BME Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
B&M European Value Retail Unveils Strategic Plan to Boost UK Sales
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. has announced a strategic plan, ‘Back to B&M Basics,’ to address operational weaknesses and improve like-for-like sales growth in the UK. Despite a 4.0% revenue increase in the first half of FY26, driven by store expansions and strong performance in France, the company experienced challenges in operational execution, impacting its financial performance. The plan includes price adjustments, promotional revamps, and improved product availability, aiming to restore sustainable growth and stabilize profit margins over the next 12-18 months.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BME) stock is a Buy with a £274.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&M European Value Retail SA stock, see the GB:BME Stock Forecast page.

Other
B&M CEO Invests in Company Shares, Signaling Confidence
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced that its CEO, Tjeerd Jegen, has purchased 50,400 ordinary shares of the company at a price of £2.497415 per share, totaling £125,869.72. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects a significant investment by the CEO, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance and stability, which could positively influence stakeholder sentiment.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BME) stock is a Buy with a £274.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&M European Value Retail SA stock, see the GB:BME Stock Forecast page.

Other
B&M European Value Retail Director Purchases Shares
Neutral
Sep 18, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced a transaction involving the purchase of ordinary shares by Oliver Tant, the Senior Independent Director of the company, acting as Attorney for his mother. The transaction involved the acquisition of 2,000 shares at a price of 2.415853 GBP per share, totaling £4,831.71, and was executed on the London Stock Exchange. This purchase may reflect confidence in the company’s market position and could have implications for shareholder perceptions and market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BME) stock is a Buy with a £274.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&M European Value Retail SA stock, see the GB:BME Stock Forecast page.

Other
B&M CEO Purchases Significant Shareholding
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced that its CEO, Tjeerd Jegen, has purchased 61,500 ordinary shares of the company at a price of £2.418943 per share, totaling £148,764.99. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, signifies a vote of confidence from the CEO in the company’s future prospects, potentially impacting investor sentiment positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BME) stock is a Buy with a £274.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&M European Value Retail SA stock, see the GB:BME Stock Forecast page.

Other
B&M CEO Invests in Company Shares
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced that its CEO, Tjeerd Jegen, has purchased 79,500 ordinary shares of the company at a price of 2.495579 GBP per share, totaling 198,398.53 GBP. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, indicates a significant personal investment by the CEO, which could signal confidence in the company’s future performance and potentially impact investor sentiment positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BME) stock is a Buy with a £278.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&M European Value Retail SA stock, see the GB:BME Stock Forecast page.

Other
B&M CEO Increases Stake with Share Purchases
Positive
Sep 5, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced that its CEO, Tjeerd Jegen, has purchased ordinary shares of the company on multiple occasions. The transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, indicate a significant investment by the CEO, which could reflect confidence in the company’s future performance and potentially impact investor sentiment positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BME) stock is a Buy with a £246.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&M European Value Retail SA stock, see the GB:BME Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M European Value Retail Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Sep 1, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. has announced its total voting rights as of August 31, 2025. The company has issued share capital comprising over one billion ordinary shares, with a small number of voting rights suspended due to non-dematerialisation. This update is crucial for shareholders to accurately calculate their interests under the Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BME) stock is a Buy with a £246.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&M European Value Retail SA stock, see the GB:BME Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M European Value Retail’s Trading Director Exercises Share Options
Neutral
Aug 20, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced a transaction involving Gareth Bilton, a Trading Director at the company, who exercised nil-cost share options related to a Restricted Share Award from 2022. Additionally, Bilton disposed of a portion of shares to cover tax liabilities, with the transaction occurring on the London Stock Exchange. This activity reflects internal financial management and compliance with tax obligations, potentially impacting shareholder value and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BME) stock is a Buy with a £246.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&M European Value Retail SA stock, see the GB:BME Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
B&M European Value Retail Executives Exercise Share Options
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced transactions involving its managerial staff, Jonathan Parry and James Kew, who exercised nil-cost share options related to the Restricted Share Award 2022. These transactions involved the disposal of shares to cover tax liabilities, with Parry and Kew conducting their transactions on 12 August 2025, both inside and outside trading venues. This activity reflects internal financial management strategies and may influence investor perceptions regarding executive compensation and shareholding structures.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BME) stock is a Buy with a £550.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&M European Value Retail SA stock, see the GB:BME Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
B&M European Value Retail Grants Share Options to Key Executives
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced the grant of nil-cost share options to several key managerial personnel, including Gareth Bilton, Alexander Simpson, Jonathan Parry, James Kew, and Anthony Giron. This move, involving a total of 326,767 ordinary shares, reflects the company’s strategy to incentivize and retain its leadership team, potentially impacting its operational focus and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BME) stock is a Buy with a £550.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&M European Value Retail SA stock, see the GB:BME Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
B&M European Value Retail Grants Share Options to CEO and CFO
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. has announced the grant of nil-cost share options to its CEO, Gerardus Matheus Thomas Jegen, and CFO, Michael Stefan Schmidt, as part of their Long Term Incentive Plan. This move reflects the company’s commitment to aligning the interests of its top executives with long-term shareholder value, potentially impacting its operational strategies and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BME) stock is a Buy with a £550.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&M European Value Retail SA stock, see the GB:BME Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025