Gecina (GFC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €6.50B
• Dividend Yield: 8.4%
• Average Volume (3M): 129.03K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 21.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.54
• Revenue Growth: 2.29%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: FR
• Employees: 473
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 57
• Industry: REIT - Office
• EPS (TTM): 5.57
• Shares Outstanding: 76,738,690
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 109,508
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 129,031
• PEG Ratio: 0.17
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.63
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 44.67
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €109.77
• Price Target Upside: 24.74% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6

• Rating: 61 Neutral
• Price Target: €94.00 ▲(6.82%Upside)

The overall stock score of 61 reflects a solid financial recovery and stability in financial performance as the most significant factor. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum with potential undervaluation concerns. A strong dividend yield contributes positively, balancing the higher P/E ratio's impact.

Gecina Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Gecina (GFC) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) based in France, specializing in the ownership, management, and development of a diversified portfolio of property assets. The company primarily focuses on office spaces, residential properties, and student residences located in prime locations in and around Paris. Gecina is committed to sustainable development and enhancing the environmental performance of its properties, with a significant emphasis on energy efficiency and reducing carbon emissions.

How the Company Makes Money

Gecina makes money primarily through the rental income generated from its extensive portfolio of office and residential properties. As a REIT, Gecina benefits from the long-term lease agreements it holds with various tenants, including corporate clients and individuals. The company also engages in property development and sales, which contribute additional revenue. Furthermore, Gecina’s strategic focus on properties in high-demand urban areas ensures high occupancy rates and steady rental income. The company's earnings are also bolstered through significant partnerships with corporate tenants and institutional investors, which help maintain stable cash flows and support its growth ambitions.

Gecina Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Gecina demonstrated a solid financial recovery in 2024 with improved revenue and profitability metrics. The balance sheet reflects stability with a steady equity base, while cash flow generation remains robust. However, past profitability issues indicate potential volatility, warranting caution.

Income Statement

The company showed a positive revenue growth rate in 2024, recovering from a downturn in 2023. Gross and net profit margins were healthy, indicating effective cost management, although EBIT and EBITDA margins were negative in 2023, impacting profitability.

Balance Sheet

Gecina maintains a stable equity ratio and moderate leverage, with total debt slightly increasing over time. Return on Equity improved significantly in 2024, reflecting enhanced profitability and shareholder value.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow exhibited consistent growth, and the free cash flow remained positive, albeit with some fluctuation. The free cash flow to net income ratio was strong in 2024, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	854.08M	835.69M	772.05M	762.01M	825.49M
Gross Profit	628.88M	621.76M	569.72M	616.15M	634.30M
EBITDA	414.63M	-1.69B	263.77M	473.11M	474.12M
Net Income	309.76M	-1.79B	169.58M	849.29M	155.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	17.92B	17.65B	20.68B	20.44B	20.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	179.04M	143.72M	50.57M	15.10M	174.12M
Total Debt	6.76B	6.43B	7.23B	6.91B	7.22B
Total Liabilities	7.40B	7.05B	7.90B	7.46B	7.75B
Stockholders Equity	10.51B	10.58B	12.76B	12.96B	12.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	145.18M	218.03M	149.61M	146.73M	299.26M
Operating Cash Flow	599.85M	449.17M	390.86M	390.15M	412.11M
Investing Cash Flow	-405.94M	882.93M	-266.16M	192.59M	178.28M
Financing Cash Flow	-158.58M	-1.24B	-89.23M	-741.76M	-454.11M

Gecina Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 88.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:GFC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.65, below the 50-day MA of 90.60, and below the 200-day MA of 88.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:GFC.

Gecina Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
COVH	76 Outperform	€3.73B	17.56	6.05%	6.36%	21.46%	233.75%
Sector *	64 Neutral	€2.51B	17.31	3.70%	6.85%	4.21%	24.14%
FLY	64 Neutral	€3.29B	15.89	5.76%	3.72%	4.73%	―
URW	62 Neutral	€11.58B	77.14		4.33%	6.37%	―
COV	62 Neutral	€5.77B	81.24	0.84%	6.76%	3.97%	―
GFC	61 Neutral	€6.50B	21.00	2.94%	8.40%	2.29%	―
ICAD	56 Neutral	€1.57B	―	-5.92%	41.38%	-5.13%	75.42%