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Covivio SA (FR:COV)
:COV

Covivio SA (COV) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:COV

Covivio SA

(COV)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
€52.00
▼(-7.72% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/28/26
The score is driven by mixed financial quality (profit rebound but volatile results, meaningful leverage, and weaker 2025 free-cash-flow conversion) and bearish technicals (downtrend with negative momentum). These risks are partly offset by attractive valuation (very low P/E) and a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified, recurring rental income
Covivio's primary cash engine is recurring rental income across three distinct asset classes (offices, residential, hotels). This diversified rent base and long-term leases provide enduring cash flow resilience versus single-asset models, supporting stable operating income and underwriting of investments over a multi-month to multi-year horizon.
Negative Factors
Meaningful leverage
Net debt modestly above equity creates heightened sensitivity to interest rates and property valuation swings. With leverage around 1.2–1.4x, financing costs or cap‑rate expansion can compress returns, limit optionality for opportunistic buys, and increase refinancing risk, reducing balance sheet resilience across economic cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified, recurring rental income
Covivio's primary cash engine is recurring rental income across three distinct asset classes (offices, residential, hotels). This diversified rent base and long-term leases provide enduring cash flow resilience versus single-asset models, supporting stable operating income and underwriting of investments over a multi-month to multi-year horizon.
Read all positive factors

Covivio SA (COV) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Covivio SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
{A preferred real estate player at the European level, Covivio is close to its end users, capturing their aspirations, combining work, travel, living, and co-inventing vibrant spaces. A benchmark in the European real estate market with €25 Billion...
How the Company Makes Money
Covivio makes money primarily by owning and operating income-producing real estate and, to a lesser extent, by developing and rotating assets. 1) Rental income (core recurring revenue): The main source of revenue is rent collected from tenants ac...

Covivio SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Latest-year profitability rebounded strongly with very high margins, but revenue declined materially and results have been volatile across years. Leverage is meaningful (debt above equity) and free cash flow conversion weakened sharply in 2025, increasing financial risk despite improved earnings.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.06B1.28B1.02B1.20B1.06B
Gross Profit927.90M977.00M826.57M896.82M798.84M
EBITDA1.13B1.70B660.17M828.91M740.98M
Net Income738.70M68.10M-1.42B620.69M923.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.34B24.89B25.03B27.73B28.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.21B1.04B900.62M461.54M1.06B
Total Debt10.63B10.75B11.04B11.27B12.14B
Total Liabilities12.69B12.87B13.06B13.64B14.68B
Stockholders Equity8.61B8.23B7.96B9.44B9.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow128.70M3.85B540.66M-7.08M-157.86M
Operating Cash Flow708.30M9.80B1.03B560.75M539.65M
Investing Cash Flow-123.40M-1.37B171.01M323.80M203.24M
Financing Cash Flow-383.30M-7.39B-722.91M-1.52B-914.55M

Covivio SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price56.35
Price Trends
50DMA
54.34
Negative
100DMA
53.98
Negative
200DMA
54.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.18
Positive
RSI
31.87
Neutral
STOCH
9.55
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:COV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 56.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.56, above the 50-day MA of 54.34, and above the 200-day MA of 54.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.55 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:COV.

Covivio SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
€8.75B7.4411.02%5.04%6.74%74.00%
71
Outperform
€2.26B12.877.42%16.69%574.43%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
€3.51B10.976.03%6.49%21.24%241.67%
59
Neutral
€4.83B13.364.93%6.39%3.84%
58
Neutral
€5.60B8.505.11%6.37%8.36%
58
Neutral
€2.58B-453.64-0.71%7.34%-4.87%97.55%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:COV
Covivio SA
50.30
3.27
6.95%
FR:ALTA
ALTAREA
111.00
17.77
19.06%
FR:COVH
Covivio Hotels SCA
22.20
1.11
5.25%
FR:GFC
Gecina
65.35
-15.73
-19.40%
FR:LI
Klepierre (ex Compagnie Fonciere Klepierre)
31.04
1.80
6.17%
FR:CARM
Carmila SAS
16.18
-0.17
-1.02%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 28, 2026