FTAI Aviation (FTAI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $12.82B
• Dividend Yield: 0.96%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.16M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 612.4
• Beta (1Y): 1.14
• Revenue Growth: 57.80%
• EPS Growth: -89.78%
• Country: US
• Employees: 580
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Rental & Leasing Services
• EPS (TTM): 0.87
• Shares Outstanding: 102,555,980
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,448,810
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,160,285
• PEG Ratio: 0.66
• Price to Book (P/B): 90.16
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -2.04
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.30
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.58
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.92
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 2.33
• 1Y Price Target: $173.00
• Price Target Upside: 41.79% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 7

• Rating: 63 Neutral
• Price Target: $131.00 ▲(7.37%Upside)

The overall stock score of 63 reflects a mix of strong technical momentum and positive earnings call sentiment, tempered by weak financial performance and high valuation risks. The positive outlook from strategic initiatives and EBITDA growth is offset by significant profitability and cash flow challenges, necessitating caution.

Positive Factors

Insider Confidence

FTAI CEO, Joe Adams, purchased 3,000 shares, while COO, David Moreno purchased 6,580 shares.

Market Expansion

Management aims to increase its market share of engine restorations from 5% to 25% by expanding production of refurbished modules and engines.

Revenue Growth

FTAI’s Strategic Capital Initiative generated $100,638M of revenues, representing ~30% of FTAI’s Aerospace Product segment sales.

Negative Factors

Legal Compliance

FTAI denies claims of selling to Sorena Turbine, asserting compliance with all applicable laws and sanctions.

Market Perception

With the current market not fully valuing those long-term opportunities, Adams looks to be leaning in.

Market Valuation

The recent multiple compression is seen as overdone, given the strong growth trajectory ahead for the business.

FTAI Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

FTAI Aviation Ltd. owns and acquires aviation and offshore energy equipment for the transportation of goods and people worldwide. It operates through two segments, Aviation Leasing and Aerospace Products. The Aviation Leasing segment owns and manages aviation assets, including aircraft and aircraft engines, which it leases and sells to customers. As of December 31, 2023, this segment owned and managed 363 aviation assets consisting of 96 commercial aircraft and 267 engines, including eight aircraft and seventeen engines that were located in Russia. The Aerospace Products segment develops, manufactures, repairs, and sells aircraft engines and aftermarket components for aircraft engines. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

How the Company Makes Money

FTAI Aviation generates revenue primarily through its leasing activities. The company acquires aircraft and aircraft engines, which it then leases to airlines and cargo operators worldwide. This creates a steady stream of lease income. Additionally, FTAI benefits from the sale of aviation assets when market conditions are favorable, providing another source of revenue. The company also earns income through its aviation infrastructure projects, which may include the development and management of airport facilities and other related services. Key partnerships with airlines and financial institutions can enhance FTAI's ability to expand its asset portfolio and optimize its leasing operations, thereby contributing to its earnings.

FTAI Aviation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

FTAI Aviation shows strong revenue growth but faces challenges with profitability and financial stability. The negative net margin and the loss of equity in 2024 suggest potential risks in sustaining operations. Cash flow improvements are a positive sign, yet the persistent negative free cash flow highlights the necessity for continued focus on cash management and financial restructuring.

Income Statement

FTAI Aviation has demonstrated solid revenue growth, with a 48.2% increase from 2023 to 2024. However, the net profit margin has turned negative in 2024 at -1.9%, compared to a positive margin of 20.8% in 2023, largely due to a negative net income in 2024. Despite this, the gross profit margin improved to 52.4% in 2024, indicating effective cost management.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet exhibits significant challenges, with a complete erosion of stockholders' equity in 2024. This results in an undefined debt-to-equity ratio and equity ratio, highlighting potential financial instability. The absence of total liabilities and stockholders' equity data for 2024 raises concerns about the company's financial health.

