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Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC)
NASDAQ:FULC
US Market

Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC) AI Stock Analysis

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FULC

Fulcrum Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:FULC)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(3.55% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (TTM revenue at $0, recurring losses, and significant cash burn) and only modest near-term technical momentum. These are partly offset by positive clinical progress and management’s stated multi-year cash runway, with corporate events supportive on funding but tempered by dilution from the equity offering.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Position
A robust cash position supports operational stability and strategic initiatives, providing a financial runway through 2028, which is crucial for ongoing R&D and potential market expansion.
Positive Clinical Trial Results
Promising trial results for pociredir enhance Fulcrum's competitive position in treating sickle cell disease, potentially leading to successful commercialization and revenue growth.
Successful Public Offering
The successful capital raise strengthens Fulcrum's financial resources, enabling further investment in R&D and potential acquisitions, which can drive long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Negative Net Income
Ongoing net losses highlight challenges in achieving profitability, which could impact long-term financial sustainability and necessitate continued external funding.
High Operating Losses
Persistent operating losses indicate inefficiencies that may hinder profitability, requiring strategic adjustments to improve cost management and operational performance.
Decrease in Cash Reserves
A decline in cash reserves, despite a strong cash position, underscores the need for careful cash management to ensure sufficient liquidity for future operations and investments.

Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fulcrum Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFulcrum Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing products for improving the lives of patients with genetically defined diseases in the areas of high unmet medical need in the United States. Its product candidates are losmapimod, a small molecule for the treatment of facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy; and FTX-6058, an investigational oral fetal hemoglobin inducer for the treatment of sickle cell disease and other hemoglobinopathies, including beta-thalassemia. The company is also discovering drug targets for the treatments of rare neuromuscular, muscular, central nervous system, and hematologic disorders, as well as cardiomyopathies and pulmonary diseases. Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc. has research and discovery collaboration agreement with Acceleron Pharma Inc. to identify biological targets to modulate specific pathways associated with a targeted indication within the pulmonary disease space; and has a strategic collaboration and license agreement with MyoKardia, Inc. to discover, develop, and commercialize novel targeted therapies for the treatment of genetic cardiomyopathies. Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc. was Incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyFulcrum Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its therapeutic candidates. The company may earn money through several key revenue streams, including partnerships and collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies, milestone payments upon reaching specific development and regulatory achievements, and royalties from future sales of any marketed products. Additionally, Fulcrum may receive funding through grants or research grants that support its development programs, further contributing to its financial sustainability.

Fulcrum Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in the clinical development of pociredir for sickle cell disease, with promising trial results and a strong financial position. Despite a decrease in cash reserves and continued net losses, the company's achievements and future plans position it well for further advancements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Encouraging Phase Ib PIONEER Trial Results
Pociredir demonstrated a dose-dependent and clinically meaningful increase in fetal hemoglobin, improvement in key biomarkers of hemolysis, and reduction in vaso-occlusive crises for sickle cell disease patients. Additionally, it was well tolerated with all treatment AEs being grade 1.
Completion of Enrollment in 20mg Cohort
The company completed enrollment in the 20mg dose cohort with 12 evaluable patients. Over-enrollment in both 12mg and 20mg cohorts signals strong enthusiasm from participating physicians.
Strong Financial Position
Fulcrum ended the third quarter of 2025 with $200.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, providing sufficient runway to fund operations into 2028.
Potential IND Submission
Fulcrum plans to submit an IND for bone marrow failure syndromes by the end of 2025, expanding their therapeutic focus beyond sickle cell disease.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Cash Reserves
Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities decreased by $40.4 million from December 2024 to September 2025, primarily due to funding operating activities.
Net Loss for the Quarter
The net loss was $19.6 million for the third quarter of 2025, although this was an improvement compared to a net loss of $21.7 million in the third quarter of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Fulcrum Therapeutics Q3 2025 conference call, significant progress was highlighted for their lead program, pociredir, aimed at treating sickle cell disease. The Phase Ib PIONEER trial's 12-mg dose cohort showed a dose-dependent increase in fetal hemoglobin, improved hemolysis biomarkers, increased total hemoglobin, and reduced vaso-occlusive crises, with all treatment-related adverse events being grade 1. Fulcrum completed enrollment in the 20-mg cohort (12 patients), with 60% from the U.S. and the rest from Nigeria. The company anticipates presenting this data at the ASH conference in December. Financials revealed R&D expenses of $14.3 million and a net loss of $19.6 million for Q3 2025. Fulcrum projects its $200.6 million cash reserves to support operations through 2028. Also, plans for an IND submission for bone marrow failure syndromes in Q4 2025 were discussed, alongside recent preclinical data for FTX-6274 in prostate cancer.

