FTAI Aviation (FTAI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $14.26B
• Dividend Yield: 0.86%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.18M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 35.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.92
• Revenue Growth: 55.05%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 580
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Rental & Leasing Services
• EPS (TTM): 1.57
• Shares Outstanding: 102,570,595
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,971,114
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,175,049
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.05
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 7.84
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 19.21
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 25.55
• 1Y Price Target: $174.10
• Price Target Upside: 23.06% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 10

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: $151.00 ▲(6.74% Upside)

FTAI Aviation's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators. However, financial risks from high leverage and low profitability, along with a high P/E ratio, weigh down the overall score. Strategic initiatives and joint ventures present growth opportunities, but financial management improvements are necessary.

Positive Factors

Acquisitions

FTAI acquires another proprietary asset to extend its competitive advantage.

Earnings

FTAI significantly beat expectations and raised its adjusted free cash flow guidance, indicating confidence in its strategy.

Insider Activity

Insider purchases by FTAI CEO and COO indicate a strong conviction in the company’s strategic direction and long-term value creation.

Negative Factors

Market Uncertainty

Additional top-down uncertainty in the US could dampen investor risk appetite.

Regulatory Risks

Any factor or event that could impact the global reputation of CFM56 engine modules poses a risk.

FTAI Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

FTAI Aviation (FTAI) is a leading provider in the aviation sector, focusing on acquiring, managing, and leasing aviation-related assets. The company operates primarily through its Aviation Leasing and Infrastructure segments, providing services such as aircraft leasing, engine leasing, and aviation infrastructure development. FTAI Aviation aims to deliver innovative solutions to the aviation industry, enhancing the efficiency and profitability of airline operators globally.

How the Company Makes Money

FTAI Aviation generates revenue primarily through its leasing activities. The company acquires aircraft and aircraft engines, which it then leases to airlines and cargo operators worldwide. This creates a steady stream of lease income. Additionally, FTAI benefits from the sale of aviation assets when market conditions are favorable, providing another source of revenue. The company also earns income through its aviation infrastructure projects, which may include the development and management of airport facilities and other related services. Key partnerships with airlines and financial institutions can enhance FTAI's ability to expand its asset portfolio and optimize its leasing operations, thereby contributing to its earnings.

FTAI Aviation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

FTAI Aviation displays strong revenue growth. However, the company faces significant financial challenges with a negative net profit margin and loss of equity, indicating potential risks. Although there are improvements in cash flow, the persistent negative free cash flow underscores the need for financial restructuring.

Income Statement

FTAI Aviation has demonstrated solid revenue growth, with a 48.2% increase from 2023 to 2024. However, the net profit margin has turned negative in 2024 at -1.9%, compared to a positive margin of 20.8% in 2023, largely due to a negative net income in 2024. Despite this, the gross profit margin improved to 52.4% in 2024, indicating effective cost management.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet exhibits significant challenges, with a complete erosion of stockholders' equity in 2024. This results in an undefined debt-to-equity ratio and equity ratio, highlighting potential financial instability. The absence of total liabilities and stockholders' equity data for 2024 raises concerns about the company's financial health.

Cash Flow

FTAI Aviation's cash flow statement reflects a troubling trend, with a negative operating cash flow of -$187.96 million in 2024. The free cash flow remains negative, though there is a substantial improvement in free cash flow from -$647.91 million in 2023 to -$187.96 million in 2024, indicating some progress in cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.91B	1.73B	1.17B	708.41M	455.80M	366.50M
Gross Profit	781.35M	690.95M	498.89M	307.11M	254.05M	194.10M
EBITDA	587.38M	469.55M	530.66M	230.71M	263.02M	245.84M
Net Income	59.00M	8.68M	243.82M	-110.61M	-130.71M	-105.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.27B	4.04B	2.96B	2.43B	4.86B	3.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	112.13M	115.12M	90.76M	33.56M	188.08M	121.70M
Total Debt	3.64B	3.44B	2.52B	2.18B	3.29B	1.97B
Total Liabilities	4.24B	3.96B	2.79B	2.41B	3.74B	2.29B
Stockholders Equity	28.33M	81.37M	175.35M	18.88M	1.12B	1.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-466.50M	-1.34B	-647.91M	-834.31M	-789.67M	-531.67M
Operating Cash Flow	-213.58M	-187.96M	128.98M	-20.66M	-22.04M	63.11M
Investing Cash Flow	-327.91M	-469.50M	-373.35M	-411.25M	-1.29B	-509.12M
Financing Cash Flow	588.93M	681.81M	282.21M	44.91M	1.59B	364.92M

FTAI Aviation Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 141.47
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FTAI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 141.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 119.97, above the 50-day MA of 120.71, and above the 200-day MA of 123.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FTAI.

FTAI Aviation Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
WLFC	77 Outperform	$1.03B	8.86	19.97%	0.74%	30.08%	32.62%
AL	76 Outperform	$6.14B	6.67	12.59%	1.60%	8.08%	76.55%
R	74 Outperform	$7.24B	15.14	16.38%	1.86%	3.68%	6.61%
GATX	72 Outperform	$5.39B	17.10	12.54%	1.59%	11.74%	33.85%
AER	71 Outperform	$19.09B	6.55	16.87%	0.96%	3.24%	4.46%
FTAI	69 Neutral	$14.26B	35.09	389.50%	0.86%	55.05%	―
Sector *	64 Neutral	$10.63B	16.03	5.49%	2.12%	2.74%	-23.62%

FTAI Aviation Corporate Events

FTAI Aviation Elects Directors at 2025 AGM

At the 2025 Annual General Meeting held on May 29, 2025, FTAI Aviation Ltd. shareholders elected two Class III directors to serve until the 2028 Annual General Meeting. Additionally, shareholders approved the compensation of executive officers, decided on an annual frequency for future advisory votes on executive compensation, adopted the 2025 Omnibus Incentive Plan, and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s strategic focus on governance and financial oversight, potentially impacting its operational and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (FTAI) stock is a Buy with a $110.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTAI Aviation stock, see the FTAI Stock Forecast page.