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Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC)
NASDAQ:FULC
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Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC) AI Stock Analysis

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FULC

Fulcrum Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:FULC)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(0.00% Upside)
Fulcrum Therapeutics' overall score is driven by its strong corporate events and robust balance sheet, offset by challenges in profitability and valuation. The company's strategic advancements in sickle cell treatment are promising, but financial sustainability remains a concern.
Positive Factors
Strategic Focus on Rare Diseases
Fulcrum's strategic focus on genetically defined rare diseases, such as sickle cell disease, positions it as a key player in addressing unmet medical needs, potentially leading to significant market opportunities and long-term growth.
Robust Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with minimal debt provides Fulcrum with financial stability and flexibility to invest in R&D and strategic initiatives, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Promising Clinical Trial Results
Positive clinical trial results for pociredir in treating sickle cell disease enhance Fulcrum's competitive edge in the biopharmaceutical industry, potentially leading to successful product commercialization and revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Operational Profitability Challenges
Persistent operational losses and negative EBIT margin highlight challenges in achieving profitability, which could impact Fulcrum's ability to sustain long-term operations without additional funding.
Cash Flow Sustainability Concerns
Despite recent improvements, the unsustainable cash flow to net income ratio suggests potential difficulties in maintaining positive cash flow, which could limit Fulcrum's ability to fund future growth initiatives.
Revenue Growth Decline
A significant decline in revenue growth indicates challenges in expanding market presence and generating sales, potentially affecting Fulcrum's long-term financial performance and market competitiveness.

Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fulcrum Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFulcrum Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing innovative therapies to treat genetic diseases. Operating within the biotechnology sector, the company specializes in small molecule therapeutics aimed at modulating gene expression and addressing the underlying causes of various neuromuscular and other rare diseases. Its lead product candidates include treatments for conditions like Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD) and other related disorders, leveraging advanced scientific research and development to improve patient outcomes.
How the Company Makes MoneyFulcrum Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its therapeutic products. The company may earn money through various channels, including partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies that provide funding for research and development in exchange for a share in future profits. Additionally, Fulcrum can benefit from milestones and royalties associated with the successful advancement of its drug candidates through clinical trials and regulatory approvals. Other potential revenue sources include licensing agreements for its proprietary technologies and intellectual property, as well as government grants and research funding aimed at supporting innovative therapeutic research.

Fulcrum Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong progress in clinical trials and effective cost management, while also acknowledging the challenges of cash burn and reliance on trial outcomes.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Enrollment in PIONEER Phase 1b Trial
Fulcrum completed enrollment in the 12 mg cohort (Cohort 3) of the PIONEER trial for sickle cell disease with 16 patients enrolled. Data from this cohort will be shared in early Q3 2025.
Initiation of 20 mg Cohort in PIONEER Trial
Following a favorable review by the Data Monitoring Committee, the 20 mg cohort (Cohort 4) in the PIONEER trial has begun screening patients, with data expected by the end of 2025.
Financial Position and Cost Management
Net loss reduced to $17.7 million in Q1 2025 from $26.9 million in Q1 2024. R&D expenses decreased by $6.4 million year-over-year, and G&A expenses decreased by $3.1 million. Cash reserves are sufficient to fund operations into at least 2027.
European Hematology Association Meeting Participation
Two abstracts on pociredir have been accepted for presentation at the upcoming European Hematology Association meeting in June 2025.
Negative Updates
Decreased Cash Position
Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities decreased by $14.4 million from December 31, 2024, to March 31, 2025, due to spending on operating activities.
Dependence on PIONEER Trial Outcomes
Future developments and success are significantly tied to the outcomes of the PIONEER trial, highlighting the risk associated with clinical trial dependencies.
Company Guidance
During Fulcrum Therapeutics' First Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Business Update Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance for the ongoing and future programs were discussed. The company highlighted the progress of their lead program, pociredir, which is currently in a Phase 1b trial for sickle cell disease. They successfully completed enrollment in the 12 mg cohort with 16 patients and plan to share results in early Q3, focusing on baseline patient characteristics, adverse events, and hematological parameters. The trial has shown greater than 90% adherence to the once-a-day regimen. The Data Monitoring Committee has recommended proceeding with the 20 mg cohort, expected to report data by the end of 2025. Financially, the company reported a significant reduction in research and development expenses to $13.4 million and a decreased net loss of $17.7 million for Q1 2025. Fulcrum ended the quarter with $226.6 million in cash and equivalents, projecting sufficient funding into 2027.

