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Friedman Industries (FRD)
NASDAQ:FRD
US Market

Friedman Industries (FRD) AI Stock Analysis

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FRD

Friedman Industries

(NASDAQ:FRD)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▼(-4.64% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/18/26
FRD scores mid-range primarily due to mixed financials: strong balance-sheet conservatism offsets weak cash flow and compressed margins. Technicals are a notable headwind with broad weakness versus key moving averages and negative momentum. Valuation is reasonable, and the Sinton expansion is a constructive long-term catalyst, but near-term execution/cash conversion remain key risks.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low TTM leverage and a sizable equity base give Friedman durable financial flexibility to fund operations, withstand cyclical downturns, and execute strategic projects. This balance-sheet conservatism reduces refinancing risk and supports capital allocation optionality over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Negative operating and free cash flows materially constrain internal funding for capex, working capital and the Sinton expansion. Persistent cash burn increases reliance on liquidity or external financing, limiting strategic flexibility and raising execution risk over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low TTM leverage and a sizable equity base give Friedman durable financial flexibility to fund operations, withstand cyclical downturns, and execute strategic projects. This balance-sheet conservatism reduces refinancing risk and supports capital allocation optionality over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Friedman Industries (FRD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Friedman Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Friedman Industries, Incorporated engages in steel processing, pipe manufacturing and processing, and the steel and pipe distribution businesses the United States. It operates in two segments, Coil and Tubular. The Coil segment is involved in the ...
How the Company Makes Money
Friedman Industries makes money primarily by buying steel and converting it into higher-value products and services sold to customers. Its key revenue streams generally come from: (1) Coil products: the company purchases steel coil and generates r...

Friedman Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength is a key positive (very low TTM leverage and solid equity base), but cash generation is a major drag (TTM operating cash flow slightly negative and free cash flow materially negative). Profitability has also compressed versus prior years (thin gross and net margins), despite a strong TTM revenue rebound.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
33
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue584.35M444.60M516.25M547.54M285.24M126.10M
Gross Profit50.00M45.48M72.42M69.98M40.99M23.59M
EBITDA26.21M13.94M29.46M32.93M29.84M16.76M
Net Income15.63M6.08M17.34M21.34M14.07M11.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets311.86M226.82M230.02M199.31M159.28M95.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.00M3.69M2.89M2.99M2.60M8.19M
Total Debt97.13M50.48M43.13M34.45M18.82M2.06M
Total Liabilities169.65M94.40M102.54M83.88M79.59M29.67M
Stockholders Equity142.21M132.43M127.47M115.43M79.69M65.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.45M-9.41M-813.00K47.44M-21.46M3.82M
Operating Cash Flow-658.00K-4.41M4.98M63.89M-13.40M8.43M
Investing Cash Flow-51.63M-3.43M-5.80M-88.19M-7.92M-4.59M
Financing Cash Flow54.57M6.09M1.34M13.56M17.25M-701.91K

Friedman Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price19.40
Price Trends
50DMA
18.59
Negative
100DMA
19.37
Negative
200DMA
19.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Negative
RSI
42.32
Neutral
STOCH
24.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FRD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.56, above the 50-day MA of 18.59, and above the 200-day MA of 19.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FRD.

Friedman Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$411.84M40.4679.30%19.32%-78.78%-81.27%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
$123.75M11.7311.34%0.75%8.72%43.14%
48
Neutral
$125.57M-27.96-6.29%-29.03%
48
Neutral
$18.05M-13.91-1.85%-20.24%-119.83%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FRD
Friedman Industries
17.40
3.81
28.05%
ACNT
Ascent Industries
13.26
0.65
5.15%
MSB
Mesabi Shs
31.39
7.64
32.18%
HUDI
Huadi International Group
1.26
-0.24
-15.87%
HLP
Hongli Group, Inc.
0.86
-0.16
-15.35%

Friedman Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Friedman Industries Expands Sinton Facility for Advanced Fabrication
Positive
Mar 17, 2026
On March 17, 2026, Friedman Industries announced plans to expand its facility on Steel Dynamics’ campus in Sinton, Texas by enlarging the building and installing laser cutting equipment to add new fabrication capabilities, with completion ta...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2026