Gecina (GFC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €6.83B
• Dividend Yield: 5.07%
• Average Volume (3M): 137.25K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 22.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.60
• Revenue Growth: 2.29%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: FR
• Employees: 473
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: REIT - Office
• EPS (TTM): 5.57
• Shares Outstanding: 76,738,690
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 155,066
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 137,253
• PEG Ratio: -0.52
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.55
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 46.91
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €106.60
• Price Target Upside: 15.74% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6

• Rating: 68 Neutral
• Price Target: €99.00 ▲(7.49%Upside)

Gecina shows a solid recovery and stability in financial performance, with improved profitability and strong cash flows in 2024. Technical indicators support a moderate upward trend, while the valuation is appealing with a fair P/E ratio and high dividend yield. These factors contribute to an overall score of 68, reflecting a stable and moderately attractive investment opportunity in the REIT - Office sector.

Gecina Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Gecina (GFC) is a leading real estate company based in France, specializing in the ownership, management, and development of property assets. The company primarily focuses on office and residential buildings, with a significant presence in the Paris region. Gecina is committed to creating high-quality, sustainable living and working environments, leveraging its extensive portfolio to deliver value to tenants and stakeholders.

How the Company Makes Money

Gecina makes money primarily through the rental income generated from its extensive portfolio of office and residential properties. The company owns a significant number of high-value assets, particularly in the Paris area, which ensures a steady stream of rental revenue. Additionally, Gecina engages in property development projects, which contribute to its earnings through the sale or lease of newly developed spaces. Strategic partnerships and a focus on sustainable property management also enhance its revenue potential by attracting premium tenants and maintaining high occupancy rates. Furthermore, Gecina may earn income through property management services and capital appreciation of its real estate holdings.

Gecina Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Gecina demonstrated a solid financial recovery in 2024 with improved revenue and profitability metrics. The balance sheet reflects stability with a steady equity base, while cash flow generation remains robust. However, past profitability issues indicate potential volatility, warranting caution.

Income Statement

The company showed a positive revenue growth rate in 2024, recovering from a downturn in 2023. Gross and net profit margins were healthy, indicating effective cost management, although EBIT and EBITDA margins were negative in 2023, impacting profitability.

Balance Sheet

Gecina maintains a stable equity ratio and moderate leverage, with total debt slightly increasing over time. Return on Equity improved significantly in 2024, reflecting enhanced profitability and shareholder value.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow exhibited consistent growth, and the free cash flow remained positive, albeit with some fluctuation. The free cash flow to net income ratio was strong in 2024, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	854.08M	835.69M	772.05M	762.01M	825.49M
Gross Profit	628.88M	621.76M	569.72M	616.15M	634.30M
EBITDA	414.63M	-1.69B	263.77M	473.11M	474.12M
Net Income	309.76M	-1.79B	169.58M	849.29M	155.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	17.92B	17.65B	20.68B	20.44B	20.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	179.04M	143.72M	50.57M	15.10M	174.12M
Total Debt	6.76B	6.43B	7.23B	6.91B	7.22B
Total Liabilities	7.40B	7.05B	7.90B	7.46B	7.75B
Stockholders Equity	10.51B	10.58B	12.76B	12.96B	12.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	145.18M	218.03M	149.61M	146.73M	299.26M
Operating Cash Flow	599.85M	449.17M	390.86M	390.15M	412.11M
Investing Cash Flow	-405.94M	882.93M	-266.16M	192.59M	178.28M
Financing Cash Flow	-158.58M	-1.24B	-89.23M	-741.76M	-454.11M

Gecina Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 92.10
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:GFC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 92.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94.46, below the 50-day MA of 92.74, and above the 200-day MA of 91.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.25 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FR:GFC.

Gecina Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
NEX	76 Outperform	€4.39B	15.74	15.96%	2.19%	9.70%	26.01%
SPIE	75 Outperform	€7.82B	28.49	13.56%	2.15%	13.69%	12.62%
GFC	68 Neutral	€6.83B	22.07	2.94%	5.07%	2.29%	―
COV	62 Neutral	€5.76B	81.16	0.84%	5.87%	3.97%	―
Sector *	53 Neutral	$1.21B	3.20	-0.13%	9.61%	-1.86%	-126.37%