Fulcrum Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fulcrum Therapeutics shows strong revenue stability and gross profit margin, supported by a robust balance sheet with low leverage and high equity. However, challenges remain in achieving operational profitability and cash flow sustainability due to consistent net losses.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Fulcrum Therapeutics shows a stable revenue over the TTM period with $80M, but the company is struggling with negative net income at -$510,000 and a significant negative EBIT margin of -15.58%. The company's gross profit margin is strong at 78.42%, indicating good cost control over production, but the high operating losses need addressing to improve profitability.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet of Fulcrum Therapeutics is robust, with a high equity ratio of 94.15% and low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04, indicating minimal reliance on debt. The company's stockholders' equity stands strong at $228.49M, providing a solid financial foundation. However, the company needs to focus on converting this equity strength into operational profitability.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Fulcrum Therapeutics shows improvement in cash flow with a positive operating cash flow of $7.81M in the TTM period, turning around from previous negative cash flows. The free cash flow is also positive at $7.56M, indicating better cash management. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is not sustainable at 15.31 due to negative net income, which suggests future cash flow stability is uncertain.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.0080.00M2.81M6.34M19.16M8.82M
Gross Profit-669.00K78.41M2.81M-70.44M-50.54M-50.22M
EBITDA-72.45M-18.24M-108.49M-109.72M-78.54M-69.23M
Net Income-71.11M-9.72M-97.33M-109.87M-80.85M-70.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets214.86M260.72M257.69M226.69M235.00M129.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments200.65M241.02M236.22M202.92M218.16M112.91M
Total Debt7.01M8.63M10.82M13.42M0.0017.00K
Total Liabilities16.49M17.68M22.50M27.74M23.46M34.40M
Stockholders Equity198.37M243.03M235.19M198.94M211.54M95.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-60.41M-2.50M-91.47M-99.01M-80.19M-55.00M
Operating Cash Flow-60.03M-2.22M-90.97M-97.05M-78.48M-53.66M
Investing Cash Flow34.03M32.23M-36.69M12.41M-129.67M-57.14M
Financing Cash Flow448.00K2.75M118.12M84.32M186.51M71.13M

Fulcrum Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price10.14
Price Trends
50DMA
10.67
Negative
100DMA
9.48
Positive
200DMA
7.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Positive
RSI
43.88
Neutral
STOCH
61.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FULC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 10.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.98, below the 50-day MA of 10.67, and above the 200-day MA of 7.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FULC.

Fulcrum Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Fulcrum Therapeutics disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fulcrum Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fulcrum Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.81B77.649.28%1112.27%
53
Neutral
$668.94M-8.60-31.21%-100.00%-305.92%
53
Neutral
$467.78M-20.36-26.54%-73.48%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$1.05B-144.07%
48
Neutral
$448.44M-2.506.35%39.57%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FULC
Fulcrum Therapeutics
10.14
6.14
153.50%
MNPR
Monopar Therapeutics Inc
70.00
38.32
120.96%
ADCT
ADC Therapeutics
3.62
1.86
105.68%
GLUE
Monte Rosa Therapeutics
23.71
18.02
316.70%
INBX
Inhibrx Biosciences Inc
72.27
58.08
409.30%

Fulcrum Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Fulcrum Therapeutics updates strategy on lead sickle cell therapy
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Fulcrum Therapeutics updated its corporate presentation ahead of investor meetings and a scheduled appearance at the 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference, detailing new business and strategic updates centered on its lead candidate pociredir for sickle cell disease and the financial resources backing its pipeline. The company highlighted initial data from the 20 mg cohort of its Phase 1b PIONEER trial as of November 11, 2025, showing robust, rapid, and pan-cellular increases in fetal hemoglobin with early signs of improvements in anemia, hemolysis and reductions in vaso-occlusive crises, while maintaining generally favorable tolerability at once-daily dosing; these results, combined with the continued high unmet need in sickle cell disease despite recent approvals and withdrawals in the space, position pociredir as a potential best-in-class, convenient oral therapy that could fill a significant treatment gap as Fulcrum targets an End-of-Phase meeting with regulators in the first half of 2026 and prepares its next study for initiation in the second half of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (FULC) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fulcrum Therapeutics stock, see the FULC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Fulcrum Therapeutics Announces $175 Million Public Offering
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Fulcrum Therapeutics announced the pricing of its underwritten public offering, which includes 11,851,853 shares of common stock and pre-funded warrants to purchase up to 1,111,193 shares, raising gross proceeds of $175 million. The offering is expected to close on December 11, 2025, and the net proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, including working capital, research and development, and potential acquisitions, positioning Fulcrum to enhance its operations and market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (FULC) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fulcrum Therapeutics stock, see the FULC Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related Announcements
Fulcrum Therapeutics Reports Positive Phase 1b Trial Results
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 6, 2025, Fulcrum Therapeutics announced positive initial results from the 20 mg dose cohort of the Phase 1b PIONEER trial of pociredir for sickle cell disease at the 67th American Society of Hematology Annual Meeting. The trial showed a significant increase in fetal hemoglobin levels, with 58% of patients achieving levels associated with reduced vaso-occlusive crises. Pociredir was well-tolerated with no serious adverse events, reinforcing its potential as a best-in-class treatment for sickle cell disease.

The most recent analyst rating on (FULC) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fulcrum Therapeutics stock, see the FULC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026