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FS Bancorp Inc (FSBW)
NASDAQ:FSBW
US Market

FS Bancorp (FSBW) AI Stock Analysis

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FSBW

FS Bancorp

(NASDAQ:FSBW)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$39.00
â–¼(-4.06% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/14/26
The score is held back primarily by 2025 fundamental weakness (sharp revenue decline and a major drop in operating/free cash flow) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include attractive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield) and generally positive corporate developments (accretive M&A and a dividend increase).
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
FS Bancorp's very strong free cash flow growth and an operating-cash-flow-to-net-income ratio of 6.16 indicate durable cash conversion. This sustained cash generation supports lending, buffers credit cycles, funds dividends/share repurchases, and provides long-term capital flexibility without relying on volatile market financing.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressure
A multi-year decline in gross profit margin points to rising funding or operating costs and/or unfavorable product mix. If unaddressed, this structural margin compression could erode operating leverage, reduce the buffer for credit losses, and limit the bank's ability to expand net interest income sustainably over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
FS Bancorp's very strong free cash flow growth and an operating-cash-flow-to-net-income ratio of 6.16 indicate durable cash conversion. This sustained cash generation supports lending, buffers credit cycles, funds dividends/share repurchases, and provides long-term capital flexibility without relying on volatile market financing.
Read all positive factors

FS Bancorp (FSBW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FS Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
FS Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for 1st Security Bank of Washington that provides banking and financial services to local families, local and regional businesses, and industry niches. The company operates in two segments, Comme...
How the Company Makes Money
FS Bancorp primarily makes money through its banking subsidiary by earning interest income and fee-based (noninterest) income, offset by interest paid to depositors and other funding sources, plus operating expenses and credit costs. (1) Net inter...

FS Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are mixed: profitability and ROE have been solid historically, but 2025 shows severe deterioration with revenue down ~90.7% and operating/free cash flow collapsing (FCF growth -97.9%). Balance-sheet leverage has also been volatile across years, adding risk despite acceptable capital levels in 2025.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue217.51M203.71M185.26M134.08M131.08M
Gross Profit144.75M136.47M136.59M113.45M120.86M
EBITDA54.95M52.15M57.92M50.99M62.60M
Net Income33.35M35.02M36.05M29.65M37.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.20B3.03B2.97B2.63B2.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments302.17M200.75M194.22M275.40M308.39M
Total Debt141.08M354.96M60.27M242.46M96.71M
Total Liabilities2.89B2.73B2.71B2.40B2.04B
Stockholders Equity307.69M295.77M264.49M231.70M247.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow51.94M49.19M76.00M183.35M107.03M
Operating Cash Flow72.31M50.82M77.67M184.90M109.01M
Investing Cash Flow-206.43M-104.20M77.67M-504.04M-310.83M
Financing Cash Flow130.70M19.32M-131.08M334.09M136.74M

FS Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.65
Price Trends
50DMA
40.23
Positive
100DMA
40.65
Positive
200DMA
40.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
56.46
Neutral
STOCH
88.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FSBW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.03, above the 50-day MA of 40.23, and above the 200-day MA of 40.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FSBW.

FS Bancorp Risk Analysis

FS Bancorp disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FS Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FS Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$330.67M8.5112.70%5.24%10.46%18.70%
70
Outperform
$344.40M8.219.62%3.57%10.93%42.68%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$425.19M13.737.79%5.43%5.76%21.85%
67
Neutral
$356.77M7.0813.35%2.63%11.98%-10.12%
62
Neutral
$443.43M10.648.98%2.55%6.92%26.93%
56
Neutral
$304.94M9.2810.77%3.17%4.43%-12.94%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FSBW
FS Bancorp
40.65
3.58
9.65%
CZNC
Citizens & Northern
23.74
6.27
35.92%
CBAN
Colony Bankcorp
20.95
7.09
51.12%
FNLC
First Bancorp
29.34
7.84
36.50%
PLBC
Plumas Bancorp
51.12
11.83
30.10%
PCB
PCB Bancorp
24.21
7.41
44.12%

FS Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
FS Bancorp to Acquire Pacific West Bancorp in Merger
Positive
Feb 26, 2026
FS Bancorp, Inc. and Pacific West Bancorp, two Pacific Northwest community banking companies, announced on February 25, 2026, that they signed a definitive merger agreement under which Pacific West will merge into FS Bancorp in a stock-and-cash de...
Business Operations and Strategy
FS Bancorp leadership to attend Janney 2026 CEO Forum
Positive
Feb 3, 2026
FS Bancorp, Inc. said its president, Matthew D. Mullet, chief financial officer Phil Whittington and director of finance Susan Dumontet will attend the Janney 2026 CEO Forum in Scottsdale, Arizona, on February 4-5, 2026. The company is distributin...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
FS Bancorp Posts Higher Q4 Earnings, Raises Dividend
Positive
Jan 21, 2026
On January 21, 2026, FS Bancorp reported fourth-quarter 2025 net income of $8.4 million, or $1.10 per diluted share, up from $7.4 million, or $0.92 per diluted share, a year earlier, while full-year 2025 net income dipped to $33.3 million from $35...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026