ADC Therapeutics Ltd (ADCT)
:ADCT
US Market
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ADC Therapeutics (ADCT) AI Stock Analysis

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ADCT

ADC Therapeutics

(NYSE:ADCT)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(0.76% Upside)
ADC Therapeutics' stock score is primarily impacted by its financial instability and negative valuation metrics. While there are promising clinical developments and a strong cash position, the persistent financial losses and mixed technical indicators weigh heavily on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Position
The $60 million private placement enhances ADC Therapeutics' financial stability, providing a cash runway until 2028, which supports long-term strategic initiatives and reduces financial risk.
Promising Clinical Trial Results
The high response rates in clinical trials for ZENLATA indicate strong potential for future product success, enhancing ADC Therapeutics' competitive position in oncology treatments.
Revenue Growth Potential
The anticipated expansion into second-line DLBCL treatment with LOTUS V could significantly boost ADC Therapeutics' revenue, supporting long-term growth and market expansion.
Negative Factors
Financial Instability
Despite high gross margins, ongoing financial losses and negative equity indicate operational inefficiencies and financial instability, challenging ADC Therapeutics' long-term sustainability.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow trends highlight cash generation challenges, potentially limiting ADC Therapeutics' ability to invest in growth and innovation, impacting long-term financial health.
Decline in Net Product Revenues
The decline in net product revenues suggests potential market challenges or increased competition, which could hinder ADC Therapeutics' ability to sustain revenue growth.

ADC Therapeutics (ADCT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ADC Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionADC Therapeutics (ADCT) is a biotechnology company focused on the development of antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) for the treatment of hematological malignancies and solid tumors. The company leverages its proprietary technology platform to create targeted therapies that combine the specificity of monoclonal antibodies with the potency of cytotoxic drugs, aiming to improve efficacy and reduce side effects compared to traditional cancer treatments. ADCT's pipeline includes several clinical-stage candidates, with a focus on innovative therapies designed to address unmet medical needs in oncology.
How the Company Makes MoneyADC Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its approved products, which include ADCs that are sold to healthcare providers and institutions. The company also earns income from strategic partnerships and collaborations with pharmaceutical companies, which may include upfront payments, milestone payments based on the achievement of specific development goals, and royalties on product sales. Additionally, the company may receive funding from government grants and other sources to support its research and development activities. As ADCT continues to advance its pipeline and achieve regulatory approvals, it aims to increase its sales and revenue through the launch of new therapies.

ADC Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted stable revenues, promising clinical trial results, and a strong financial position, offset by a decline in year-over-year revenues and ongoing net loss.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Net Product Revenues
Net product revenues were $15.8 million in Q3 2025, showing stability in customer ordering patterns, aligned with the quarterly run rate over the past two years.
Promising Clinical Trial Results
In the LOTUS VII trial, ZENLATA plus glafitamab showed a 93.3% overall response rate and an 86.7% complete response rate among 30 efficacy evaluable patients.
Strong Financial Position
Secured a $60 million private placement, extending the cash runway to at least 2028, with cash and cash equivalents reaching approximately $292.3 million.
Encouraging Follicular Lymphoma Data
Phase II IIT of ZENLATA in combination with rituximab showed a 98.2% overall response rate and an 83.6% complete response rate in relapsed/refractory follicular lymphoma.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Product Revenues
Net product revenues decreased from $18 million in Q3 2024 to $15.8 million in Q3 2025.
Ongoing Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $41 million for Q3 2025, although this was a slight improvement from the $44 million loss in Q3 2024.
Company Guidance
During the ADC Therapeutics Q3 2025 earnings call, significant guidance was provided with multiple metrics highlighted. Net product revenues for the third quarter were reported at $15.8 million, showcasing stability in revenue generation over the past two years. The company aims to share additional data on key ZENLATA trials in the coming months, specifically LOTUS VII and LOTUS V, which target second-line plus DLBCL. Top-line results for LOTUS V are expected in 2026, potentially increasing peak annual revenues to $200-$300 million by expanding into the second-line setting. The company also completed a $60 million private placement, extending their cash runway to at least 2028. Noteworthy clinical data updates included ZENLATA's performance in relapsed/refractory follicular lymphoma, with a 98.2% overall response rate and an 83.6% complete response rate. Financially, the quarter ended with cash and cash equivalents of $234.7 million, bolstered to approximately $292.3 million post-financing, and a reported net loss of $41 million. The strategic focus on expanding ZENLATA's therapeutic reach is projected to potentially achieve peak annual revenues of $600 million to $1 billion in the U.S.

