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FRMO Corporation (FRMO)
OTHER OTC:FRMO
US Market

FRMO (FRMO) AI Stock Analysis

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FRMO

FRMO

(OTC:FRMO)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▼(-1.83% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/07/26
The score is driven mainly by strong financial fundamentals (high margins and minimal leverage) and supportive valuation (low P/E). These positives are tempered by weak technicals, with the stock trading below major moving averages and negative momentum indicators.
Positive Factors
High profitability and margins
FRMO reports exceptionally high margins reflecting minimal operating cost structure typical for a holding company. Durable margin strength supports internal capital accumulation, funds opportunistic deployments, and reduces reliance on external financing, strengthening medium-term resilience.
Very low leverage and strong balance sheet
An almost negligible debt load and rising equity provide strong financial flexibility. This durable capital structure lowers solvency risk, preserves optionality to acquire or support portfolio positions, and allows the firm to absorb investment volatility without forced capital raises.
Improving cash generation
A near-doubling of free cash flow and a high operating cash flow to net income ratio indicate improving cash quality. Sustained FCF growth enhances the company's ability to reinvest, fund opportunistic purchases or returns, and provides a buffer versus lumpy investment realizations.
Negative Factors
Significant revenue decline
A steep revenue drop likely reflects fewer realized gains or lower income from holdings. For an investment holding company, prolonged declines reduce distributable cash and reinvestment capacity, which can impair growth initiatives and limit value-creation opportunities over the medium term.
Volatile free cash flow history
Material variability in free cash flow complicates budgeting and consistent capital deployment. Because FRMO depends on investment exits and receipts, FCF volatility raises execution risk for acquisitions, support of portfolio companies, or steady shareholder distributions over several quarters.
Concentrated investment-based revenue model
The business relies on capital-market outcomes and discrete realization events rather than recurring operating revenues. This structural concentration increases earnings cyclicality and reduces predictability of growth and cash generation, challenging multi-quarter planning and steady organic expansion.

FRMO (FRMO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FRMO Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFRMO Corporation, through its 4.95% interest in Horizon Kinetics, LLC, operates as an investment advisory and independent research company. It provides in-depth analysis of information-poor, under-researched companies, and strategies to identify the complex situations primarily to institutional investors. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is based in White Plains, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyFRMO generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from management fees and performance fees associated with its investments in various funds and securities. The company earns management fees from the assets it manages on behalf of its investors, which are typically calculated as a percentage of the assets under management (AUM). Additionally, FRMO may receive performance fees based on the profits generated by the funds it manages, which incentivizes strong investment performance. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with other investment firms, which may provide additional revenue opportunities through co-investment arrangements or shared management fees. Furthermore, FRMO's investment in proprietary trading and its own portfolio of investments contribute to its overall earnings, allowing it to capitalize on market opportunities and fluctuations.

FRMO Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 15, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strategic focus on expanding cryptocurrency operations and maintaining liquidity through efficient financial strategies, despite challenges from declining asset valuations and reduced dividend income.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Liquidity
FRMO's cash increased to $25 million, indicating strong liquidity despite reported mark-to-market loss.
Cryptocurrency Expansion
FRMO owns 44% of Winland and is focused on building its cryptocurrency operations, particularly through Scrypts Mining which mines Dogecoin and Litecoin efficiently.
Consensus Mining Investment
FRMO has invested in Consensus Mining, owning 11,950 shares, showing commitment to expanding mining operations.
Efficient Shorting Strategy
FRMO successfully continues its strategy of shorting path-dependent ETFs, contributing significantly to its cash reserves.
Gradual Investment Strategy
FRMO employs a gradual investment strategy in accumulating royalty companies and cryptocurrency mining equipment to manage risk.
Negative Updates
Texas Pacific Land Trust Valuation Decline
Texas Pacific Land Trust shares declined due to a decrease in oil and natural gas prices (oil down 12%, natural gas down 20%), impacting FRMO's reported earnings.
Decrease in Dividend Income
Dividend income decreased from $4.4 million to $1.1 million year-over-year, attributed to the absence of an extraordinary dividend from Mesabi Trust.
Illiquid Stock Trading
FRMO stock remains illiquid with low trading volume, though there are plans to improve liquidity in the future.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for FRMO Corp, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were discussed. The company experienced a decline in the value of its shares in Texas Pacific Land Trust, attributed to a year-to-date decrease in oil and natural gas prices of 12% and 20%, respectively. Despite this, FRMO's cash position improved to $25 million. The firm is advancing its cryptocurrency operations by owning approximately 44% of Winland, with plans to consolidate if ownership exceeds 50%, highlighting the potential for high returns through Scrypts Mining of Dogecoin and Litecoin. Additionally, FRMO disclosed a short sale position exceeding $11 million in path-dependent ETFs, contributing significantly to its cash reserves. A notable point was the strategy of gradually accumulating royalty companies and shorting ETFs to manage risk and optimize returns. The call also addressed the impact of IRS guidance on unrealized gains in digital assets, revealing that most of FRMO's Bitcoin holdings are indirect, with only 259 coins directly on the balance sheet.

