FTAI Aviation (FTAI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $16.92B
• Dividend Yield: 0.79%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.32M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 37.7
• Beta (1Y): 1.03
• Revenue Growth: 50.37%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 580
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Rental & Leasing Services
• EPS (TTM): 1.10
• Shares Outstanding: 102,572,920
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,244,544
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,315,399
• PEG Ratio: -14.64
• Price to Book (P/B): 179.75
• Price to Sales (P/S): 8.36
• P/FCF Ratio: -10.88
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.20
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 8.62
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 27.45
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 19.09
• 1Y Price Target: $223.71
• Price Target Upside: 42.05% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 7
• EPS Forecast (FY): 4.9
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $2.55B

• Rating: 58 Neutral
• Price Target: $162.00 ▲(2.86% Upside)

FTAI's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call insights, highlighting growth and strategic successes. However, financial instability due to high leverage and negative cash flows, along with bearish technical indicators and high valuation, weigh down the score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates robust demand for FTAI's services, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term business expansion.

Strategic Capital Initiative

The successful SCI upsizing strengthens FTAI's financial foundation, enabling significant capital deployment and expansion opportunities.

Aerospace Products Segment Growth

Strong growth in the Aerospace Products segment highlights FTAI's competitive edge and ability to capitalize on market demand for aviation components.

Negative Factors

High Debt Levels

High leverage poses financial risks, potentially limiting FTAI's flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic downturns.

Negative Cash Flows

Negative cash flows indicate reliance on non-operational sources for liquidity, which can challenge FTAI's ability to sustain operations and growth.

Leasing Segment Decline

Decline in leasing segment EBITDA suggests challenges in maintaining asset utilization and profitability, potentially impacting future earnings.

FTAI Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

FTAI Aviation Ltd. owns and acquires aviation and offshore energy equipment for the transportation of goods and people worldwide. It operates through two segments, Aviation Leasing and Aerospace Products. The Aviation Leasing segment owns and manages aviation assets, including aircraft and aircraft engines, which it leases and sells to customers. As of December 31, 2023, this segment owned and managed 363 aviation assets consisting of 96 commercial aircraft and 267 engines, including eight aircraft and seventeen engines that were located in Russia. The Aerospace Products segment develops, manufactures, repairs, and sells aircraft engines and aftermarket components for aircraft engines. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

How the Company Makes Money

FTAI generates revenue primarily through its aircraft leasing operations, where it leases commercial aircraft to airlines and other operators, earning income from lease payments. Additionally, the company capitalizes on its maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services, which provide essential support and maintenance for a variety of aircraft, thus contributing to its revenue streams. Key partnerships with airlines and operators enhance FTAI's market position and provide a steady flow of contracts and agreements. Furthermore, the sale of aircraft parts and components plays a significant role in the company's financial performance, as it caters to the ongoing needs of the aviation sector. Overall, FTAI's diversified revenue model, combined with strategic partnerships and strong market demand, contributes to its earnings.

FTAI Aviation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

FTAI Aviation shows strong revenue growth and profitability with healthy margins. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio and negative cash flows indicate financial instability and reliance on non-operational cash sources.

Income Statement

FTAI Aviation shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 9.17%. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 40.93% and a net profit margin of 20.13% in the TTM. However, the net profit margin has fluctuated significantly over the years, indicating potential volatility in profitability.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, peaking at 115.25 in 2022, which poses a financial risk. Although the return on equity improved to 3.58% in the TTM, the overall equity ratio remains low, suggesting limited financial stability.

Cash Flow

FTAI's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 2.79, indicating reliance on non-operational sources for cash. Despite some growth in free cash flow, the overall cash flow health is weak.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.35B	1.75B	1.19B	722.32M	335.58M	370.24M
Gross Profit	738.86M	577.88M	395.31M	222.72M	126.80M	84.58M
EBITDA	1.06B	469.55M	530.66M	230.71M	263.02M	163.43M
Net Income	487.95M	8.68M	243.82M	-193.21M	-104.23M	-88.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.24B	4.04B	2.97B	2.45B	4.88B	3.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	509.94M	115.12M	90.91M	53.06M	138.21M	161.42M
Total Debt	3.45B	3.44B	2.52B	2.18B	2.50B	1.97B
Total Liabilities	3.99B	3.96B	2.80B	2.43B	3.76B	2.29B
Stockholders Equity	252.46M	81.37M	175.35M	18.88M	1.12B	1.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-1.22B	-1.34B	-647.91M	-834.31M	-789.67M	-531.67M
Operating Cash Flow	-173.47M	-187.96M	128.98M	-20.66M	-22.04M	63.11M
Investing Cash Flow	695.90M	-469.50M	-373.35M	-411.25M	-1.29B	-509.12M
Financing Cash Flow	-124.38M	681.81M	282.21M	44.91M	1.59B	364.92M

FTAI Aviation Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 157.49
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FTAI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 157.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 164.30, below the 50-day MA of 169.03, and above the 200-day MA of 132.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FTAI.

FTAI Aviation Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
AER	77 Outperform	$23.25B	6.10	21.71%	0.82%	2.90%	67.73%
AL	73 Outperform	$7.13B	7.40	12.74%	1.38%	9.67%	96.43%
GATX	68 Neutral	$5.61B	18.35	11.93%	1.54%	10.66%	13.61%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
WLFC	62 Neutral	$816.06M	7.17	18.91%	0.96%	27.90%	19.25%
R	61 Neutral	$6.79B	14.27	16.26%	2.04%	1.68%	9.91%
FTAI	58 Neutral	$16.92B	37.73	263.05%	0.79%	50.37%	―

FTAI Aviation Corporate Events

FTAI Aviation Ltd. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results

FTAI Aviation Ltd. is a prominent provider of aftermarket power solutions for CFM56 and V2500 engines, primarily serving the commercial aviation sector with a focus on Maintenance, Repair, and Exchange (MRE) products.

FTAI Aviation Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Strategic Success

FTAI Aviation’s recent earnings call reflected a positive sentiment, underscored by robust growth in its Aerospace Products segment and successful strategic initiatives like the SCI upsizing and ATOPS acquisition. Despite a downturn in the Leasing segment’s EBITDA, the company’s financial outlook remains optimistic, buoyed by increased dividends, free cash flow growth, and promising projections for 2026.

FTAI Aviation Completes Sale of 39 Aircraft

FTAI Aviation Ltd. announced the completion of the sale of 39 aircraft as part of its 2025 Aircraft Sale initiative, which was disclosed on December 30, 2024. This strategic move, involving a partnership with institutional investors, aims to enhance the company’s capital structure and market positioning by focusing on on-lease 737NG and A320ceo aircraft. The company serves as the Servicer of the 2025 Partnership, managing various operational aspects and maintaining a 20% limited partnership interest.

The most recent analyst rating on (FTAI) stock is a Buy with a $230.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTAI Aviation stock, see the FTAI Stock Forecast page.