ADC Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ADC Therapeutics faces significant financial challenges, with strong gross margins overshadowed by persistent losses and negative equity. The company struggles with profitability and cash flow, reflecting operational inefficiencies and financial instability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
ADC Therapeutics shows a high gross profit margin of 93.37% TTM, indicating efficient cost management relative to revenue. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -220.00% TTM and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. Revenue growth is minimal at 1.89% TTM, reflecting challenges in expanding sales.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial instability, with a negative stockholders' equity and a concerning debt-to-equity ratio of -0.59 TTM. The return on equity is negative, indicating losses relative to shareholder investments. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting a precarious financial position.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, with a slight deterioration in free cash flow growth at -5.55% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive, suggesting some alignment between cash flow and reported earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue75.21M70.84M69.56M209.91M33.92M0.00
Gross Profit69.74M64.89M67.03M206.61M32.52M-141.82M
EBITDA-113.53M-102.65M-145.83M-107.70M-230.53M-218.23M
Net Income-166.94M-157.85M-240.05M-157.13M-230.03M-246.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets289.76M321.98M354.78M490.86M617.97M513.69M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments234.74M250.87M278.60M326.44M466.54M439.19M
Total Debt117.27M123.00M124.38M129.85M139.70M115.08M
Total Liabilities527.94M524.62M503.03M411.41M451.88M178.19M
Stockholders Equity-238.18M-202.64M-148.25M79.45M166.09M335.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-132.26M-124.70M-121.90M-139.00M-239.75M-171.54M
Operating Cash Flow-131.90M-123.83M-118.69M-138.31M-233.38M-168.73M
Investing Cash Flow-354.00K-867.00K-3.22M-687.00K-6.67M-2.83M
Financing Cash Flow92.74M97.05M73.88M-897.00K267.39M494.97M

ADC Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.97
Price Trends
50DMA
3.98
Positive
100DMA
3.52
Positive
200DMA
2.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
47.03
Neutral
STOCH
47.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADCT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.16, below the 50-day MA of 3.98, and above the 200-day MA of 2.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ADCT.

ADC Therapeutics Risk Analysis

ADC Therapeutics disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ADC Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ADC Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$307.49M-3.89
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$491.79M6.35%39.57%
47
Neutral
$259.50M-37.98%14.33%
46
Neutral
$576.74M-59.22%17.23%
42
Neutral
$208.98M-115.1512.60%58.23%
39
Underperform
$293.64M-0.30-50.23%18.97%89.16%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADCT
ADC Therapeutics
4.00
1.94
94.17%
HRTX
Heron Therapeutics
1.12
-0.07
-5.88%
SLN
Silence Therapeutics
6.75
-0.22
-3.16%
AVIR
Atea Pharmaceuticals
3.05
-0.09
-2.87%
OLMA
Olema Pharmaceuticals
20.14
11.42
130.96%
JBIO
Jade Biosciences
12.65
2.89
29.61%

ADC Therapeutics Corporate Events

ADC Therapeutics’ LOTIS-7 Study: A Promising Update for Investors
Oct 27, 2025

ADC Therapeutics Ltd is conducting a Phase 1b clinical study titled ‘A Study to Evaluate the Safety and Anti-cancer Activity of Loncastuximab Tesirine in Combination With Other Anti-cancer Agents in Participants With Relapsed or Refractory B-cell Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma (LOTIS-7)’. The primary goal is to assess the safety and tolerability of loncastuximab tesirine when combined with other anti-cancer drugs, and to determine the maximum tolerated dose or recommended dose for expansion.

ADC Therapeutics’ LOTIS-10 Study: A Step Forward in Lymphoma Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

ADC Therapeutics Ltd is conducting a Phase 1b study titled ‘A Phase 1b Open-Label Study to Evaluate the Pharmacokinetics and Safety of Loncastuximab Tesirine in Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma or High-grade B-cell Lymphoma With Hepatic Impairment (LOTIS-10)’. The study aims to determine the optimal dosing regimen for loncastuximab tesirine in patients with specific types of lymphoma who also have liver impairment, which is crucial for tailoring treatments to this subgroup.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ADC Therapeutics Announces $60M Private Placement
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 12, 2025, ADC Therapeutics announced a $60 million private placement with institutional investors, expected to close on October 27, 2025. The proceeds will support the commercial expansion of ZYNLONTA and strengthen the company’s balance sheet, positioning it for long-term growth and a potential relaunch of ZYNLONTA in 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADCT) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ADC Therapeutics stock, see the ADCT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
ADC Therapeutics Updates Strategic Focus on ZYNLONTA
Positive
Sep 30, 2025

On September 30, 2025, ADC Therapeutics released an updated corporate presentation detailing their strategic focus on expanding ZYNLONTA’s indications and advancing their PSMA-targeting ADC. The company aims to enhance its market position by leveraging its specialized capabilities in ADCs, supported by a multidisciplinary team and a cash runway extending into 2028. This strategic direction is expected to impact its operations and stakeholder interests positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADCT) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ADC Therapeutics stock, see the ADCT Stock Forecast page.

ADC Therapeutics Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for ADC Therapeutics Ltd painted a picture of optimism tempered by challenges. The company showcased strong clinical trial results and a robust financial position, signaling significant potential for future growth. However, this positive outlook was balanced by the realities of restructuring costs and increased net losses.

ADC Therapeutics Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 13, 2025

ADC Therapeutics Ltd, a commercial-stage global leader in the field of antibody drug conjugates, focuses on transforming cancer treatment with its innovative therapies. The company is headquartered in Lausanne, Switzerland, and is known for its flagship product, ZYNLONTA, which targets diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 10, 2025