FRMO Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (100% gross margin; 40.84% net margin) and an exceptionally low leverage profile (debt-to-equity 0.0018) support a solid financial score. The main offset is the sharp revenue decline (-36.34%) and some historical free cash flow volatility despite the latest free cash flow growth (+97.87%).
Income Statement
75
Positive
FRMO's income statement shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 100% and a net profit margin of 40.84% for the latest year. However, the company experienced a significant revenue decline of 36.34% compared to the previous year. Despite this, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain exceptionally high, indicating efficient cost management.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0018, indicating minimal leverage. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a solid capital structure. The company has shown a significant increase in stockholders' equity over the years, enhancing its financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a substantial growth in free cash flow by 97.87% in the latest year, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 4.91, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. However, historical fluctuations in free cash flow growth highlight potential volatility.
BreakdownTTMMay 2024May 2023May 2022May 2021May 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue236.50M263.36M138.43M7.27M4.82M3.00M
Gross Profit154.26M263.36M138.43M7.27M13.87M150.57M
EBITDA79.89M262.01M137.12M-36.26M12.14M142.92M
Net Income57.20M107.55M72.56M-34.98M12.49M149.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets649.10M713.40M439.16M303.49M338.28M328.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments408.19M452.42M260.87M197.81M220.68M206.70M
Total Debt641.66K647.79K668.62K699.84K729.86K758.74K
Total Liabilities58.73M62.21M35.88M19.38M23.96M29.87M
Stockholders Equity337.16M352.98M242.14M169.28M181.41M177.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.12M7.71M3.59M5.20M841.32K-198.58K
Operating Cash Flow5.15M7.73M3.67M5.24M1.39M31.15K
Investing Cash Flow-2.25M-1.95M-2.23M346.62K-2.79M-3.14M
Financing Cash Flow-348.97K-1.11M-331.22K-800.12K-282.98K-360.63K

FRMO Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.64
Price Trends
50DMA
7.40
Positive
100DMA
7.85
Negative
200DMA
8.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
50.81
Neutral
STOCH
55.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FRMO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.34, above the 50-day MA of 7.40, and below the 200-day MA of 8.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FRMO.

FRMO Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$461.98M9.9026.98%3.38%7.47%-2.12%
68
Neutral
$313.44M5.9118.64%-6.81%-23.44%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$445.92M17.063.22%15.77%-11.01%-65.56%
60
Neutral
$325.95M10.348.20%12.83%90.34%-44.25%
59
Neutral
$420.01M12.337.40%9.31%41.12%-40.68%
59
Neutral
$336.27M13.145.38%16.61%-3.09%200.66%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FRMO
FRMO
7.41
-1.79
-19.46%
DHIL
Diamond Hill Investment Group
171.22
34.67
25.39%
GLAD
Gladstone Capital
18.39
-7.65
-29.39%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
4.98
-1.18
-19.21%
SCM
Stellus Capital
10.50
-3.16
-23.11%
CION
CION Investment Corp
8.54
-1.95
-18.61%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026