Fulcrum Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fulcrum Therapeutics has a strong gross profit margin and a robust balance sheet with low leverage. However, the company faces challenges with operational profitability and cash flow sustainability due to consistent net losses.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Fulcrum Therapeutics shows a stable revenue over the TTM period with $80M, but the company is struggling with negative net income at -$510,000 and a significant negative EBIT margin of -15.58%. The company's gross profit margin is strong at 78.42%, indicating good cost control over production, but the high operating losses need addressing to improve profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Fulcrum Therapeutics is robust, with a high equity ratio of 94.15% and low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04, indicating minimal reliance on debt. The company's stockholders' equity stands strong at $228.49M, providing a solid financial foundation. However, the company needs to focus on converting this equity strength into operational profitability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Fulcrum Therapeutics shows improvement in cash flow with a positive operating cash flow of $7.81M in the TTM period, turning around from previous negative cash flows. The free cash flow is also positive at $7.56M, indicating better cash management. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is not sustainable at 15.31 due to negative net income, which suggests future cash flow stability is uncertain.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.0080.00M2.81M6.34M19.16M8.82M
Gross Profit0.0078.41M2.81M3.93M16.65M6.44M
EBITDA-81.62M-18.24M-108.49M-109.72M-78.54M-69.23M
Net Income-73.22M-9.72M-97.33M-105.62M-78.33M-68.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets228.84M260.72M257.69M226.69M235.00M129.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments214.11M241.02M236.22M202.92M218.16M112.91M
Total Debt7.57M8.63M10.82M13.42M0.0017.00K
Total Liabilities14.46M17.68M22.50M27.74M23.46M34.40M
Stockholders Equity214.38M243.03M235.19M198.94M211.54M95.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-65.22M-2.50M-91.47M-99.01M-80.19M-55.00M
Operating Cash Flow-64.91M-2.22M-90.97M-97.05M-78.48M-53.66M
Investing Cash Flow19.77M32.23M-36.69M12.41M-129.67M-57.14M
Financing Cash Flow1.02M2.75M118.12M84.32M186.51M71.13M

Fulcrum Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.00
Price Trends
50DMA
7.09
Negative
100DMA
6.60
Positive
200DMA
5.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
52.07
Neutral
STOCH
42.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FULC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.78, below the 50-day MA of 7.09, and above the 200-day MA of 5.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FULC.

Fulcrum Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Fulcrum Therapeutics disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fulcrum Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fulcrum Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$226.67M4.5663.24%8.63%429.84%
56
Neutral
$378.10M-30.00%-100.00%-266.37%
51
Neutral
$8.02B-0.31-43.38%2.24%22.31%-2.14%
47
Neutral
$761.02M-76.09%-42.84%-17.32%
47
Neutral
$339.41M-26.77%-24.60%
46
Neutral
$125.19M-97.49%-100.00%62.82%
42
Neutral
$376.30M-73.41%-31.78%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FULC
Fulcrum Therapeutics
7.00
3.82
120.13%
PBYI
Puma Biotechnology
4.47
1.95
77.38%
DMAC
Diamedica Therapeutics
7.09
2.60
57.91%
TNGX
Tango Therapeutics
6.53
-3.08
-32.05%
IKT
Inhibikase Therapeutics
1.56
0.40
34.48%
DSGN
Design Therapeutics
6.03
0.48
8.65%

Fulcrum Therapeutics Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fulcrum Therapeutics Highlights Progress in Sickle Cell Treatment
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Fulcrum Therapeutics released an updated corporate presentation highlighting their progress and strategic focus on developing treatments for genetically defined rare diseases. The presentation emphasized the potential of pociredir in treating sickle cell disease, showcasing promising results from their Phase 1b PIONEER study, which demonstrated significant increases in fetal hemoglobin and improvements in key markers of hemolysis. These developments position Fulcrum as a key player in addressing the unmet needs in the SCD treatment landscape, despite recent challenges faced by other therapies in the market.

Product-Related AnnouncementsFinancial Disclosures
Fulcrum Therapeutics Announces Promising Phase 1b Trial Results
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Fulcrum Therapeutics announced promising results from the 12 mg dose cohort of its Phase 1b clinical trial of pociredir for sickle cell disease. The trial showed significant increases in fetal hemoglobin and improvements in key markers of hemolysis and anemia, with pociredir being well-tolerated and no serious adverse events reported. These findings suggest potential benefits in reducing vaso-occlusive crises and improving patient outcomes, positioning Fulcrum favorably in the biopharmaceutical industry. The company also reported a cash runway into 2028, despite a net loss in the second quarter of 2025.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Fulcrum Therapeutics Elects New Directors at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

At the 2025 annual meeting held on June 26, Fulcrum Therapeutics‘ stockholders elected Katina Dorton, Robert Gould, and Kate Haviland as class III directors for a three-year term. Additionally, stockholders approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers and decided on an annual frequency for future advisory votes on this matter. Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions underscore Fulcrum’s commitment to maintaining strong governance and financial oversight, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025