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Gecina (FR:GFC)
:GFC
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Gecina (GFC) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:GFC

Gecina

(LSE:GFC)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
€91.00
▲(8.66% Upside)
The overall stock score of 62 reflects a balanced view of Gecina's financial recovery and attractive valuation against a backdrop of bearish technical indicators. The company's improved financial performance and stable balance sheet are positive, but the current market momentum suggests caution. The low P/E ratio and high dividend yield are strong points for valuation.

Gecina (GFC) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Gecina Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGecina operates innovative and sustainable living spaces. The Group owns, manages and develops Europe's leading office portfolio, with nearly 97% located in the Paris Region, and a portfolio of residential assets and student residences, with over 9,000 apartments. These portfolios are valued at 20 billion euros at end-June 2020. Gecina has firmly established its focus on innovation and its human approach at the heart of its strategy to create value and deliver on its purpose: Empowering shared human experiences at the heart of our sustainable spaces. For our 100,000 clients, this ambition is supported by our client-centric brand YouFirst. It is also positioned at the heart of UtilesEnsemble, our label setting out our commitment to the environment, to people and to the quality of life in cities. Gecina is a French real estate investment trust (SIIC) listed on Euronext Paris, and is part of the SBF 120, CAC Next 20, CAC Large 60, Euronext 100, FTSE4Good, DJSI Europe and World, Stoxx Global ESG Leaders and Vigeo indices. In 2020, Gecina was awarded the maximum A rating in the CDP climate change rankings.
How the Company Makes MoneyGecina generates revenue primarily through rental income from its extensive portfolio of office and residential properties. The company leases its spaces to a diverse range of tenants, including corporations, government entities, and individuals, which provides a stable cash flow. Additionally, Gecina capitalizes on property appreciation and strategic asset management, enhancing the value of its real estate investments over time. The company may also engage in property development projects, creating new spaces that can be leased or sold in the future. Partnerships with local governments and other entities can further contribute to Gecina's revenue by facilitating development projects and securing long-term tenants.

Gecina Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gecina demonstrated a solid financial recovery in 2024 with improved revenue and profitability metrics. The balance sheet reflects stability with a steady equity base, while cash flow generation remains robust. However, past profitability issues indicate potential volatility, warranting caution.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company showed a positive revenue growth rate in 2024, recovering from a downturn in 2023. Gross and net profit margins were healthy, indicating effective cost management, although EBIT and EBITDA margins were negative in 2023, impacting profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Gecina maintains a stable equity ratio and moderate leverage, with total debt slightly increasing over time. Return on Equity improved significantly in 2024, reflecting enhanced profitability and shareholder value.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow exhibited consistent growth, and the free cash flow remained positive, albeit with some fluctuation. The free cash flow to net income ratio was strong in 2024, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue854.08M835.69M772.05M762.01M825.49M
Gross Profit628.88M621.76M569.72M616.15M634.30M
EBITDA414.63M-1.69B263.77M473.11M474.12M
Net Income309.76M-1.79B169.58M849.29M155.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.92B17.65B20.68B20.44B20.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments179.04M143.72M50.57M15.10M174.12M
Total Debt6.76B6.43B7.23B6.91B7.22B
Total Liabilities7.40B7.05B7.90B7.46B7.75B
Stockholders Equity10.51B10.58B12.76B12.96B12.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow145.18M218.03M149.61M146.73M299.26M
Operating Cash Flow599.85M449.17M390.86M390.15M412.11M
Investing Cash Flow-405.94M882.93M-266.16M192.59M178.28M
Financing Cash Flow-158.58M-1.24B-89.23M-741.76M-454.11M

Gecina Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price83.75
Price Trends
50DMA
87.32
Negative
100DMA
88.71
Negative
200DMA
87.12
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.37
Positive
RSI
41.73
Neutral
STOCH
39.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:GFC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 83.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.38, below the 50-day MA of 87.32, and below the 200-day MA of 87.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:GFC.

Gecina Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$7.02B13.41-0.50%6.86%4.08%-25.24%
62
Neutral
€6.11B12.024.93%6.15%3.84%
€3.74B16.866.03%
€6.23B14.825.11%
€3.18B13.926.44%3.82%
€1.51B-4.49%
€12.36B
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:GFC
Gecina
83.75
-14.95
-15.15%
GB:0IS8
Covivio Hotels SCA
24.00
10.70
80.45%
GB:0J6V
Covivio SA
55.90
5.90
11.80%
GB:0IXY
Societe Fonciere Lyonnaise SA
74.00
12.58
20.48%
GB:0K4O
Icade SA
20.24
1.43
7.60%
DE:1BR1
Unibail Rodamco Westfield
87.62
15.66
21.76%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 26, 2025