Cash Flow

FTAI Aviation's cash flow statement reflects a troubling trend, with a negative operating cash flow of -$187.96 million in 2024. The free cash flow remains negative, though there is a substantial improvement in free cash flow from -$647.91 million in 2023 to -$187.96 million in 2024, indicating some progress in cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.91B	1.73B	1.17B	708.41M	455.80M	366.50M
Gross Profit	781.35M	690.95M	498.89M	307.11M	254.05M	194.10M
EBITDA	442.04M	469.55M	530.66M	230.71M	263.02M	245.84M
Net Income	59.00M	8.68M	243.82M	-110.61M	-130.71M	-105.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.27B	4.04B	2.96B	2.43B	4.86B	3.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	112.13M	115.12M	90.76M	33.56M	188.08M	121.70M
Total Debt	0.00	3.44B	2.52B	2.18B	3.29B	1.97B
Total Liabilities	4.24B	3.96B	2.79B	2.41B	3.74B	2.29B
Stockholders Equity	28.33M	81.37M	175.35M	18.88M	1.12B	1.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-466.50M	-1.34B	-647.91M	-834.31M	-789.67M	-531.67M
Operating Cash Flow	-213.58M	-187.96M	128.98M	-20.66M	-22.04M	63.11M
Investing Cash Flow	-327.91M	-469.50M	-373.35M	-411.25M	-1.29B	-509.12M
Financing Cash Flow	538.32M	681.81M	282.21M	44.91M	1.59B	364.92M

FTAI Aviation Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 122.01
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FTAI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 122.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 124.37, above the 50-day MA of 114.25, and below the 200-day MA of 125.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.81 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FTAI.

FTAI Aviation Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PAC	73 Outperform	$11.34B	24.24	36.66%	3.87%	-2.56%	-14.94%
LTM	71 Outperform	$11.94B	10.96	138.69%	1.59%	6.41%	49.58%
JBHT	69 Neutral	$14.16B	25.92	13.97%	1.23%	-3.82%	-12.80%
SARO	68 Neutral	$10.09B	146.04		―	16.92%	―
AMTM	66 Neutral	$5.64B	356.68		―	―	―
FTAI	63 Neutral	$12.82B	612.44	69.57%	0.96%	57.80%	-89.78%
Sector *	58 Neutral	$1.34B	4.08	-2.93%	10.79%	3.41%	-51.76%

FTAI Aviation Corporate Events

FTAI Aviation Elects Directors at 2025 AGM

At the 2025 Annual General Meeting held on May 29, 2025, FTAI Aviation Ltd. shareholders elected two Class III directors to serve until the 2028 Annual General Meeting. Additionally, shareholders approved the compensation of executive officers, decided on an annual frequency for future advisory votes on executive compensation, adopted the 2025 Omnibus Incentive Plan, and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s strategic focus on governance and financial oversight, potentially impacting its operational and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (FTAI) stock is a Buy with a $110.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTAI Aviation stock, see the FTAI Stock Forecast page.

FTAI Aviation Expands Board with New Appointment

On April 30, 2025, FTAI Aviation Ltd. announced the expansion of its Board of Directors to seven members and the appointment of Shyam Gidumal as an independent director, effective May 7, 2025. Mr. Gidumal will also join the Audit Committee and will serve as a Class II director until the 2027 annual general meeting. This strategic appointment is part of FTAI Aviation’s efforts to strengthen its governance structure. The company has ensured transparency by disclosing Mr. Gidumal’s compensation details and confirming no conflicts of interest, which may reassure stakeholders of the integrity and independence of the board’s decision-making process.

FTAI Aviation Appoints New Principal Operating Officer

On April 15, 2025, FTAI Aviation Ltd. appointed David Moreno as the principal operating officer and elected him as an officer under the Securities Exchange Act. Moreno, who has been the Chief Operating Officer since January 2021, has a background in aviation investments from his time at Fortress Investment Group. Additionally, the Board elected Stacy Kuperus and BoHee Yoon as officers. Kuperus, the Chief Portfolio Officer since March 2021, has been pivotal in executing business operations across the company’s assets. Yoon, the General Counsel since February 2025, has a rich legal background, including roles at Fortress Investment Group and other notable companies.